NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

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  Printable NCAA Bracket
2008 Printable NCAA Tournament Bracket

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Games against non-D1 teams not considered in power rankings or predictions.

Conference RPI Strength of Schedule

By ranking
Last Updated Mon Dec 08 11:51:37 EST 2003


SOUTHEASTERN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.5717


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
2. Georgia (19-8)0.6053
7. Arkansas (9-19)0.5906
13. Kentucky (32-4)0.5849
14. Vanderbilt (11-18)0.5839
18. Auburn (21-12)0.5789
21. Mississippi St (21-10)0.5737
25. South Carolina (12-16)0.5721
28. Alabama (17-12)0.5696
33. Florida (25-8)0.5671
59. LSU (21-11)0.5469
62. Tennessee (17-11)0.5451
65. Mississippi (14-15)0.5425


BIG TWELVE AVERAGE = 0.5712


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
1. Kansas (28-8)0.6092
3. Oklahoma (27-7)0.6042
5. Texas (26-7)0.6001
6. Missouri (21-11)0.5958
8. Oklahoma St (21-10)0.5891
31. Texas A&M (14-14)0.5676
35. Texas Tech (19-13)0.5668
49. Nebraska (11-18)0.5580
50. Colorado (20-12)0.5554
66. Kansas St (13-17)0.5418
73. Iowa St (15-13)0.5349
80. Baylor (14-14)0.5311


ATLANTIC COAST CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.5600


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
15. North Carolina (17-15)0.5818
26. Duke (25-7)0.5719
38. Wake Forest (25-6)0.5635
40. Maryland (21-10)0.5625
44. Virginia (14-15)0.5610
45. Georgia Tech (14-14)0.5599
47. Florida St (14-15)0.5596
48. North Carolina St (18-13)0.5581
93. Clemson (15-13)0.5222


BIG EAST AVERAGE = 0.5578


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
4. Notre Dame (24-10)0.6023
10. Syracuse (30-5)0.5871
17. Seton Hall (17-12)0.5798
24. Connecticut (23-10)0.5722
27. Providence (16-13)0.5703
34. Villanova (15-15)0.5669
39. Boston College (18-11)0.5626
41. Pittsburgh (28-5)0.5616
57. Rutgers (12-16)0.5489
61. St Johns (18-13)0.5456
69. Georgetown (16-15)0.5410
70. West Virginia (14-15)0.5409
107. Miami Fla (11-17)0.5163
117. Virginia Tech (11-18)0.5134


BIG TEN AVERAGE = 0.5539


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
9. Michigan St (22-13)0.5883
19. Purdue (19-11)0.5781
23. Ohio St (17-14)0.5725
37. Indiana (21-13)0.5650
43. Wisconsin (24-8)0.5610
52. Illinois (25-7)0.5549
53. Michigan (17-13)0.5509
55. Penn St (7-21)0.5500
68. Minnesota (16-14)0.5411
106. Iowa (15-13)0.5164
112. Northwestern (12-17)0.5147


PACIFIC TEN AVERAGE = 0.5482


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
16. Arizona St (19-12)0.5806
20. Arizona (28-4)0.5765
32. Stanford (24-9)0.5672
42. UCLA (10-19)0.5616
56. USC (13-17)0.5491
60. California (22-9)0.5459
72. Washington (10-17)0.5360
86. Oregon (23-10)0.5269
88. Washington St (7-20)0.5240
114. Oregon St (12-15)0.5144


CONFERENCE USA AVERAGE = 0.5433


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
11. Marquette (27-6)0.5861
12. Cincinnati (17-12)0.5857
22. Louisville (25-7)0.5727
36. St Louis (16-13)0.5660
46. NC Charlotte (13-16)0.5598
51. DePaul (16-12)0.5550
74. Memphis (23-7)0.5344
77. East Carolina (10-15)0.5317
82. TCU (9-19)0.5287
92. South Florida (14-14)0.5225
96. Houston (8-20)0.5214
98. SO Mississippi (13-16)0.5208
109. Uab (18-12)0.5155
128. Tulane (15-15)0.5065


MOUNTAINWEST AVERAGE = 0.5429


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
29. Utah (24-8)0.5686
30. BYU (23-9)0.5683
63. Unlv (21-10)0.5449
64. New Mexico (9-18)0.5426
71. Colorado St (17-13)0.5383
75. San Diego St (14-13)0.5336
84. Wyoming (19-10)0.5270
99. Air Force (12-16)0.5201


ATLANTIC TEN AVERAGE = 0.5237


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
54. Dayton (24-6)0.5504
58. Temple (15-15)0.5472
67. Xavier (26-6)0.5415
78. Richmond (15-13)0.5313
83. Fordham (2-26)0.5279
85. St Josephs (23-7)0.5270
101. Geo Washington (12-17)0.5192
119. St Bonaventure (13-14)0.5129
124. Rhode Island (18-11)0.5100
126. La Salle (12-17)0.5098
133. Massachusetts (10-18)0.5041
135. Duquesne (9-21)0.5033


MISSOURI VALLEY AVERAGE = 0.5063


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
87. Evansville (12-16)0.5245
91. Illinois St (8-21)0.5236
104. Creighton (29-5)0.5181
115. Indiana St (7-24)0.5142
120. Bradley (11-18)0.5127
121. Southern Ill (24-6)0.5121
146. SW Missouri St (17-12)0.4985
157. Drake (8-20)0.4931
179. Wichita St (18-11)0.4850
192. Northern Iowa (10-17)0.4811


MID-AMERICAN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.5043


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
76. Ball St (13-17)0.5323
90. Miami Ohio (12-15)0.5236
95. Central Mich (24-7)0.5216
100. Ohio (14-16)0.5200
105. Bowling Green (11-16)0.5169
118. Northern Ill (17-14)0.5132
127. Toledo (13-16)0.5082
140. Western Mich (19-10)0.5014
145. Kent (20-9)0.4991
174. Akron (13-14)0.4870
182. Marshall (13-15)0.4846
208. Eastern Mich (12-14)0.4774
230. Buffalo (5-23)0.4707


WEST COAST CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.5038


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
79. Gonzaga (24-9)0.5311
89. San Diego (17-12)0.5237
113. St Marys CA (14-15)0.5145
116. San Francisco (14-14)0.5136
151. Pepperdine (15-13)0.4973
160. Loyola Marymnt (11-19)0.4914
191. Portland (10-17)0.4814
209. Santa Clara (12-15)0.4772


WESTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.5022


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
97. Tulsa (23-10)0.5214
102. Nevada (17-13)0.5189
108. Louisiana Tech (10-15)0.5156
111. Hawaii (18-11)0.5149
134. SMU (17-13)0.5038
147. Rice (17-10)0.4981
150. Boise St (12-16)0.4974
153. Fresno St (20-8)0.4962
193. San Jose St (5-21)0.4802
212. Texas El Paso (5-24)0.4759


HORIZON AVERAGE = 0.5002


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
94. Butler (26-6)0.5219
103. Wisc Milwaukee (23-8)0.5183
136. Wisc Green Bay (9-19)0.5032
139. Loyola Chi (15-16)0.5017
141. Detroit (17-12)0.5002
149. Wright St (9-18)0.4977
155. Cleveland St (8-22)0.4939
169. Illinois Chi (21-8)0.4889
210. Youngstown St (7-20)0.4760


SUN BELT AVERAGE = 0.4944


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
81. North Texas (5-21)0.5307
110. South Alabama (12-14)0.5153
122. Western KY (23-9)0.5107
130. Ul Lafayette (19-9)0.5047
131. Middle Tenn St (14-14)0.5045
172. New Orleans (13-14)0.4878
181. Florida Intl (7-21)0.4849
196. Arkansas Lr (16-12)0.4798
216. Denver (17-15)0.4752
217. Arkansas St (11-15)0.4748
235. New Mexico St (19-9)0.4696


METRO ATLANTIC ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.4900


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
125. Fairfield (19-11)0.5100
138. Manhattan (23-7)0.5022
144. Marist (13-16)0.4996
148. St Peters (10-19)0.4980
152. Niagara (17-12)0.4971
178. Canisius (10-18)0.4855
194. Siena (19-10)0.4801
195. Rider (12-16)0.4801
218. Loyola MD (4-24)0.4747
226. Iona (17-12)0.4728


COLONIAL AVERAGE = 0.4845


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
123. Drexel (18-11)0.5102
129. George Mason (16-12)0.5049
137. Hofstra (8-21)0.5031
142. NC Wilmington (24-7)0.4999
154. Delaware (15-14)0.4946
171. Old Dominion (12-15)0.4884
203. VA Commonwealth (18-10)0.4786
222. James Madison (12-17)0.4741
288. Towson (4-24)0.4468
294. William & Mary (12-16)0.4447


BIG SKY AVERAGE = 0.4821


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
143. Eastern Wash (17-12)0.4997
161. Weber St (25-5)0.4908
168. Portland St (4-21)0.4890
170. Idaho St (13-14)0.4885
176. Montana St (9-16)0.4858
189. Montana (12-16)0.4818
242. Sacramento St (11-17)0.4664
265. Northrn Arizona (13-13)0.4550


BIG WEST AVERAGE = 0.4782


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
81. North Texas (5-21)0.5307
163. Santa Barbara (18-13)0.4905
173. Utah St (22-9)0.4872
185. Pacific (12-16)0.4838
202. UC Riverside (5-18)0.4792
205. UC Irvine (19-9)0.4782
228. Cal Poly (15-14)0.4713
247. Long Beach St (4-22)0.4649
251. CS Northridge (13-15)0.4621
256. CS Fullerton (10-19)0.4602
274. Idaho (12-15)0.4524


OHIO VALLEY AVERAGE = 0.4778


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
156. Tennessee Tech (17-12)0.4933
158. Murray St (15-12)0.4922
159. Austin Peay (20-8)0.4920
167. Eastern Ill (13-15)0.4893
215. Tenn Martin (10-14)0.4752
229. SE Missouri St (9-19)0.4707
239. Morehead St (17-9)0.4672
240. Eastern KY (7-17)0.4671
271. Tennessee St (1-24)0.4530


SOUTHERN AVERAGE = 0.4747


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
162. East Tenn St (17-11)0.4906
183. NC Greensboro (6-22)0.4839
186. Furman (11-17)0.4834
190. Coll Of Charltn (22-7)0.4814
199. The Citadel (4-20)0.4796
201. Wofford (10-15)0.4794
213. Chattanooga (19-9)0.4754
225. Davidson (14-10)0.4729
232. Westrn Carolina (6-18)0.4703
238. VMI (8-19)0.4679
261. Appalachian St (16-10)0.4560
264. Geo Southern (13-13)0.4553


IVY LEAGUE AVERAGE = 0.4696


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
164. Yale (13-13)0.4902
177. Harvard (11-15)0.4856
184. Pennsylvania (22-6)0.4838
197. Princeton (15-11)0.4798
237. Brown (17-11)0.4691
253. Dartmouth (7-19)0.4609
286. Cornell (8-18)0.4480
302. Columbia (2-25)0.4393


SOUTHLAND AVERAGE = 0.4656


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
180. McNeese St (13-14)0.4849
200. Tex San Antonio (9-17)0.4795
204. SE Louisiana (9-16)0.4784
207. Texas Arlington (14-13)0.4777
231. Stephen Austin (19-8)0.4705
246. Sam Houston (21-7)0.4652
258. Nicholls St (2-25)0.4572
269. Northwestern St (6-21)0.4544
275. Lamar (12-14)0.4520
276. SW Texas St (15-12)0.4520
280. Ul Monroe (11-16)0.4498


ATLANTICSUN AVERAGE = 0.4653


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
166. Gardner-Webb (4-24)0.4898
187. Belmont (16-12)0.4830
188. Samford (12-15)0.4828
211. Fla Atlantic (6-21)0.4759
224. Central Florida (20-11)0.4738
233. Jacksonville (12-16)0.4702
236. Troy St (25-6)0.4695
245. Stetson (6-20)0.4653
249. Georgia St (13-15)0.4638
298. Mercer (22-6)0.4432
307. Campbell (4-22)0.4350
313. Jacksonville St (19-10)0.4310


MID-CONTINENT AVERAGE = 0.4620


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
175. Valparaiso (20-10)0.4870
219. Mo Kansas City (9-20)0.4746
221. Iupui (19-14)0.4742
250. Western Ill (5-21)0.4624
252. Chicago St (3-27)0.4617
282. Southern Utah (9-17)0.4487
293. Oakland (15-11)0.4450
301. Oral Roberts (17-10)0.4424


AMERICA EAST AVERAGE = 0.4610


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
198. Hartford (15-13)0.4796
214. Maine (12-16)0.4754
234. Boston U (20-10)0.4700
243. Vermont (19-11)0.4663
244. Albany NY (7-21)0.4655
263. New Hampshire (5-23)0.4555
270. Northeastern (14-15)0.4541
272. Binghamton (14-13)0.4529
288. Towson (4-24)0.4468
297. Stony Brook (11-15)0.4435


PATRIOT AVERAGE = 0.4577


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
206. American (16-14)0.4779
227. Holy Cross (25-5)0.4719
241. Navy (7-19)0.4668
259. Bucknell (13-15)0.4563
267. Lafayette (11-16)0.4547
277. Army (3-22)0.4517
285. Colgate (12-14)0.4482
309. Lehigh (14-12)0.4344


BIG SOUTH AVERAGE = 0.4531


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
132. NC Asheville (14-17)0.5044
220. Elon (10-15)0.4742
248. Charleston Sou (12-14)0.4645
268. Coast Carolina (11-15)0.4547
284. Radford (10-20)0.4484
304. High Point (7-20)0.4387
310. Winthrop (18-10)0.4339
311. Liberty (14-15)0.4330
315. Birmingham Southern (17-9)0.4258


NORTHEASTERN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.4510


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
165. Wagner (21-11)0.4900
254. Monmouth NJ (15-13)0.4607
255. Liu Brooklyn (9-19)0.4605
266. St Francis NY (14-16)0.4549
279. St Francis PA (14-14)0.4502
290. Central Conn (15-13)0.4465
300. Robert Morris (9-17)0.4425
314. Fair Dickinson (15-14)0.4283
317. Mt St Marys (11-16)0.4252


MID-EASTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.4336


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
223. Coppin St (11-17)0.4740
273. NO Carolina A&T (1-25)0.4527
281. Delaware St (15-12)0.4491
291. Howard (13-17)0.4464
299. Florida A&M (17-12)0.4426
305. SO Carolina St (20-11)0.4372
312. Hampton (19-11)0.4324
319. Bethune Cookman (8-22)0.4214
321. MD Eastrn Shore (5-23)0.4160
324. Norfolk St (14-15)0.3996
325. Morgan St (7-22)0.3989


SOUTHWESTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.4323


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
260. Ark Pine Bluff (4-24)0.4561
287. Alcorn St (14-19)0.4473
289. Alabama St (13-15)0.4467
292. Grambling (10-18)0.4455
296. Jackson St (10-18)0.4438
303. Prairie View (17-12)0.4389
308. Miss Valley St (14-13)0.4346
320. Texas Southern (18-13)0.4212
322. Alabama A&M (7-19)0.4102
326. Southern (7-20)0.3790


INDEPENDENTS AVERAGE = 0.4179


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
283. Texas A&M-CC (11-15)0.4484
306. TX Pan American (6-20)0.4357
318. Centenary (10-14)0.4241
323. Lipscomb (6-20)0.4034
327. Morris Brown (6-20)0.3779
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