NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

Read the full article -- No comments »

Printable NCAA Bracket

Recent Articles: Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2) Wall St. Journal Competition Results Strategies on filling out that NCAA Tournament Bracket — SmartStats and BracketBrains NCAA Basketball Coaches Gone Wild (1 of 2) Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (1 of 2) 2008 Conference Tournaments: Brackets & Odds March Madness Performance: 2 Myths Dispelled Spreading the Nerd Word

SE LOUISIANA
Predictions for Future Games
Scores & Results
RPI Breakdown

Record: 9-16
Power Rating: 68.061
Ranking: 264

0-1 v #1-25
0-1 v #26-50
0-1 v #51-100
0-6 v #101-200
9-7 v #201-327

Home Ratings (6-5): 67.710 (260) 0-0 v #1-25 0-0 v #26-50 0-1 v #51-100 0-2 v #101-200 6-2 v #201-327 League Power Rankings: 6-4 66.952 Non-League Power Ratings: 0-1 71.811 Last Ten Ratings: 3-2 68.530

Away Ratings (3-11): 68.507 (256)
0-1 v #1-25
0-1 v #26-50
0-0 v #51-100
0-4 v #101-200
3-5 v #201-327
League Power Rankings: 3-7 69.686
Non-League Power Ratings: 0-4 67.186
Last Ten Ratings: 2-3 72.624

Neutral Ratings (0-0): 68.061 (219) 0-0 v #1-25 0-0 v #26-50 0-0 v #51-100 0-0 v #101-200 0-0 v #201-327 League Power Rankings: 0-0 68.061 Non-League Power Ratings: 0-0 68.061 Last Ten Ratings: 0-0 68.061

League Power Rankings (9-11): 68.304 (259)
0-0 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
0-0 v #51-100
0-4 v #101-200
9-7 v #201-327
Home Ratings: 6-4 66.952
Away Ratings: 3-7 69.686
Neutral Ratings: 0-0 68.061
Last Ten Ratings: 5-5 70.546

Non-League Power Ratings (0-5): 63.811 (295) 0-1 v #1-25 0-1 v #26-50 0-1 v #51-100 0-2 v #101-200 0-0 v #201-327 Home Ratings: 0-1 71.811 Away Ratings: 0-4 67.186 Neutral Ratings: 0-0 68.061 Last Ten Ratings: 0-0 68.061

Wins Power Rankings: 66.811 (264)
0-1 v #1-25
0-1 v #26-50
0-1 v #51-100
0-6 v #101-200
9-7 v #201-327
Home Ratings: 6-5 66.233
Away Ratings: 3-11 67.561
Neutral Ratings: 0-0 66.811
Last Ten Ratings: 5-5 70.952

Rankings: Points: 69.499 (264) 0-1 v #1-25 0-1 v #26-50 0-2 v #51-100 0-7 v #101-200 9-5 v #201-327 Home Ratings: 6-5 69.179 Away Ratings: 3-11 69.858 Neutral Ratings: 0-0 69.499 League Power Rankings: 9-11 69.639 Non-League Power Ratings: 0-5 67.811 Last Ten Ratings: 5-5 71.483

Last Ten Ratings (5-5): 71.264 (219)
0-0 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
0-0 v #51-100
0-3 v #101-200
5-2 v #201-327
Home Ratings: 3-2 68.530
Away Ratings: 2-3 72.624
Neutral Ratings: 0-0 68.061
League Power Rankings: 5-5 70.546
Non-League Power Ratings: 0-0 68.061

Home Advantage: 3.1596 (176)

Difficulty of Schedule for a Top Five Team: 0.0361 (198)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #15 team: 0.1031 (236)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #45 team: 0.1769 (251)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #100 team: 0.2622 (253)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #150 team: 0.4023 (251)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #270 team: 0.7040 (248)

Upward Stability: 1.0505 (226)

Downward Stability: 0.9504 (256)

RPI
RPI: 0.4488 (252)
0-1 v #1-25
0-1 v #26-50
0-4 v #51-100
4-5 v #101-200
5-5 v #201-327

RPI Home (6-5): 0.4933 (230) 0-0 v #1-25 0-1 v #26-50 0-2 v #51-100 3-0 v #101-200 3-2 v #201-327

RPI Away (3-11): 0.4142 (247)
0-1 v #1-25
0-1 v #26-50
0-0 v #51-100
1-4 v #101-200
2-5 v #201-327

RPI Neutral (0-0): 0.4488 (192) 0-0 v #1-25 0-0 v #26-50 0-0 v #51-100 0-0 v #101-200 0-0 v #201-327

RPI League (9-11): 0.4517 (245)
0-0 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
0-4 v #51-100
0-2 v #101-200
9-5 v #201-327

RPI Non-League (0-5): 0.4415 (246) 0-1 v #1-25 0-1 v #26-50 0-1 v #51-100 0-2 v #101-200 0-0 v #201-327

RPI Strength of Schedule: 0.4784 (204)



GAMES

Date	Site	Score	Opponent
11/22/2002	Away	L 58-80	vs. #109 Vanderbilt
11/25/2002	Home	L 81-87	vs. #69 Troy St
12/2/2002	Away	L 47-77	vs. #37 Auburn
12/7/2002	Away	L 69-77	vs. #182 New Orleans
12/14/2002	Away	L 55-89	vs. #4 Pittsburgh
12/28/2002	Away	W 68-60	vs. #320 Nicholls St
12/30/2002	Home	W 51-49	vs. #305 Northwestern St
1/2/2003	Away	L 65-74	vs. #138 Sam Houston
1/4/2003	Away	L 55-63	vs. #249 Lamar
1/9/2003	Home	L 50-65	vs. #203 Texas Arlington
1/11/2003	Home	L 55-58	vs. #166 Stephen Austin
1/16/2003	Away	L 59-65	vs. #305 Northwestern St
1/18/2003	Away	L 67-74	vs. #252 Ul Monroe
1/25/2003	Home	W 58-54	vs. #320 Nicholls St
1/30/2003	Home	W 72-53	vs. #276 Tex San Antonio
2/1/2003	Home	W 82-77	vs. #216 SW Texas St
2/6/2003	Home	L 69-74	vs. #138 Sam Houston
2/8/2003	Home	W 67-57	vs. #249 Lamar
2/13/2003	Away	L 68-73	vs. #203 Texas Arlington
2/15/2003	Away	L 51-67	vs. #166 Stephen Austin
2/20/2003	Home	L 58-70	vs. #252 Ul Monroe
2/22/2003	Home	W 74-67	vs. #212 McNeese St
3/1/2003	Away	W 81-78	vs. #212 McNeese St
3/5/2003	Away	L 69-80	vs. #276 Tex San Antonio
3/7/2003	Away	W 75-70	vs. #216 SW Texas St

FUTURE GAMES

Date

Site

Win Probability

Margin

Opponent

Opp. Rating

(Opp. Specific Rating)