NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

Read the full article -- No comments »

Printable NCAA Bracket

Recent Articles: Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2) Wall St. Journal Competition Results Strategies on filling out that NCAA Tournament Bracket — SmartStats and BracketBrains NCAA Basketball Coaches Gone Wild (1 of 2) Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (1 of 2) 2008 Conference Tournaments: Brackets & Odds March Madness Performance: 2 Myths Dispelled Spreading the Nerd Word

CLEVELAND ST
Predictions for Future Games
Scores & Results
RPI Breakdown

Record: 8-22
Power Rating: 69.983
Ranking: 238

0-3 v #1-25
0-3 v #26-50
0-6 v #51-100
2-6 v #101-200
6-4 v #201-327

Home Ratings (5-8): 70.577 (219) 0-1 v #1-25 0-2 v #26-50 0-3 v #51-100 1-2 v #101-200 4-0 v #201-327 League Power Rankings: 3-5 71.405 Non-League Power Ratings: 2-3 70.795 Last Ten Ratings: 1-3 72.389

Away Ratings (2-12): 70.452 (237)
0-2 v #1-25
0-1 v #26-50
0-3 v #51-100
1-3 v #101-200
1-3 v #201-327
League Power Rankings: 0-9 68.983
Non-League Power Ratings: 2-3 77.170
Last Ten Ratings: 0-6 65.170

Neutral Ratings (1-2): 66.389 (238) 0-0 v #1-25 0-0 v #26-50 0-0 v #51-100 0-1 v #101-200 1-1 v #201-327 League Power Rankings: 0-0 69.983 Non-League Power Ratings: 1-2 67.733 Last Ten Ratings: 0-0 69.983

League Power Rankings (3-14): 68.413 (257)
0-2 v #1-25
0-2 v #26-50
0-4 v #51-100
0-3 v #101-200
3-3 v #201-327
Home Ratings: 3-5 71.405
Away Ratings: 0-9 68.983
Neutral Ratings: 0-0 69.983
Last Ten Ratings: 1-9 69.436

Non-League Power Ratings (5-8): 72.163 (210) 0-1 v #1-25 0-1 v #26-50 0-2 v #51-100 2-3 v #101-200 3-1 v #201-327 Home Ratings: 2-3 70.795 Away Ratings: 2-3 77.170 Neutral Ratings: 1-2 67.733 Last Ten Ratings: 0-0 69.983

Wins Power Rankings: 69.081 (235)
0-2 v #1-25
0-6 v #26-50
0-4 v #51-100
2-6 v #101-200
6-4 v #201-327
Home Ratings: 5-8 69.604
Away Ratings: 2-12 70.034
Neutral Ratings: 1-2 64.706
Last Ten Ratings: 1-9 64.393

Rankings: Points: 71.143 (237) 0-1 v #1-25 0-5 v #26-50 0-7 v #51-100 3-5 v #101-200 5-4 v #201-327 Home Ratings: 5-8 71.713 Away Ratings: 2-12 71.221 Neutral Ratings: 1-2 68.549 League Power Rankings: 3-14 70.377 Non-League Power Ratings: 5-8 72.284 Last Ten Ratings: 1-9 69.127

Last Ten Ratings (1-9): 66.608 (273)
0-2 v #1-25
0-2 v #26-50
0-1 v #51-100
0-2 v #101-200
1-2 v #201-327
Home Ratings: 1-3 72.389
Away Ratings: 0-6 65.170
Neutral Ratings: 0-0 69.983
League Power Rankings: 1-9 69.436
Non-League Power Ratings: 0-0 69.983

Home Advantage: 4.7984 (135)

Difficulty of Schedule for a Top Five Team: 0.0606 (108)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #15 team: 0.1838 (109)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #45 team: 0.3091 (108)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #100 team: 0.4324 (110)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #150 team: 0.5909 (109)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #270 team: 0.8414 (108)

Upward Stability: 1.1180 (174)

Downward Stability: 0.8717 (286)

RPI
RPI: 0.4371 (268)
0-0 v #1-25
0-6 v #26-50
0-4 v #51-100
2-8 v #101-200
6-4 v #201-327

RPI Home (5-8): 0.4857 (239) 0-2 v #1-25 0-1 v #26-50 0-2 v #51-100 3-3 v #101-200 2-0 v #201-327

RPI Away (2-12): 0.4096 (257)
0-0 v #1-25
0-3 v #26-50
0-2 v #51-100
2-4 v #101-200
0-3 v #201-327

RPI Neutral (1-2): 0.3538 (247) 0-0 v #1-25 0-0 v #26-50 0-0 v #51-100 0-2 v #101-200 1-0 v #201-327

RPI League (3-14): 0.4201 (282)
0-2 v #1-25
0-2 v #26-50
0-2 v #51-100
0-5 v #101-200
3-3 v #201-327

RPI Non-League (5-8): 0.4581 (222) 0-0 v #1-25 0-3 v #26-50 0-0 v #51-100 2-3 v #101-200 3-2 v #201-327

RPI Strength of Schedule: 0.4939 (155)



GAMES

Date	Site	Score	Opponent
11/16/2002	Neut	L 66-71	vs. #285 Fla Atlantic
11/18/2002	Neut	W 78-71	vs. #262 IPFW
11/19/2002	Away	L 63-77	vs. #83 Colorado St
11/27/2002	Away	W 74-67	vs. #218 Duquesne
11/30/2002	Home	L 64-73	vs. #31 California
12/4/2002	Away	W 68-65	vs. #167 Akron
12/6/2002	Home	W 81-61	vs. #321 MD Eastrn Shore
12/8/2002	Away	L 47-79	vs. #23 Michigan St
12/14/2002	Home	L 68-91	vs. #74 Kent
12/18/2002	Home	L 74-90	vs. #148 Iupui
12/21/2002	Home	W 70-56	vs. #141 Boston U
12/28/2002	Neut	L 72-80	vs. #158 Bowling Green
1/2/2003	Home	W 66-55	vs. #215 Wisc Green Bay
1/4/2003	Home	L 58-70	vs. #42 Wisc Milwaukee
1/9/2003	Away	L 55-57	vs. #243 Youngstown St
1/11/2003	Home	W 55-52	vs. #211 Wright St
1/16/2003	Away	L 63-69	vs. #53 Illinois Chi
1/18/2003	Away	L 65-77	vs. #125 Loyola Chi
1/25/2003	Home	L 51-70	vs. #81 Detroit
1/28/2003	Away	L 67-81	vs. #105 St Bonaventure
2/1/2003	Away	L 57-73	vs. #20 Butler
2/6/2003	Away	L 56-89	vs. #215 Wisc Green Bay
2/8/2003	Away	L 69-86	vs. #42 Wisc Milwaukee
2/13/2003	Home	W 86-76	vs. #243 Youngstown St
2/15/2003	Away	L 63-76	vs. #211 Wright St
2/20/2003	Home	L 74-87	vs. #53 Illinois Chi
2/22/2003	Home	L 72-77	vs. #125 Loyola Chi
2/24/2003	Home	L 75-79	vs. #20 Butler
3/1/2003	Away	L 55-72	vs. #81 Detroit
3/4/2003	Away	L 57-69	vs. #125 Loyola Chi

FUTURE GAMES

Date

Site

Win Probability

Margin

Opponent

Opp. Rating

(Opp. Specific Rating)