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NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

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  Printable NCAA Bracket
2008 Printable NCAA Tournament Bracket

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Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)
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Games against non-D1 teams not considered in power rankings or predictions.

Wins Power Rankings

By division
Last Updated Mon Dec 08 11:51:22 EST 2003

Home Advantage = 4.8595

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
1. Kentucky (32-4)99.1108-210-14-1
2. Syracuse (30-5)97.9138-45-09-0
3. Arizona (28-4)96.5563-18-24-0
4. Pittsburgh (28-5)95.9074-43-19-0
5. Kansas (28-8)95.0637-54-28-1
6. Marquette (27-6)94.8186-40-011-1
7. Texas (26-7)94.6406-55-25-0
8. Oklahoma (27-7)94.0305-67-15-0
9. Wake Forest (25-6)91.9972-21-214-2
10. Georgia (19-8)91.7203-48-13-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
11. Duke (25-7)91.6143-22-115-4
12. Illinois (25-7)91.4762-34-39-1
13. Florida (25-8)91.4163-35-44-1
14. Notre Dame (24-10)91.3164-74-17-1
15. Louisville (25-7)91.0503-33-19-3
16. Butler (26-6)90.6712-23-25-1
17. Connecticut (23-10)90.5213-44-14-3
18. Xavier (26-6)90.4493-12-34-1
19. Wisconsin (24-8)90.0841-44-19-2
20. Missouri (21-11)89.4404-82-16-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
21. Memphis (23-7)89.2223-20-15-2
22. Dayton (24-6)89.1601-32-07-2
23. Mississippi St (21-10)89.0962-55-35-1
24. Creighton (29-5)89.0391-13-21-0
25. Oklahoma St (21-10)88.9533-53-26-3
26. Stanford (24-9)88.7183-25-24-2
27. Michigan St (22-13)88.7123-66-15-5
28. Utah (24-8)88.2460-16-26-2
29. California (22-9)88.0640-54-24-1
30. Maryland (21-10)87.9483-40-210-4

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
31. St Josephs (23-7)87.7490-32-16-1
32. Central Mich (24-7)87.6441-10-04-3
33. Southern Ill (24-6)87.2101-21-11-2
34. BYU (23-9)87.1440-31-36-2
35. Wisc Milwaukee (23-8)87.0832-42-23-0
36. Purdue (19-11)86.8453-33-46-3
37. Auburn (21-12)86.7691-74-34-2
38. Indiana (21-13)86.7381-65-38-2
39. Arizona St (19-12)86.7341-44-72-1
40. Colorado (20-12)86.5514-50-27-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
41. LSU (21-11)86.5033-53-32-2
42. Oregon (23-10)86.4371-23-53-2
43. Gonzaga (24-9)86.4280-31-35-1
44. Seton Hall (17-12)86.3882-70-05-5
45. Boston College (18-11)86.3741-40-18-4
46. Weber St (25-5)86.2450-11-10-0
47. Texas Tech (19-13)85.9542-81-07-4
48. Tennessee (17-11)85.7633-51-33-3
49. Illinois Chi (21-8)85.0360-22-31-1
50. Alabama (17-12)85.0363-43-45-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
51. Pennsylvania (22-6)84.9360-10-23-1
52. North Carolina St (18-13)84.8802-40-510-3
53. North Carolina (17-15)84.6243-62-26-5
54. Manhattan (23-7)84.3560-21-01-0
55. Ohio St (17-14)84.3221-64-54-3
56. Cincinnati (17-12)84.2832-61-15-4
57. Unlv (21-10)84.1870-12-45-4
58. St Johns (18-13)84.0582-42-33-5
59. Western KY (23-9)83.8280-31-01-1
60. Tulsa (23-10)83.7191-20-13-3

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
61. NC Wilmington (24-7)83.7180-10-21-0
62. Providence (16-13)83.7161-42-26-3
63. St Louis (16-13)83.6873-51-05-3
64. Troy St (25-6)83.6860-10-11-2
65. Michigan (17-13)83.4241-42-44-2
66. Holy Cross (25-5)83.3990-21-00-0
67. DePaul (16-12)83.0221-42-12-6
68. Wyoming (19-10)82.7100-11-46-2
69. Kent (20-9)82.7010-02-12-1
70. Georgia Tech (14-14)82.6751-51-27-6

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
71. Temple (15-15)82.5991-61-23-4
72. Villanova (15-15)82.5711-52-33-6
73. Uab (18-12)82.5481-50-03-3
74. Austin Peay (20-8)82.5121-20-02-1
75. Ul Lafayette (19-9)82.3801-00-22-2
76. Fresno St (20-8)82.2210-20-02-2
77. Iowa St (15-13)82.1891-71-34-1
78. Georgetown (16-15)82.0340-80-26-3
79. Western Mich (19-10)81.9940-01-22-1
80. Coll Of Charltn (22-7)81.9771-00-02-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
81. Virginia (14-15)81.9672-42-24-7
82. Colorado St (17-13)81.8320-02-63-4
83. San Diego (17-12)81.5130-01-60-0
84. Iowa (15-13)81.2721-31-42-6
85. Texas A&M (14-14)81.1221-73-22-2
86. Rhode Island (18-11)81.0600-41-12-3
87. Minnesota (16-14)81.0131-42-53-3
88. Detroit (17-12)80.9320-31-31-3
89. Mississippi (14-15)80.7250-72-52-1
90. South Carolina (12-16)80.6940-71-43-5

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
91. West Virginia (14-15)80.6561-61-31-5
92. NC Charlotte (13-16)80.4880-41-25-6
93. Florida St (14-15)80.4461-50-26-7
94. USC (13-17)80.3800-34-71-2
95. Mercer (22-6)80.3630-00-01-3
96. Valparaiso (20-10)80.2980-31-21-1
97. Baylor (14-14)80.1111-71-31-2
98. Clemson (15-13)80.0340-40-26-7
99. Hawaii (18-11)80.0001-00-03-3
100. Morehead St (17-9)79.9650-00-20-3

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
101. Nevada (17-13)79.9610-00-23-7
102. Northern Ill (17-14)79.9470-10-42-3
103. Rice (17-10)79.9120-01-22-5
104. New Mexico St (19-9)79.8930-01-11-4
105. Utah St (22-9)79.8570-12-10-0
106. San Diego St (14-13)79.5090-11-44-5
107. Rutgers (12-16)79.4592-51-32-7
108. UC Irvine (19-9)79.2910-10-10-1
109. Tennessee Tech (17-12)79.2860-10-02-8
110. East Tenn St (17-11)79.1670-10-02-3

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
111. Vanderbilt (11-18)79.1601-92-52-3
112. Wichita St (18-11)79.1421-30-20-1
113. SW Missouri St (17-12)79.1410-20-41-2
114. South Florida (14-14)79.0671-40-14-3
115. St Bonaventure (13-14)79.0480-20-53-4
116. Richmond (15-13)78.9261-41-14-2
117. SMU (17-13)78.8680-10-14-5
118. Kansas St (13-17)78.8070-72-33-3
119. Tulane (15-15)78.6490-50-13-2
120. Eastern Wash (17-12)78.6020-10-40-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
121. Chattanooga (19-9)78.5640-01-02-3
122. Ohio (14-16)78.3950-20-13-4
123. Fairfield (19-11)78.3090-10-02-4
124. UCLA (10-19)78.2201-41-81-5
125. San Francisco (14-14)78.1710-01-40-5
126. Oregon St (12-15)78.0770-20-92-0
127. Murray St (15-12)78.0520-10-21-5
128. Drexel (18-11)77.9930-00-11-4
129. Loyola Chi (15-16)77.9541-10-62-5
130. Siena (19-10)77.9280-10-02-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
131. Miami Ohio (12-15)77.7561-21-21-3
132. Sam Houston (21-7)77.6820-10-00-0
133. Miami Fla (11-17)77.6271-30-43-9
134. Brown (17-11)77.5550-00-00-5
135. Nebraska (11-18)77.3590-91-32-3
136. Arkansas (9-19)77.2781-72-60-5
137. Central Florida (20-11)77.2750-00-03-4
138. Niagara (17-12)77.2220-00-00-4
139. Pepperdine (15-13)77.1100-00-51-1
140. Toledo (13-16)76.9580-01-32-3

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
141. Davidson (14-10)76.8650-20-01-3
142. Santa Barbara (18-13)76.8570-00-31-1
143. Boston U (20-10)76.8050-10-31-0
144. Middle Tenn St (14-14)76.7540-00-21-4
145. Iupui (19-14)76.7240-30-02-5
146. Arkansas Lr (16-12)76.7170-10-01-5
147. SO Mississippi (13-16)76.7051-20-13-6
148. Ball St (13-17)76.6990-30-41-3
149. Bowling Green (11-16)76.5380-00-41-5
150. Appalachian St (16-10)76.5080-20-01-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
151. Belmont (16-12)76.5040-20-11-3
152. VA Commonwealth (18-10)76.4780-00-00-4
153. Princeton (15-11)76.4300-20-02-3
154. Washington (10-17)76.3850-22-73-1
155. Northwestern (12-17)76.3040-42-41-8
156. Virginia Tech (11-18)76.0051-30-25-7
157. St Marys CA (14-15)75.9340-00-50-3
158. Evansville (12-16)75.8391-31-22-1
159. George Mason (16-12)75.8200-10-21-2
160. Marshall (13-15)75.8050-00-12-5

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
161. Vermont (19-11)75.6590-10-00-2
162. Geo Washington (12-17)75.6300-71-10-2
163. Air Force (12-16)75.5600-10-52-5
164. East Carolina (10-15)75.5321-40-01-8
165. Akron (13-14)75.5160-01-11-2
166. Iona (17-12)75.4230-00-02-3
167. Denver (17-15)75.2400-00-11-5
168. Eastern Ill (13-15)75.2280-30-12-3
169. Stephen Austin (19-8)75.1420-10-00-0
170. Jacksonville St (19-10)74.9360-00-10-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
171. South Alabama (12-14)74.9070-30-11-2
172. Eastern Mich (12-14)74.7820-01-11-3
173. Wagner (21-11)74.5400-20-10-0
174. La Salle (12-17)74.4770-40-20-6
175. Cal Poly (15-14)74.4200-00-10-0
176. Louisiana Tech (10-15)74.2400-30-03-3
177. Yale (13-13)74.2000-20-12-3
178. Idaho St (13-14)74.0950-00-30-1
179. Winthrop (18-10)74.0000-00-10-1
180. Delaware (15-14)73.8220-00-11-3

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
181. Bradley (11-18)73.6680-31-20-2
182. Birmingham Southern (17-9)73.6600-00-01-2
183. New Orleans (13-14)73.4460-10-10-4
184. Oral Roberts (17-10)73.3780-00-01-3
185. New Mexico (9-18)73.1620-01-71-5
186. TCU (9-19)73.1210-50-11-5
187. Boise St (12-16)73.1160-00-12-5
188. Northrn Arizona (13-13)72.8490-10-20-0
189. Montana (12-16)72.7480-01-50-0
190. Houston (8-20)72.6920-30-21-6

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
191. Oakland (15-11)72.6770-10-00-3
192. Northern Iowa (10-17)72.6600-20-30-2
193. Tenn Martin (10-14)72.6340-00-12-4
194. Arkansas St (11-15)72.6240-00-01-2
195. Massachusetts (10-18)72.5760-30-61-4
196. Marist (13-16)72.4840-00-11-3
197. Portland (10-17)72.3960-01-30-2
198. American (16-14)72.3740-10-01-4
199. Geo Southern (13-13)72.2550-00-00-4
200. Wofford (10-15)72.2240-00-10-7

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
201. Santa Clara (12-15)72.1420-00-21-3
202. Samford (12-15)72.0600-00-10-5
203. Penn St (7-21)71.9511-31-50-11
204. CS Northridge (13-15)71.9290-00-21-0
205. Loyola Marymnt (11-19)71.8870-01-10-4
206. Washington St (7-20)71.8020-20-91-3
207. Texas Arlington (14-13)71.4880-20-00-0
208. Old Dominion (12-15)71.4200-10-12-1
209. Wright St (9-18)71.3920-20-42-3
210. Pacific (12-16)71.2240-01-11-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
211. Hartford (15-13)71.1990-20-00-1
212. NC Asheville (14-17)71.1410-40-10-3
213. Sacramento St (11-17)71.0590-10-30-1
214. Idaho (12-15)71.0390-00-00-0
215. Illinois St (8-21)70.8760-20-50-2
216. Wisc Green Bay (9-19)70.7650-41-41-2
217. McNeese St (13-14)70.7590-20-11-0
218. Binghamton (14-13)70.6580-10-00-2
219. SW Texas St (15-12)70.6490-00-00-1
220. Northeastern (14-15)70.5870-01-00-3

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
221. Quinnipiac (16-12)70.5430-10-00-1
222. SO Carolina St (20-11)70.3640-20-10-1
223. Rider (12-16)70.2720-00-10-2
224. Montana St (9-16)70.2600-00-20-3
225. Monmouth NJ (15-13)69.9830-00-10-1
226. James Madison (12-17)69.8940-00-00-4
227. Georgia St (13-15)69.8480-20-10-3
228. Duquesne (9-21)69.8120-50-22-3
229. Jacksonville (12-16)69.7730-10-00-6
230. Drake (8-20)69.4860-20-30-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
231. Prairie View (17-12)69.3260-10-10-3
232. Furman (11-17)69.2250-40-00-2
233. Lehigh (14-12)69.2140-10-00-2
234. Charleston Sou (12-14)69.1460-10-10-2
235. Cleveland St (8-22)69.0810-20-60-4
236. CS Fullerton (10-19)69.0670-00-00-1
237. Harvard (11-15)69.0600-00-11-3
238. Bucknell (13-15)68.9900-10-10-3
239. Maine (12-16)68.8690-00-20-2
240. Youngstown St (7-20)68.8660-20-50-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
241. SE Missouri St (9-19)68.7680-11-10-5
242. Central Conn (15-13)68.6700-10-00-1
243. Texas A&M-CC (11-15)68.6060-10-10-4
244. Elon (10-15)68.4430-20-00-2
245. Coast Carolina (11-15)68.4120-10-00-2
246. Canisius (10-18)68.3150-20-10-2
247. Colgate (12-14)68.2090-10-00-2
248. St Peters (10-19)68.0750-10-11-1
249. North Texas (5-21)68.0420-01-30-4
250. William & Mary (12-16)68.0160-00-00-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
251. Indiana St (7-24)67.9680-41-30-2
252. Ul Monroe (11-16)67.8700-00-00-3
253. Lamar (12-14)67.8620-00-00-0
254. St Francis NY (14-16)67.8380-00-10-1
255. Centenary (10-14)67.8230-10-10-3
256. St Francis PA (14-14)67.7800-10-00-1
257. Liberty (14-15)67.6140-00-00-3
258. IPFW (9-20)67.5640-10-20-4
259. Hampton (19-11)67.5150-00-10-1
260. Fair Dickinson (15-14)67.4080-00-00-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
261. Lafayette (11-16)67.3740-00-10-3
262. Southern Utah (9-17)66.9940-00-20-2
263. Delaware St (15-12)66.8480-20-10-1
264. SE Louisiana (9-16)66.8110-10-10-1
265. Florida Intl (7-21)66.8080-00-10-5
266. Eastern KY (7-17)66.5900-20-00-5
267. Mo Kansas City (9-20)66.5560-20-11-2
268. VMI (8-19)66.5440-00-10-2
269. Radford (10-20)66.4650-00-00-1
270. Miss Valley St (14-13)66.3000-00-20-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
271. Westrn Carolina (6-18)66.2410-00-10-3
272. Hofstra (8-21)65.9810-00-10-5
273. Buffalo (5-23)65.9750-00-11-4
274. Texas Southern (18-13)65.9200-10-00-1
275. Stony Brook (11-15)65.9190-00-20-1
276. Florida A&M (17-12)65.8830-20-10-1
277. Tex San Antonio (9-17)65.7760-10-01-2
278. UC Riverside (5-18)65.5320-00-10-3
279. San Jose St (5-21)65.5120-00-03-3
280. Alcorn St (14-19)65.4070-10-00-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
281. Portland St (4-21)64.9580-00-40-1
282. Alabama St (13-15)64.6920-00-10-3
283. Liu Brooklyn (9-19)64.4920-00-00-1
284. Fla Atlantic (6-21)64.1480-00-00-6
285. Mt St Marys (11-16)64.0090-10-00-2
286. Cornell (8-18)63.9880-10-00-3
287. Robert Morris (9-17)63.7090-10-00-0
288. Navy (7-19)63.3040-00-00-2
289. NC Greensboro (6-22)63.2840-20-10-2
290. Coppin St (11-17)63.1990-30-00-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
291. Long Beach St (4-22)62.9650-00-10-1
292. Jackson St (10-18)62.8590-10-00-1
293. Howard (13-17)62.7260-00-10-2
294. Dartmouth (7-19)62.5590-00-00-3
295. Grambling (10-18)62.3180-10-20-3
296. High Point (7-20)62.2550-10-00-1
297. Texas El Paso (5-24)62.1510-00-10-7
298. Gardner-Webb (4-24)61.9380-00-10-7
299. Fordham (2-26)61.8040-20-20-8
300. Western Ill (5-21)61.7390-10-00-4

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
301. Sacred Heart (7-21)61.2210-10-00-2
302. Norfolk St (14-15)61.1740-10-00-1
303. Stetson (6-20)61.1140-00-10-6
304. Albany NY (7-21)60.7530-20-00-0
305. Northwestern St (6-21)60.6670-10-00-1
306. The Citadel (4-20)60.4150-00-10-3
307. Umbc (7-20)60.3850-00-10-2
308. New Hampshire (5-23)60.2440-10-00-0
309. TX Pan American (6-20)58.4340-10-00-3
310. Loyola MD (4-24)57.6290-00-10-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
311. Campbell (4-22)56.8260-00-00-3
312. Chicago St (3-27)56.4660-10-20-4
313. Towson (4-24)56.0940-00-00-3
314. Lipscomb (6-20)56.0130-00-00-2
315. Alabama A&M (7-19)55.8540-10-00-1
316. Army (3-22)54.6150-10-00-3
317. Southern (7-20)54.5920-00-00-0
318. Ark Pine Bluff (4-24)54.5910-30-00-3
319. Bethune Cookman (8-22)54.0630-20-00-2
320. Morgan St (7-22)53.0740-00-00-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
321. Morris Brown (6-20)53.0560-00-10-4
322. Nicholls St (2-25)52.8090-00-20-2
323. MD Eastrn Shore (5-23)52.6470-00-00-0
324. Columbia (2-25)51.7870-00-00-3
325. Savannah St (3-24)50.6110-00-00-5
326. Tennessee St (1-24)48.1240-10-00-6
327. NO Carolina A&T (1-25)43.4640-20-00-2
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