NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

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  Printable NCAA Bracket
2008 Printable NCAA Tournament Bracket

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Games against non-D1 teams not considered in power rankings or predictions.

Difficulty of Schedule for the #15 team

By division
Last Updated Tue Apr 06 11:39:01 EDT 2004

Home Advantage = 3.7988

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
1. Maryland (20-12)0.4307
2. Georgia Tech (28-10)0.4258
3. North Carolina (19-11)0.4257
4. Clemson (10-18)0.4195
5. Wake Forest (21-10)0.4071
6. North Carolina St (21-10)0.4019
7. Duke (31-6)0.3902
8. Florida St (18-14)0.3834
9. Virginia (18-13)0.3721
10. Alabama (20-13)0.3635

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
11. Georgia (16-14)0.3505
12. Connecticut (33-6)0.3460
13. Villanova (17-16)0.3366
14. Florida (20-11)0.3334
15. Texas (25-8)0.3270
16. Syracuse (23-8)0.3244
17. Missouri (16-14)0.3199
18. Vanderbilt (23-10)0.3181
19. Notre Dame (19-13)0.3181
20. Tennessee (15-14)0.3173

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
21. Pittsburgh (30-5)0.3161
22. Kansas (23-9)0.3160
23. Texas Tech (22-11)0.3156
24. Providence (20-9)0.3143
25. Boston College (24-10)0.3102
26. St Johns (6-21)0.3047
27. Seton Hall (20-10)0.3046
28. Michigan St (18-12)0.3033
29. Oklahoma St (30-4)0.3029
30. Kentucky (27-5)0.2998

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
31. Iowa St (19-13)0.2955
32. Indiana (14-15)0.2947
33. Arkansas (12-16)0.2902
34. LSU (18-11)0.2881
35. Wisconsin (25-7)0.2873
36. South Carolina (23-11)0.2869
37. Xavier (26-11)0.2856
38. Oklahoma (20-10)0.2848
39. Illinois (26-7)0.2824
40. Virginia Tech (15-14)0.2823

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
41. Mississippi (13-15)0.2811
42. West Virginia (17-14)0.2766
43. Rutgers (19-13)0.2752
44. Colorado (17-11)0.2750
45. Louisville (20-10)0.2734
46. Richmond (20-13)0.2733
47. Texas A&M (7-21)0.2722
48. Auburn (14-14)0.2717
49. Georgetown (13-15)0.2674
50. Cincinnati (25-7)0.2674

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
51. Mississippi St (26-4)0.2664
52. Baylor (7-20)0.2650
53. Iowa (16-13)0.2634
54. Memphis (22-8)0.2612
55. St Louis (19-13)0.2606
56. Purdue (17-14)0.2603
57. Uab (22-10)0.2575
58. Geo Washington (18-12)0.2573
59. Kansas St (14-14)0.2569
60. St Josephs (30-2)0.2549

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
61. Northwestern (14-15)0.2547
62. Penn St (9-19)0.2547
63. DePaul (22-10)0.2540
64. Miami Fla (13-16)0.2533
65. St Bonaventure (7-21)0.2510
66. Charlotte (21-9)0.2501
67. Oregon (18-13)0.2488
68. Washington St (12-16)0.2486
69. Washington (19-12)0.2477
70. Nebraska (18-13)0.2476

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
71. BYU (18-9)0.2467
72. Nevada (24-9)0.2458
73. Ohio St (14-16)0.2440
74. Minnesota (12-18)0.2427
75. Fordham (6-22)0.2417
76. Michigan (23-11)0.2401
77. California (13-15)0.2373
78. South Florida (7-20)0.2366
79. UCLA (11-17)0.2366
80. Massachusetts (10-19)0.2366

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
81. USC (13-15)0.2298
82. Temple (15-14)0.2293
83. Marquette (18-12)0.2281
84. Arizona (20-10)0.2244
85. SMU (12-18)0.2238
86. TCU (12-17)0.2230
87. Tulane (10-17)0.2206
88. Duquesne (12-17)0.2200
89. Louisiana Tech (13-15)0.2194
90. San Diego St (12-16)0.2170

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
91. Arizona St (10-17)0.2161
92. Rhode Island (20-13)0.2152
93. Oregon St (11-16)0.2146
94. Tulsa (9-20)0.2145
95. SO Mississippi (12-15)0.2138
96. Unlv (17-13)0.2126
97. Utah (22-9)0.2125
98. Rice (21-11)0.2120
99. East Carolina (12-14)0.2118
100. Hawaii (20-12)0.2117

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
101. Dayton (24-9)0.2081
102. Texas El Paso (22-8)0.2078
103. Fresno St (13-15)0.2024
104. Houston (9-18)0.2021
105. Stanford (30-2)0.1999
106. La Salle (10-20)0.1997
107. Colorado St (12-15)0.1957
108. San Jose St (5-22)0.1954
109. Portland (11-17)0.1922
110. Boise St (21-10)0.1887

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
111. Pepperdine (15-16)0.1872
112. New Mexico (12-14)0.1872
113. Gonzaga (28-3)0.1847
114. St Marys CA (16-12)0.1817
115. Wyoming (11-16)0.1816
116. Davidson (14-12)0.1816
117. San Francisco (16-14)0.1783
118. Santa Clara (15-16)0.1771
119. Ul Lafayette (18-9)0.1743
120. San Diego (3-26)0.1735

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
121. Air Force (22-7)0.1717
122. Wisc Milwaukee (19-11)0.1715
123. Hofstra (14-15)0.1679
124. Illinois St (9-19)0.1673
125. IPFW (2-24)0.1654
126. Toledo (20-11)0.1646
127. Wofford (6-20)0.1645
128. Appalachian St (8-21)0.1642
129. Mercer (11-18)0.1633
130. Evansville (7-22)0.1630

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
131. Pacific (24-8)0.1608
132. Northern Iowa (20-10)0.1587
133. NC Wilmington (15-15)0.1569
134. Marshall (12-17)0.1563
135. Loyola Chi (9-20)0.1558
136. William & Mary (7-21)0.1537
137. Chicago St (11-20)0.1522
138. Eastern Wash (16-13)0.1511
139. Savannah St (4-23)0.1498
140. Idaho (13-16)0.1490

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
141. Youngstown St (7-20)0.1485
142. South Alabama (10-16)0.1484
143. Old Dominion (17-12)0.1478
144. VA Commonwealth (23-8)0.1476
145. Austin Peay (20-10)0.1465
146. Oakland (11-17)0.1465
147. Wichita St (20-11)0.1457
148. Central Mich (5-24)0.1455
149. SW Missouri St (19-14)0.1451
150. Tennessee St (6-20)0.1445

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
151. Elon (10-18)0.1444
152. Southern Ill (25-5)0.1444
153. Drake (11-16)0.1440
154. George Mason (23-10)0.1417
155. Bradley (15-15)0.1408
156. Ball St (13-15)0.1403
157. Samford (8-16)0.1395
158. Tenn Martin (8-18)0.1386
159. New Orleans (16-14)0.1385
160. Loyola Marymnt (14-14)0.1377

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
161. Creighton (20-9)0.1361
162. Indiana St (9-19)0.1358
163. Cleveland St (2-25)0.1356
164. Texas A&M-CC (11-11)0.1352
165. Iona (11-18)0.1352
166. Manhattan (25-6)0.1350
167. Valparaiso (17-13)0.1349
168. Miami Ohio (17-11)0.1346
169. Detroit (19-11)0.1345
170. Wisc Green Bay (16-11)0.1336

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
171. Siena (14-16)0.1335
172. Drexel (18-11)0.1322
173. Chattanooga (16-11)0.1319
174. Southern Utah (8-18)0.1305
175. NC Greensboro (10-17)0.1300
176. TX Pan American (10-14)0.1297
177. Montana (8-18)0.1286
178. Tennessee Tech (10-15)0.1283
179. Fairfield (19-11)0.1277
180. Gardner-Webb (7-20)0.1274

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
181. Yale (11-15)0.1272
182. UC Irvine (10-17)0.1269
183. Akron (13-15)0.1263
184. CS Northridge (13-16)0.1263
185. Northern Ill (8-19)0.1262
186. Ohio (10-20)0.1261
187. Illinois Chi (24-8)0.1260
188. Canisius (10-19)0.1248
189. Western KY (13-13)0.1246
190. Central Florida (24-6)0.1236

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
191. Bowling Green (12-17)0.1236
192. New Mexico St (11-14)0.1230
193. Butler (15-14)0.1217
194. UC Riverside (10-17)0.1214
195. Florida Intl (3-22)0.1213
196. UC Santa Barbara (15-12)0.1211
197. Towson (8-21)0.1210
198. James Madison (7-21)0.1204
199. Belmont (20-9)0.1202
200. Kent (21-9)0.1202

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
201. Stetson (10-15)0.1202
202. Liberty (17-15)0.1200
203. Middle Tenn St (15-12)0.1199
204. Morehead St (13-13)0.1198
205. Delaware (16-12)0.1196
206. Cal Poly (10-16)0.1192
207. NC Asheville (7-20)0.1183
208. St Peters (17-12)0.1181
209. Princeton (19-8)0.1178
210. Murray St (25-6)0.1177

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
211. Eastern KY (12-15)0.1168
212. Denver (13-13)0.1166
213. Coll Of Charltn (19-9)0.1164
214. Western Mich (26-5)0.1161
215. Long Beach St (5-21)0.1159
216. East Tenn St (24-6)0.1141
217. Eastern Ill (4-20)0.1138
218. Western Ill (3-24)0.1137
219. Pennsylvania (17-10)0.1137
220. Westrn Carolina (9-15)0.1133

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
221. Wright St (14-13)0.1133
222. Marist (6-22)0.1128
223. Georgia St (18-9)0.1127
224. Eastern Mich (10-15)0.1126
225. CS Fullerton (10-17)0.1120
226. Weber St (13-14)0.1107
227. Fla Atlantic (7-19)0.1107
228. Portland St (9-16)0.1088
229. Iupui (19-11)0.1071
230. SE Missouri St (9-16)0.1066

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
231. Lipscomb (5-21)0.1065
232. Campbell (3-24)0.1063
233. Niagara (22-10)0.1042
234. McNeese St (8-16)0.1031
235. Troy St (23-6)0.1024
236. North Texas (11-15)0.1024
237. Buffalo (17-12)0.1010
238. The Citadel (3-21)0.1008
239. Centenary (14-12)0.1006
240. Arkansas Lr (14-12)0.0994

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
241. Brown (13-13)0.0993
242. Utah St (24-4)0.0977
243. Ul Monroe (9-19)0.0971
244. Boston U (23-6)0.0966
245. Oral Roberts (15-11)0.0960
246. Monmouth NJ (21-12)0.0958
247. Jacksonville (11-15)0.0949
248. New Hampshire (10-20)0.0946
249. Northeastern (17-11)0.0942
250. Florida A&M (15-17)0.0936

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
251. Idaho St (11-18)0.0934
252. Vermont (22-9)0.0929
253. Northwestern St (8-17)0.0928
254. Sacramento St (11-15)0.0915
255. Loyola MD (1-27)0.0913
256. Binghamton (14-16)0.0910
257. Harvard (4-23)0.0910
258. Arkansas St (15-11)0.0903
259. Holy Cross (13-14)0.0902
260. Furman (14-12)0.0901

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
261. Geo Southern (18-8)0.0897
262. Columbia (9-17)0.0895
263. Northrn Arizona (13-14)0.0888
264. NO Carolina A&T (3-25)0.0878
265. Tex San Antonio (16-13)0.0878
266. Charleston Sou (4-22)0.0851
267. Sam Houston (9-15)0.0847
268. Mt St Marys (10-19)0.0844
269. Rider (17-13)0.0840
270. Delaware St (13-15)0.0830

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
271. Coast Carolina (12-15)0.0828
272. Coppin St (18-14)0.0825
273. Winthrop (14-12)0.0815
274. Ark Pine Bluff (1-26)0.0813
275. Alabama St (16-15)0.0813
276. Navy (3-23)0.0808
277. Sacred Heart (12-15)0.0804
278. Jacksonville St (12-14)0.0803
279. Stony Brook (10-20)0.0795
280. VMI (4-22)0.0788

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
281. Hartford (11-17)0.0779
282. Cornell (10-16)0.0771
283. Quinnipiac (7-20)0.0770
284. American (18-13)0.0739
285. Mo Kansas City (15-14)0.0735
286. Prairie View (7-20)0.0732
287. Texas Arlington (14-12)0.0732
288. Nicholls St (2-21)0.0728
289. Albany NY (5-23)0.0721
290. Montana St (12-13)0.0718

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
291. Umbc (7-21)0.0703
292. Lafayette (16-10)0.0699
293. High Point (17-11)0.0694
294. Wagner (12-16)0.0672
295. Grambling (9-18)0.0672
296. Bucknell (12-15)0.0667
297. Lehigh (18-11)0.0664
298. Robert Morris (13-15)0.0661
299. Colgate (13-14)0.0651
300. MD Eastrn Shore (8-21)0.0650

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
301. St Francis PA (13-15)0.0640
302. Lamar (7-18)0.0630
303. Maine (18-10)0.0626
304. Jackson St (12-17)0.0609
305. SO Carolina St (17-11)0.0602
306. Fair Dickinson (16-12)0.0579
307. Alabama A&M (13-16)0.0578
308. SE Louisiana (16-9)0.0561
309. Army (4-21)0.0559
310. SW Texas St (9-14)0.0552

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
311. Radford (10-16)0.0551
312. Central Conn (14-14)0.0545
313. Dartmouth (2-24)0.0544
314. Hampton (13-17)0.0534
315. Liu Brooklyn (8-19)0.0516
316. Birmingham Southern (18-7)0.0505
317. Howard (6-22)0.0498
318. Morgan St (11-16)0.0487
319. Miss Valley St (21-6)0.0468
320. Bethune Cookman (8-21)0.0448

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
321. Texas Southern (13-15)0.0418
322. Stephen Austin (17-9)0.0408
323. Southern (11-16)0.0393
324. Alcorn St (11-18)0.0370
325. St Francis NY (15-13)0.0345
326. Norfolk St (12-16)0.0243
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