NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

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Printable NCAA Bracket

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NORTHERN ILL
Predictions for Future Games
Scores & Results
RPI Breakdown

Record: 17-14
Power Rating: 79.076
Ranking: 104

0-1 v #1-25
0-3 v #26-50
2-4 v #51-100
11-6 v #101-200
4-0 v #201-327

Home Ratings (7-7): 73.994 (183) 0-0 v #1-25 0-1 v #26-50 0-3 v #51-100 5-3 v #101-200 2-0 v #201-327 League Power Rankings: 5-5 75.498 Non-League Power Ratings: 2-2 71.888 Last Ten Ratings: 3-2 77.982

Away Ratings (8-6): 82.740 (59)
0-1 v #1-25
0-1 v #26-50
1-1 v #51-100
5-3 v #101-200
2-0 v #201-327
League Power Rankings: 7-2 84.099
Non-League Power Ratings: 1-4 76.169
Last Ten Ratings: 1-2 78.607

Neutral Ratings (2-1): 83.076 (82) 0-0 v #1-25 0-1 v #26-50 1-0 v #51-100 1-0 v #101-200 0-0 v #201-327 League Power Rankings: 1-1 82.013 Non-League Power Ratings: 1-0 79.576 Last Ten Ratings: 1-1 82.013

League Power Rankings (13-8): 80.611 (83)
0-0 v #1-25
0-3 v #26-50
2-1 v #51-100
9-4 v #101-200
2-0 v #201-327
Home Ratings: 5-5 75.498
Away Ratings: 7-2 84.099
Neutral Ratings: 1-1 82.013
Last Ten Ratings: 5-5 79.146

Non-League Power Ratings (4-6): 75.037 (164) 0-1 v #1-25 0-0 v #26-50 0-3 v #51-100 2-2 v #101-200 2-0 v #201-327 Home Ratings: 2-2 71.888 Away Ratings: 1-4 76.169 Neutral Ratings: 1-0 79.576 Last Ten Ratings: 0-0 79.076

Wins Power Rankings: 79.947 (102)
0-1 v #1-25
0-4 v #26-50
2-3 v #51-100
11-6 v #101-200
4-0 v #201-327
Home Ratings: 7-7 73.056
Away Ratings: 8-6 84.791
Neutral Ratings: 2-1 85.447
Last Ten Ratings: 5-5 79.548

Rankings: Points: 78.015 (110) 0-1 v #1-25 0-3 v #26-50 2-4 v #51-100 10-6 v #101-200 5-0 v #201-327 Home Ratings: 7-7 75.160 Away Ratings: 8-6 80.203 Neutral Ratings: 2-1 79.921 League Power Rankings: 13-8 79.394 Non-League Power Ratings: 4-6 74.312 Last Ten Ratings: 5-5 78.156

Last Ten Ratings (5-5): 78.888 (105)
0-3 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
2-1 v #51-100
2-1 v #101-200
1-0 v #201-327
Home Ratings: 3-2 77.982
Away Ratings: 1-2 78.607
Neutral Ratings: 1-1 82.013
League Power Rankings: 5-5 79.146
Non-League Power Ratings: 0-0 79.076

Home Advantage: -4.848 (312)

Difficulty of Schedule for a Top Five Team: 0.0503 (137)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #15 team: 0.1645 (126)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #45 team: 0.2888 (122)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #100 team: 0.4211 (114)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #150 team: 0.5925 (107)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #270 team: 0.8620 (77)

Upward Stability: 1.4215 (5)

Downward Stability: 1.4432 (15)

RPI
RPI: 0.5220 (112)
0-1 v #1-25
0-3 v #26-50
2-4 v #51-100
9-6 v #101-200
6-0 v #201-327

RPI Home (7-7): 0.4973 (217) 0-0 v #1-25 0-0 v #26-50 1-4 v #51-100 4-3 v #101-200 2-0 v #201-327

RPI Away (8-6): 0.5223 (54)
0-0 v #1-25
1-2 v #26-50
0-1 v #51-100
3-2 v #101-200
4-1 v #201-327

RPI Neutral (2-1): 0.6369 (32) 0-1 v #1-25 0-0 v #26-50 0-0 v #51-100 1-0 v #101-200 1-0 v #201-327

RPI League (13-8): 0.5372 (95)
0-0 v #1-25
0-3 v #26-50
1-0 v #51-100
8-5 v #101-200
4-0 v #201-327

RPI Non-League (4-6): 0.4917 (170) 0-1 v #1-25 0-1 v #26-50 0-3 v #51-100 2-1 v #101-200 2-0 v #201-327

RPI Strength of Schedule: 0.5132 (118)



GAMES

Date	Site	Score	Opponent
11/15/2002	Neut	W 56-50	vs. #186 Winthrop
11/16/2002	Away	L 56-84	vs. #18 Wisconsin
11/23/2002	Home	L 48-63	vs. #67 DePaul
11/27/2002	Home	W 69-67	vs. #125 Loyola Chi
11/30/2002	Away	L 67-78	vs. #94 Valparaiso
12/4/2002	Home	W 77-62	vs. #225 Drake
12/7/2002	Home	L 57-75	vs. #160 Marshall
12/17/2002	Away	L 83-84	vs. #115 South Florida
12/21/2002	Away	W 72-65	vs. #217 Illinois St
12/28/2002	Home	L 45-77	vs. #53 Illinois Chi
12/30/2002	Away	L 75-90	vs. #171 Eastern Ill
1/4/2003	Home	L 63-64	vs. #158 Bowling Green
1/8/2003	Away	W 72-65	vs. #137 Toledo
1/11/2003	Away	W 66-64	vs. #147 Ball St
1/15/2003	Away	W 68-61	vs. #131 Ohio
1/18/2003	Home	W 88-79	vs. #172 Eastern Mich
1/25/2003	Away	W 63-46	vs. #158 Bowling Green
1/29/2003	Home	L 100-101	vs. #167 Akron
2/1/2003	Home	W 78-60	vs. #147 Ball St
2/6/2003	Away	W 70-61	vs. #266 Buffalo
2/8/2003	Away	W 67-61	vs. #74 Kent
2/11/2003	Home	W 80-53	vs. #131 Ohio
2/15/2003	Away	W 70-68	vs. #172 Eastern Mich
2/22/2003	Home	L 75-87	vs. #36 Central Mich
2/25/2003	Away	L 56-59	vs. #132 Miami Ohio
3/1/2003	Home	W 85-75	vs. #137 Toledo
3/5/2003	Away	L 57-73	vs. #36 Central Mich
3/8/2003	Home	L 67-71	vs. #76 Western Mich
3/10/2003	Home	W 81-64	vs. #266 Buffalo
3/13/2003	Neut	W 75-63	vs. #76 Western Mich
3/14/2003	Neut	L 72-94	vs. #36 Central Mich

FUTURE GAMES

Date

Site

Win Probability

Margin

Opponent

Opp. Rating

(Opp. Specific Rating)