NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

Read the full article -- No comments »

Printable NCAA Bracket

Recent Articles: Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2) Wall St. Journal Competition Results Strategies on filling out that NCAA Tournament Bracket — SmartStats and BracketBrains NCAA Basketball Coaches Gone Wild (1 of 2) Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (1 of 2) 2008 Conference Tournaments: Brackets & Odds March Madness Performance: 2 Myths Dispelled Spreading the Nerd Word

DELAWARE ST
Predictions for Future Games
Scores & Results
RPI Breakdown

Record: 15-12
Power Rating: 68.102
Ranking: 263

0-1 v #1-25
0-2 v #26-50
0-1 v #51-100
1-1 v #101-200
14-7 v #201-327

Home Ratings (11-0): 77.289 (129) 0-0 v #1-25 0-0 v #26-50 0-0 v #51-100 1-0 v #101-200 10-0 v #201-327 League Power Rankings: 9-0 70.024 Non-League Power Ratings: 2-0 75.477 Last Ten Ratings: 5-0 70.477

Away Ratings (4-11): 64.570 (294)
0-1 v #1-25
0-2 v #26-50
0-1 v #51-100
0-1 v #101-200
4-6 v #201-327
League Power Rankings: 4-5 64.227
Non-League Power Ratings: 0-6 67.727
Last Ten Ratings: 2-2 65.102

Neutral Ratings (0-1): 55.102 (304) 0-0 v #1-25 0-0 v #26-50 0-0 v #51-100 0-0 v #101-200 0-1 v #201-327 League Power Rankings: 0-1 62.164 Non-League Power Ratings: 0-0 68.102 Last Ten Ratings: 0-1 62.164

League Power Rankings (13-6): 67.297 (273)
0-0 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
0-0 v #51-100
0-0 v #101-200
13-6 v #201-327
Home Ratings: 9-0 70.024
Away Ratings: 4-5 64.227
Neutral Ratings: 0-1 62.164
Last Ten Ratings: 7-3 66.555

Non-League Power Ratings (2-6): 71.633 (219) 0-1 v #1-25 0-2 v #26-50 0-1 v #51-100 1-1 v #101-200 1-1 v #201-327 Home Ratings: 2-0 75.477 Away Ratings: 0-6 67.727 Neutral Ratings: 0-0 68.102 Last Ten Ratings: 0-0 68.102

Wins Power Rankings: 66.848 (263)
0-2 v #1-25
0-1 v #26-50
0-1 v #51-100
1-1 v #101-200
14-7 v #201-327
Home Ratings: 11-0 83.098
Away Ratings: 4-11 62.707
Neutral Ratings: 0-1 44.348
Last Ten Ratings: 7-3 65.621

Rankings: Points: 69.285 (266) 0-0 v #1-25 0-3 v #26-50 0-1 v #51-100 1-2 v #101-200 14-6 v #201-327 Home Ratings: 11-0 74.098 Away Ratings: 4-11 66.559 Neutral Ratings: 0-1 64.910 League Power Rankings: 13-6 68.863 Non-League Power Ratings: 2-6 71.129 Last Ten Ratings: 7-3 69.207

Last Ten Ratings (7-3): 67.399 (267)
0-0 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
0-0 v #51-100
0-0 v #101-200
7-3 v #201-327
Home Ratings: 5-0 70.477
Away Ratings: 2-2 65.102
Neutral Ratings: 0-1 62.164
League Power Rankings: 7-3 66.555
Non-League Power Ratings: 0-0 68.102

Home Advantage: 17.267 (2)

Difficulty of Schedule for a Top Five Team: 0.0285 (251)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #15 team: 0.0829 (278)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #45 team: 0.1365 (297)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #100 team: 0.1912 (305)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #150 team: 0.2781 (314)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #270 team: 0.5236 (320)

Upward Stability: 0.9050 (295)

Downward Stability: 0.9957 (241)

RPI
RPI: 0.4757 (201)
0-2 v #1-25
0-1 v #26-50
1-0 v #51-100
3-5 v #101-200
11-4 v #201-327

RPI Home (11-0): 0.5692 (103) 0-0 v #1-25 0-0 v #26-50 1-0 v #51-100 1-0 v #101-200 9-0 v #201-327

RPI Away (4-11): 0.4178 (241)
0-1 v #1-25
0-1 v #26-50
0-2 v #51-100
1-4 v #101-200
3-3 v #201-327

RPI Neutral (0-1): 0.0 (307) 0-0 v #1-25 0-0 v #26-50 0-1 v #51-100 0-0 v #101-200 0-0 v #201-327

RPI League (13-6): 0.4693 (218)
0-0 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
0-0 v #51-100
2-1 v #101-200
11-5 v #201-327

RPI Non-League (2-6): 0.4943 (161) 0-1 v #1-25 0-2 v #26-50 0-1 v #51-100 1-2 v #101-200 1-0 v #201-327

RPI Strength of Schedule: 0.4491 (281)



GAMES

Date	Site	Score	Opponent
11/22/2002	Away	L 46-59	vs. #91 West Virginia
11/24/2002	Away	L 38-65	vs. #29 Dayton
11/30/2002	Away	L 57-70	vs. #209 Hartford
12/3/2002	Away	L 44-65	vs. #33 LSU
12/7/2002	Home	W 83-75	vs. #260 Fair Dickinson
12/14/2002	Home	W 70-63	vs. #176 Wagner
12/16/2002	Away	L 48-68	vs. #25 Creighton
12/28/2002	Away	L 41-54	vs. #108 Rutgers
1/4/2003	Home	W 62-55	vs. #275 Florida A&M
1/6/2003	Home	W 70-47	vs. #317 Bethune Cookman
1/11/2003	Away	W 60-50	vs. #327 NO Carolina A&T
1/13/2003	Away	L 53-81	vs. #226 SO Carolina St
1/18/2003	Away	L 46-54	vs. #290 Coppin St
1/20/2003	Away	L 72-80	vs. #322 Morgan St
1/25/2003	Home	W 56-46	vs. #321 MD Eastrn Shore
1/27/2003	Home	W 70-61	vs. #292 Howard
2/1/2003	Away	W 71-66	vs. #255 Hampton
2/3/2003	Home	W 71-56	vs. #300 Norfolk St
2/8/2003	Away	L 77-97	vs. #275 Florida A&M
2/10/2003	Away	L 43-48	vs. #317 Bethune Cookman
2/15/2003	Home	W 76-53	vs. #327 NO Carolina A&T
2/19/2003	Home	W 83-78	vs. #226 SO Carolina St
2/22/2003	Home	W 69-65	vs. #290 Coppin St
2/24/2003	Home	W 80-53	vs. #322 Morgan St
3/1/2003	Away	W 70-57	vs. #321 MD Eastrn Shore
3/3/2003	Away	W 59-56	vs. #292 Howard
3/12/2003	Neut	L 65-68	vs. #292 Howard

FUTURE GAMES

Date

Site

Win Probability

Margin

Opponent

Opp. Rating

(Opp. Specific Rating)