NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

Read the full article -- No comments »

Printable NCAA Bracket

Recent Articles: Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2) Wall St. Journal Competition Results Strategies on filling out that NCAA Tournament Bracket — SmartStats and BracketBrains NCAA Basketball Coaches Gone Wild (1 of 2) Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (1 of 2) 2008 Conference Tournaments: Brackets & Odds March Madness Performance: 2 Myths Dispelled Spreading the Nerd Word

TEX SAN ANTONIO
Predictions for Future Games
Scores & Results
RPI Breakdown

Record: 9-17
Power Rating: 67.057
Ranking: 276

0-1 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
1-2 v #51-100
1-5 v #101-200
7-9 v #201-327

Home Ratings (4-7): 63.401 (296) 0-0 v #1-25 0-0 v #26-50 0-1 v #51-100 0-2 v #101-200 4-4 v #201-327 League Power Rankings: 4-6 63.549 Non-League Power Ratings: 0-1 65.057 Last Ten Ratings: 3-3 64.510

Away Ratings (4-10): 70.065 (241)
0-1 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
1-1 v #51-100
0-3 v #101-200
3-5 v #201-327
League Power Rankings: 3-7 68.198
Non-League Power Ratings: 1-3 79.838
Last Ten Ratings: 1-3 71.104

Neutral Ratings (1-0): 85.807 (56) 0-0 v #1-25 0-0 v #26-50 0-0 v #51-100 1-0 v #101-200 0-0 v #201-327 League Power Rankings: 0-0 67.057 Non-League Power Ratings: 1-0 79.182 Last Ten Ratings: 0-0 67.057

League Power Rankings (7-13): 65.319 (287)
0-0 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
0-0 v #51-100
0-4 v #101-200
7-9 v #201-327
Home Ratings: 4-6 63.549
Away Ratings: 3-7 68.198
Neutral Ratings: 0-0 67.057
Last Ten Ratings: 4-6 66.495

Non-League Power Ratings (2-4): 77.995 (122) 0-1 v #1-25 0-0 v #26-50 1-2 v #51-100 1-1 v #101-200 0-0 v #201-327 Home Ratings: 0-1 65.057 Away Ratings: 1-3 79.838 Neutral Ratings: 1-0 79.182 Last Ten Ratings: 0-0 67.057

Wins Power Rankings: 65.776 (277)
0-1 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
1-2 v #51-100
1-5 v #101-200
7-9 v #201-327
Home Ratings: 4-7 61.166
Away Ratings: 4-10 69.807
Neutral Ratings: 1-0 93.276
Last Ten Ratings: 4-6 64.026

Rankings: Points: 68.475 (283) 0-1 v #1-25 0-2 v #26-50 1-0 v #51-100 1-7 v #101-200 7-7 v #201-327 Home Ratings: 4-7 65.936 Away Ratings: 4-10 70.514 Neutral Ratings: 1-0 79.225 League Power Rankings: 7-13 67.217 Non-League Power Ratings: 2-4 76.288 Last Ten Ratings: 4-6 68.342

Last Ten Ratings (4-6): 66.034 (277)
0-0 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
0-0 v #51-100
0-3 v #101-200
4-3 v #201-327
Home Ratings: 3-3 64.510
Away Ratings: 1-3 71.104
Neutral Ratings: 0-0 67.057
League Power Rankings: 4-6 66.495
Non-League Power Ratings: 0-0 67.057

Home Advantage: -3.757 (306)

Difficulty of Schedule for a Top Five Team: 0.0320 (225)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #15 team: 0.1001 (242)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #45 team: 0.1783 (249)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #100 team: 0.2667 (251)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #150 team: 0.4048 (248)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #270 team: 0.7039 (250)

Upward Stability: 1.0723 (208)

Downward Stability: 0.9332 (265)

RPI
RPI: 0.4461 (256)
0-1 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
1-4 v #51-100
2-8 v #101-200
6-4 v #201-327

RPI Home (4-7): 0.4409 (287) 0-0 v #1-25 0-1 v #26-50 0-2 v #51-100 2-1 v #101-200 2-3 v #201-327

RPI Away (4-10): 0.4368 (206)
0-1 v #1-25
0-1 v #26-50
1-0 v #51-100
0-4 v #101-200
3-4 v #201-327

RPI Neutral (1-0): 0.0 (297) 0-0 v #1-25 0-0 v #26-50 0-0 v #51-100 1-0 v #101-200 0-0 v #201-327

RPI League (7-13): 0.4217 (281)
0-0 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
0-4 v #51-100
0-2 v #101-200
7-7 v #201-327

RPI Non-League (2-4): 0.5281 (109) 0-1 v #1-25 0-0 v #26-50 1-3 v #51-100 1-0 v #101-200 0-0 v #201-327

RPI Strength of Schedule: 0.4795 (200)



GAMES

Date	Site	Score	Opponent
11/22/2002	Neut	W 76-71	vs. #180 Idaho St
11/23/2002	Away	L 68-80	vs. #7 Marquette
11/26/2002	Home	L 52-66	vs. #55 NC Wilmington
12/1/2002	Away	L 53-69	vs. #139 Nebraska
12/15/2002	Away	W 80-75	vs. #89 Texas A&M
12/21/2002	Away	L 60-71	vs. #55 NC Wilmington
12/28/2002	Away	L 59-71	vs. #203 Texas Arlington
1/2/2003	Away	L 67-76	vs. #305 Northwestern St
1/4/2003	Away	W 82-65	vs. #252 Ul Monroe
1/9/2003	Home	W 81-79	vs. #249 Lamar
1/11/2003	Home	L 65-82	vs. #138 Sam Houston
1/18/2003	Home	L 51-66	vs. #212 McNeese St
1/22/2003	Home	L 66-77	vs. #166 Stephen Austin
1/25/2003	Away	L 76-85	vs. #216 SW Texas St
1/30/2003	Away	L 53-72	vs. #264 SE Louisiana
2/1/2003	Away	W 83-81	vs. #320 Nicholls St
2/6/2003	Home	L 63-73	vs. #305 Northwestern St
2/8/2003	Home	L 61-71	vs. #252 Ul Monroe
2/13/2003	Away	W 61-53	vs. #249 Lamar
2/15/2003	Away	L 50-72	vs. #138 Sam Houston
2/20/2003	Away	L 66-72	vs. #212 McNeese St
2/24/2003	Home	W 83-73	vs. #216 SW Texas St
2/27/2003	Away	L 45-76	vs. #166 Stephen Austin
3/1/2003	Home	L 60-68	vs. #203 Texas Arlington
3/5/2003	Home	W 80-69	vs. #264 SE Louisiana
3/7/2003	Home	W 79-60	vs. #320 Nicholls St

FUTURE GAMES

Date

Site

Win Probability

Margin

Opponent

Opp. Rating

(Opp. Specific Rating)