NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

Read the full article -- No comments »

Printable NCAA Bracket

Recent Articles: Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2) Wall St. Journal Competition Results Strategies on filling out that NCAA Tournament Bracket — SmartStats and BracketBrains NCAA Basketball Coaches Gone Wild (1 of 2) Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (1 of 2) 2008 Conference Tournaments: Brackets & Odds March Madness Performance: 2 Myths Dispelled Spreading the Nerd Word

TEXAS A&M
Predictions for Future Games
Scores & Results
RPI Breakdown

Record: 14-14
Power Rating: 80.126
Ranking: 89

1-7 v #1-25
3-2 v #26-50
2-2 v #51-100
3-2 v #101-200
5-1 v #201-327

Home Ratings (10-4): 82.908 (62) 1-3 v #1-25 2-0 v #26-50 2-0 v #51-100 2-0 v #101-200 3-1 v #201-327 League Power Rankings: 5-3 83.408 Non-League Power Ratings: 5-1 78.251 Last Ten Ratings: 3-2 84.767

Away Ratings (2-8): 78.033 (119)
0-4 v #1-25
0-2 v #26-50
0-1 v #51-100
1-1 v #101-200
1-0 v #201-327
League Power Rankings: 1-7 80.001
Non-League Power Ratings: 1-1 77.439
Last Ten Ratings: 0-4 79.470

Neutral Ratings (2-2): 75.251 (156) 0-0 v #1-25 1-0 v #26-50 0-1 v #51-100 0-1 v #101-200 1-0 v #201-327 League Power Rankings: 0-1 55.126 Non-League Power Ratings: 2-1 76.158 Last Ten Ratings: 0-1 55.126

League Power Rankings (6-11): 80.767 (79)
1-7 v #1-25
1-2 v #26-50
2-2 v #51-100
2-0 v #101-200
0-0 v #201-327
Home Ratings: 5-3 83.408
Away Ratings: 1-7 80.001
Neutral Ratings: 0-1 55.126
Last Ten Ratings: 3-7 81.040

Non-League Power Ratings (8-3): 78.501 (113) 0-0 v #1-25 2-0 v #26-50 0-0 v #51-100 1-2 v #101-200 5-1 v #201-327 Home Ratings: 5-1 78.251 Away Ratings: 1-1 77.439 Neutral Ratings: 2-1 76.158 Last Ten Ratings: 0-0 80.126

Wins Power Rankings: 81.122 (85)
1-7 v #1-25
3-2 v #26-50
2-2 v #51-100
3-2 v #101-200
5-1 v #201-327
Home Ratings: 10-4 83.951
Away Ratings: 2-8 78.904
Neutral Ratings: 2-2 76.529
Last Ten Ratings: 3-7 81.013

Rankings: Points: 78.872 (94) 1-7 v #1-25 2-2 v #26-50 3-2 v #51-100 3-2 v #101-200 5-1 v #201-327 Home Ratings: 10-4 81.482 Away Ratings: 2-8 77.216 Neutral Ratings: 2-2 73.279 League Power Rankings: 6-11 79.333 Non-League Power Ratings: 8-3 77.747 Last Ten Ratings: 3-7 79.232

Last Ten Ratings (3-7): 80.173 (90)
0-3 v #1-25
1-2 v #26-50
2-2 v #51-100
0-0 v #101-200
0-0 v #201-327
Home Ratings: 3-2 84.767
Away Ratings: 0-4 79.470
Neutral Ratings: 0-1 55.126
League Power Rankings: 3-7 81.040
Non-League Power Ratings: 0-0 80.126

Home Advantage: 9.6261 (46)

Difficulty of Schedule for a Top Five Team: 0.1152 (28)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #15 team: 0.2778 (34)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #45 team: 0.4141 (43)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #100 team: 0.5341 (49)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #150 team: 0.6699 (60)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #270 team: 0.8694 (66)

Upward Stability: 1.1372 (155)

Downward Stability: 1.0471 (223)

RPI
RPI: 0.5507 (69)
1-7 v #1-25
2-2 v #26-50
2-1 v #51-100
4-3 v #101-200
5-1 v #201-327

RPI Home (10-4): 0.5972 (61) 1-2 v #1-25 0-1 v #26-50 2-0 v #51-100 5-0 v #101-200 2-1 v #201-327

RPI Away (2-8): 0.4905 (97)
0-4 v #1-25
0-1 v #26-50
0-1 v #51-100
1-1 v #101-200
1-1 v #201-327

RPI Neutral (2-2): 0.5388 (110) 0-1 v #1-25 0-0 v #26-50 1-1 v #51-100 0-0 v #101-200 1-0 v #201-327

RPI League (6-11): 0.5431 (81)
1-7 v #1-25
0-1 v #26-50
1-1 v #51-100
4-2 v #101-200
0-0 v #201-327

RPI Non-League (8-3): 0.5613 (63) 0-0 v #1-25 1-0 v #26-50 0-0 v #51-100 1-3 v #101-200 6-0 v #201-327

RPI Strength of Schedule: 0.5676 (31)



GAMES

Date	Site	Score	Opponent
11/24/2002	Home	W 70-55	vs. #274 Texas Southern
11/26/2002	Away	L 72-78	vs. #122 Miami Fla
11/30/2002	Neut	W 79-77	vs. #33 LSU
12/2/2002	Home	W 71-65	vs. #192 Oakland
12/4/2002	Home	W 83-66	vs. #48 Tennessee
12/7/2002	Away	W 83-78	vs. #239 Prairie View
12/15/2002	Home	L 75-80	vs. #276 Tex San Antonio
12/22/2002	Home	W 107-66	vs. #252 Ul Monroe
12/27/2002	Neut	L 62-76	vs. #152 Princeton
12/28/2002	Neut	W 65-56	vs. #265 Miss Valley St
1/2/2003	Home	W 90-66	vs. #251 Centenary
1/11/2003	Home	L 76-93	vs. #24 Oklahoma St
1/15/2003	Away	W 53-52	vs. #139 Nebraska
1/18/2003	Away	L 61-89	vs. #6 Texas
1/25/2003	Home	W 79-66	vs. #101 Kansas St
1/28/2003	Away	L 68-75	vs. #8 Oklahoma
2/1/2003	Home	W 64-59	vs. #45 Texas Tech
2/4/2003	Away	L 69-77	vs. #99 Baylor
2/8/2003	Home	L 87-95	vs. #6 Texas
2/12/2003	Home	W 73-71	vs. #21 Missouri
2/15/2003	Away	L 83-98	vs. #38 Colorado
2/19/2003	Home	W 66-54	vs. #75 Iowa St
2/22/2003	Away	L 69-70	vs. #45 Texas Tech
2/26/2003	Away	L 45-85	vs. #5 Kansas
3/1/2003	Home	L 64-69	vs. #8 Oklahoma
3/5/2003	Home	W 79-60	vs. #99 Baylor
3/8/2003	Away	L 52-77	vs. #24 Oklahoma St
3/13/2003	Neut	L 70-97	vs. #75 Iowa St

FUTURE GAMES

Date

Site

Win Probability

Margin

Opponent

Opp. Rating

(Opp. Specific Rating)