NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

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Printable NCAA Bracket

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Games against non-D1 teams not considered in power rankings or predictions.

CORNELL
Predictions for Future Games
Scores & Results
RPI Breakdown

Record: 8-18
Power Rating: 65.606
Ranking: 287

0-1 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
0-3 v #51-100
0-8 v #101-200
8-6 v #201-327

Home Ratings (4-7): 62.793 (300)
0-0 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
0-1 v #51-100
0-4 v #101-200
4-2 v #201-327
League Power Rankings: 2-5 61.559
Non-League Power Ratings: 2-2 63.387
Last Ten Ratings: 1-3 62.824

Away Ratings (4-11): 68.668 (254)
0-1 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
0-2 v #51-100
0-4 v #101-200
4-4 v #201-327
League Power Rankings: 2-5 69.621
Non-League Power Ratings: 2-6 69.059
Last Ten Ratings: 1-5 70.887

Neutral Ratings (0-0): 65.606 (244)
0-0 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
0-0 v #51-100
0-0 v #101-200
0-0 v #201-327
League Power Rankings: 0-0 65.606
Non-League Power Ratings: 0-0 65.606
Last Ten Ratings: 0-0 65.606

League Power Rankings (4-10): 64.832 (291)
0-0 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
0-2 v #51-100
0-6 v #101-200
4-2 v #201-327
Home Ratings: 2-5 61.559
Away Ratings: 2-5 69.621
Neutral Ratings: 0-0 65.606
Last Ten Ratings: 2-8 67.168

Non-League Power Ratings (4-8): 66.590 (272)
0-1 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
0-1 v #51-100
0-2 v #101-200
4-4 v #201-327
Home Ratings: 2-2 63.387
Away Ratings: 2-6 69.059
Neutral Ratings: 0-0 65.606
Last Ten Ratings: 0-0 65.606

Wins Power Rankings: 63.988 (286)
0-1 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
0-3 v #51-100
0-8 v #101-200
8-6 v #201-327
Home Ratings: 4-7 60.848
Away Ratings: 4-11 67.582
Neutral Ratings: 0-0 63.988
Last Ten Ratings: 2-8 63.488

Rankings: Points: 67.520 (293)
0-1 v #1-25
0-1 v #26-50
0-2 v #51-100
0-8 v #101-200
8-6 v #201-327
Home Ratings: 4-7 64.957
Away Ratings: 4-11 70.184
Neutral Ratings: 0-0 67.520
League Power Rankings: 4-10 67.152
Non-League Power Ratings: 4-8 68.004
Last Ten Ratings: 2-8 68.348

Last Ten Ratings (2-8): 65.668 (282)
0-0 v #1-25
0-2 v #26-50
0-1 v #51-100
0-3 v #101-200
2-2 v #201-327
Home Ratings: 1-3 62.824
Away Ratings: 1-5 70.887
Neutral Ratings: 0-0 65.606
League Power Rankings: 2-8 67.168
Non-League Power Ratings: 0-0 65.606

Home Advantage: -1.918 (290)

Difficulty of Schedule for a Top Five Team: 0.0412 (174)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #15 team: 0.1149 (206)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #45 team: 0.1981 (220)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #100 team: 0.2871 (231)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #150 team: 0.4224 (240)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #270 team: 0.7095 (245)

Upward Stability: 0.9863 (266)

Downward Stability: 0.8310 (292)

RPI
RPI: 0.4129 (292)
0-1 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
0-3 v #51-100
0-8 v #101-200
8-6 v #201-327

RPI Home (4-7): 0.4243 (297)
0-0 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
0-1 v #51-100
0-2 v #101-200
4-4 v #201-327

RPI Away (4-11): 0.4047 (263)
0-1 v #1-25
0-1 v #26-50
0-2 v #51-100
1-5 v #101-200
3-2 v #201-327

RPI Neutral (0-0): 0.4129 (220)
0-0 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
0-0 v #51-100
0-0 v #101-200
0-0 v #201-327

RPI League (4-10): 0.4094 (294)
0-0 v #1-25
0-2 v #26-50
0-2 v #51-100
0-4 v #101-200
4-2 v #201-327

RPI Non-League (4-8): 0.4168 (275)
0-1 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
0-1 v #51-100
0-2 v #101-200
4-4 v #201-327

RPI Strength of Schedule: 0.4480 (286)

GAMES

Date	Site	Score	Opponent
11/22/2002	Away	W 78-72	vs. #266 Buffalo
11/26/2002	Away	L 58-76	vs. #241 Colgate
12/4/2002	Away	L 49-66	vs. #232 Lehigh
12/6/2002	Away	L 62-85	vs. #2 Syracuse
12/8/2002	Home	L 62-78	vs. #308 New Hampshire
12/28/2002	Away	L 59-73	vs. #170 La Salle
12/30/2002	Away	L 61-64	vs. #256 St Francis PA
1/3/2003	Away	W 69-50	vs. #318 Army
1/5/2003	Home	W 80-73	vs. #258 Lafayette
1/8/2003	Away	L 55-81	vs. #63 Georgia Tech
1/13/2003	Home	L 52-66	vs. #161 Vermont
1/18/2003	Home	W 51-38	vs. #323 Columbia
1/21/2003	Home	W 64-60	vs. #235 Bucknell
1/25/2003	Away	W 55-53	vs. #323 Columbia
1/31/2003	Home	L 54-70	vs. #134 Brown
2/1/2003	Home	L 47-76	vs. #175 Yale
2/7/2003	Home	L 67-70	vs. #51 Pennsylvania
2/8/2003	Home	L 49-67	vs. #152 Princeton
2/14/2003	Away	L 56-65	vs. #293 Dartmouth
2/15/2003	Away	W 82-69	vs. #236 Harvard
2/21/2003	Away	L 52-70	vs. #175 Yale
2/22/2003	Away	L 62-70	vs. #134 Brown
2/28/2003	Home	W 68-63	vs. #236 Harvard
3/1/2003	Home	L 53-70	vs. #293 Dartmouth
3/7/2003	Away	L 61-71	vs. #152 Princeton
3/8/2003	Away	L 52-69	vs. #51 Pennsylvania

FUTURE GAMES

Date

Site

Win Probability

Margin

Opponent

Opp. Rating

(Opp. Specific Rating)