NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

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  Printable NCAA Bracket
2008 Printable NCAA Tournament Bracket

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Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)
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Games against non-D1 teams not considered in power rankings or predictions.

Difficulty of Schedule for the #100 team

By division
Last Updated Tue Apr 06 11:39:08 EDT 2004

Home Advantage = 3.7988

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
1. Georgia Tech (28-10)0.6902
2. Maryland (20-12)0.6821
3. Clemson (10-18)0.6817
4. North Carolina (19-11)0.6769
5. Wake Forest (21-10)0.6742
6. North Carolina St (21-10)0.6695
7. Duke (31-6)0.6592
8. Alabama (20-13)0.6499
9. Florida (20-11)0.6316
10. Virginia (18-13)0.6176

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
11. Florida St (18-14)0.6156
12. Kansas (23-9)0.6141
13. Connecticut (33-6)0.6069
14. Villanova (17-16)0.6011
15. Kentucky (27-5)0.5997
16. Georgia (16-14)0.5992
17. Providence (20-9)0.5978
18. Missouri (16-14)0.5954
19. Vanderbilt (23-10)0.5898
20. Syracuse (23-8)0.5893

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
21. Texas (25-8)0.5820
22. Seton Hall (20-10)0.5768
23. Illinois (26-7)0.5753
24. Iowa St (19-13)0.5741
25. Tennessee (15-14)0.5713
26. Notre Dame (19-13)0.5710
27. Texas Tech (22-11)0.5701
28. Michigan St (18-12)0.5700
29. Indiana (14-15)0.5689
30. Pittsburgh (30-5)0.5666

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
31. Wisconsin (25-7)0.5637
32. South Carolina (23-11)0.5609
33. Oklahoma St (30-4)0.5600
34. Colorado (17-11)0.5573
35. Boston College (24-10)0.5570
36. LSU (18-11)0.5556
37. Arkansas (12-16)0.5554
38. St Johns (6-21)0.5552
39. Louisville (20-10)0.5523
40. West Virginia (17-14)0.5504

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
41. Iowa (16-13)0.5483
42. Rutgers (19-13)0.5469
43. Mississippi St (26-4)0.5430
44. Xavier (26-11)0.5428
45. Mississippi (13-15)0.5426
46. Auburn (14-14)0.5415
47. Cincinnati (25-7)0.5398
48. Northwestern (14-15)0.5342
49. Richmond (20-13)0.5294
50. BYU (18-9)0.5250

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
51. St Josephs (30-2)0.5232
52. Oregon (18-13)0.5215
53. Memphis (22-8)0.5209
54. DePaul (22-10)0.5201
55. Penn St (9-19)0.5194
56. Nevada (24-9)0.5182
57. St Louis (19-13)0.5178
58. Virginia Tech (15-14)0.5146
59. Oklahoma (20-10)0.5144
60. Kansas St (14-14)0.5138

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
61. UCLA (11-17)0.5125
62. Washington (19-12)0.5123
63. Uab (22-10)0.5118
64. Michigan (23-11)0.5117
65. Charlotte (21-9)0.5115
66. California (13-15)0.5103
67. Texas A&M (7-21)0.5099
68. Washington St (12-16)0.5085
69. Purdue (17-14)0.5065
70. Nebraska (18-13)0.5024

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
71. Minnesota (12-18)0.5023
72. St Bonaventure (7-21)0.5016
73. USC (13-15)0.5013
74. Georgetown (13-15)0.5010
75. Ohio St (14-16)0.5009
76. Geo Washington (18-12)0.5004
77. Arizona (20-10)0.4999
78. San Diego St (12-16)0.4995
79. Temple (15-14)0.4978
80. Miami Fla (13-16)0.4873

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
81. Baylor (7-20)0.4871
82. SMU (12-18)0.4870
83. TCU (12-17)0.4860
84. Arizona St (10-17)0.4851
85. Tulsa (9-20)0.4837
86. Fordham (6-22)0.4818
87. South Florida (7-20)0.4797
88. Utah (22-9)0.4779
89. Unlv (17-13)0.4779
90. Fresno St (13-15)0.4769

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
91. Louisiana Tech (13-15)0.4763
92. Rice (21-11)0.4741
93. SO Mississippi (12-15)0.4735
94. Marquette (18-12)0.4710
95. Oregon St (11-16)0.4709
96. Colorado St (12-15)0.4708
97. Hawaii (20-12)0.4706
98. Stanford (30-2)0.4671
99. Wyoming (11-16)0.4629
100. Tulane (10-17)0.4621

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
101. Texas El Paso (22-8)0.4618
102. Boise St (21-10)0.4611
103. East Carolina (12-14)0.4607
104. Duquesne (12-17)0.4579
105. San Jose St (5-22)0.4527
106. Houston (9-18)0.4502
107. Dayton (24-9)0.4490
108. Rhode Island (20-13)0.4472
109. La Salle (10-20)0.4455
110. Massachusetts (10-19)0.4404

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
111. New Mexico (12-14)0.4286
112. Portland (11-17)0.4258
113. Gonzaga (28-3)0.4232
114. Evansville (7-22)0.4210
115. San Diego (3-26)0.4201
116. IPFW (2-24)0.4181
117. Santa Clara (15-16)0.4068
118. Air Force (22-7)0.4066
119. Pepperdine (15-16)0.4047
120. Illinois St (9-19)0.4044

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
121. Wisc Milwaukee (19-11)0.4027
122. San Francisco (16-14)0.4016
123. St Marys CA (16-12)0.3962
124. Loyola Chi (9-20)0.3940
125. Northern Iowa (20-10)0.3915
126. Marshall (12-17)0.3866
127. Southern Ill (25-5)0.3862
128. SW Missouri St (19-14)0.3839
129. Appalachian St (8-21)0.3821
130. Wofford (6-20)0.3818

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
131. Drake (11-16)0.3810
132. Toledo (20-11)0.3809
133. Wichita St (20-11)0.3799
134. Ul Lafayette (18-9)0.3795
135. Hofstra (14-15)0.3783
136. Youngstown St (7-20)0.3766
137. NC Wilmington (15-15)0.3761
138. Cleveland St (2-25)0.3753
139. Davidson (14-12)0.3738
140. Central Mich (5-24)0.3732

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
141. Chicago St (11-20)0.3699
142. Creighton (20-9)0.3665
143. Indiana St (9-19)0.3660
144. Old Dominion (17-12)0.3653
145. Bradley (15-15)0.3642
146. William & Mary (7-21)0.3642
147. Mercer (11-18)0.3632
148. Idaho (13-16)0.3616
149. Pacific (24-8)0.3598
150. George Mason (23-10)0.3577

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
151. VA Commonwealth (23-8)0.3548
152. South Alabama (10-16)0.3542
153. Ball St (13-15)0.3534
154. Loyola Marymnt (14-14)0.3486
155. New Orleans (16-14)0.3477
156. Savannah St (4-23)0.3465
157. Miami Ohio (17-11)0.3455
158. Western KY (13-13)0.3446
159. UC Irvine (10-17)0.3442
160. CS Northridge (13-16)0.3414

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
161. Wisc Green Bay (16-11)0.3403
162. Ohio (10-20)0.3402
163. Oakland (11-17)0.3382
164. Kent (21-9)0.3373
165. Cal Poly (10-16)0.3368
166. Eastern Wash (16-13)0.3366
167. Bowling Green (12-17)0.3362
168. Drexel (18-11)0.3362
169. UC Riverside (10-17)0.3355
170. Butler (15-14)0.3351

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
171. Austin Peay (20-10)0.3346
172. Iona (11-18)0.3343
173. Northern Ill (8-19)0.3340
174. New Mexico St (11-14)0.3330
175. James Madison (7-21)0.3329
176. Long Beach St (5-21)0.3326
177. Gardner-Webb (7-20)0.3326
178. Tennessee St (6-20)0.3309
179. Illinois Chi (24-8)0.3303
180. Towson (8-21)0.3291

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
181. Elon (10-18)0.3280
182. Detroit (19-11)0.3278
183. Wright St (14-13)0.3277
184. Western Mich (26-5)0.3277
185. Manhattan (25-6)0.3277
186. Middle Tenn St (15-12)0.3262
187. Chattanooga (16-11)0.3242
188. Delaware (16-12)0.3238
189. Southern Utah (8-18)0.3233
190. Akron (13-15)0.3229

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
191. UC Santa Barbara (15-12)0.3225
192. Samford (8-16)0.3217
193. CS Fullerton (10-17)0.3208
194. Siena (14-16)0.3197
195. Canisius (10-19)0.3193
196. Westrn Carolina (9-15)0.3188
197. Florida Intl (3-22)0.3187
198. NC Greensboro (10-17)0.3173
199. Montana (8-18)0.3172
200. Denver (13-13)0.3162

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
201. Fairfield (19-11)0.3161
202. Eastern Mich (10-15)0.3147
203. St Peters (17-12)0.3146
204. Western Ill (3-24)0.3141
205. Stetson (10-15)0.3136
206. North Texas (11-15)0.3129
207. TX Pan American (10-14)0.3127
208. Valparaiso (17-13)0.3107
209. Texas A&M-CC (11-11)0.3094
210. The Citadel (3-21)0.3090

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
211. Tenn Martin (8-18)0.3071
212. East Tenn St (24-6)0.3058
213. Belmont (20-9)0.3050
214. Central Florida (24-6)0.3029
215. Buffalo (17-12)0.3026
216. Tennessee Tech (10-15)0.3011
217. Fla Atlantic (7-19)0.3006
218. Georgia St (18-9)0.2992
219. Weber St (13-14)0.2990
220. Morehead St (13-13)0.2973

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
221. Coll Of Charltn (19-9)0.2969
222. Lipscomb (5-21)0.2965
223. Niagara (22-10)0.2958
224. Eastern Ill (4-20)0.2934
225. Troy St (23-6)0.2925
226. Portland St (9-16)0.2924
227. Campbell (3-24)0.2915
228. Marist (6-22)0.2909
229. Yale (11-15)0.2902
230. Iupui (19-11)0.2887

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
231. Utah St (24-4)0.2879
232. Oral Roberts (15-11)0.2866
233. Arkansas Lr (14-12)0.2847
234. Idaho St (11-18)0.2838
235. Centenary (14-12)0.2818
236. SE Missouri St (9-16)0.2807
237. NC Asheville (7-20)0.2806
238. Pennsylvania (17-10)0.2803
239. Arkansas St (15-11)0.2794
240. Murray St (25-6)0.2784

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
241. Furman (14-12)0.2775
242. Loyola MD (1-27)0.2750
243. Jacksonville (11-15)0.2733
244. Eastern KY (12-15)0.2728
245. Northrn Arizona (13-14)0.2685
246. Princeton (19-8)0.2658
247. Sacramento St (11-15)0.2637
248. Ul Monroe (9-19)0.2615
249. Liberty (17-15)0.2600
250. McNeese St (8-16)0.2594

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
251. Geo Southern (18-8)0.2574
252. Rider (17-13)0.2539
253. Columbia (9-17)0.2512
254. Northwestern St (8-17)0.2504
255. Harvard (4-23)0.2503
256. Mo Kansas City (15-14)0.2500
257. Northeastern (17-11)0.2451
258. Brown (13-13)0.2420
259. Monmouth NJ (21-12)0.2354
260. New Hampshire (10-20)0.2345

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
261. Boston U (23-6)0.2331
262. Umbc (7-21)0.2327
263. VMI (4-22)0.2326
264. Cornell (10-16)0.2325
265. Binghamton (14-16)0.2304
266. Stony Brook (10-20)0.2293
267. Navy (3-23)0.2292
268. Jacksonville St (12-14)0.2287
269. Charleston Sou (4-22)0.2259
270. Vermont (22-9)0.2232

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
271. Holy Cross (13-14)0.2225
272. Hartford (11-17)0.2221
273. Lafayette (16-10)0.2210
274. Montana St (12-13)0.2207
275. Nicholls St (2-21)0.2178
276. Ark Pine Bluff (1-26)0.2166
277. Sam Houston (9-15)0.2154
278. Mt St Marys (10-19)0.2142
279. Lamar (7-18)0.2131
280. Coast Carolina (12-15)0.2123

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
281. Tex San Antonio (16-13)0.2096
282. Texas Arlington (14-12)0.2072
283. Bucknell (12-15)0.2068
284. Winthrop (14-12)0.2065
285. Prairie View (7-20)0.2064
286. NO Carolina A&T (3-25)0.2056
287. Delaware St (13-15)0.2050
288. Grambling (9-18)0.2045
289. American (18-13)0.2037
290. Albany NY (5-23)0.2032

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
291. SW Texas St (9-14)0.1983
292. Dartmouth (2-24)0.1974
293. Quinnipiac (7-20)0.1947
294. Wagner (12-16)0.1943
295. Florida A&M (15-17)0.1943
296. Sacred Heart (12-15)0.1931
297. Maine (18-10)0.1931
298. Robert Morris (13-15)0.1928
299. High Point (17-11)0.1926
300. Colgate (13-14)0.1905

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
301. Radford (10-16)0.1875
302. Alabama St (16-15)0.1873
303. Coppin St (18-14)0.1825
304. Fair Dickinson (16-12)0.1819
305. Jackson St (12-17)0.1819
306. Liu Brooklyn (8-19)0.1801
307. St Francis PA (13-15)0.1793
308. SE Louisiana (16-9)0.1749
309. Central Conn (14-14)0.1745
310. Hampton (13-17)0.1678

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
311. Stephen Austin (17-9)0.1629
312. Lehigh (18-11)0.1606
313. Army (4-21)0.1578
314. Birmingham Southern (18-7)0.1554
315. SO Carolina St (17-11)0.1533
316. MD Eastrn Shore (8-21)0.1500
317. St Francis NY (15-13)0.1481
318. Texas Southern (13-15)0.1477
319. Alcorn St (11-18)0.1467
320. Alabama A&M (13-16)0.1458

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
321. Morgan St (11-16)0.1447
322. Bethune Cookman (8-21)0.1438
323. Southern (11-16)0.1402
324. Howard (6-22)0.1367
325. Miss Valley St (21-6)0.1358
326. Norfolk St (12-16)0.1025
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