NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

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  Printable NCAA Bracket
2008 Printable NCAA Tournament Bracket

Recent Articles:
Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)
Wall St. Journal Competition Results
Strategies on filling out that NCAA Tournament Bracket — SmartStats and BracketBrains
NCAA Basketball Coaches Gone Wild (1 of 2)
Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (1 of 2)
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Spreading the Nerd Word
Games against non-D1 teams not considered in power rankings or predictions.

Last Ten Ratings

By division
Last Updated Tue Apr 06 11:39:17 EDT 2004

Home Advantage = 3.7988

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
1. Connecticut (9-1)100.074-13-01-0
2. Xavier (9-1)99.8713-11-04-0
3. Oklahoma St (9-1)99.5624-12-01-0
4. Kentucky (9-1)96.9810-05-13-0
5. Georgia Tech (8-2)96.5686-21-01-0
6. Nevada (9-1)94.6561-12-03-0
7. Boston College (8-2)93.7652-22-02-0
8. Maryland (7-3)93.7234-32-01-0
9. Wisconsin (8-2)93.5721-13-12-0
10. Duke (7-3)93.4924-32-00-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
11. Illinois (8-2)93.0581-21-05-0
12. Pittsburgh (7-3)92.8933-30-03-0
13. Kansas (7-3)91.8470-32-05-0
14. St Josephs (8-2)91.6221-21-02-0
15. Cincinnati (8-2)91.4190-15-13-0
16. Wake Forest (6-4)91.2833-32-11-0
17. Alabama (7-3)91.0452-21-12-0
18. Syracuse (7-3)90.8243-11-22-0
19. North Carolina (5-5)90.6282-41-12-0
20. Washington (7-3)89.9791-22-10-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
21. Gonzaga (9-1)89.8270-10-02-0
22. Mississippi St (7-3)89.7671-22-12-0
23. Michigan (8-2)89.5230-11-06-1
24. Texas (6-4)89.4113-32-00-1
25. Vanderbilt (6-4)88.7902-21-21-0
26. Stanford (8-2)88.7680-00-13-1
27. DePaul (7-3)88.5201-22-01-1
28. Virginia (6-4)88.3673-20-13-1
29. North Carolina St (5-5)88.2132-41-02-1
30. Pacific (9-1)88.1811-10-01-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
31. Florida (6-4)88.0301-23-20-0
32. BYU (8-2)87.8660-11-12-0
33. Manhattan (8-2)87.4820-11-01-0
34. Providence (6-4)87.4152-21-01-2
35. Memphis (6-4)87.4100-22-11-1
36. Boise St (8-2)87.3660-01-13-1
37. Illinois Chi (9-1)87.2730-10-02-0
38. Georgia (5-5)87.1302-21-22-1
39. Texas Tech (5-5)86.8060-31-03-2
40. Michigan St (6-4)86.6610-41-03-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
41. Iowa St (6-4)86.5100-12-14-2
42. Northern Iowa (8-2)86.3530-11-02-0
43. Missouri (6-4)86.2181-20-23-0
44. Uab (6-4)85.9191-11-22-0
45. Richmond (7-3)85.7270-10-02-2
46. Texas El Paso (6-4)85.5960-30-02-1
47. East Tenn St (8-2)85.5350-10-00-0
48. Seton Hall (5-5)85.5290-31-12-1
49. Western Mich (8-2)85.3560-10-03-1
50. VA Commonwealth (8-2)85.1680-10-01-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
51. Notre Dame (6-4)85.0720-30-03-1
52. Villanova (4-6)84.9741-42-00-1
53. Rhode Island (6-4)84.7030-21-02-2
54. Colorado (6-4)84.6320-02-13-3
55. Central Florida (8-2)84.5360-10-02-0
56. Oregon (6-4)84.5080-21-12-0
57. Florida St (3-7)84.4910-61-02-1
58. St Louis (6-4)84.3500-22-21-0
59. Utah (6-4)84.0660-11-11-1
60. Northwestern (6-4)84.0211-10-33-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
61. Virginia Tech (6-4)83.9880-20-03-2
62. Detroit (9-1)83.9140-00-00-1
63. Geo Washington (6-4)83.9130-20-23-0
64. Iowa (5-5)83.8070-21-12-2
65. Buffalo (8-2)83.6910-00-01-2
66. St Marys CA (7-3)83.3220-20-00-0
67. South Carolina (4-6)83.3021-21-21-1
68. Charlotte (6-4)83.2570-10-20-1
69. Nebraska (4-6)83.0720-21-12-3
70. Murray St (8-2)82.9650-10-01-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
71. Rutgers (5-5)82.6340-10-25-2
72. West Virginia (4-6)82.6080-20-13-3
73. Temple (6-4)82.5650-20-11-1
74. Princeton (9-1)82.5560-10-00-0
75. George Mason (7-3)82.5330-00-02-2
76. Marquette (6-4)82.2640-01-12-2
77. Davidson (9-1)82.2610-00-00-1
78. Arizona (6-4)82.2510-00-11-2
79. Hawaii (4-6)82.2270-10-33-1
80. Southern Ill (7-3)82.1120-00-12-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
81. Louisville (3-7)82.1090-31-21-1
82. Unlv (6-4)82.0420-00-20-2
83. Tennessee (4-6)82.0200-21-31-1
84. Oklahoma (4-6)81.9890-40-12-1
85. Kansas St (4-6)81.8121-00-12-5
86. Rice (6-4)81.6851-10-02-2
87. Troy St (8-2)81.5120-00-01-1
88. Clemson (2-8)81.0952-50-30-0
89. Air Force (6-4)81.0530-11-11-0
90. Chattanooga (7-3)80.9230-00-00-3

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
91. Auburn (3-7)80.9030-21-22-1
92. Niagara (7-3)80.8590-00-11-1
93. Dayton (5-5)80.6320-21-10-2
94. Washington St (4-6)80.5210-20-10-2
95. Austin Peay (7-3)80.2700-00-02-3
96. East Carolina (5-5)80.1050-00-40-1
97. Ul Lafayette (6-4)79.8870-10-00-1
98. Valparaiso (7-3)79.8400-20-00-0
99. Pepperdine (6-4)79.7230-10-00-2
100. Utah St (7-3)79.6940-00-00-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
101. Minnesota (4-6)79.6600-21-12-2
102. Wichita St (6-4)79.6260-00-11-3
103. Boston U (8-2)79.5970-00-00-1
104. Georgia St (7-3)79.5560-00-02-2
105. Ohio St (4-6)79.5070-20-22-2
106. SW Missouri St (4-6)79.4550-01-12-3
107. LSU (3-7)79.1150-31-20-2
108. Arkansas (2-8)78.7620-21-31-2
109. Drexel (6-4)78.7220-00-01-2
110. Butler (7-3)78.6920-00-01-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
111. TCU (4-6)78.6540-01-41-0
112. Texas Arlington (9-1)78.5910-00-00-0
113. USC (4-6)78.3460-10-20-2
114. Fairfield (7-3)78.2250-00-00-0
115. TX Pan American (8-2)78.1820-00-01-0
116. Middle Tenn St (6-4)78.1710-00-00-1
117. Eastern Wash (7-3)78.0580-10-00-0
118. Oregon St (4-6)78.0480-11-00-2
119. Pennsylvania (8-2)77.7340-00-00-0
120. California (4-6)77.6840-11-01-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
121. Bradley (6-4)77.5990-00-11-2
122. Fresno St (4-6)77.5920-10-11-4
123. Idaho (6-4)77.4450-00-00-3
124. Tex San Antonio (8-2)77.2610-10-00-0
125. NC Wilmington (5-5)77.2490-00-00-4
126. Wisc Milwaukee (5-5)77.1940-00-11-2
127. Purdue (2-8)77.1450-20-31-2
128. Old Dominion (5-5)77.0470-00-00-3
129. Indiana (3-7)77.0440-21-00-3
130. Arkansas Lr (6-4)77.0020-00-00-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
131. Louisiana Tech (4-6)76.8620-10-22-1
132. Mo Kansas City (6-4)76.8130-00-00-0
133. Hofstra (6-4)76.7270-00-01-1
134. Miami Ohio (6-4)76.5970-00-01-1
135. San Francisco (5-5)76.5350-10-00-2
136. Mississippi (2-8)76.3200-30-31-2
137. Toledo (4-6)76.2700-11-20-1
138. Arkansas St (6-4)76.2340-00-00-1
139. Loyola Marymnt (5-5)76.2340-10-02-0
140. New Mexico (3-7)76.1930-00-20-3

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
141. San Diego St (3-7)76.1250-00-40-2
142. New Orleans (7-3)76.1000-00-01-1
143. Western KY (6-4)75.8830-00-00-1
144. Tulane (4-6)75.7660-01-20-2
145. Furman (6-4)75.7410-00-00-1
146. Siena (7-3)75.7270-00-10-0
147. UCLA (2-8)75.6430-10-21-2
148. Miss Valley St (9-1)75.5640-00-00-0
149. Delaware (5-5)75.5060-00-00-3
150. St Peters (5-5)75.4820-00-20-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
151. Kent (4-6)75.4640-00-11-1
152. SMU (3-7)75.4360-10-10-3
153. CS Northridge (5-5)75.4000-00-01-2
154. Maine (7-3)75.3730-00-00-1
155. Colorado St (2-8)75.1270-00-21-3
156. Belmont (6-4)75.0530-00-00-3
157. Wyoming (2-8)75.0310-01-20-3
158. Duquesne (3-7)74.9621-00-10-5
159. Marshall (5-5)74.9170-01-10-1
160. Chicago St (6-4)74.8710-00-00-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
161. North Texas (4-6)74.8470-00-01-1
162. St Johns (2-8)74.6710-50-10-2
163. Creighton (3-7)74.6450-00-21-2
164. Baylor (2-8)74.5380-40-20-2
165. Wisc Green Bay (5-5)74.5340-00-00-3
166. Birmingham Southern (8-2)74.4620-00-00-0
167. Drake (4-6)74.1390-00-11-2
168. UC Riverside (5-5)74.0510-00-00-2
169. Ball St (5-5)73.9930-00-10-0
170. Morehead St (7-3)73.9850-00-00-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
171. Northeastern (7-3)73.9460-00-00-1
172. Miami Fla (1-9)73.7460-40-11-2
173. New Mexico St (5-5)73.5680-00-00-1
174. Bowling Green (5-5)73.5610-00-11-2
175. Arizona St (2-8)73.5120-10-11-2
176. Santa Clara (4-6)73.3850-20-00-1
177. Sacramento St (6-4)73.3520-00-00-0
178. SO Mississippi (3-7)73.2670-00-40-1
179. Centenary (6-4)73.2060-00-00-0
180. Alabama St (8-2)73.1160-10-00-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
181. CS Fullerton (5-5)73.1070-00-00-2
182. Oakland (5-5)73.0820-00-00-0
183. American (7-3)73.0360-00-00-0
184. Loyola Chi (3-7)72.9450-00-00-1
185. Stephen Austin (6-4)72.9380-00-00-0
186. Weber St (5-5)72.9220-00-00-0
187. Brown (7-3)72.7200-00-00-0
188. UC Santa Barbara (4-6)72.6920-00-00-2
189. Iupui (6-4)72.6630-00-00-0
190. Georgetown (1-9)72.6070-30-20-3

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
191. Liberty (7-3)72.5270-10-00-0
192. Eastern KY (6-4)72.4220-00-00-2
193. Elon (5-5)72.2270-00-00-1
194. Eastern Mich (5-5)72.1340-00-01-0
195. Massachusetts (2-8)72.0340-20-10-3
196. Texas A&M-CC (5-5)72.0230-00-01-2
197. Monmouth NJ (6-4)71.9600-10-00-0
198. Mt St Marys (6-4)71.9540-00-00-0
199. Illinois St (4-6)71.8200-00-00-2
200. Denver (4-6)71.7770-00-00-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
201. Central Conn (6-4)71.7370-00-00-0
202. Evansville (4-6)71.5960-00-20-1
203. Coll Of Charltn (4-6)71.5220-00-11-0
204. Vermont (6-4)71.5050-10-00-1
205. Stetson (5-5)71.4910-00-00-3
206. Jacksonville (5-5)71.3580-00-00-4
207. Bucknell (7-3)71.3250-00-00-0
208. Ohio (3-7)71.2330-00-01-0
209. Geo Southern (5-5)71.1710-00-00-0
210. Tulsa (2-8)71.1240-10-10-3

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
211. Houston (2-8)70.9630-10-20-1
212. Rider (5-5)70.9440-01-00-0
213. Akron (3-7)70.9190-00-01-0
214. La Salle (2-8)70.8160-20-10-4
215. Iona (4-6)70.7590-00-10-0
216. Fordham (2-8)70.7300-20-20-2
217. Portland (3-7)70.6600-10-00-1
218. Southern Utah (4-6)70.6590-00-00-0
219. NC Greensboro (5-5)70.4720-00-00-1
220. Coppin St (8-2)70.4590-00-00-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
221. Jacksonville St (5-5)70.3880-00-00-1
222. Oral Roberts (4-6)70.2920-00-00-0
223. South Alabama (3-7)70.1300-00-00-2
224. South Florida (1-9)70.1300-10-30-1
225. Northrn Arizona (4-6)69.9360-00-00-0
226. Northern Ill (3-7)69.7770-00-10-1
227. Montana (4-6)69.7740-00-00-0
228. Fair Dickinson (5-5)69.7470-00-00-0
229. Florida A&M (6-4)69.6930-10-00-0
230. James Madison (3-7)69.6860-00-01-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
231. Lehigh (6-4)69.6570-00-00-0
232. San Jose St (1-9)69.4700-10-10-3
233. Canisius (3-7)69.4480-00-10-0
234. Montana St (4-6)69.4050-00-00-0
235. Cal Poly (3-7)69.0450-00-00-2
236. Holy Cross (5-5)69.0410-00-00-0
237. Mercer (4-6)68.9930-00-00-4
238. Yale (6-4)68.9720-00-00-0
239. Central Mich (3-7)68.9640-00-10-3
240. Binghamton (5-5)68.9280-00-00-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
241. McNeese St (6-4)68.9230-00-00-0
242. Wright St (4-6)68.8100-00-00-3
243. SE Louisiana (6-4)68.7110-00-00-0
244. New Hampshire (5-5)68.6960-00-00-1
245. Colgate (5-5)68.4290-00-00-0
246. Westrn Carolina (3-7)68.4110-00-00-1
247. Tennessee Tech (4-6)68.3610-00-00-3
248. Wagner (6-4)68.3570-00-00-0
249. Idaho St (4-6)68.2730-00-00-0
250. Columbia (4-6)68.1910-00-00-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
251. Sam Houston (5-5)68.1340-00-00-0
252. NC Asheville (5-5)67.9950-00-00-0
253. Indiana St (1-9)67.9210-00-00-4
254. Youngstown St (2-8)67.9150-00-01-1
255. UC Irvine (2-8)67.7880-00-00-2
256. St Francis NY (5-5)67.7750-00-00-0
257. Wofford (3-7)67.5350-00-00-0
258. Portland St (3-7)67.4980-00-00-0
259. Robert Morris (5-5)67.4230-00-00-0
260. Eastern Ill (3-7)67.3510-00-00-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
261. Towson (2-8)67.2810-00-00-3
262. Tennessee St (3-7)67.1430-00-00-2
263. St Francis PA (5-5)67.1110-00-00-0
264. Stony Brook (4-6)67.0190-00-01-1
265. SO Carolina St (7-3)66.8340-00-00-0
266. Appalachian St (1-9)66.7930-00-00-1
267. Winthrop (5-5)66.7920-00-00-0
268. Gardner-Webb (3-7)66.6100-00-00-3
269. Samford (3-7)66.5030-00-00-2
270. Tenn Martin (4-6)66.4720-00-00-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
271. High Point (6-4)66.4380-00-00-0
272. St Bonaventure (1-9)66.0460-30-10-3
273. Sacred Heart (4-6)65.9770-00-00-0
274. Coast Carolina (4-6)65.7200-00-00-0
275. San Diego (1-9)65.6760-10-00-1
276. Lafayette (4-6)65.2490-00-00-0
277. The Citadel (2-8)65.0590-00-00-1
278. William & Mary (2-8)64.8900-00-00-2
279. Hartford (3-7)64.8580-00-00-1
280. Ul Monroe (3-7)64.8140-00-00-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
281. Delaware St (5-5)64.6750-00-00-0
282. Grambling (5-5)64.5980-00-00-0
283. Harvard (2-8)64.5610-00-00-0
284. Charleston Sou (3-7)64.5460-00-00-0
285. Penn St (0-10)64.3840-20-20-4
286. Southern (4-6)64.3240-00-00-0
287. Alcorn St (5-5)64.2500-00-00-0
288. Northwestern St (3-7)64.2030-00-00-0
289. Texas Southern (5-5)64.1200-00-00-0
290. Norfolk St (6-4)63.7760-00-00-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
291. Alabama A&M (5-5)63.7290-00-00-0
292. Marist (1-9)63.5900-00-20-0
293. Campbell (2-8)63.5810-00-00-3
294. Texas A&M (0-10)63.5060-20-30-3
295. Lipscomb (2-8)63.4880-00-00-3
296. Florida Intl (1-9)63.4020-00-00-1
297. Lamar (3-7)63.3580-00-00-0
298. Hampton (5-5)63.3540-00-00-0
299. Radford (3-7)63.2010-00-00-0
300. SW Texas St (2-8)62.9270-00-00-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
301. SE Missouri St (2-8)62.7580-00-00-2
302. Liu Brooklyn (2-8)61.8460-00-00-0
303. Jackson St (3-7)61.8160-00-00-0
304. Cornell (2-8)61.6360-00-00-0
305. Long Beach St (0-10)61.3060-00-00-3
306. Quinnipiac (2-8)61.2040-00-00-0
307. VMI (2-8)61.1630-00-00-0
308. Bethune Cookman (4-6)60.8670-00-00-0
309. Loyola MD (1-9)60.8400-00-10-0
310. Fla Atlantic (1-9)60.6610-00-00-3

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
311. Savannah St (3-7)60.5480-00-10-0
312. Albany NY (2-8)60.4550-00-00-1
313. Army (2-8)60.1800-00-00-0
314. Prairie View (4-6)60.0990-00-00-0
315. IPFW (0-10)60.0070-00-00-0
316. Morgan St (4-6)59.8400-00-00-0
317. Navy (2-8)59.4780-00-00-0
318. Cleveland St (0-10)59.0260-00-00-2
319. MD Eastrn Shore (4-6)58.5150-00-00-0
320. Western Ill (0-10)57.8240-00-00-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
321. Umbc (1-9)57.7970-00-00-1
322. Nicholls St (1-9)56.9300-00-00-0
323. Howard (2-8)55.5230-00-00-0
324. NO Carolina A&T (2-8)54.8280-00-00-0
325. Dartmouth (0-10)53.5530-00-00-0
326. Ark Pine Bluff (0-10)46.1150-00-00-0
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