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NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

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  Printable NCAA Bracket
2008 Printable NCAA Tournament Bracket

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Games against non-D1 teams not considered in power rankings or predictions.

Non-League Power Ratings

By division
Last Updated Mon Dec 08 11:51:19 EST 2003

Home Advantage = 3.9564

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
1. Syracuse (16-1)98.4164-04-12-0
2. Arizona (11-2)94.6423-21-02-0
3. Marquette (13-3)93.2014-21-12-0
4. Louisville (11-2)92.4641-11-14-0
5. Notre Dame (14-3)92.1074-30-03-0
6. Texas (13-3)91.6754-30-01-0
7. Western Mich (8-1)91.6240-01-02-0
8. Kansas (13-5)91.4283-33-14-1
9. Duke (11-2)91.0120-13-04-1
10. Pittsburgh (12-2)90.9300-21-01-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
11. Kentucky (13-4)90.3062-34-02-1
12. Georgia (8-3)89.8761-13-11-1
13. Wisconsin (12-3)89.8030-31-04-0
14. Mississippi St (10-2)89.7132-00-11-1
15. Oklahoma (12-3)89.3152-22-10-0
16. Butler (11-3)89.1162-20-02-0
17. Illinois (11-2)89.0820-11-13-0
18. St Josephs (10-2)88.9720-02-13-0
19. Connecticut (11-3)88.7240-22-01-1
20. Purdue (9-3)88.5442-20-12-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
21. Alabama (10-2)88.4572-01-22-0
22. Wake Forest (11-2)88.4351-10-13-0
23. Indiana (10-4)88.0051-32-02-1
24. Missouri (9-3)87.9630-31-03-0
25. Michigan St (11-6)87.8663-31-11-1
26. Creighton (11-2)87.7191-11-01-1
27. Auburn (12-3)87.6732-10-01-2
28. Oklahoma St (11-3)87.4001-11-12-0
29. Hawaii (8-1)87.3170-01-01-0
30. Florida (13-3)87.2762-10-12-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
31. Arizona St (8-4)87.0541-22-21-0
32. North Carolina (10-4)86.7592-21-01-1
33. Xavier (10-4)86.5972-21-21-0
34. Texas Tech (11-2)86.3970-01-03-2
35. Utah (12-4)86.1640-13-22-1
36. Manhattan (6-3)85.7820-20-02-0
37. DePaul (8-3)85.6980-20-02-1
38. Maryland (10-4)85.6161-31-10-0
39. Gonzaga (11-6)85.5570-44-20-0
40. St Johns (9-3)85.4761-11-01-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
41. Memphis (9-3)85.4642-00-22-0
42. Oregon (10-2)85.4251-00-21-0
43. California (8-3)85.4200-31-01-0
44. Iowa St (9-1)85.3490-00-11-0
45. Tulsa (8-4)85.1410-21-12-1
46. Stanford (10-4)84.9182-11-02-2
47. BYU (11-5)84.7300-21-14-1
48. Central Mich (7-3)84.7141-10-01-2
49. Cincinnati (8-4)84.3850-12-21-0
50. Rice (6-2)84.3850-01-21-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
51. Kent (6-2)84.0100-01-01-1
52. LSU (11-2)83.9211-10-01-1
53. Colorado (10-4)83.6020-20-02-1
54. Mississippi (9-2)83.2570-00-10-0
55. Wyoming (11-3)83.1360-11-02-0
56. Florida St (9-2)83.0670-10-02-0
57. Southern Ill (6-3)83.0110-00-01-2
58. Unlv (11-3)82.9430-10-13-1
59. Dayton (8-4)82.8551-12-11-1
60. Illinois Chi (8-3)82.7630-00-11-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
61. Murray St (5-4)82.6890-00-21-1
62. Utah St (7-3)82.6730-11-11-0
63. Ul Lafayette (7-5)82.6231-00-31-0
64. NC Wilmington (6-4)82.4530-10-20-0
65. Villanova (7-6)82.1371-20-21-1
66. Holy Cross (9-4)82.0780-21-00-0
67. New Mexico St (9-2)82.0610-01-20-0
68. UC Irvine (5-3)81.9780-10-10-1
69. Clemson (10-1)81.8420-01-00-1
70. Virginia (8-4)81.8101-11-10-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
71. Georgetown (9-3)81.6220-10-02-2
72. Boston College (7-4)81.5770-11-02-2
73. West Virginia (9-3)81.5191-00-01-2
74. Georgia Tech (7-4)81.5111-10-01-3
75. Vanderbilt (7-4)81.4680-20-11-1
76. Tennessee (8-3)81.4000-11-00-1
77. Rhode Island (8-3)81.3570-11-01-1
78. Ohio St (7-4)81.2030-30-11-0
79. Providence (7-4)81.0990-00-13-0
80. Valparaiso (6-7)81.0280-30-21-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
81. Wisc Milwaukee (8-5)80.9390-30-02-1
82. South Carolina (7-4)80.9250-00-21-1
83. Pennsylvania (8-6)80.9080-10-33-0
84. Fresno St (7-3)80.8780-10-10-0
85. St Bonaventure (6-7)80.7790-10-32-1
86. Chattanooga (6-3)80.7320-00-11-2
87. Detroit (6-4)80.6200-00-01-3
88. Coll Of Charltn (8-3)80.4570-01-12-0
89. Kansas St (9-4)80.3390-00-12-0
90. Toledo (6-4)80.2841-00-12-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
91. McNeese St (2-3)80.2710-30-01-0
92. Colorado St (9-4)80.2310-10-11-1
93. Iowa (8-3)80.0960-01-10-2
94. Weber St (9-5)79.9680-11-11-1
95. George Mason (5-4)79.9640-10-00-3
96. USC (5-4)79.8860-00-11-1
97. Miami Fla (7-4)79.8580-10-02-1
98. St Louis (6-5)79.5970-11-12-2
99. South Florida (6-4)79.5610-21-00-0
100. Davidson (3-4)79.4120-20-01-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
101. Uab (7-3)79.3990-10-00-2
102. Ohio (4-5)79.3500-20-12-1
103. Western KY (8-7)79.3390-21-10-1
104. Pacific (5-4)79.3181-00-11-2
105. Troy St (8-4)79.2680-10-20-0
106. San Diego St (8-4)78.9930-10-11-0
107. Evansville (4-5)78.9410-00-22-1
108. Nevada (4-5)78.8750-00-11-3
109. Nebraska (8-4)78.8550-10-11-0
110. Eastern Wash (7-6)78.7700-10-10-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
111. East Carolina (7-2)78.6890-00-01-0
112. Richmond (6-5)78.5120-11-11-0
113. Texas A&M (8-3)78.5011-00-01-1
114. Rutgers (8-4)78.4900-00-11-2
115. Air Force (9-4)78.4470-10-00-1
116. Drexel (4-4)78.3910-10-01-1
117. South Alabama (5-5)78.3720-40-00-0
118. Pepperdine (8-5)78.3270-00-31-0
119. Ball St (5-6)78.2380-10-30-2
120. Temple (3-8)78.2380-32-00-3

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
121. Siena (6-3)78.0370-11-00-0
122. Tex San Antonio (2-4)77.9950-10-21-0
123. Austin Peay (4-5)77.9220-11-10-1
124. Michigan (7-6)77.8240-10-01-4
125. Oregon St (6-2)77.7720-00-00-1
126. SO Mississippi (7-4)77.5060-00-11-2
127. Minnesota (8-5)77.4861-01-40-0
128. Jacksonville St (9-3)77.3030-10-00-0
129. NC Charlotte (5-7)77.2990-00-23-3
130. Washington (5-4)77.0020-00-11-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
131. CS Northridge (5-4)76.9800-00-11-1
132. Oral Roberts (8-4)76.9680-00-10-1
133. Boston U (5-6)76.9500-20-21-0
134. Geo Washington (6-5)76.9040-30-00-0
135. San Diego (5-8)76.8820-10-32-1
136. SMU (5-5)76.8640-10-12-1
137. Seton Hall (6-5)76.8640-20-00-3
138. Northrn Arizona (7-4)76.8250-10-01-0
139. SW Texas St (3-2)76.8050-00-00-1
140. La Salle (6-5)76.7930-00-10-3

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
141. North Carolina St (7-5)76.7190-00-31-1
142. Harvard (7-5)76.6270-00-10-2
143. Delaware (5-4)76.5680-10-01-0
144. East Tenn St (3-6)76.5340-10-10-2
145. Baylor (9-2)76.4980-00-00-0
146. North Texas (3-7)76.4830-00-32-1
147. Tennessee Tech (4-6)76.4460-10-10-2
148. Yale (5-7)76.2500-10-22-0
149. Tenn Martin (3-4)76.2430-00-01-2
150. Arkansas Lr (7-5)76.1780-00-10-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
151. Princeton (5-7)76.0660-20-02-1
152. Wagner (10-7)75.9720-30-00-0
153. Northwestern (8-3)75.9050-00-11-1
154. Belmont (4-7)75.8320-30-00-1
155. Loyola Chi (5-8)75.8010-10-11-2
156. Arkansas (5-6)75.7980-10-30-1
157. Mercer (7-3)75.7970-00-00-2
158. Appalachian St (4-4)75.6990-20-00-1
159. TCU (6-6)75.6520-10-21-0
160. Eastern Ill (4-7)75.4310-30-00-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
161. St Marys CA (6-6)75.3510-00-20-1
162. Denver (8-6)75.3240-00-10-1
163. Portland (6-6)75.2590-00-10-3
164. Northern Ill (4-6)75.0370-10-00-3
165. Wisc Green Bay (5-6)75.0340-10-11-1
166. Washington St (5-4)74.9700-00-11-0
167. VA Commonwealth (5-3)74.8930-00-01-2
168. Northern Iowa (3-5)74.8740-00-10-2
169. Iona (5-3)74.8720-00-01-0
170. Santa Clara (8-4)74.8530-00-01-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
171. Idaho St (5-6)74.7200-00-10-2
172. New Orleans (6-5)74.7120-20-01-0
173. Central Florida (7-5)74.6890-00-01-2
174. Virginia Tech (7-6)74.6850-00-02-3
175. Iupui (6-10)74.6010-30-00-3
176. Tulane (6-6)74.5670-21-00-0
177. Wofford (1-6)74.4080-00-20-2
178. Vermont (5-6)74.3460-10-10-2
179. Indiana St (4-7)74.2840-00-11-3
180. Northeastern (5-6)74.1880-01-10-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
181. Bowling Green (2-5)74.1390-00-10-3
182. Marist (4-5)74.1110-00-11-1
183. Niagara (4-5)74.0810-00-00-1
184. San Francisco (4-8)74.0540-01-10-4
185. Massachusetts (5-7)73.9940-11-30-1
186. Boise St (5-4)73.8700-00-00-2
187. UCLA (3-6)73.7710-21-00-3
188. Montana (5-8)73.7630-21-10-0
189. Fairfield (4-5)73.7310-11-00-2
190. Charleston Sou (4-5)73.6380-10-00-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
191. Morehead St (3-5)73.4070-00-20-1
192. Florida A&M (5-4)73.2660-20-20-0
193. Bradley (3-7)73.2580-00-10-2
194. SW Missouri St (4-5)73.2460-00-11-2
195. Rider (5-4)73.1980-00-00-1
196. Coast Carolina (4-5)73.1900-10-10-0
197. Wright St (5-5)73.1380-00-00-1
198. Birmingham Southern (6-4)72.9290-00-01-2
199. Akron (4-4)72.7930-00-00-0
200. Arkansas St (5-6)72.6860-00-00-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
201. Loyola Marymnt (6-8)72.6410-00-00-2
202. Samford (3-7)72.6070-00-00-4
203. Brown (5-9)72.5280-00-10-1
204. Santa Barbara (3-8)72.5150-00-21-2
205. Gardner-Webb (2-10)72.4180-00-10-2
206. Prairie View (2-7)72.3530-20-00-2
207. Geo Southern (4-4)72.3140-00-00-0
208. Illinois St (2-7)72.2740-00-00-5
209. Cal Poly (3-5)72.2260-00-10-0
210. Cleveland St (5-8)72.1630-10-10-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
211. Penn St (5-6)72.1150-10-00-3
212. Monmouth NJ (6-7)72.0580-00-00-3
213. Wichita St (5-4)72.0250-00-20-1
214. Montana St (4-7)71.9240-00-00-3
215. Texas Arlington (1-5)71.9180-20-00-1
216. Miami Ohio (1-7)71.8970-31-20-0
217. Drake (3-6)71.8930-00-00-4
218. Old Dominion (3-5)71.6350-10-10-1
219. Delaware St (2-6)71.6330-20-10-0
220. Duquesne (6-7)71.6250-20-00-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
221. Oakland (5-6)71.5800-10-00-1
222. Centenary (7-11)71.5650-10-10-3
223. Canisius (4-5)71.5140-30-00-1
224. Binghamton (5-6)71.3100-10-00-2
225. Sam Houston (2-4)71.2720-10-00-0
226. SE Missouri St (4-7)71.1820-10-02-2
227. Quinnipiac (16-12)71.1230-10-00-1
228. Hampton (3-5)71.0930-10-01-1
229. Lehigh (6-5)71.0150-10-00-1
230. Maine (4-7)71.0100-00-00-3

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
231. American (5-8)70.9640-00-10-1
232. Sacramento St (5-7)70.9310-00-10-1
233. Eastern Mich (4-3)70.8290-00-00-1
234. Marshall (3-5)70.7430-00-00-0
235. VMI (3-5)70.5360-00-10-1
236. Florida Intl (5-7)70.4330-00-00-2
237. Middle Tenn St (3-8)70.3240-10-10-0
238. Idaho (3-5)70.3050-00-00-0
239. NC Asheville (3-9)70.2790-50-00-2
240. Buffalo (3-6)70.0030-00-00-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
241. Bucknell (5-7)69.8460-10-10-0
242. James Madison (3-6)69.6910-00-10-0
243. Howard (2-7)69.6670-00-20-0
244. Fla Atlantic (3-8)69.6170-00-01-1
245. St Francis PA (8-7)69.5660-10-00-1
246. Central Conn (8-7)69.4950-10-00-0
247. Alabama St (2-7)69.4300-00-10-3
248. William & Mary (5-4)69.3520-00-00-0
249. Lafayette (4-7)69.3430-00-10-1
250. New Mexico (5-7)69.2720-00-20-3

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
251. Hartford (4-6)69.1130-10-10-1
252. Southern Utah (3-7)68.8810-00-20-0
253. Navy (3-8)68.8120-00-00-0
254. Jackson St (1-8)68.7530-10-01-2
255. NC Greensboro (3-8)68.6820-20-10-0
256. Georgia St (4-6)68.6650-20-10-0
257. St Peters (3-6)68.2780-10-00-1
258. Elon (2-6)68.2550-20-10-0
259. IPFW (9-20)68.2280-00-20-3
260. Winthrop (4-6)68.1180-00-10-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
261. Stephen Austin (2-3)67.8610-10-00-0
262. Lamar (2-4)67.6320-00-00-0
263. Texas A&M-CC (7-15)67.5660-10-10-2
264. Liberty (5-6)67.5200-00-00-2
265. High Point (4-6)67.3450-10-00-0
266. Alcorn St (2-10)67.2690-10-00-2
267. Jacksonville (4-7)67.2020-10-10-0
268. Ul Monroe (1-5)67.1120-00-00-3
269. Fair Dickinson (7-6)66.8710-00-10-1
270. Robert Morris (5-8)66.7120-10-00-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
271. Youngstown St (2-7)66.6310-00-00-0
272. Cornell (4-8)66.5900-10-10-0
273. St Francis NY (5-9)66.4530-00-00-2
274. CS Fullerton (2-8)66.3430-00-00-1
275. Western Ill (2-9)66.2550-10-00-2
276. Stony Brook (4-5)65.9700-00-10-2
277. SO Carolina St (2-8)65.9540-20-10-1
278. Mt St Marys (6-8)65.8600-10-10-1
279. Houston (2-9)65.7940-10-10-2
280. Texas Southern (4-6)65.7680-10-00-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
281. Louisiana Tech (1-5)65.6580-30-00-0
282. Liu Brooklyn (4-10)65.2740-00-00-1
283. Grambling (1-8)65.2710-10-30-2
284. Furman (3-8)65.2400-30-10-0
285. San Jose St (1-6)65.2310-00-00-0
286. Portland St (1-10)65.2160-00-20-1
287. Chicago St (3-12)65.0090-10-10-2
288. Fordham (1-10)64.8590-00-00-4
289. Norfolk St (3-5)64.7010-10-10-1
290. Colgate (3-8)64.6040-10-00-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
291. Alabama A&M (3-5)64.6000-10-00-1
292. UC Riverside (0-5)64.5080-00-10-3
293. TX Pan American (6-15)64.3010-00-20-5
294. Albany NY (4-7)64.2650-20-00-0
295. SE Louisiana (0-5)63.8110-10-10-1
296. Dartmouth (3-9)63.6920-00-00-1
297. New Hampshire (2-9)63.4590-10-00-1
298. Sacred Heart (7-21)63.3530-10-00-2
299. Eastern KY (2-5)63.1180-20-00-0
300. Umbc (7-20)62.9480-10-00-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
301. Nicholls St (1-6)62.5440-10-10-2
302. Campbell (3-7)62.3410-00-10-0
303. Army (3-7)62.0130-10-00-0
304. Towson (3-6)61.5620-00-10-0
305. Loyola MD (3-6)61.2770-10-00-0
306. Hofstra (1-8)61.2590-00-10-2
307. Lipscomb (5-17)61.0630-00-00-3
308. Coppin St (0-9)61.0040-30-10-1
309. Mo Kansas City (1-12)60.9890-10-20-1
310. Miss Valley St (0-7)60.9090-00-00-3

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
311. The Citadel (1-6)60.6840-10-00-1
312. Radford (2-9)60.5000-00-00-2
313. Stetson (2-8)60.2860-00-10-1
314. Long Beach St (0-8)59.5040-00-10-1
315. Westrn Carolina (0-7)59.3420-00-00-2
316. Columbia (2-11)58.8730-00-00-1
317. Bethune Cookman (2-8)57.0160-20-00-2
318. Northwestern St (0-7)55.5380-00-10-1
319. Savannah St (3-24)54.7910-00-00-5
320. Ark Pine Bluff (0-10)54.6650-20-20-4

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
321. Southern (2-6)54.5340-00-00-0
322. Tennessee St (1-8)54.1240-10-00-2
323. NO Carolina A&T (0-7)53.9640-20-10-1
324. Morris Brown (3-20)52.9900-00-00-3
325. MD Eastrn Shore (0-9)52.8740-00-00-1
326. Morgan St (1-9)52.8430-00-00-0
327. Texas El Paso (1-8)52.7960-00-10-2
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