NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

Read the full article -- No comments »

Printable NCAA Bracket

Recent Articles: Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2) Wall St. Journal Competition Results Strategies on filling out that NCAA Tournament Bracket — SmartStats and BracketBrains NCAA Basketball Coaches Gone Wild (1 of 2) Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (1 of 2) 2008 Conference Tournaments: Brackets & Odds March Madness Performance: 2 Myths Dispelled Spreading the Nerd Word

FLORIDA ST
Predictions for Future Games
Scores & Results
RPI Breakdown

Record: 14-15
Power Rating: 80.192
Ranking: 88

1-5 v #1-25
0-4 v #26-50
5-5 v #51-100
5-1 v #101-200
3-0 v #201-327

Home Ratings (12-5): 82.301 (74) 1-2 v #1-25 0-2 v #26-50 4-1 v #51-100 4-0 v #101-200 3-0 v #201-327 League Power Rankings: 4-4 80.645 Non-League Power Ratings: 8-1 85.911 Last Ten Ratings: 2-2 83.473

Away Ratings (1-8): 76.457 (144)
0-2 v #1-25
0-2 v #26-50
0-4 v #51-100
1-0 v #101-200
0-0 v #201-327
League Power Rankings: 0-8 77.551
Non-League Power Ratings: 1-0 87.317
Last Ten Ratings: 0-4 78.536

Neutral Ratings (1-2): 78.817 (126) 0-1 v #1-25 0-0 v #26-50 1-0 v #51-100 0-1 v #101-200 0-0 v #201-327 League Power Rankings: 1-1 85.442 Non-League Power Ratings: 0-1 61.692 Last Ten Ratings: 1-1 85.442

League Power Rankings (5-13): 79.184 (106)
1-4 v #1-25
0-4 v #26-50
4-5 v #51-100
0-0 v #101-200
0-0 v #201-327
Home Ratings: 4-4 80.645
Away Ratings: 0-8 77.551
Neutral Ratings: 1-1 85.442
Last Ten Ratings: 3-7 82.309

Non-League Power Ratings (9-2): 83.067 (56) 0-1 v #1-25 0-0 v #26-50 1-0 v #51-100 5-1 v #101-200 3-0 v #201-327 Home Ratings: 8-1 85.911 Away Ratings: 1-0 87.317 Neutral Ratings: 0-1 61.692 Last Ten Ratings: 0-0 80.192

Wins Power Rankings: 80.446 (93)
1-5 v #1-25
0-2 v #26-50
6-7 v #51-100
4-1 v #101-200
3-0 v #201-327
Home Ratings: 12-5 82.602
Away Ratings: 1-8 76.071
Neutral Ratings: 1-2 79.164
Last Ten Ratings: 3-7 80.196

Rankings: Points: 79.987 (75) 1-7 v #1-25 1-3 v #26-50 5-4 v #51-100 3-1 v #101-200 4-0 v #201-327 Home Ratings: 12-5 81.815 Away Ratings: 1-8 77.330 Neutral Ratings: 1-2 78.424 League Power Rankings: 5-13 79.131 Non-League Power Ratings: 9-2 82.471 Last Ten Ratings: 3-7 80.924

Last Ten Ratings (3-7): 80.411 (86)
0-4 v #1-25
0-1 v #26-50
2-2 v #51-100
1-0 v #101-200
0-0 v #201-327
Home Ratings: 2-2 83.473
Away Ratings: 0-4 78.536
Neutral Ratings: 1-1 85.442
League Power Rankings: 3-7 82.309
Non-League Power Ratings: 0-0 80.192

Home Advantage: 9.2104 (53)

Difficulty of Schedule for a Top Five Team: 0.0959 (57)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #15 team: 0.2574 (51)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #45 team: 0.4055 (49)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #100 team: 0.5290 (54)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #150 team: 0.6779 (49)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #270 team: 0.8731 (57)

Upward Stability: 1.2289 (75)

Downward Stability: 1.1911 (135)

RPI
RPI: 0.5403 (82)
1-5 v #1-25
0-2 v #26-50
2-6 v #51-100
8-2 v #101-200
3-0 v #201-327

RPI Home (12-5): 0.5859 (73) 1-1 v #1-25 1-2 v #26-50 2-2 v #51-100 5-0 v #101-200 3-0 v #201-327

RPI Away (1-8): 0.4515 (178)
0-2 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
0-3 v #51-100
0-3 v #101-200
1-0 v #201-327

RPI Neutral (1-2): 0.5417 (107) 0-0 v #1-25 0-0 v #26-50 0-2 v #51-100 0-0 v #101-200 1-0 v #201-327

RPI League (5-13): 0.5121 (137)
1-8 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
2-4 v #51-100
2-1 v #101-200
0-0 v #201-327

RPI Non-League (9-2): 0.5826 (48) 0-0 v #1-25 0-1 v #26-50 0-0 v #51-100 4-1 v #101-200 5-0 v #201-327

RPI Strength of Schedule: 0.5596 (47)



GAMES

Date	Site	Score	Opponent
11/24/2002	Home	W 79-46	vs. #325 Savannah St
11/27/2002	Home	W 83-47	vs. #110 Mercer
12/2/2002	Home	W 80-67	vs. #84 Iowa
12/6/2002	Home	L 57-58	vs. #13 Florida
12/8/2002	Home	W 72-55	vs. #122 Miami Fla
12/15/2002	Home	W 56-47	vs. #194 Birmingham Southern
12/18/2002	Home	W 93-76	vs. #302 Stetson
12/22/2002	Home	L 48-69	vs. #54 North Carolina
12/28/2002	Neut	L 69-84	vs. #141 Boston U
12/30/2002	Home	W 82-66	vs. #142 Davidson
1/4/2003	Away	W 76-69	vs. #150 Virginia Tech
1/6/2003	Home	W 72-56	vs. #245 Texas A&M-CC
1/11/2003	Away	L 62-89	vs. #26 Maryland
1/14/2003	Away	L 74-81	vs. #63 Georgia Tech
1/18/2003	Home	L 63-70	vs. #49 North Carolina St
1/21/2003	Home	W 60-59	vs. #97 Clemson
1/26/2003	Away	L 60-71	vs. #11 Wake Forest
1/29/2003	Away	L 72-85	vs. #78 Virginia
2/2/2003	Home	W 75-70	vs. #9 Duke
2/8/2003	Away	L 60-61	vs. #54 North Carolina
2/12/2003	Home	L 72-74	vs. #26 Maryland
2/15/2003	Home	W 71-64	vs. #63 Georgia Tech
2/18/2003	Away	L 60-71	vs. #49 North Carolina St
2/22/2003	Away	L 60-74	vs. #97 Clemson
2/26/2003	Home	L 56-60	vs. #11 Wake Forest
3/1/2003	Home	W 73-59	vs. #78 Virginia
3/6/2003	Away	L 56-72	vs. #9 Duke
3/13/2003	Neut	W 72-61	vs. #97 Clemson
3/14/2003	Neut	L 61-69	vs. #11 Wake Forest

FUTURE GAMES

Date

Site

Win Probability

Margin

Opponent

Opp. Rating

(Opp. Specific Rating)