NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

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  Printable NCAA Bracket
2008 Printable NCAA Tournament Bracket

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Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)
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Games against non-D1 teams not considered in power rankings or predictions.
UNLV
Predictions for Future Games
Scores & Results
RPI Breakdown

Record: 21-10
Power Rating: 82.818
Ranking: 59

0-1 v #1-25
2-4 v #26-50
6-4 v #51-100
9-1 v #101-200
4-0 v #201-327

Home Ratings (15-5): 81.157 (81)
0-0 v #1-25
2-2 v #26-50
3-3 v #51-100
6-0 v #101-200
4-0 v #201-327
League Power Rankings: 7-3 82.021
Non-League Power Ratings: 8-2 77.427
Last Ten Ratings: 6-1 83.786

Away Ratings (6-5): 85.146 (35)
0-1 v #1-25
0-2 v #26-50
3-1 v #51-100
3-1 v #101-200
0-0 v #201-327
League Power Rankings: 3-4 84.747
Non-League Power Ratings: 3-1 85.052
Last Ten Ratings: 1-2 85.255

Neutral Ratings (0-0): 82.818 (85)
0-0 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
0-0 v #51-100
0-0 v #101-200
0-0 v #201-327
League Power Rankings: 0-0 82.818
Non-League Power Ratings: 0-0 82.818
Last Ten Ratings: 0-0 82.818

League Power Rankings (10-7): 82.755 (61)
0-0 v #1-25
2-3 v #26-50
2-3 v #51-100
6-1 v #101-200
0-0 v #201-327
Home Ratings: 7-3 82.021
Away Ratings: 3-4 84.747
Neutral Ratings: 0-0 82.818
Last Ten Ratings: 7-3 84.403

Non-League Power Ratings (11-3): 82.943 (58)
0-1 v #1-25
0-1 v #26-50
4-1 v #51-100
3-0 v #101-200
4-0 v #201-327
Home Ratings: 8-2 77.427
Away Ratings: 3-1 85.052
Neutral Ratings: 0-0 82.818
Last Ten Ratings: 0-0 82.818

Wins Power Rankings: 84.187 (57)
0-1 v #1-25
2-4 v #26-50
5-4 v #51-100
11-1 v #101-200
3-0 v #201-327
Home Ratings: 15-5 81.980
Away Ratings: 6-5 87.187
Neutral Ratings: 0-0 84.187
Last Ten Ratings: 7-3 86.312

Rankings: Points: 81.015 (62)
0-1 v #1-25
2-4 v #26-50
6-4 v #51-100
9-1 v #101-200
4-0 v #201-327
Home Ratings: 15-5 79.812
Away Ratings: 6-5 82.741
Neutral Ratings: 0-0 81.015
League Power Rankings: 10-7 81.765
Non-League Power Ratings: 11-3 79.640
Last Ten Ratings: 7-3 82.804

Last Ten Ratings (7-3): 84.755 (48)
0-0 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
5-2 v #51-100
2-1 v #101-200
0-0 v #201-327
Home Ratings: 6-1 83.786
Away Ratings: 1-2 85.255
Neutral Ratings: 0-0 82.818
League Power Rankings: 7-3 84.403
Non-League Power Ratings: 0-0 82.818

Home Advantage: -0.031 (261)


Difficulty of Schedule for a Top Five Team: 0.0588 (113)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #15 team: 0.1831 (110)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #45 team: 0.3119 (106)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #100 team: 0.4399 (104)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #150 team: 0.6100 (98)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #270 team: 0.8627 (76)

Upward Stability: 1.1966 (104)

Downward Stability: 1.4182 (18)

RPI
RPI: 0.5780 (42)
2-5 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
5-3 v #51-100
10-2 v #101-200
4-0 v #201-327


RPI Home (15-5): 0.5868 (71)
2-1 v #1-25
0-1 v #26-50
0-1 v #51-100
9-2 v #101-200
4-0 v #201-327


RPI Away (6-5): 0.5618 (22)
0-2 v #1-25
0-2 v #26-50
3-0 v #51-100
2-1 v #101-200
1-0 v #201-327


RPI Neutral (0-0): 0.5780 (71)
0-0 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
0-0 v #51-100
0-0 v #101-200
0-0 v #201-327


RPI League (10-7): 0.5796 (49)
2-3 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
2-3 v #51-100
6-1 v #101-200
0-0 v #201-327


RPI Non-League (11-3): 0.5743 (57)
0-2 v #1-25
1-0 v #26-50
1-0 v #51-100
7-1 v #101-200
2-0 v #201-327


RPI Strength of Schedule: 0.5449 (63)



GAMES
Date Site Score Opponent
11/24/2002Home W 69-54 vs. #279 Portland St
11/27/2002Home W 84-75 vs. #71 Uab
11/30/2002Home W 82-61 vs. #144 Washington
12/4/2002Away W 82-80 vs. #95 Nevada
12/7/2002Away L 74-91 vs. #18 Wisconsin
12/14/2002Away W 85-83 vs. #174 Bradley
12/17/2002Home W 101-78 vs. #204 Tenn Martin
12/21/2002Home L 66-77 vs. #28 Stanford
12/28/2002Home W 70-67 vs. #91 West Virginia
12/29/2002Home W 79-78 vs. #120 SMU
1/2/2003Home W 74-62 vs. #262 IPFW
1/4/2003Home W 75-53 vs. #210 Santa Clara
1/11/2003Away W 75-70 vs. #67 DePaul
1/16/2003Away L 77-85 vs. #32 BYU
1/20/2003Home L 63-66 vs. #30 Utah
1/25/2003Away L 71-75 vs. #162 Air Force
1/27/2003Away W 75-66 vs. #188 New Mexico
2/1/2003Home L 80-90 vs. #77 Wyoming
2/3/2003Home W 90-57 vs. #83 Colorado St
2/9/2003Home L 73-98 vs. #92 USC
2/11/2003Away W 79-64 vs. #107 San Diego St
2/14/2003Home W 61-54 vs. #32 BYU
2/17/2003Away L 80-86 vs. #30 Utah
2/22/2003Home W 74-69 vs. #188 New Mexico
2/24/2003Home W 74-70 vs. #162 Air Force
3/1/2003Away W 73-67 vs. #83 Colorado St
3/3/2003Away L 66-69 vs. #77 Wyoming
3/8/2003Home W 83-72 vs. #107 San Diego St
3/13/2003Home W 83-67 vs. #107 San Diego St
3/14/2003Home W 64-41 vs. #30 Utah
3/15/2003Home L 61-62 vs. #83 Colorado St

FUTURE GAMES
Date Site Win ProbabilityMargin Opponent Opp. Rating (Opp. Specific Rating)
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