NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

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  Printable NCAA Bracket
2008 Printable NCAA Tournament Bracket

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Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)
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Games against non-D1 teams not considered in power rankings or predictions.

Difficulty of Schedule for the #270 team

By division
Last Updated Tue Apr 06 11:39:14 EDT 2004

Home Advantage = 3.7988

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
1. Alabama (20-13)0.9389
2. Duke (31-6)0.9350
3. North Carolina (19-11)0.9323
4. Kansas (23-9)0.9287
5. Georgia Tech (28-10)0.9216
6. Wake Forest (21-10)0.9187
7. Indiana (14-15)0.9175
8. Florida (20-11)0.9166
9. Kentucky (27-5)0.9133
10. Providence (20-9)0.9119

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
11. Maryland (20-12)0.9119
12. Villanova (17-16)0.9116
13. Seton Hall (20-10)0.9102
14. Missouri (16-14)0.9094
15. Wisconsin (25-7)0.9089
16. Oregon (18-13)0.9063
17. Michigan St (18-12)0.9043
18. North Carolina St (21-10)0.9041
19. UCLA (11-17)0.9038
20. Clemson (10-18)0.9028

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
21. BYU (18-9)0.9028
22. Arizona (20-10)0.9007
23. Rutgers (19-13)0.9005
24. Iowa St (19-13)0.8990
25. St Johns (6-21)0.8968
26. St Josephs (30-2)0.8950
27. Texas Tech (22-11)0.8949
28. Cincinnati (25-7)0.8943
29. Illinois (26-7)0.8941
30. Louisville (20-10)0.8930

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
31. Northwestern (14-15)0.8917
32. Mississippi St (26-4)0.8914
33. USC (13-15)0.8913
34. DePaul (22-10)0.8911
35. Nevada (24-9)0.8904
36. Fresno St (13-15)0.8898
37. Washington (19-12)0.8890
38. LSU (18-11)0.8883
39. San Diego St (12-16)0.8879
40. Vanderbilt (23-10)0.8874

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
41. California (13-15)0.8873
42. Syracuse (23-8)0.8869
43. Connecticut (33-6)0.8858
44. Colorado (17-11)0.8855
45. Texas (25-8)0.8854
46. Virginia (18-13)0.8832
47. Michigan (23-11)0.8830
48. Oklahoma St (30-4)0.8817
49. Temple (15-14)0.8809
50. Xavier (26-11)0.8809

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
51. Auburn (14-14)0.8804
52. West Virginia (17-14)0.8798
53. Iowa (16-13)0.8798
54. Boston College (24-10)0.8798
55. Notre Dame (19-13)0.8795
56. Boise St (21-10)0.8786
57. Colorado St (12-15)0.8783
58. Washington St (12-16)0.8781
59. Uab (22-10)0.8758
60. Penn St (9-19)0.8747

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
61. Memphis (22-8)0.8743
62. Florida St (18-14)0.8723
63. Tulsa (9-20)0.8714
64. San Diego (3-26)0.8708
65. Richmond (20-13)0.8702
66. SMU (12-18)0.8691
67. Arizona St (10-17)0.8682
68. Fordham (6-22)0.8681
69. Georgia (16-14)0.8676
70. TCU (12-17)0.8670

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
71. Purdue (17-14)0.8667
72. Arkansas (12-16)0.8660
73. Unlv (17-13)0.8657
74. Rice (21-11)0.8639
75. St Bonaventure (7-21)0.8637
76. Wyoming (11-16)0.8637
77. Pittsburgh (30-5)0.8615
78. Utah (22-9)0.8613
79. Minnesota (12-18)0.8610
80. Hawaii (20-12)0.8609

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
81. Tennessee (15-14)0.8606
82. Charlotte (21-9)0.8598
83. San Jose St (5-22)0.8593
84. Mississippi (13-15)0.8582
85. IPFW (2-24)0.8575
86. Stanford (30-2)0.8570
87. South Florida (7-20)0.8565
88. Evansville (7-22)0.8550
89. St Louis (19-13)0.8539
90. Geo Washington (18-12)0.8537

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
91. SO Mississippi (12-15)0.8506
92. Texas El Paso (22-8)0.8495
93. Gonzaga (28-3)0.8493
94. Northern Iowa (20-10)0.8473
95. South Carolina (23-11)0.8473
96. Oregon St (11-16)0.8457
97. La Salle (10-20)0.8438
98. Dayton (24-9)0.8431
99. Portland (11-17)0.8411
100. Ohio St (14-16)0.8406

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
101. Baylor (7-20)0.8406
102. Rhode Island (20-13)0.8396
103. Illinois St (9-19)0.8390
104. St Marys CA (16-12)0.8384
105. Houston (9-18)0.8382
106. Nebraska (18-13)0.8374
107. Marquette (18-12)0.8358
108. Wichita St (20-11)0.8354
109. Oklahoma (20-10)0.8346
110. Southern Ill (25-5)0.8345

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
111. Cleveland St (2-25)0.8343
112. Kansas St (14-14)0.8333
113. Pepperdine (15-16)0.8329
114. Marshall (12-17)0.8317
115. Louisiana Tech (13-15)0.8297
116. Loyola Chi (9-20)0.8289
117. Drake (11-16)0.8287
118. Virginia Tech (15-14)0.8284
119. Central Mich (5-24)0.8269
120. Indiana St (9-19)0.8243

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
121. Wisc Milwaukee (19-11)0.8230
122. San Francisco (16-14)0.8223
123. Miami Ohio (17-11)0.8221
124. New Mexico (12-14)0.8218
125. SW Missouri St (19-14)0.8217
126. Ul Lafayette (18-9)0.8215
127. Massachusetts (10-19)0.8214
128. Kent (21-9)0.8210
129. Santa Clara (15-16)0.8192
130. Georgetown (13-15)0.8180

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
131. Ball St (13-15)0.8176
132. Bradley (15-15)0.8159
133. Duquesne (12-17)0.8137
134. UC Irvine (10-17)0.8137
135. UC Riverside (10-17)0.8136
136. New Orleans (16-14)0.8127
137. Appalachian St (8-21)0.8126
138. Texas A&M (7-21)0.8125
139. Long Beach St (5-21)0.8117
140. Loyola Marymnt (14-14)0.8116

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
141. Idaho (13-16)0.8113
142. Chicago St (11-20)0.8102
143. George Mason (23-10)0.8095
144. Western KY (13-13)0.8086
145. Ohio (10-20)0.8083
146. Pacific (24-8)0.8077
147. Youngstown St (7-20)0.8053
148. Creighton (20-9)0.8052
149. South Alabama (10-16)0.8045
150. Hofstra (14-15)0.8043

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
151. Toledo (20-11)0.8034
152. Cal Poly (10-16)0.8023
153. CS Northridge (13-16)0.8021
154. CS Fullerton (10-17)0.8021
155. North Texas (11-15)0.8020
156. Denver (13-13)0.7992
157. Illinois Chi (24-8)0.7983
158. Northern Ill (8-19)0.7978
159. Southern Utah (8-18)0.7940
160. East Carolina (12-14)0.7933

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
161. Bowling Green (12-17)0.7930
162. The Citadel (3-21)0.7927
163. Eastern Wash (16-13)0.7924
164. NC Wilmington (15-15)0.7921
165. Western Mich (26-5)0.7914
166. Tulane (10-17)0.7894
167. Wofford (6-20)0.7885
168. Akron (13-15)0.7885
169. VA Commonwealth (23-8)0.7875
170. Miami Fla (13-16)0.7875

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
171. Florida Intl (3-22)0.7852
172. UC Santa Barbara (15-12)0.7848
173. Old Dominion (17-12)0.7834
174. Air Force (22-7)0.7815
175. Middle Tenn St (15-12)0.7814
176. Western Ill (3-24)0.7811
177. Montana (8-18)0.7810
178. James Madison (7-21)0.7810
179. Wright St (14-13)0.7808
180. East Tenn St (24-6)0.7798

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
181. William & Mary (7-21)0.7798
182. New Mexico St (11-14)0.7797
183. Idaho St (11-18)0.7789
184. Utah St (24-4)0.7787
185. Chattanooga (16-11)0.7767
186. Buffalo (17-12)0.7757
187. Drexel (18-11)0.7744
188. Delaware (16-12)0.7734
189. Butler (15-14)0.7723
190. Westrn Carolina (9-15)0.7706

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
191. Oral Roberts (15-11)0.7703
192. Eastern Mich (10-15)0.7699
193. Detroit (19-11)0.7684
194. Wisc Green Bay (16-11)0.7677
195. Oakland (11-17)0.7675
196. Davidson (14-12)0.7658
197. Weber St (13-14)0.7654
198. Iona (11-18)0.7634
199. St Peters (17-12)0.7621
200. Portland St (9-16)0.7609

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
201. Valparaiso (17-13)0.7606
202. TX Pan American (10-14)0.7605
203. Sacramento St (11-15)0.7597
204. Manhattan (25-6)0.7581
205. Samford (8-16)0.7570
206. Iupui (19-11)0.7559
207. Fairfield (19-11)0.7554
208. Tennessee St (6-20)0.7551
209. Northrn Arizona (13-14)0.7547
210. Centenary (14-12)0.7545

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
211. Mo Kansas City (15-14)0.7539
212. Niagara (22-10)0.7535
213. Marist (6-22)0.7534
214. Towson (8-21)0.7530
215. Austin Peay (20-10)0.7503
216. Eastern Ill (4-20)0.7482
217. Arkansas St (15-11)0.7475
218. Elon (10-18)0.7473
219. Mercer (11-18)0.7452
220. Loyola MD (1-27)0.7451

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
221. Gardner-Webb (7-20)0.7431
222. Canisius (10-19)0.7424
223. Campbell (3-24)0.7417
224. Morehead St (13-13)0.7410
225. Tennessee Tech (10-15)0.7399
226. NC Greensboro (10-17)0.7396
227. Coll Of Charltn (19-9)0.7374
228. SE Missouri St (9-16)0.7349
229. Arkansas Lr (14-12)0.7335
230. Siena (14-16)0.7318

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
231. Stetson (10-15)0.7260
232. Lipscomb (5-21)0.7255
233. Tenn Martin (8-18)0.7252
234. Texas A&M-CC (11-11)0.7247
235. Savannah St (4-23)0.7237
236. Furman (14-12)0.7199
237. Troy St (23-6)0.7193
238. Murray St (25-6)0.7184
239. Georgia St (18-9)0.7147
240. Ul Monroe (9-19)0.7143

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
241. Belmont (20-9)0.7118
242. Montana St (12-13)0.7095
243. NC Asheville (7-20)0.7075
244. Harvard (4-23)0.7048
245. Fla Atlantic (7-19)0.7043
246. Pennsylvania (17-10)0.7019
247. Northwestern St (8-17)0.6973
248. Geo Southern (18-8)0.6967
249. Central Florida (24-6)0.6929
250. Yale (11-15)0.6921

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
251. Rider (17-13)0.6918
252. Eastern KY (12-15)0.6896
253. VMI (4-22)0.6883
254. Lamar (7-18)0.6875
255. McNeese St (8-16)0.6863
256. Umbc (7-21)0.6859
257. Jacksonville (11-15)0.6833
258. Monmouth NJ (21-12)0.6754
259. Navy (3-23)0.6743
260. Hartford (11-17)0.6735

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
261. SW Texas St (9-14)0.6712
262. Nicholls St (2-21)0.6709
263. Dartmouth (2-24)0.6690
264. Brown (13-13)0.6667
265. Columbia (9-17)0.6637
266. Mt St Marys (10-19)0.6636
267. Charleston Sou (4-22)0.6634
268. Liberty (17-15)0.6620
269. Texas Arlington (14-12)0.6606
270. Binghamton (14-16)0.6605

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
271. Stony Brook (10-20)0.6598
272. Cornell (10-16)0.6573
273. Sam Houston (9-15)0.6573
274. Princeton (19-8)0.6561
275. Northeastern (17-11)0.6557
276. Lafayette (16-10)0.6547
277. Bucknell (12-15)0.6512
278. Jacksonville St (12-14)0.6498
279. Albany NY (5-23)0.6489
280. Robert Morris (13-15)0.6476

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
281. Wagner (12-16)0.6473
282. Tex San Antonio (16-13)0.6465
283. Central Conn (14-14)0.6441
284. Liu Brooklyn (8-19)0.6439
285. American (18-13)0.6431
286. Fair Dickinson (16-12)0.6424
287. Boston U (23-6)0.6396
288. Vermont (22-9)0.6375
289. New Hampshire (10-20)0.6360
290. Stephen Austin (17-9)0.6329

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
291. Holy Cross (13-14)0.6328
292. Ark Pine Bluff (1-26)0.6292
293. Quinnipiac (7-20)0.6273
294. Coast Carolina (12-15)0.6272
295. St Francis PA (13-15)0.6271
296. Colgate (13-14)0.6271
297. Radford (10-16)0.6240
298. St Francis NY (15-13)0.6237
299. Maine (18-10)0.6208
300. Sacred Heart (12-15)0.6181

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
301. SE Louisiana (16-9)0.6170
302. Winthrop (14-12)0.6100
303. Prairie View (7-20)0.6033
304. Army (4-21)0.6010
305. Grambling (9-18)0.5900
306. High Point (17-11)0.5897
307. Jackson St (12-17)0.5870
308. Alcorn St (11-18)0.5749
309. NO Carolina A&T (3-25)0.5673
310. Lehigh (18-11)0.5646

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
311. Birmingham Southern (18-7)0.5612
312. Alabama St (16-15)0.5565
313. Hampton (13-17)0.5558
314. Delaware St (13-15)0.5526
315. Florida A&M (15-17)0.5525
316. Southern (11-16)0.5488
317. Texas Southern (13-15)0.5347
318. Alabama A&M (13-16)0.5314
319. Coppin St (18-14)0.5278
320. Morgan St (11-16)0.5144

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
321. Howard (6-22)0.5113
322. MD Eastrn Shore (8-21)0.5102
323. Miss Valley St (21-6)0.5100
324. Bethune Cookman (8-21)0.5052
325. SO Carolina St (17-11)0.5005
326. Norfolk St (12-16)0.4586
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