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NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

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  Printable NCAA Bracket
2008 Printable NCAA Tournament Bracket

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Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)
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Games against non-D1 teams not considered in power rankings or predictions.

RPI

By division
Last Updated Mon Dec 08 11:51:32 EST 2003


Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
1. Kentucky (32-4)0.66097-29-18-1
2. Syracuse (30-5)0.65468-35-17-0
3. Oklahoma (27-7)0.65164-58-23-0
4. Kansas (28-8)0.65137-54-28-1
5. Arizona (28-4)0.65114-27-12-0
6. Texas (26-7)0.64706-55-23-0
7. Marquette (27-6)0.64416-42-09-1
8. Pittsburgh (28-5)0.63334-43-18-0
9. Georgia (19-8)0.62992-48-04-4
10. Notre Dame (24-10)0.62814-74-16-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
11. Louisville (25-7)0.62482-14-49-2
12. Duke (25-7)0.62422-23-114-4
13. Wake Forest (25-6)0.62422-21-213-2
14. Florida (25-8)0.61472-45-27-1
15. Utah (24-8)0.61392-16-34-2
16. Dayton (24-6)0.61281-33-08-2
17. Illinois (25-7)0.61152-24-49-0
18. Oklahoma St (21-10)0.61124-52-35-1
19. Missouri (21-11)0.61093-83-13-2
20. Xavier (26-6)0.60933-13-34-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
21. Wisconsin (24-8)0.60821-45-16-2
22. Stanford (24-9)0.60723-26-22-2
23. BYU (23-9)0.60590-52-27-1
24. Connecticut (23-10)0.60345-42-16-3
25. Creighton (29-5)0.60182-12-21-0
26. Mississippi St (21-10)0.59962-45-33-2
27. Michigan St (22-13)0.59843-66-14-4
28. Butler (26-6)0.59451-22-24-1
29. Auburn (21-12)0.59331-53-44-3
30. Memphis (23-7)0.59253-21-13-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
31. Purdue (19-11)0.59193-33-45-3
32. Maryland (21-10)0.59123-40-29-4
33. Arizona St (19-12)0.58861-84-31-0
34. St Josephs (23-7)0.58690-32-18-1
35. California (22-9)0.58681-63-12-0
36. Cincinnati (17-12)0.58582-51-25-3
37. Central Mich (24-7)0.58471-10-04-3
38. Southern Ill (24-6)0.58411-21-01-3
39. Seton Hall (17-12)0.58142-70-03-5
40. Gonzaga (24-9)0.58021-41-24-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
41. Indiana (21-13)0.57821-64-38-2
42. Unlv (21-10)0.57802-50-05-3
43. Boston College (18-11)0.57711-40-17-4
44. Weber St (25-5)0.57641-20-01-1
45. LSU (21-11)0.57422-33-53-1
46. Wisc Milwaukee (23-8)0.57420-32-23-1
47. Alabama (17-12)0.57382-43-44-2
48. Texas Tech (19-13)0.57362-81-05-3
49. Colorado (20-12)0.57284-50-26-2
50. Oregon (23-10)0.56942-42-41-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
51. North Carolina (17-15)0.56914-61-25-4
52. NC Wilmington (24-7)0.56850-10-24-1
53. Manhattan (23-7)0.56830-21-03-1
54. Ohio St (17-14)0.56651-64-51-2
55. Providence (16-13)0.56561-42-26-3
56. Tulsa (23-10)0.56531-20-18-2
57. North Carolina St (18-13)0.56372-40-58-3
58. Western KY (23-9)0.56270-21-11-0
59. St Louis (16-13)0.56242-43-23-2
60. Holy Cross (25-5)0.56220-21-00-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
61. Tennessee (17-11)0.56062-52-34-2
62. Pennsylvania (22-6)0.55930-10-22-2
63. DePaul (16-12)0.55911-43-32-4
64. Wyoming (19-10)0.55910-53-03-2
65. Michigan (17-13)0.55481-42-44-2
66. St Johns (18-13)0.55432-42-34-5
67. Troy St (25-6)0.55370-10-10-1
68. Fresno St (20-8)0.55070-20-04-4
69. Texas A&M (14-14)0.55071-72-22-1
70. Coll Of Charltn (22-7)0.55071-00-02-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
71. Villanova (15-15)0.55021-42-44-5
72. Ul Lafayette (19-9)0.54810-01-21-2
73. Illinois Chi (21-8)0.54770-02-50-0
74. Austin Peay (20-8)0.54760-21-00-0
75. Kent (20-9)0.54670-02-12-1
76. Colorado St (17-13)0.54542-31-52-2
77. Georgia Tech (14-14)0.54491-51-16-6
78. Utah St (22-9)0.54281-21-00-0
79. Virginia (14-15)0.54142-42-24-5
80. Hawaii (18-11)0.54130-01-06-5

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
81. Fairfield (19-11)0.54080-10-02-4
82. Florida St (14-15)0.54031-50-22-6
83. Western Mich (19-10)0.53990-01-21-1
84. San Diego (17-12)0.53930-31-31-1
85. Minnesota (16-14)0.53921-42-52-3
86. Drexel (18-11)0.53780-00-11-4
87. Rhode Island (18-11)0.53760-41-11-4
88. Uab (18-12)0.53661-20-53-2
89. Sam Houston (21-7)0.53640-10-00-0
90. South Carolina (12-16)0.53620-60-44-5

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
91. Temple (15-15)0.53541-61-24-5
92. Iowa St (15-13)0.53511-71-31-1
93. Georgetown (16-15)0.53480-80-24-3
94. Vanderbilt (11-18)0.53271-82-41-5
95. Richmond (15-13)0.53242-40-14-2
96. NC Charlotte (13-16)0.53190-42-34-6
97. Valparaiso (20-10)0.53190-31-31-0
98. Wagner (21-11)0.53160-20-10-0
99. Rice (17-10)0.53100-21-03-6
100. Nevada (17-13)0.53080-00-34-7

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
101. San Diego St (14-13)0.52981-40-44-2
102. Mercer (22-6)0.52880-00-01-3
103. Stephen Austin (19-8)0.52880-10-01-2
104. UC Irvine (19-9)0.52820-20-02-2
105. Mississippi (14-15)0.52750-32-82-3
106. West Virginia (14-15)0.52631-60-42-4
107. Chattanooga (19-9)0.52620-01-12-2
108. Clemson (15-13)0.52560-41-25-7
109. Siena (19-10)0.52390-10-03-3
110. Baylor (14-14)0.52331-71-31-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
111. Arkansas (9-19)0.52330-53-72-4
112. Northern Ill (17-14)0.52200-10-32-4
113. New Mexico St (19-9)0.52190-01-11-4
114. Detroit (17-12)0.52170-00-52-4
115. George Mason (16-12)0.52150-10-23-1
116. Eastern Wash (17-12)0.52130-10-40-1
117. Iowa (15-13)0.52121-31-42-6
118. SW Missouri St (17-12)0.52040-20-41-2
119. USC (13-17)0.52011-54-50-2
120. East Tenn St (17-11)0.51970-10-02-4

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
121. VA Commonwealth (18-10)0.51970-00-02-6
122. SMU (17-13)0.51950-10-26-6
123. Niagara (17-12)0.51930-00-03-4
124. Boston U (20-10)0.51910-20-21-0
125. Wichita St (18-11)0.51891-30-20-1
126. Rutgers (12-16)0.51882-51-32-5
127. South Florida (14-14)0.51690-21-34-3
128. Central Florida (20-11)0.51660-00-02-2
129. Tennessee Tech (17-12)0.51650-10-11-5
130. Kansas St (13-17)0.51470-82-23-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
131. Morehead St (17-9)0.51380-00-20-3
132. Nebraska (11-18)0.51330-91-32-2
133. Santa Barbara (18-13)0.51300-10-21-1
134. San Francisco (14-14)0.51021-00-40-6
135. Vermont (19-11)0.50800-10-00-3
136. Murray St (15-12)0.50800-00-31-3
137. Ball St (13-17)0.50760-20-51-3
138. UCLA (10-19)0.50741-61-61-3
139. Pepperdine (15-13)0.50690-20-32-1
140. Ohio (14-16)0.50670-20-13-4

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
141. St Marys CA (14-15)0.50650-20-31-3
142. Belmont (16-12)0.50510-20-10-3
143. St Bonaventure (13-14)0.50500-30-44-4
144. Tulane (15-15)0.50480-30-43-3
145. Princeton (15-11)0.50400-20-02-3
146. Miami Ohio (12-15)0.50381-11-41-2
147. Brown (17-11)0.50360-00-00-6
148. Middle Tenn St (14-14)0.50330-00-21-4
149. Arkansas Lr (16-12)0.50270-00-11-5
150. SO Mississippi (13-16)0.50270-12-22-5

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
151. South Alabama (12-14)0.50190-20-21-2
152. Iona (17-12)0.50120-00-03-5
153. Evansville (12-16)0.50051-20-33-0
154. Davidson (14-10)0.50050-20-01-3
155. Delaware (15-14)0.50020-00-11-5
156. Iupui (19-14)0.49960-30-01-5
157. East Carolina (10-15)0.49881-30-30-6
158. Loyola Chi (15-16)0.49730-01-51-5
159. Air Force (12-16)0.49720-61-11-4
160. Oregon St (12-15)0.49690-40-70-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
161. Appalachian St (16-10)0.49580-20-01-2
162. Washington (10-17)0.49461-31-71-0
163. Hartford (15-13)0.49360-20-00-1
164. Toledo (13-16)0.49320-11-21-3
165. Geo Washington (12-17)0.49280-71-11-3
166. Yale (13-13)0.49260-30-02-4
167. American (16-14)0.49170-10-01-6
168. NC Asheville (14-17)0.49120-40-10-2
169. New Mexico (9-18)0.49031-40-41-4
170. Bowling Green (11-16)0.48950-00-31-5

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
171. Northwestern (12-17)0.48940-42-31-7
172. Oral Roberts (17-10)0.48920-00-01-3
173. SO Carolina St (20-11)0.48920-20-10-1
174. Denver (17-15)0.48920-00-11-5
175. Texas Arlington (14-13)0.48790-20-00-2
176. Jacksonville St (19-10)0.48700-00-10-1
177. Marist (13-16)0.48670-00-11-5
178. Idaho St (13-14)0.48670-10-20-3
179. Louisiana Tech (10-15)0.48670-20-14-7
180. New Orleans (13-14)0.48620-10-10-4

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
181. Winthrop (18-10)0.48610-10-00-0
182. La Salle (12-17)0.48580-40-30-6
183. Akron (13-14)0.48560-01-11-2
184. Miami Fla (11-17)0.48541-30-43-8
185. McNeese St (13-14)0.48400-10-21-3
186. Eastern Ill (13-15)0.48310-30-01-3
187. Birmingham Southern (17-9)0.48280-00-01-2
188. Cal Poly (15-14)0.48280-00-10-3
189. Hampton (19-11)0.48260-00-11-1
190. Quinnipiac (16-12)0.48100-10-01-4

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
191. Boise St (12-16)0.48020-00-12-9
192. Virginia Tech (11-18)0.47981-30-25-6
193. Marshall (13-15)0.47950-00-12-3
194. Monmouth NJ (15-13)0.47940-00-10-4
195. Bradley (11-18)0.47930-21-40-1
196. Florida A&M (17-12)0.47850-20-20-0
197. Oakland (15-11)0.47790-10-00-3
198. SW Texas St (15-12)0.47780-00-01-1
199. Old Dominion (12-15)0.47740-10-13-3
200. TCU (9-19)0.47680-30-41-4

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
201. Delaware St (15-12)0.47570-20-11-0
202. Prairie View (17-12)0.47570-10-10-3
203. Penn St (7-21)0.47501-31-50-8
204. Eastern Mich (12-14)0.47340-01-11-3
205. Samford (12-15)0.47320-00-00-4
206. Pacific (12-16)0.47000-01-12-3
207. Harvard (11-15)0.46990-00-11-4
208. Binghamton (14-13)0.46930-10-00-2
209. Santa Clara (12-15)0.46900-00-32-2
210. Central Conn (15-13)0.46880-10-00-3

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
211. Montana (12-16)0.46851-00-50-0
212. Massachusetts (10-18)0.46730-40-42-5
213. Rider (12-16)0.46720-00-11-3
214. Geo Southern (13-13)0.46640-00-01-4
215. Northrn Arizona (13-13)0.46630-10-20-0
216. Georgia St (13-15)0.46390-10-20-2
217. Charleston Sou (12-14)0.46370-10-01-3
218. Maine (12-16)0.46360-00-20-1
219. CS Northridge (13-15)0.46260-00-21-2
220. St Francis PA (14-14)0.46260-10-00-3

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
221. Houston (8-20)0.46250-10-41-6
222. Arkansas St (11-15)0.46190-00-01-3
223. Illinois St (8-21)0.46160-20-40-4
224. Northeastern (14-15)0.46130-01-00-3
225. Texas Southern (18-13)0.46110-10-00-1
226. Furman (11-17)0.46080-30-10-2
227. Tenn Martin (10-14)0.46050-00-12-2
228. Lehigh (14-12)0.46040-10-00-3
229. Loyola Marymnt (11-19)0.46020-01-10-4
230. Jacksonville (12-16)0.45980-00-10-3

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
231. St Peters (10-19)0.45970-10-11-4
232. Wofford (10-15)0.45950-00-10-5
233. James Madison (12-17)0.45900-00-00-5
234. Bucknell (13-15)0.45830-10-10-3
235. St Francis NY (14-16)0.45780-00-11-2
236. Washington St (7-20)0.45780-40-71-1
237. Wisc Green Bay (9-19)0.45770-21-41-2
238. Wright St (9-18)0.45660-00-40-3
239. Elon (10-15)0.45560-20-00-1
240. Miss Valley St (14-13)0.45560-00-20-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
241. Lamar (12-14)0.45440-00-00-3
242. Montana St (9-16)0.45430-00-20-1
243. Coppin St (11-17)0.45370-30-00-2
244. Portland (10-17)0.45360-01-30-3
245. Northern Iowa (10-17)0.45340-30-20-1
246. Canisius (10-18)0.45340-20-10-4
247. Duquesne (9-21)0.45240-50-21-5
248. Colgate (12-14)0.45150-10-00-3
249. Alabama St (13-15)0.45110-00-10-2
250. Fair Dickinson (15-14)0.45050-00-02-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
251. Idaho (12-15)0.45040-00-01-1
252. SE Louisiana (9-16)0.44880-10-10-4
253. Sacramento St (11-17)0.44800-10-30-1
254. Coast Carolina (11-15)0.44680-10-00-1
255. Hofstra (8-21)0.44630-00-10-7
256. Tex San Antonio (9-17)0.44610-10-01-4
257. North Texas (5-21)0.44610-01-30-3
258. Liberty (14-15)0.44540-00-00-1
259. Howard (13-17)0.44310-00-10-2
260. Lafayette (11-16)0.44290-00-10-4

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
261. Indiana St (7-24)0.44210-30-41-2
262. Texas A&M-CC (11-15)0.44210-10-10-4
263. Alcorn St (14-19)0.44150-10-00-1
264. Drake (8-20)0.44120-20-30-2
265. William & Mary (12-16)0.44060-00-00-4
266. Ul Monroe (11-16)0.43920-00-01-2
267. Stony Brook (11-15)0.43840-00-20-1
268. Cleveland St (8-22)0.43710-00-60-4
269. Mo Kansas City (9-20)0.43350-20-11-2
270. SE Missouri St (9-19)0.43340-11-10-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
271. CS Fullerton (10-19)0.43130-00-00-3
272. Florida Intl (7-21)0.42610-00-10-5
273. Liu Brooklyn (9-19)0.42570-00-01-2
274. VMI (8-19)0.42500-00-00-3
275. Grambling (10-18)0.42340-10-20-2
276. Eastern KY (7-17)0.42320-20-00-3
277. Southern Utah (9-17)0.42300-20-00-2
278. Centenary (10-14)0.42230-10-10-3
279. Jackson St (10-18)0.42210-00-11-1
280. Youngstown St (7-20)0.42180-00-40-3

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
281. Mt St Marys (11-16)0.42070-10-00-2
282. Norfolk St (14-15)0.42040-10-00-2
283. Radford (10-20)0.41960-00-00-2
284. IPFW (9-20)0.41940-10-20-3
285. Robert Morris (9-17)0.41840-10-00-2
286. Navy (7-19)0.41740-00-00-3
287. NC Greensboro (6-22)0.41650-20-11-1
288. Westrn Carolina (6-18)0.41520-00-00-3
289. Fordham (2-26)0.41380-20-20-10
290. UC Riverside (5-18)0.41380-00-11-3

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
291. Dartmouth (7-19)0.41300-00-00-3
292. Cornell (8-18)0.41290-10-00-3
293. Fla Atlantic (6-21)0.41250-00-00-3
294. Albany NY (7-21)0.41160-20-00-0
295. San Jose St (5-21)0.40820-00-03-7
296. Sacred Heart (7-21)0.40740-10-00-4
297. Portland St (4-21)0.40680-00-50-0
298. Stetson (6-20)0.40670-00-10-4
299. Gardner-Webb (4-24)0.40310-00-00-5
300. The Citadel (4-20)0.40130-00-10-3

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
301. Texas El Paso (5-24)0.40000-00-10-11
302. Umbc (7-20)0.39790-00-10-3
303. Buffalo (5-23)0.39760-00-11-3
304. Northwestern St (6-21)0.39640-10-00-2
305. Western Ill (5-21)0.39480-10-00-3
306. High Point (7-20)0.39380-10-00-1
307. Loyola MD (4-24)0.39170-00-10-4
308. Long Beach St (4-22)0.38720-00-10-3
309. New Hampshire (5-23)0.38620-10-00-0
310. TX Pan American (6-20)0.38440-00-10-3

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
311. Bethune Cookman (8-22)0.38270-20-00-2
312. Ark Pine Bluff (4-24)0.37780-20-10-2
313. Alabama A&M (7-19)0.37500-00-10-2
314. Chicago St (3-27)0.37130-10-20-4
315. Towson (4-24)0.37080-00-00-5
316. Army (3-22)0.36870-10-00-3
317. Campbell (4-22)0.36470-00-00-2
318. Nicholls St (2-25)0.36140-00-20-3
319. Lipscomb (6-20)0.36030-00-00-2
320. Morgan St (7-22)0.35950-00-00-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
321. MD Eastrn Shore (5-23)0.35660-00-00-0
322. Tennessee St (1-24)0.34970-10-00-3
323. NO Carolina A&T (1-25)0.34910-20-00-2
324. Southern (7-20)0.34910-00-00-0
325. Columbia (2-25)0.34800-00-00-3
326. Savannah St (3-24)0.34680-00-00-3
327. Morris Brown (6-20)0.34110-00-10-0
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