NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

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  Printable NCAA Bracket
2008 Printable NCAA Tournament Bracket

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Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)
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Games against non-D1 teams not considered in power rankings or predictions.

Difficulty of Schedule for the #45 team

By division
Last Updated Tue Apr 06 11:39:05 EDT 2004

Home Advantage = 3.7988

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
1. Georgia Tech (28-10)0.5824
2. Maryland (20-12)0.5810
3. Clemson (10-18)0.5754
4. North Carolina (19-11)0.5727
5. Wake Forest (21-10)0.5619
6. North Carolina St (21-10)0.5591
7. Duke (31-6)0.5479
8. Alabama (20-13)0.5252
9. Florida St (18-14)0.5177
10. Virginia (18-13)0.5128

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
11. Florida (20-11)0.5011
12. Connecticut (33-6)0.4967
13. Georgia (16-14)0.4921
14. Villanova (17-16)0.4821
15. Missouri (16-14)0.4787
16. Providence (20-9)0.4755
17. Kansas (23-9)0.4753
18. Texas (25-8)0.4725
19. Syracuse (23-8)0.4712
20. Kentucky (27-5)0.4695

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
21. Vanderbilt (23-10)0.4675
22. Tennessee (15-14)0.4621
23. Notre Dame (19-13)0.4572
24. Texas Tech (22-11)0.4542
25. Seton Hall (20-10)0.4530
26. Pittsburgh (30-5)0.4516
27. Iowa St (19-13)0.4483
28. Oklahoma St (30-4)0.4483
29. Michigan St (18-12)0.4469
30. Indiana (14-15)0.4440

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
31. Boston College (24-10)0.4432
32. St Johns (6-21)0.4412
33. South Carolina (23-11)0.4406
34. Illinois (26-7)0.4402
35. Wisconsin (25-7)0.4390
36. Arkansas (12-16)0.4387
37. LSU (18-11)0.4345
38. West Virginia (17-14)0.4303
39. Mississippi (13-15)0.4273
40. Xavier (26-11)0.4271

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
41. Iowa (16-13)0.4264
42. Colorado (17-11)0.4261
43. Louisville (20-10)0.4237
44. Auburn (14-14)0.4177
45. Rutgers (19-13)0.4171
46. Richmond (20-13)0.4167
47. Mississippi St (26-4)0.4146
48. Cincinnati (25-7)0.4125
49. Oklahoma (20-10)0.4104
50. Virginia Tech (15-14)0.4089

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
51. Northwestern (14-15)0.4084
52. Texas A&M (7-21)0.4050
53. Kansas St (14-14)0.4012
54. St Louis (19-13)0.3994
55. Georgetown (13-15)0.3971
56. Uab (22-10)0.3970
57. Memphis (22-8)0.3968
58. St Josephs (30-2)0.3966
59. DePaul (22-10)0.3958
60. Purdue (17-14)0.3950

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
61. BYU (18-9)0.3920
62. Penn St (9-19)0.3911
63. Nevada (24-9)0.3910
64. Charlotte (21-9)0.3909
65. Oregon (18-13)0.3908
66. St Bonaventure (7-21)0.3876
67. Geo Washington (18-12)0.3862
68. Baylor (7-20)0.3853
69. Washington (19-12)0.3852
70. Nebraska (18-13)0.3846

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
71. Ohio St (14-16)0.3823
72. Washington St (12-16)0.3823
73. Minnesota (12-18)0.3822
74. Michigan (23-11)0.3805
75. UCLA (11-17)0.3790
76. Miami Fla (13-16)0.3790
77. California (13-15)0.3776
78. Temple (15-14)0.3740
79. USC (13-15)0.3718
80. Fordham (6-22)0.3692

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
81. Arizona (20-10)0.3678
82. SMU (12-18)0.3641
83. South Florida (7-20)0.3637
84. San Diego St (12-16)0.3624
85. TCU (12-17)0.3591
86. Marquette (18-12)0.3583
87. Louisiana Tech (13-15)0.3573
88. Tulsa (9-20)0.3558
89. Arizona St (10-17)0.3538
90. Tulane (10-17)0.3523

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
91. SO Mississippi (12-15)0.3512
92. Utah (22-9)0.3508
93. Duquesne (12-17)0.3499
94. Unlv (17-13)0.3493
95. Rice (21-11)0.3485
96. Hawaii (20-12)0.3478
97. Oregon St (11-16)0.3475
98. Fresno St (13-15)0.3440
99. Massachusetts (10-19)0.3431
100. East Carolina (12-14)0.3427

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
101. Texas El Paso (22-8)0.3405
102. Rhode Island (20-13)0.3383
103. Stanford (30-2)0.3369
104. Colorado St (12-15)0.3313
105. Dayton (24-9)0.3304
106. Houston (9-18)0.3303
107. San Jose St (5-22)0.3287
108. Boise St (21-10)0.3260
109. La Salle (10-20)0.3239
110. Wyoming (11-16)0.3202

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
111. New Mexico (12-14)0.3079
112. Portland (11-17)0.3063
113. Gonzaga (28-3)0.3045
114. Evansville (7-22)0.2934
115. Pepperdine (15-16)0.2930
116. San Diego (3-26)0.2925
117. Santa Clara (15-16)0.2923
118. IPFW (2-24)0.2914
119. Air Force (22-7)0.2889
120. St Marys CA (16-12)0.2885

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
121. San Francisco (16-14)0.2880
122. Illinois St (9-19)0.2871
123. Wisc Milwaukee (19-11)0.2849
124. Davidson (14-12)0.2782
125. Ul Lafayette (18-9)0.2779
126. Toledo (20-11)0.2747
127. Appalachian St (8-21)0.2742
128. Wofford (6-20)0.2733
129. Hofstra (14-15)0.2724
130. Northern Iowa (20-10)0.2722

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
131. Loyola Chi (9-20)0.2716
132. Marshall (12-17)0.2694
133. NC Wilmington (15-15)0.2667
134. Southern Ill (25-5)0.2653
135. Mercer (11-18)0.2648
136. SW Missouri St (19-14)0.2629
137. Wichita St (20-11)0.2619
138. Chicago St (11-20)0.2609
139. Drake (11-16)0.2603
140. Pacific (24-8)0.2596

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
141. William & Mary (7-21)0.2587
142. Youngstown St (7-20)0.2573
143. Central Mich (5-24)0.2562
144. Idaho (13-16)0.2546
145. Old Dominion (17-12)0.2537
146. Savannah St (4-23)0.2529
147. Cleveland St (2-25)0.2528
148. Bradley (15-15)0.2523
149. South Alabama (10-16)0.2517
150. Indiana St (9-19)0.2492

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
151. VA Commonwealth (23-8)0.2475
152. Creighton (20-9)0.2472
153. George Mason (23-10)0.2457
154. Eastern Wash (16-13)0.2424
155. Ball St (13-15)0.2419
156. New Orleans (16-14)0.2403
157. Austin Peay (20-10)0.2402
158. Oakland (11-17)0.2385
159. Tennessee St (6-20)0.2383
160. Miami Ohio (17-11)0.2374

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
161. Loyola Marymnt (14-14)0.2366
162. Wisc Green Bay (16-11)0.2344
163. Elon (10-18)0.2327
164. UC Irvine (10-17)0.2323
165. CS Northridge (13-16)0.2318
166. Drexel (18-11)0.2316
167. Western KY (13-13)0.2316
168. Iona (11-18)0.2312
169. Gardner-Webb (7-20)0.2298
170. Manhattan (25-6)0.2296

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
171. Samford (8-16)0.2295
172. Chattanooga (16-11)0.2271
173. Butler (15-14)0.2270
174. Ohio (10-20)0.2269
175. Northern Ill (8-19)0.2267
176. Detroit (19-11)0.2260
177. Illinois Chi (24-8)0.2256
178. UC Riverside (10-17)0.2254
179. New Mexico St (11-14)0.2245
180. Bowling Green (12-17)0.2242

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
181. Siena (14-16)0.2238
182. NC Greensboro (10-17)0.2238
183. Tenn Martin (8-18)0.2233
184. Texas A&M-CC (11-11)0.2228
185. James Madison (7-21)0.2228
186. Cal Poly (10-16)0.2227
187. Towson (8-21)0.2227
188. Southern Utah (8-18)0.2221
189. Kent (21-9)0.2217
190. Montana (8-18)0.2216

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
191. UC Santa Barbara (15-12)0.2203
192. Valparaiso (17-13)0.2192
193. Fairfield (19-11)0.2189
194. Canisius (10-19)0.2182
195. Long Beach St (5-21)0.2180
196. Akron (13-15)0.2178
197. TX Pan American (10-14)0.2174
198. Delaware (16-12)0.2171
199. Western Mich (26-5)0.2169
200. Middle Tenn St (15-12)0.2157

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
201. Wright St (14-13)0.2150
202. Stetson (10-15)0.2144
203. Tennessee Tech (10-15)0.2142
204. Florida Intl (3-22)0.2132
205. St Peters (17-12)0.2130
206. Belmont (20-9)0.2125
207. Westrn Carolina (9-15)0.2121
208. CS Fullerton (10-17)0.2117
209. Central Florida (24-6)0.2106
210. Denver (13-13)0.2095

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
211. Morehead St (13-13)0.2089
212. Eastern Mich (10-15)0.2081
213. Georgia St (18-9)0.2073
214. Western Ill (3-24)0.2064
215. Yale (11-15)0.2063
216. East Tenn St (24-6)0.2057
217. Fla Atlantic (7-19)0.2037
218. Coll Of Charltn (19-9)0.2021
219. Eastern Ill (4-20)0.2020
220. Lipscomb (5-21)0.2008

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
221. Portland St (9-16)0.2000
222. North Texas (11-15)0.1995
223. Weber St (13-14)0.1981
224. NC Asheville (7-20)0.1975
225. The Citadel (3-21)0.1974
226. Campbell (3-24)0.1970
227. Marist (6-22)0.1966
228. Niagara (22-10)0.1965
229. Pennsylvania (17-10)0.1957
230. Iupui (19-11)0.1955

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
231. Buffalo (17-12)0.1946
232. Murray St (25-6)0.1937
233. Eastern KY (12-15)0.1936
234. SE Missouri St (9-16)0.1929
235. Troy St (23-6)0.1927
236. Princeton (19-8)0.1905
237. Liberty (17-15)0.1897
238. Arkansas Lr (14-12)0.1885
239. Utah St (24-4)0.1874
240. Oral Roberts (15-11)0.1850

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
241. Centenary (14-12)0.1841
242. Idaho St (11-18)0.1826
243. Jacksonville (11-15)0.1799
244. McNeese St (8-16)0.1796
245. Arkansas St (15-11)0.1779
246. Furman (14-12)0.1757
247. Loyola MD (1-27)0.1757
248. Northrn Arizona (13-14)0.1735
249. Ul Monroe (9-19)0.1730
250. Sacramento St (11-15)0.1685

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
251. Northeastern (17-11)0.1684
252. Columbia (9-17)0.1682
253. Geo Southern (18-8)0.1675
254. Brown (13-13)0.1649
255. Northwestern St (8-17)0.1645
256. Monmouth NJ (21-12)0.1640
257. Harvard (4-23)0.1633
258. Boston U (23-6)0.1633
259. Rider (17-13)0.1618
260. New Hampshire (10-20)0.1613

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
261. Binghamton (14-16)0.1551
262. Holy Cross (13-14)0.1538
263. Charleston Sou (4-22)0.1538
264. Vermont (22-9)0.1538
265. Navy (3-23)0.1528
266. Mo Kansas City (15-14)0.1518
267. Jacksonville St (12-14)0.1512
268. VMI (4-22)0.1500
269. Stony Brook (10-20)0.1478
270. Cornell (10-16)0.1476

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
271. Ark Pine Bluff (1-26)0.1465
272. Mt St Marys (10-19)0.1462
273. NO Carolina A&T (3-25)0.1456
274. Sam Houston (9-15)0.1447
275. Delaware St (13-15)0.1444
276. Florida A&M (15-17)0.1438
277. Tex San Antonio (16-13)0.1434
278. Hartford (11-17)0.1427
279. Umbc (7-21)0.1425
280. Coast Carolina (12-15)0.1424

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
281. Winthrop (14-12)0.1407
282. Montana St (12-13)0.1392
283. Lafayette (16-10)0.1391
284. Nicholls St (2-21)0.1391
285. Prairie View (7-20)0.1369
286. Texas Arlington (14-12)0.1345
287. American (18-13)0.1342
288. Sacred Heart (12-15)0.1334
289. Lamar (7-18)0.1315
290. Bucknell (12-15)0.1313

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
291. Quinnipiac (7-20)0.1312
292. Coppin St (18-14)0.1311
293. Grambling (9-18)0.1309
294. Albany NY (5-23)0.1304
295. Alabama St (16-15)0.1293
296. Wagner (12-16)0.1284
297. High Point (17-11)0.1283
298. Robert Morris (13-15)0.1220
299. Colgate (13-14)0.1218
300. Maine (18-10)0.1211

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
301. SW Texas St (9-14)0.1185
302. Jackson St (12-17)0.1175
303. Dartmouth (2-24)0.1173
304. St Francis PA (13-15)0.1168
305. Radford (10-16)0.1156
306. Fair Dickinson (16-12)0.1153
307. Liu Brooklyn (8-19)0.1103
308. SE Louisiana (16-9)0.1093
309. Lehigh (18-11)0.1087
310. Central Conn (14-14)0.1081

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
311. Hampton (13-17)0.1047
312. MD Eastrn Shore (8-21)0.1046
313. SO Carolina St (17-11)0.1045
314. Army (4-21)0.1003
315. Birmingham Southern (18-7)0.0985
316. Alabama A&M (13-16)0.0972
317. Stephen Austin (17-9)0.0936
318. Morgan St (11-16)0.0926
319. Bethune Cookman (8-21)0.0911
320. Howard (6-22)0.0889

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
321. Texas Southern (13-15)0.0888
322. Miss Valley St (21-6)0.0878
323. Southern (11-16)0.0843
324. Alcorn St (11-18)0.0840
325. St Francis NY (15-13)0.0833
326. Norfolk St (12-16)0.0565
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