NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

Read the full article -- No comments »

Printable NCAA Bracket

Recent Articles: Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2) Wall St. Journal Competition Results Strategies on filling out that NCAA Tournament Bracket — SmartStats and BracketBrains NCAA Basketball Coaches Gone Wild (1 of 2) Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (1 of 2) 2008 Conference Tournaments: Brackets & Odds March Madness Performance: 2 Myths Dispelled Spreading the Nerd Word

VILLANOVA
Predictions for Future Games
Scores & Results
RPI Breakdown

Record: 15-15
Power Rating: 82.239
Ranking: 65

2-4 v #1-25
1-4 v #26-50
3-6 v #51-100
6-1 v #101-200
3-0 v #201-327

Home Ratings (9-3): 84.098 (52) 1-1 v #1-25 1-0 v #26-50 2-2 v #51-100 3-0 v #101-200 2-0 v #201-327 League Power Rankings: 5-3 84.411 Non-League Power Ratings: 4-0 84.676 Last Ten Ratings: 2-2 86.176

Away Ratings (4-7): 83.083 (56)
0-2 v #1-25
0-3 v #26-50
1-1 v #51-100
3-1 v #101-200
0-0 v #201-327
League Power Rankings: 3-5 84.067
Non-League Power Ratings: 1-2 86.114
Last Ten Ratings: 1-4 80.114

Neutral Ratings (2-5): 77.770 (132) 1-1 v #1-25 0-1 v #26-50 0-3 v #51-100 0-0 v #101-200 1-0 v #201-327 League Power Rankings: 0-1 76.739 Non-League Power Ratings: 2-4 80.551 Last Ten Ratings: 0-1 76.739

League Power Rankings (8-9): 82.286 (65)
1-2 v #1-25
1-2 v #26-50
2-4 v #51-100
4-1 v #101-200
0-0 v #201-327
Home Ratings: 5-3 84.411
Away Ratings: 3-5 84.067
Neutral Ratings: 0-1 76.739
Last Ten Ratings: 3-7 81.911

Non-League Power Ratings (7-6): 82.137 (65) 1-2 v #1-25 0-2 v #26-50 1-2 v #51-100 2-0 v #101-200 3-0 v #201-327 Home Ratings: 4-0 84.676 Away Ratings: 1-2 86.114 Neutral Ratings: 2-4 80.551 Last Ten Ratings: 0-0 82.239

Wins Power Rankings: 82.571 (72)
1-5 v #1-25
2-3 v #26-50
3-6 v #51-100
6-1 v #101-200
3-0 v #201-327
Home Ratings: 9-3 84.165
Away Ratings: 4-7 83.946
Neutral Ratings: 2-5 77.477
Last Ten Ratings: 3-7 78.930

Rankings: Points: 82.084 (51) 2-5 v #1-25 1-3 v #26-50 5-5 v #51-100 4-2 v #101-200 3-0 v #201-327 Home Ratings: 9-3 84.061 Away Ratings: 4-7 82.459 Neutral Ratings: 2-5 78.366 League Power Rankings: 8-9 82.475 Non-League Power Ratings: 7-6 81.241 Last Ten Ratings: 3-7 80.913

Last Ten Ratings (3-7): 79.637 (96)
1-3 v #1-25
0-2 v #26-50
0-1 v #51-100
2-1 v #101-200
0-0 v #201-327
Home Ratings: 2-2 86.176
Away Ratings: 1-4 80.114
Neutral Ratings: 0-1 76.739
League Power Rankings: 3-7 81.911
Non-League Power Ratings: 0-0 82.239

Home Advantage: 7.0380 (91)

Difficulty of Schedule for a Top Five Team: 0.1025 (43)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #15 team: 0.2802 (32)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #45 team: 0.4388 (24)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #100 team: 0.5712 (21)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #150 team: 0.7199 (14)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #270 team: 0.9096 (9)

Upward Stability: 1.3252 (25)

Downward Stability: 1.3095 (62)

RPI
RPI: 0.5502 (71)
1-4 v #1-25
2-4 v #26-50
4-5 v #51-100
5-2 v #101-200
3-0 v #201-327

RPI Home (9-3): 0.5961 (62) 0-1 v #1-25 2-0 v #26-50 1-0 v #51-100 3-2 v #101-200 3-0 v #201-327

RPI Away (4-7): 0.5115 (66)
1-3 v #1-25
0-1 v #26-50
1-1 v #51-100
1-1 v #101-200
1-1 v #201-327

RPI Neutral (2-5): 0.5331 (117) 0-1 v #1-25 0-1 v #26-50 1-3 v #51-100 1-0 v #101-200 0-0 v #201-327

RPI League (8-9): 0.5309 (107)
0-2 v #1-25
2-2 v #26-50
1-2 v #51-100
3-3 v #101-200
2-0 v #201-327

RPI Non-League (7-6): 0.5750 (54) 0-2 v #1-25 1-2 v #26-50 1-2 v #51-100 3-0 v #101-200 2-0 v #201-327

RPI Strength of Schedule: 0.5669 (34)



GAMES

Date	Site	Score	Opponent
11/15/2002	Neut	L 61-73	vs. #7 Marquette
11/22/2002	Home	W 64-41	vs. #126 Drexel
11/28/2002	Neut	W 87-71	vs. #208 Loyola Marymnt
11/29/2002	Neut	W 81-73	vs. #23 Michigan St
11/30/2002	Neut	L 69-71	vs. #87 Coll Of Charltn
12/7/2002	Away	W 74-71	vs. #170 La Salle
12/10/2002	Neut	L 58-72	vs. #51 Pennsylvania
12/13/2002	Home	W 72-60	vs. #306 Umbc
12/22/2002	Away	L 78-80	vs. #29 Dayton
12/27/2002	Home	W 68-53	vs. #213 Binghamton
12/31/2002	Home	W 70-62	vs. #73 Temple
1/5/2003	Away	L 68-72	vs. #22 Memphis
1/8/2003	Home	W 92-81	vs. #150 Virginia Tech
1/11/2003	Home	W 81-67	vs. #56 Providence
1/15/2003	Away	W 82-73	vs. #61 St Johns
1/18/2003	Away	W 110-89	vs. #108 Rutgers
1/22/2003	Home	W 94-83	vs. #41 Boston College
1/25/2003	Away	L 65-74	vs. #16 Connecticut
2/1/2003	Home	L 83-91	vs. #91 West Virginia
2/3/2003	Neut	L 75-92	vs. #27 St Josephs
2/8/2003	Away	W 72-67	vs. #122 Miami Fla
2/11/2003	Home	L 50-52	vs. #61 St Johns
2/15/2003	Home	W 79-70	vs. #16 Connecticut
2/22/2003	Away	L 60-70	vs. #56 Providence
2/25/2003	Home	W 75-56	vs. #122 Miami Fla
2/27/2003	Away	L 56-57	vs. #46 Seton Hall
3/1/2003	Away	L 63-88	vs. #150 Virginia Tech
3/4/2003	Away	L 84-92	vs. #41 Boston College
3/9/2003	Home	L 54-56	vs. #4 Pittsburgh
3/12/2003	Neut	L 41-46	vs. #70 Georgetown

FUTURE GAMES

Date

Site

Win Probability

Margin

Opponent

Opp. Rating

(Opp. Specific Rating)