NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

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  Printable NCAA Bracket
2008 Printable NCAA Tournament Bracket

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Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)
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Games against non-D1 teams not considered in power rankings or predictions.

Conference RPI

By ranking
Last Updated Mon Dec 08 11:51:34 EST 2003


BIG TWELVE AVERAGE = 0.5796


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
3. Oklahoma (27-7)0.65164-58-23-0
4. Kansas (28-8)0.65137-54-28-1
6. Texas (26-7)0.64706-55-23-0
18. Oklahoma St (21-10)0.61124-52-35-1
19. Missouri (21-11)0.61093-83-13-2
48. Texas Tech (19-13)0.57362-81-05-3
49. Colorado (20-12)0.57284-50-26-2
69. Texas A&M (14-14)0.55071-72-22-1
92. Iowa St (15-13)0.53511-71-31-1
110. Baylor (14-14)0.52331-71-31-2
130. Kansas St (13-17)0.51470-82-23-2
132. Nebraska (11-18)0.51330-91-32-2


SOUTHEASTERN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.5772


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
1. Kentucky (32-4)0.66097-29-18-1
9. Georgia (19-8)0.62992-48-04-4
14. Florida (25-8)0.61472-45-27-1
26. Mississippi St (21-10)0.59962-45-33-2
29. Auburn (21-12)0.59331-53-44-3
45. LSU (21-11)0.57422-33-53-1
47. Alabama (17-12)0.57382-43-44-2
61. Tennessee (17-11)0.56062-52-34-2
90. South Carolina (12-16)0.53620-60-44-5
94. Vanderbilt (11-18)0.53271-82-41-5
105. Mississippi (14-15)0.52750-32-82-3
111. Arkansas (9-19)0.52330-53-72-4


ATLANTIC COAST CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.5694


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
12. Duke (25-7)0.62422-23-114-4
13. Wake Forest (25-6)0.62422-21-213-2
32. Maryland (21-10)0.59123-40-29-4
51. North Carolina (17-15)0.56914-61-25-4
57. North Carolina St (18-13)0.56372-40-58-3
77. Georgia Tech (14-14)0.54491-51-16-6
79. Virginia (14-15)0.54142-42-24-5
82. Florida St (14-15)0.54031-50-22-6
108. Clemson (15-13)0.52560-41-25-7


BIG EAST AVERAGE = 0.5638


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
2. Syracuse (30-5)0.65468-35-17-0
8. Pittsburgh (28-5)0.63334-43-18-0
10. Notre Dame (24-10)0.62814-74-16-1
24. Connecticut (23-10)0.60345-42-16-3
39. Seton Hall (17-12)0.58142-70-03-5
43. Boston College (18-11)0.57711-40-17-4
55. Providence (16-13)0.56561-42-26-3
66. St Johns (18-13)0.55432-42-34-5
71. Villanova (15-15)0.55021-42-44-5
93. Georgetown (16-15)0.53480-80-24-3
106. West Virginia (14-15)0.52631-60-42-4
126. Rutgers (12-16)0.51882-51-32-5
184. Miami Fla (11-17)0.48541-30-43-8
192. Virginia Tech (11-18)0.47981-30-25-6


BIG TEN AVERAGE = 0.5577


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
17. Illinois (25-7)0.61152-24-49-0
21. Wisconsin (24-8)0.60821-45-16-2
27. Michigan St (22-13)0.59843-66-14-4
31. Purdue (19-11)0.59193-33-45-3
41. Indiana (21-13)0.57821-64-38-2
54. Ohio St (17-14)0.56651-64-51-2
65. Michigan (17-13)0.55481-42-44-2
85. Minnesota (16-14)0.53921-42-52-3
117. Iowa (15-13)0.52121-31-42-6
171. Northwestern (12-17)0.48940-42-31-7
203. Penn St (7-21)0.47501-31-50-8


MOUNTAINWEST AVERAGE = 0.5524


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
15. Utah (24-8)0.61392-16-34-2
23. BYU (23-9)0.60590-52-27-1
42. Unlv (21-10)0.57802-50-05-3
64. Wyoming (19-10)0.55910-53-03-2
76. Colorado St (17-13)0.54542-31-52-2
101. San Diego St (14-13)0.52981-40-44-2
159. Air Force (12-16)0.49720-61-11-4
169. New Mexico (9-18)0.49031-40-41-4


PACIFIC TEN AVERAGE = 0.5480


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
5. Arizona (28-4)0.65114-27-12-0
22. Stanford (24-9)0.60723-26-22-2
33. Arizona St (19-12)0.58861-84-31-0
35. California (22-9)0.58681-63-12-0
50. Oregon (23-10)0.56942-42-41-0
119. USC (13-17)0.52011-54-50-2
138. UCLA (10-19)0.50741-61-61-3
160. Oregon St (12-15)0.49690-40-70-0
162. Washington (10-17)0.49461-31-71-0
236. Washington St (7-20)0.45780-40-71-1


CONFERENCE USA AVERAGE = 0.5428


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
7. Marquette (27-6)0.64416-42-09-1
11. Louisville (25-7)0.62482-14-49-2
30. Memphis (23-7)0.59253-21-13-2
36. Cincinnati (17-12)0.58582-51-25-3
59. St Louis (16-13)0.56242-43-23-2
63. DePaul (16-12)0.55911-43-32-4
88. Uab (18-12)0.53661-20-53-2
96. NC Charlotte (13-16)0.53190-42-34-6
127. South Florida (14-14)0.51690-21-34-3
144. Tulane (15-15)0.50480-30-43-3
150. SO Mississippi (13-16)0.50270-12-22-5
157. East Carolina (10-15)0.49881-30-30-6
200. TCU (9-19)0.47680-30-41-4
221. Houston (8-20)0.46250-10-41-6


ATLANTIC TEN AVERAGE = 0.5193


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
16. Dayton (24-6)0.61281-33-08-2
20. Xavier (26-6)0.60933-13-34-2
34. St Josephs (23-7)0.58690-32-18-1
87. Rhode Island (18-11)0.53760-41-11-4
91. Temple (15-15)0.53541-61-24-5
95. Richmond (15-13)0.53242-40-14-2
143. St Bonaventure (13-14)0.50500-30-44-4
165. Geo Washington (12-17)0.49280-71-11-3
182. La Salle (12-17)0.48580-40-30-6
212. Massachusetts (10-18)0.46730-40-42-5
247. Duquesne (9-21)0.45240-50-21-5
289. Fordham (2-26)0.41380-20-20-10


WEST COAST CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.5032


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
40. Gonzaga (24-9)0.58021-41-24-1
84. San Diego (17-12)0.53930-31-31-1
134. San Francisco (14-14)0.51021-00-40-6
139. Pepperdine (15-13)0.50690-20-32-1
141. St Marys CA (14-15)0.50650-20-31-3
209. Santa Clara (12-15)0.46900-00-32-2
229. Loyola Marymnt (11-19)0.46020-01-10-4
244. Portland (10-17)0.45360-01-30-3


MID-AMERICAN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.5023


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
37. Central Mich (24-7)0.58471-10-04-3
75. Kent (20-9)0.54670-02-12-1
83. Western Mich (19-10)0.53990-01-21-1
112. Northern Ill (17-14)0.52200-10-32-4
137. Ball St (13-17)0.50760-20-51-3
140. Ohio (14-16)0.50670-20-13-4
146. Miami Ohio (12-15)0.50381-11-41-2
164. Toledo (13-16)0.49320-11-21-3
170. Bowling Green (11-16)0.48950-00-31-5
183. Akron (13-14)0.48560-01-11-2
193. Marshall (13-15)0.47950-00-12-3
204. Eastern Mich (12-14)0.47340-01-11-3
303. Buffalo (5-23)0.39760-00-11-3


WESTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.5014


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
56. Tulsa (23-10)0.56531-20-18-2
68. Fresno St (20-8)0.55070-20-04-4
80. Hawaii (18-11)0.54130-01-06-5
99. Rice (17-10)0.53100-21-03-6
100. Nevada (17-13)0.53080-00-34-7
122. SMU (17-13)0.51950-10-26-6
179. Louisiana Tech (10-15)0.48670-20-14-7
191. Boise St (12-16)0.48020-00-12-9
295. San Jose St (5-21)0.40820-00-03-7
301. Texas El Paso (5-24)0.40000-00-10-11


HORIZON AVERAGE = 0.5009


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
28. Butler (26-6)0.59451-22-24-1
46. Wisc Milwaukee (23-8)0.57420-32-23-1
73. Illinois Chi (21-8)0.54770-02-50-0
114. Detroit (17-12)0.52170-00-52-4
158. Loyola Chi (15-16)0.49730-01-51-5
237. Wisc Green Bay (9-19)0.45770-21-41-2
238. Wright St (9-18)0.45660-00-40-3
268. Cleveland St (8-22)0.43710-00-60-4
280. Youngstown St (7-20)0.42180-00-40-3


MISSOURI VALLEY AVERAGE = 0.5003


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
25. Creighton (29-5)0.60182-12-21-0
38. Southern Ill (24-6)0.58411-21-01-3
118. SW Missouri St (17-12)0.52040-20-41-2
125. Wichita St (18-11)0.51891-30-20-1
153. Evansville (12-16)0.50051-20-33-0
195. Bradley (11-18)0.47930-21-40-1
223. Illinois St (8-21)0.46160-20-40-4
245. Northern Iowa (10-17)0.45340-30-20-1
261. Indiana St (7-24)0.44210-30-41-2
264. Drake (8-20)0.44120-20-30-2


SUN BELT AVERAGE = 0.4955


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
58. Western KY (23-9)0.56270-21-11-0
72. Ul Lafayette (19-9)0.54810-01-21-2
113. New Mexico St (19-9)0.52190-01-11-4
148. Middle Tenn St (14-14)0.50330-00-21-4
149. Arkansas Lr (16-12)0.50270-00-11-5
151. South Alabama (12-14)0.50190-20-21-2
174. Denver (17-15)0.48920-00-11-5
180. New Orleans (13-14)0.48620-10-10-4
222. Arkansas St (11-15)0.46190-00-01-3
257. North Texas (5-21)0.44610-01-30-3
272. Florida Intl (7-21)0.42610-00-10-5


METRO ATLANTIC ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.4912


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
53. Manhattan (23-7)0.56830-21-03-1
81. Fairfield (19-11)0.54080-10-02-4
109. Siena (19-10)0.52390-10-03-3
123. Niagara (17-12)0.51930-00-03-4
152. Iona (17-12)0.50120-00-03-5
177. Marist (13-16)0.48670-00-11-5
213. Rider (12-16)0.46720-00-11-3
231. St Peters (10-19)0.45970-10-11-4
246. Canisius (10-18)0.45340-20-10-4
307. Loyola MD (4-24)0.39170-00-10-4


COLONIAL AVERAGE = 0.4842


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
52. NC Wilmington (24-7)0.56850-10-24-1
86. Drexel (18-11)0.53780-00-11-4
115. George Mason (16-12)0.52150-10-23-1
121. VA Commonwealth (18-10)0.51970-00-02-6
155. Delaware (15-14)0.50020-00-11-5
199. Old Dominion (12-15)0.47740-10-13-3
233. James Madison (12-17)0.45900-00-00-5
255. Hofstra (8-21)0.44630-00-10-7
265. William & Mary (12-16)0.44060-00-00-4
315. Towson (4-24)0.37080-00-00-5


BIG SKY AVERAGE = 0.4785


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
44. Weber St (25-5)0.57641-20-01-1
116. Eastern Wash (17-12)0.52130-10-40-1
178. Idaho St (13-14)0.48670-10-20-3
211. Montana (12-16)0.46851-00-50-0
215. Northrn Arizona (13-13)0.46630-10-20-0
242. Montana St (9-16)0.45430-00-20-1
253. Sacramento St (11-17)0.44800-10-30-1
297. Portland St (4-21)0.40680-00-50-0


OHIO VALLEY AVERAGE = 0.4706


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
74. Austin Peay (20-8)0.54760-21-00-0
129. Tennessee Tech (17-12)0.51650-10-11-5
131. Morehead St (17-9)0.51380-00-20-3
136. Murray St (15-12)0.50800-00-31-3
186. Eastern Ill (13-15)0.48310-30-01-3
227. Tenn Martin (10-14)0.46050-00-12-2
270. SE Missouri St (9-19)0.43340-11-10-2
276. Eastern KY (7-17)0.42320-20-00-3
322. Tennessee St (1-24)0.34970-10-00-3


SOUTHERN AVERAGE = 0.4698


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
70. Coll Of Charltn (22-7)0.55071-00-02-2
107. Chattanooga (19-9)0.52620-01-12-2
120. East Tenn St (17-11)0.51970-10-02-4
154. Davidson (14-10)0.50050-20-01-3
161. Appalachian St (16-10)0.49580-20-01-2
214. Geo Southern (13-13)0.46640-00-01-4
226. Furman (11-17)0.46080-30-10-2
232. Wofford (10-15)0.45950-00-10-5
274. VMI (8-19)0.42500-00-00-3
287. NC Greensboro (6-22)0.41650-20-11-1
288. Westrn Carolina (6-18)0.41520-00-00-3
300. The Citadel (4-20)0.40130-00-10-3


BIG WEST AVERAGE = 0.4662


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
78. Utah St (22-9)0.54281-21-00-0
104. UC Irvine (19-9)0.52820-20-02-2
133. Santa Barbara (18-13)0.51300-10-21-1
188. Cal Poly (15-14)0.48280-00-10-3
206. Pacific (12-16)0.47000-01-12-3
219. CS Northridge (13-15)0.46260-00-21-2
251. Idaho (12-15)0.45040-00-01-1
257. North Texas (5-21)0.44610-01-30-3
271. CS Fullerton (10-19)0.43130-00-00-3
290. UC Riverside (5-18)0.41380-00-11-3
308. Long Beach St (4-22)0.38720-00-10-3


ATLANTICSUN AVERAGE = 0.4646


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
67. Troy St (25-6)0.55370-10-10-1
102. Mercer (22-6)0.52880-00-01-3
128. Central Florida (20-11)0.51660-00-02-2
142. Belmont (16-12)0.50510-20-10-3
176. Jacksonville St (19-10)0.48700-00-10-1
205. Samford (12-15)0.47320-00-00-4
216. Georgia St (13-15)0.46390-10-20-2
230. Jacksonville (12-16)0.45980-00-10-3
293. Fla Atlantic (6-21)0.41250-00-00-3
298. Stetson (6-20)0.40670-00-10-4
299. Gardner-Webb (4-24)0.40310-00-00-5
317. Campbell (4-22)0.36470-00-00-2


IVY LEAGUE AVERAGE = 0.4629


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
62. Pennsylvania (22-6)0.55930-10-22-2
145. Princeton (15-11)0.50400-20-02-3
147. Brown (17-11)0.50360-00-00-6
166. Yale (13-13)0.49260-30-02-4
207. Harvard (11-15)0.46990-00-11-4
291. Dartmouth (7-19)0.41300-00-00-3
292. Cornell (8-18)0.41290-10-00-3
325. Columbia (2-25)0.34800-00-00-3


SOUTHLAND AVERAGE = 0.4601


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
89. Sam Houston (21-7)0.53640-10-00-0
103. Stephen Austin (19-8)0.52880-10-01-2
175. Texas Arlington (14-13)0.48790-20-00-2
185. McNeese St (13-14)0.48400-10-21-3
198. SW Texas St (15-12)0.47780-00-01-1
241. Lamar (12-14)0.45440-00-00-3
252. SE Louisiana (9-16)0.44880-10-10-4
256. Tex San Antonio (9-17)0.44610-10-01-4
266. Ul Monroe (11-16)0.43920-00-01-2
304. Northwestern St (6-21)0.39640-10-00-2
318. Nicholls St (2-25)0.36140-00-20-3


NORTHEASTERN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.4573


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
98. Wagner (21-11)0.53160-20-10-0
194. Monmouth NJ (15-13)0.47940-00-10-4
210. Central Conn (15-13)0.46880-10-00-3
220. St Francis PA (14-14)0.46260-10-00-3
235. St Francis NY (14-16)0.45780-00-11-2
250. Fair Dickinson (15-14)0.45050-00-02-2
273. Liu Brooklyn (9-19)0.42570-00-01-2
281. Mt St Marys (11-16)0.42070-10-00-2
285. Robert Morris (9-17)0.41840-10-00-2


PATRIOT AVERAGE = 0.4567


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
60. Holy Cross (25-5)0.56220-21-00-0
167. American (16-14)0.49170-10-01-6
228. Lehigh (14-12)0.46040-10-00-3
234. Bucknell (13-15)0.45830-10-10-3
248. Colgate (12-14)0.45150-10-00-3
260. Lafayette (11-16)0.44290-00-10-4
286. Navy (7-19)0.41740-00-00-3
316. Army (3-22)0.36870-10-00-3


BIG SOUTH AVERAGE = 0.4539


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
168. NC Asheville (14-17)0.49120-40-10-2
181. Winthrop (18-10)0.48610-10-00-0
187. Birmingham Southern (17-9)0.48280-00-01-2
217. Charleston Sou (12-14)0.46370-10-01-3
239. Elon (10-15)0.45560-20-00-1
254. Coast Carolina (11-15)0.44680-10-00-1
258. Liberty (14-15)0.44540-00-00-1
283. Radford (10-20)0.41960-00-00-2
306. High Point (7-20)0.39380-10-00-1


MID-CONTINENT AVERAGE = 0.4527


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
97. Valparaiso (20-10)0.53190-31-31-0
156. Iupui (19-14)0.49960-30-01-5
172. Oral Roberts (17-10)0.48920-00-01-3
197. Oakland (15-11)0.47790-10-00-3
269. Mo Kansas City (9-20)0.43350-20-11-2
277. Southern Utah (9-17)0.42300-20-00-2
305. Western Ill (5-21)0.39480-10-00-3
314. Chicago St (3-27)0.37130-10-20-4


AMERICA EAST AVERAGE = 0.4522


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
124. Boston U (20-10)0.51910-20-21-0
135. Vermont (19-11)0.50800-10-00-3
163. Hartford (15-13)0.49360-20-00-1
208. Binghamton (14-13)0.46930-10-00-2
218. Maine (12-16)0.46360-00-20-1
224. Northeastern (14-15)0.46130-01-00-3
267. Stony Brook (11-15)0.43840-00-20-1
294. Albany NY (7-21)0.41160-20-00-0
309. New Hampshire (5-23)0.38620-10-00-0
315. Towson (4-24)0.37080-00-00-5


MID-EASTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.4265


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
173. SO Carolina St (20-11)0.48920-20-10-1
189. Hampton (19-11)0.48260-00-11-1
196. Florida A&M (17-12)0.47850-20-20-0
201. Delaware St (15-12)0.47570-20-11-0
243. Coppin St (11-17)0.45370-30-00-2
259. Howard (13-17)0.44310-00-10-2
282. Norfolk St (14-15)0.42040-10-00-2
311. Bethune Cookman (8-22)0.38270-20-00-2
320. Morgan St (7-22)0.35950-00-00-0
321. MD Eastrn Shore (5-23)0.35660-00-00-0
323. NO Carolina A&T (1-25)0.34910-20-00-2


SOUTHWESTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.4232


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
202. Prairie View (17-12)0.47570-10-10-3
225. Texas Southern (18-13)0.46110-10-00-1
240. Miss Valley St (14-13)0.45560-00-20-1
249. Alabama St (13-15)0.45110-00-10-2
263. Alcorn St (14-19)0.44150-10-00-1
275. Grambling (10-18)0.42340-10-20-2
279. Jackson St (10-18)0.42210-00-11-1
312. Ark Pine Bluff (4-24)0.37780-20-10-2
313. Alabama A&M (7-19)0.37500-00-10-2
324. Southern (7-20)0.34910-00-00-0


INDEPENDENTS AVERAGE = 0.3900


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
262. Texas A&M-CC (11-15)0.44210-10-10-4
278. Centenary (10-14)0.42230-10-10-3
310. TX Pan American (6-20)0.38440-00-10-3
319. Lipscomb (6-20)0.36030-00-00-2
327. Morris Brown (6-20)0.34110-00-10-0
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