NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

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Printable NCAA Bracket

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Games against non-D1 teams not considered in power rankings or predictions.

LOUISIANA TECH
Predictions for Future Games
Scores & Results
RPI Breakdown

Record: 10-15
Power Rating: 74.470
Ranking: 178

0-3 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
4-5 v #51-100
2-6 v #101-200
4-1 v #201-327

Home Ratings (7-4): 74.791 (165)
0-0 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
2-2 v #51-100
2-2 v #101-200
3-0 v #201-327
League Power Rankings: 6-3 76.134
Non-League Power Ratings: 1-1 65.283
Last Ten Ratings: 2-2 73.658

Away Ratings (3-10): 74.705 (170)
0-3 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
2-2 v #51-100
0-4 v #101-200
1-1 v #201-327
League Power Rankings: 3-6 75.572
Non-League Power Ratings: 0-4 74.845
Last Ten Ratings: 2-3 71.408

Neutral Ratings (0-1): 67.345 (226)
0-0 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
0-1 v #51-100
0-0 v #101-200
0-0 v #201-327
League Power Rankings: 0-1 73.783
Non-League Power Ratings: 0-0 74.470
Last Ten Ratings: 0-1 73.783

League Power Rankings (9-10): 75.728 (163)
0-0 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
4-5 v #51-100
2-4 v #101-200
3-1 v #201-327
Home Ratings: 6-3 76.134
Away Ratings: 3-6 75.572
Neutral Ratings: 0-1 73.783
Last Ten Ratings: 4-5 74.142

Non-League Power Ratings (1-5): 65.658 (281)
0-3 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
0-0 v #51-100
0-2 v #101-200
1-0 v #201-327
Home Ratings: 1-1 65.283
Away Ratings: 0-4 74.845
Neutral Ratings: 0-0 74.470
Last Ten Ratings: 0-1 64.345

Wins Power Rankings: 74.240 (176)
0-3 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
3-3 v #51-100
3-8 v #101-200
4-1 v #201-327
Home Ratings: 7-4 74.412
Away Ratings: 3-10 75.099
Neutral Ratings: 0-1 60.240
Last Ten Ratings: 4-6 72.912

Rankings: Points: 74.728 (178)
0-3 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
3-4 v #51-100
3-7 v #101-200
4-1 v #201-327
Home Ratings: 7-4 75.056
Away Ratings: 3-10 74.431
Neutral Ratings: 0-1 73.603
League Power Rankings: 9-10 75.611
Non-League Power Ratings: 1-5 69.509
Last Ten Ratings: 4-6 72.892

Last Ten Ratings (4-6): 72.916 (197)
1-0 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
0-0 v #51-100
2-4 v #101-200
1-2 v #201-327
Home Ratings: 2-2 73.658
Away Ratings: 2-3 71.408
Neutral Ratings: 0-1 73.783
League Power Rankings: 4-5 74.142
Non-League Power Ratings: 0-1 64.345

Home Advantage: 4.5681 (142)

Difficulty of Schedule for a Top Five Team: 0.0694 (90)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #15 team: 0.1902 (103)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #45 team: 0.3068 (110)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #100 team: 0.4238 (113)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #150 team: 0.5759 (118)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #270 team: 0.8216 (136)

Upward Stability: 1.0713 (210)

Downward Stability: 0.9379 (263)

RPI
RPI: 0.4867 (179)
0-2 v #1-25
0-1 v #26-50
4-7 v #51-100
2-3 v #101-200
4-2 v #201-327

RPI Home (7-4): 0.5266 (171)
0-0 v #1-25
1-0 v #26-50
1-3 v #51-100
2-1 v #101-200
3-0 v #201-327

RPI Away (3-10): 0.4597 (159)
0-2 v #1-25
0-1 v #26-50
1-1 v #51-100
1-4 v #101-200
1-2 v #201-327

RPI Neutral (0-1): 0.0 (286)
0-0 v #1-25
0-1 v #26-50
0-0 v #51-100
0-0 v #101-200
0-0 v #201-327

RPI League (9-10): 0.5008 (155)
0-0 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
3-4 v #51-100
2-4 v #101-200
4-2 v #201-327

RPI Non-League (1-5): 0.4447 (243)
0-2 v #1-25
0-1 v #26-50
0-1 v #51-100
0-0 v #101-200
1-1 v #201-327

RPI Strength of Schedule: 0.5156 (108)

GAMES

Date	Site	Score	Opponent
11/19/2002	Away	L 55-76	vs. #13 Florida
12/7/2002	Away	L 38-78	vs. #19 Mississippi St
12/10/2002	Away	L 60-72	vs. #135 Arkansas
12/21/2002	Home	W 73-68	vs. #288 Jackson St
12/30/2002	Away	L 50-58	vs. #6 Texas
1/4/2003	Home	W 89-77	vs. #120 SMU
1/9/2003	Away	W 80-67	vs. #277 San Jose St
1/11/2003	Away	L 53-57	vs. #100 Hawaii
1/16/2003	Home	L 67-75	vs. #95 Nevada
1/18/2003	Home	L 60-61	vs. #80 Fresno St
1/23/2003	Away	L 61-68	vs. #58 Tulsa
1/25/2003	Away	L 92-93	vs. #103 Rice
1/30/2003	Home	W 79-76	vs. #185 Boise St
2/1/2003	Home	W 73-57	vs. #297 Texas El Paso
2/6/2003	Home	W 66-65	vs. #100 Hawaii
2/8/2003	Home	W 65-60	vs. #277 San Jose St
2/10/2003	Home	W 93-82	vs. #58 Tulsa
2/13/2003	Away	W 80-77	vs. #80 Fresno St
2/15/2003	Away	W 99-97	vs. #95 Nevada
2/20/2003	Home	L 63-65	vs. #103 Rice
2/22/2003	Home	L 71-76	vs. #190 Northern Iowa
2/27/2003	Away	L 57-75	vs. #297 Texas El Paso
3/1/2003	Away	L 51-74	vs. #185 Boise St
3/8/2003	Away	L 61-84	vs. #120 SMU
3/13/2003	Neut	L 66-72	vs. #95 Nevada

FUTURE GAMES

Date

Site

Win Probability

Margin

Opponent

Opp. Rating

(Opp. Specific Rating)