NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

Read the full article -- No comments »

Printable NCAA Bracket

Recent Articles: Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2) Wall St. Journal Competition Results Strategies on filling out that NCAA Tournament Bracket — SmartStats and BracketBrains NCAA Basketball Coaches Gone Wild (1 of 2) Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (1 of 2) 2008 Conference Tournaments: Brackets & Odds March Madness Performance: 2 Myths Dispelled Spreading the Nerd Word

SYRACUSE
Predictions for Future Games
Scores & Results
RPI Breakdown

Record: 30-5
Power Rating: 93.604
Ranking: 2

9-4 v #1-25
4-0 v #26-50
9-0 v #51-100
2-1 v #101-200
6-0 v #201-327

Home Ratings (17-0): 95.354 (5) 3-0 v #1-25 2-0 v #26-50 5-0 v #51-100 1-0 v #101-200 6-0 v #201-327 League Power Rankings: 8-0 88.963 Non-League Power Ratings: 9-0 91.854 Last Ten Ratings: 1-0 83.979

Away Ratings (6-3): 91.885 (7)
2-2 v #1-25
1-0 v #26-50
2-0 v #51-100
1-1 v #101-200
0-0 v #201-327
League Power Rankings: 5-3 89.463
Non-League Power Ratings: 1-0 92.104
Last Ten Ratings: 1-0 96.666

Neutral Ratings (7-2): 94.479 (4) 4-2 v #1-25 1-0 v #26-50 2-0 v #51-100 0-0 v #101-200 0-0 v #201-327 League Power Rankings: 1-1 82.698 Non-League Power Ratings: 6-1 94.666 Last Ten Ratings: 7-1 92.854

League Power Rankings (14-4): 90.823 (7)
3-3 v #1-25
3-0 v #26-50
6-0 v #51-100
2-1 v #101-200
0-0 v #201-327
Home Ratings: 8-0 88.963
Away Ratings: 5-3 89.463
Neutral Ratings: 1-1 82.698
Last Ten Ratings: 3-1 87.088

Non-League Power Ratings (16-1): 98.416 (1) 6-1 v #1-25 1-0 v #26-50 3-0 v #51-100 0-0 v #101-200 6-0 v #201-327 Home Ratings: 9-0 91.854 Away Ratings: 1-0 92.104 Neutral Ratings: 6-1 94.666 Last Ten Ratings: 6-0 96.620

Wins Power Rankings: 97.913 (2)
8-4 v #1-25
5-0 v #26-50
9-0 v #51-100
2-1 v #101-200
6-0 v #201-327
Home Ratings: 17-0 103.97
Away Ratings: 6-3 95.608
Neutral Ratings: 7-2 98.678
Last Ten Ratings: 9-1 102.69

Rankings: Points: 88.418 (5) 9-4 v #1-25 5-0 v #26-50 9-0 v #51-100 1-1 v #101-200 6-0 v #201-327 Home Ratings: 17-0 88.809 Away Ratings: 6-3 87.317 Neutral Ratings: 7-2 89.137 League Power Rankings: 14-4 86.426 Non-League Power Ratings: 16-1 91.387 Last Ten Ratings: 9-1 90.082

Last Ten Ratings (9-1): 96.901 (2)
3-1 v #1-25
2-0 v #26-50
3-0 v #51-100
1-0 v #101-200
0-0 v #201-327
Home Ratings: 1-0 83.979
Away Ratings: 1-0 96.666
Neutral Ratings: 7-1 92.854
League Power Rankings: 3-1 87.088
Non-League Power Ratings: 6-0 96.620

Home Advantage: 6.1283 (114)

Difficulty of Schedule for a Top Five Team: 0.1282 (10)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #15 team: 0.3186 (6)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #45 team: 0.4709 (8)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #100 team: 0.5932 (8)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #150 team: 0.7225 (12)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #270 team: 0.8887 (34)

Upward Stability: 0.9433 (283)

Downward Stability: 1.3813 (31)

RPI
RPI: 0.6546 (2)
8-3 v #1-25
5-1 v #26-50
7-0 v #51-100
4-1 v #101-200
6-0 v #201-327

RPI Home (17-0): 0.6506 (12) 2-0 v #1-25 3-0 v #26-50 1-0 v #51-100 6-0 v #101-200 5-0 v #201-327

RPI Away (6-3): 0.6111 (6)
1-1 v #1-25
1-1 v #26-50
2-1 v #51-100
1-0 v #101-200
1-0 v #201-327

RPI Neutral (7-2): 0.7052 (3) 2-1 v #1-25 3-1 v #26-50 2-0 v #51-100 0-0 v #101-200 0-0 v #201-327

RPI League (14-4): 0.6428 (6)
3-1 v #1-25
3-2 v #26-50
3-0 v #51-100
4-1 v #101-200
1-0 v #201-327

RPI Non-League (16-1): 0.6663 (2) 6-0 v #1-25 1-1 v #26-50 3-0 v #51-100 0-0 v #101-200 6-0 v #201-327

RPI Strength of Schedule: 0.5871 (10)



GAMES

Date	Site	Score	Opponent
11/14/2002	Neut	L 63-70	vs. #22 Memphis
11/24/2002	Home	W 81-66	vs. #94 Valparaiso
12/3/2002	Home	W 98-68	vs. #241 Colgate
12/6/2002	Home	W 85-62	vs. #287 Cornell
12/10/2002	Home	W 92-65	vs. #284 NC Greensboro
12/14/2002	Home	W 94-58	vs. #213 Binghamton
12/21/2002	Home	W 92-65	vs. #63 Georgia Tech
12/28/2002	Home	W 109-79	vs. #307 Albany NY
12/30/2002	Home	W 87-69	vs. #234 Canisius
1/8/2003	Away	W 70-66	vs. #46 Seton Hall
1/11/2003	Home	W 82-74	vs. #41 Boston College
1/13/2003	Home	W 76-69	vs. #21 Missouri
1/18/2003	Away	L 60-73	vs. #4 Pittsburgh
1/22/2003	Home	W 83-65	vs. #46 Seton Hall
1/26/2003	Away	W 54-49	vs. #122 Miami Fla
1/29/2003	Away	L 65-68	vs. #108 Rutgers
2/1/2003	Home	W 67-65	vs. #4 Pittsburgh
2/3/2003	Home	W 88-80	vs. #70 Georgetown
2/8/2003	Away	W 94-80	vs. #91 West Virginia
2/10/2003	Away	L 61-75	vs. #16 Connecticut
2/15/2003	Home	W 82-80	vs. #15 Notre Dame
2/18/2003	Home	W 66-60	vs. #61 St Johns
2/23/2003	Away	W 76-75	vs. #23 Michigan St
2/26/2003	Home	W 89-51	vs. #91 West Virginia
3/1/2003	Away	W 93-84	vs. #70 Georgetown
3/4/2003	Away	W 92-88	vs. #15 Notre Dame
3/9/2003	Home	W 83-74	vs. #108 Rutgers
3/13/2003	Neut	W 74-69	vs. #70 Georgetown
3/14/2003	Neut	L 67-80	vs. #16 Connecticut
3/21/2003	Neut	W 76-65	vs. #57 Manhattan
3/23/2003	Neut	W 68-56	vs. #24 Oklahoma St
3/28/2003	Neut	W 79-78	vs. #37 Auburn
3/30/2003	Neut	W 63-47	vs. #8 Oklahoma
4/5/2003	Neut	W 95-84	vs. #6 Texas
4/7/2003	Neut	W 81-78	vs. #5 Kansas

FUTURE GAMES

Date

Site

Win Probability

Margin

Opponent

Opp. Rating

(Opp. Specific Rating)