NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

Read the full article -- No comments »

Printable NCAA Bracket

Recent Articles: Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2) Wall St. Journal Competition Results Strategies on filling out that NCAA Tournament Bracket — SmartStats and BracketBrains NCAA Basketball Coaches Gone Wild (1 of 2) Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (1 of 2) 2008 Conference Tournaments: Brackets & Odds March Madness Performance: 2 Myths Dispelled Spreading the Nerd Word

LIBERTY
Predictions for Future Games
Scores & Results
RPI Breakdown

Record: 14-15
Power Rating: 67.809
Ranking: 267

0-0 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
0-3 v #51-100
0-5 v #101-200
14-7 v #201-327

Home Ratings (11-5): 68.348 (252) 0-0 v #1-25 0-0 v #26-50 0-0 v #51-100 0-3 v #101-200 11-2 v #201-327 League Power Rankings: 7-3 67.458 Non-League Power Ratings: 4-2 65.481 Last Ten Ratings: 4-2 66.856

Away Ratings (3-10): 66.903 (274)
0-0 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
0-3 v #51-100
0-2 v #101-200
3-5 v #201-327
League Power Rankings: 2-6 66.934
Non-League Power Ratings: 1-4 67.872
Last Ten Ratings: 1-3 65.544

Neutral Ratings (0-0): 67.809 (222) 0-0 v #1-25 0-0 v #26-50 0-0 v #51-100 0-0 v #101-200 0-0 v #201-327 League Power Rankings: 0-0 67.809 Non-League Power Ratings: 0-0 67.809 Last Ten Ratings: 0-0 67.809

League Power Rankings (9-9): 67.934 (268)
0-0 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
0-0 v #51-100
0-4 v #101-200
9-5 v #201-327
Home Ratings: 7-3 67.458
Away Ratings: 2-6 66.934
Neutral Ratings: 0-0 67.809
Last Ten Ratings: 5-5 66.442

Non-League Power Ratings (5-6): 67.520 (264) 0-0 v #1-25 0-0 v #26-50 0-3 v #51-100 0-1 v #101-200 5-2 v #201-327 Home Ratings: 4-2 65.481 Away Ratings: 1-4 67.872 Neutral Ratings: 0-0 67.809 Last Ten Ratings: 0-0 67.809

Wins Power Rankings: 67.614 (257)
0-0 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
0-3 v #51-100
0-5 v #101-200
14-7 v #201-327
Home Ratings: 11-5 67.981
Away Ratings: 3-10 66.997
Neutral Ratings: 0-0 67.614
Last Ten Ratings: 5-5 67.059

Rankings: Points: 67.761 (291) 0-0 v #1-25 0-0 v #26-50 0-3 v #51-100 0-1 v #101-200 14-11 v #201-327 Home Ratings: 11-5 68.268 Away Ratings: 3-10 66.854 Neutral Ratings: 0-0 67.761 League Power Rankings: 9-9 67.710 Non-League Power Ratings: 5-6 67.886 Last Ten Ratings: 5-5 67.065

Last Ten Ratings (5-5): 67.200 (269)
0-0 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
0-0 v #51-100
1-1 v #101-200
4-4 v #201-327
Home Ratings: 4-2 66.856
Away Ratings: 1-3 65.544
Neutral Ratings: 0-0 67.809
League Power Rankings: 5-5 66.442
Non-League Power Ratings: 0-0 67.809

Home Advantage: 5.4018 (126)

Difficulty of Schedule for a Top Five Team: 0.0133 (316)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #15 team: 0.0553 (316)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #45 team: 0.1171 (312)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #100 team: 0.1894 (308)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #150 team: 0.3115 (306)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #270 team: 0.6458 (293)

Upward Stability: 1.3279 (24)

Downward Stability: 1.3554 (42)

RPI
RPI: 0.4454 (258)
0-0 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
0-1 v #51-100
1-9 v #101-200
13-5 v #201-327

RPI Home (11-5): 0.4949 (226) 0-0 v #1-25 0-0 v #26-50 0-1 v #51-100 1-2 v #101-200 10-2 v #201-327

RPI Away (3-10): 0.3849 (290)
0-0 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
0-2 v #51-100
1-3 v #101-200
2-5 v #201-327

RPI Neutral (0-0): 0.4454 (197) 0-0 v #1-25 0-0 v #26-50 0-0 v #51-100 0-0 v #101-200 0-0 v #201-327

RPI League (9-9): 0.4591 (236)
0-0 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
0-0 v #51-100
1-5 v #101-200
8-4 v #201-327

RPI Non-League (5-6): 0.4232 (266) 0-0 v #1-25 0-0 v #26-50 0-3 v #51-100 0-2 v #101-200 5-1 v #201-327

RPI Strength of Schedule: 0.4330 (311)



GAMES

Date	Site	Score	Opponent
11/23/2002	Away	L 54-68	vs. #270 VMI
11/26/2002	Home	W 62-61	vs. #257 William & Mary
11/30/2002	Away	W 80-70	vs. #308 New Hampshire
12/3/2002	Home	L 67-72	vs. #184 American
12/7/2002	Home	W 66-63	vs. #273 Westrn Carolina
12/10/2002	Home	W 77-69	vs. #270 VMI
12/14/2002	Home	L 74-87	vs. #212 McNeese St
12/20/2002	Home	W 84-79	vs. #285 Fla Atlantic
12/22/2002	Away	L 49-87	vs. #84 Iowa
12/28/2002	Away	L 65-78	vs. #97 Clemson
12/30/2002	Away	L 58-77	vs. #78 Virginia
1/2/2003	Home	W 77-59	vs. #259 Elon
1/5/2003	Away	L 80-81	vs. #229 NC Asheville
1/9/2003	Home	W 74-70	vs. #299 High Point
1/16/2003	Home	L 64-74	vs. #186 Winthrop
1/18/2003	Home	W 81-66	vs. #282 Radford
1/23/2003	Away	L 57-78	vs. #242 Charleston Sou
1/25/2003	Away	W 55-54	vs. #248 Coast Carolina
1/29/2003	Away	L 55-72	vs. #194 Birmingham Southern
2/5/2003	Away	W 54-52	vs. #259 Elon
2/10/2003	Home	W 73-72	vs. #229 NC Asheville
2/15/2003	Home	W 54-48	vs. #242 Charleston Sou
2/17/2003	Home	W 79-73	vs. #248 Coast Carolina
2/20/2003	Away	L 72-84	vs. #186 Winthrop
2/22/2003	Home	L 50-53	vs. #194 Birmingham Southern
2/26/2003	Away	L 68-72	vs. #299 High Point
2/28/2003	Away	L 56-81	vs. #282 Radford
3/4/2003	Home	W 63-61	vs. #248 Coast Carolina
3/7/2003	Home	L 52-55	vs. #282 Radford

FUTURE GAMES

Date

Site

Win Probability

Margin

Opponent

Opp. Rating

(Opp. Specific Rating)