NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

Read the full article -- No comments »

Printable NCAA Bracket

Recent Articles: Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2) Wall St. Journal Competition Results Strategies on filling out that NCAA Tournament Bracket — SmartStats and BracketBrains NCAA Basketball Coaches Gone Wild (1 of 2) Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (1 of 2) 2008 Conference Tournaments: Brackets & Odds March Madness Performance: 2 Myths Dispelled Spreading the Nerd Word

HAWAII
Predictions for Future Games
Scores & Results
RPI Breakdown

Record: 18-11
Power Rating: 79.207
Ranking: 100

1-0 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
4-4 v #51-100
10-5 v #101-200
3-2 v #201-327

Home Ratings (15-1): 85.004 (47) 1-0 v #1-25 0-0 v #26-50 3-0 v #51-100 9-0 v #101-200 2-1 v #201-327 League Power Rankings: 8-1 78.942 Non-League Power Ratings: 7-0 86.645 Last Ten Ratings: 3-1 71.801

Away Ratings (2-10): 72.379 (213)
0-0 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
1-4 v #51-100
0-5 v #101-200
1-1 v #201-327
League Power Rankings: 1-9 73.832
Non-League Power Ratings: 1-1 81.582
Last Ten Ratings: 1-4 76.129

Neutral Ratings (1-0): 87.457 (44) 0-0 v #1-25 0-0 v #26-50 0-0 v #51-100 1-0 v #101-200 0-0 v #201-327 League Power Rankings: 1-0 80.145 Non-League Power Ratings: 0-0 79.207 Last Ten Ratings: 1-0 80.145

League Power Rankings (10-10): 76.731 (144)
0-0 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
3-4 v #51-100
5-4 v #101-200
2-2 v #201-327
Home Ratings: 8-1 78.942
Away Ratings: 1-9 73.832
Neutral Ratings: 1-0 80.145
Last Ten Ratings: 4-5 73.301

Non-League Power Ratings (8-1): 87.317 (29) 1-0 v #1-25 0-0 v #26-50 1-0 v #51-100 5-1 v #101-200 1-0 v #201-327 Home Ratings: 7-0 86.645 Away Ratings: 1-1 81.582 Neutral Ratings: 0-0 79.207 Last Ten Ratings: 1-0 86.207

Wins Power Rankings: 80.000 (99)
1-0 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
3-3 v #51-100
11-6 v #101-200
3-2 v #201-327
Home Ratings: 15-1 87.797
Away Ratings: 2-10 71.125
Neutral Ratings: 1-0 97.250
Last Ten Ratings: 5-5 78.860

Rankings: Points: 78.203 (106) 0-0 v #1-25 1-0 v #26-50 4-4 v #51-100 10-5 v #101-200 3-2 v #201-327 Home Ratings: 15-1 81.719 Away Ratings: 2-10 74.219 Neutral Ratings: 1-0 79.141 League Power Rankings: 10-1076.551 Non-League Power Ratings: 8-1 83.141 Last Ten Ratings: 5-5 74.774

Last Ten Ratings (5-5): 77.051 (133)
0-2 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
0-0 v #51-100
3-2 v #101-200
2-1 v #201-327
Home Ratings: 3-1 71.801
Away Ratings: 1-4 76.129
Neutral Ratings: 1-0 80.145
League Power Rankings: 4-5 73.301
Non-League Power Ratings: 1-0 86.207

Home Advantage: 15.421 (4)

Difficulty of Schedule for a Top Five Team: 0.0438 (165)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #15 team: 0.1447 (150)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #45 team: 0.2651 (140)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #100 team: 0.3837 (140)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #150 team: 0.5423 (142)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #270 team: 0.8179 (143)

Upward Stability: 1.2068 (97)

Downward Stability: 1.2914 (70)

RPI
RPI: 0.5413 (80)
0-0 v #1-25
1-0 v #26-50
6-5 v #51-100
8-4 v #101-200
3-2 v #201-327

RPI Home (15-1): 0.6196 (38) 0-0 v #1-25 1-0 v #26-50 6-0 v #51-100 5-0 v #101-200 3-1 v #201-327

RPI Away (2-10): 0.4211 (237)
0-0 v #1-25
1-0 v #26-50
0-4 v #51-100
0-5 v #101-200
1-1 v #201-327

RPI Neutral (1-0): 0.0 (305) 0-0 v #1-25 0-0 v #26-50 0-0 v #51-100 0-0 v #101-200 1-0 v #201-327

RPI League (10-10): 0.4999 (159)
0-0 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
3-4 v #51-100
4-3 v #101-200
3-3 v #201-327

RPI Non-League (8-1): 0.6300 (15) 0-0 v #1-25 2-0 v #26-50 0-0 v #51-100 5-1 v #101-200 1-0 v #201-327

RPI Strength of Schedule: 0.5149 (111)



GAMES

Date	Site	Score	Opponent
11/22/2002	Home	W 81-65	vs. #153 Arkansas Lr
11/24/2002	Home	W 100-81	vs. #245 Texas A&M-CC
12/14/2002	Away	L 49-60	vs. #107 San Diego St
12/20/2002	Home	W 81-65	vs. #171 Eastern Ill
12/21/2002	Home	W 68-56	vs. #182 New Orleans
12/27/2002	Home	W 90-69	vs. #174 Bradley
12/29/2002	Home	W 74-61	vs. #112 Tennessee Tech
12/30/2002	Home	W 81-78	vs. #20 Butler
1/2/2003	Away	W 64-52	vs. #297 Texas El Paso
1/4/2003	Away	L 63-65	vs. #185 Boise St
1/9/2003	Home	W 72-55	vs. #120 SMU
1/11/2003	Home	W 57-53	vs. #178 Louisiana Tech
1/13/2003	Home	W 88-77	vs. #80 Fresno St
1/18/2003	Away	L 67-79	vs. #277 San Jose St
1/23/2003	Away	L 55-56	vs. #80 Fresno St
1/25/2003	Away	L 65-73	vs. #95 Nevada
1/30/2003	Home	W 85-70	vs. #103 Rice
2/1/2003	Home	W 73-67	vs. #58 Tulsa
2/6/2003	Away	L 65-66	vs. #178 Louisiana Tech
2/8/2003	Away	L 69-78	vs. #120 SMU
2/15/2003	Home	L 54-55	vs. #277 San Jose St
2/19/2003	Home	W 73-71	vs. #95 Nevada
2/22/2003	Away	W 79-78	vs. #74 Kent
2/27/2003	Away	L 51-76	vs. #58 Tulsa
3/1/2003	Away	L 58-75	vs. #103 Rice
3/6/2003	Home	W 68-65	vs. #185 Boise St
3/8/2003	Home	W 77-63	vs. #297 Texas El Paso
3/13/2003	Neut	W 62-61	vs. #103 Rice
3/14/2003	Away	L 56-66	vs. #58 Tulsa

FUTURE GAMES

Date

Site

Win Probability

Margin

Opponent

Opp. Rating

(Opp. Specific Rating)