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Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

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  Printable NCAA Bracket
2008 Printable NCAA Tournament Bracket

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Games against non-D1 teams not considered in power rankings or predictions.

Home Advantage

By division
Last Updated Tue Apr 06 11:39:20 EDT 2004

Home Advantage = 3.7988

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
1. Centenary (14-12)18.450
2. Lamar (7-18)17.224
3. Iowa St (19-13)16.623
4. Tennessee (15-14)16.151
5. Texas Southern (13-15)15.187
6. VMI (4-22)15.148
7. Mercer (11-18)14.722
8. New Mexico (12-14)14.490
9. St Francis PA (13-15)14.299
10. Wyoming (11-16)13.923

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
11. BYU (18-9)13.730
12. Davidson (14-12)13.648
13. Air Force (22-7)13.605
14. Ohio (10-20)13.586
15. Clemson (10-18)13.509
16. Stephen Austin (17-9)13.119
17. Elon (10-18)12.864
18. Wisconsin (25-7)12.645
19. Mississippi (13-15)12.483
20. Monmouth NJ (21-12)12.016

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
21. Arkansas Lr (14-12)11.908
22. Texas Tech (22-11)11.860
23. St Bonaventure (7-21)11.626
24. Jacksonville St (12-14)11.482
25. Bucknell (12-15)11.410
26. Nevada (24-9)11.367
27. Rutgers (19-13)11.360
28. Tulane (10-17)11.301
29. San Diego (3-26)11.085
30. San Diego St (12-16)10.926

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
31. McNeese St (8-16)10.771
32. Lehigh (18-11)10.599
33. Eastern Wash (16-13)10.432
34. Tennessee Tech (10-15)10.283
35. Campbell (3-24)10.025
36. Holy Cross (13-14)9.8740
37. Western Mich (26-5)9.7780
38. Marist (6-22)9.7609
39. Kansas St (14-14)9.7445
40. Auburn (14-14)9.6957

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
41. Florida St (18-14)9.4762
42. Arkansas (12-16)9.4141
43. Northwestern (14-15)9.3164
44. Memphis (22-8)9.2048
45. Santa Clara (15-16)9.1939
46. Morgan St (11-16)9.1720
47. Liberty (17-15)9.0875
48. Morehead St (13-13)9.0676
49. UC Santa Barbara (15-12)9.0494
50. George Mason (23-10)8.9889

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
51. Delaware (16-12)8.9540
52. California (13-15)8.9319
53. Jackson St (12-17)8.9187
54. NO Carolina A&T (3-25)8.9078
55. Georgia (16-14)8.8317
56. North Carolina (19-11)8.7290
57. Austin Peay (20-10)8.5801
58. Bowling Green (12-17)8.5264
59. Fordham (6-22)8.5225
60. Virginia (18-13)8.4836

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
61. Geo Washington (18-12)8.4741
62. Creighton (20-9)8.3157
63. Coll Of Charltn (19-9)8.2041
64. Nebraska (18-13)8.1729
65. Texas El Paso (22-8)8.1017
66. Texas (25-8)8.0369
67. Uab (22-10)7.9406
68. Drexel (18-11)7.7832
69. Western Ill (3-24)7.7335
70. North Texas (11-15)7.6287

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
71. Seton Hall (20-10)7.5853
72. Youngstown St (7-20)7.5566
73. Radford (10-16)7.5410
74. Rice (21-11)7.4871
75. Florida Intl (3-22)7.3457
76. East Tenn St (24-6)7.2973
77. Louisville (20-10)7.2741
78. IPFW (2-24)7.1955
79. Sam Houston (9-15)7.1900
80. Northern Ill (8-19)7.1411

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
81. Marquette (18-12)7.1394
82. Texas Arlington (14-12)7.1089
83. Bradley (15-15)7.0819
84. Akron (13-15)7.0273
85. Iona (11-18)6.9851
86. UCLA (11-17)6.8700
87. Eastern KY (12-15)6.8566
88. Alabama A&M (13-16)6.8268
89. Michigan St (18-12)6.8123
90. UC Riverside (10-17)6.7690

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
91. Ul Monroe (9-19)6.6013
92. Colorado St (12-15)6.5586
93. Utah (22-9)6.5461
94. Arizona (20-10)6.5449
95. Cincinnati (25-7)6.4829
96. Liu Brooklyn (8-19)6.4501
97. TX Pan American (10-14)6.4397
98. SE Louisiana (16-9)6.3557
99. Central Mich (5-24)6.2676
100. Norfolk St (12-16)6.2205

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
101. Oregon St (11-16)6.1621
102. Southern (11-16)6.1528
103. Tulsa (9-20)6.1379
104. Vanderbilt (23-10)6.1362
105. Marshall (12-17)6.1338
106. Missouri (16-14)6.1299
107. Tenn Martin (8-18)6.1011
108. Illinois Chi (24-8)6.0754
109. Hofstra (14-15)6.0664
110. Kansas (23-9)5.9674

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
111. Chicago St (11-20)5.8838
112. St Peters (17-12)5.7980
113. Penn St (9-19)5.7642
114. Michigan (23-11)5.7585
115. Cal Poly (10-16)5.7014
116. Pacific (24-8)5.6842
117. South Carolina (23-11)5.6235
118. UC Irvine (10-17)5.5625
119. NC Wilmington (15-15)5.4902
120. Hartford (11-17)5.4583

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
121. LSU (18-11)5.4026
122. Southern Utah (8-18)5.3749
123. Nicholls St (2-21)5.3730
124. Illinois St (9-19)5.3480
125. Colorado (17-11)5.3142
126. Georgetown (13-15)5.2676
127. Idaho (13-16)5.2520
128. Butler (15-14)5.1582
129. SO Carolina St (17-11)5.1139
130. Stanford (30-2)5.1083

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
131. Towson (8-21)5.0981
132. Western KY (13-13)5.0569
133. Oklahoma (20-10)4.9704
134. SE Missouri St (9-16)4.9595
135. Oklahoma St (30-4)4.9535
136. SO Mississippi (12-15)4.9443
137. Old Dominion (17-12)4.8831
138. Sacramento St (11-15)4.8184
139. La Salle (10-20)4.8176
140. Hawaii (20-12)4.8172

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
141. Houston (9-18)4.7891
142. Rider (17-13)4.7747
143. St Josephs (30-2)4.7645
144. Montana St (12-13)4.6836
145. San Francisco (16-14)4.6816
146. Eastern Ill (4-20)4.6699
147. Illinois (26-7)4.5645
148. SW Missouri St (19-14)4.4878
149. Quinnipiac (7-20)4.4785
150. Texas A&M-CC (11-11)4.3965

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
151. Birmingham Southern (18-7)4.3647
152. Wisc Green Bay (16-11)4.3145
153. Washington (19-12)4.1898
154. Oregon (18-13)4.1798
155. New Orleans (16-14)4.1722
156. Savannah St (4-23)4.1543
157. Fair Dickinson (16-12)4.1136
158. Samford (8-16)4.0819
159. Toledo (20-11)4.0561
160. SW Texas St (9-14)4.0342

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
161. North Carolina St (21-10)4.0092
162. Drake (11-16)3.9720
163. CS Fullerton (10-17)3.9196
164. Long Beach St (5-21)3.8711
165. Ball St (13-15)3.7743
166. Sacred Heart (12-15)3.6621
167. Loyola MD (1-27)3.6201
168. St Marys CA (16-12)3.5771
169. Unlv (17-13)3.4785
170. Iowa (16-13)3.4730

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
171. South Florida (7-20)3.3965
172. Temple (15-14)3.3774
173. William & Mary (7-21)3.3398
174. Massachusetts (10-19)3.2972
175. South Alabama (10-16)3.2345
176. Wisc Milwaukee (19-11)3.1865
177. Kent (21-9)3.1733
178. Ul Lafayette (18-9)3.1299
179. Colgate (13-14)3.1245
180. Murray St (25-6)3.1086

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
181. Oakland (11-17)3.0741
182. West Virginia (17-14)3.0566
183. Coppin St (18-14)3.0356
184. Bethune Cookman (8-21)3.0050
185. Miami Ohio (17-11)3.0044
186. Southern Ill (25-5)2.9834
187. Yale (11-15)2.9827
188. Miss Valley St (21-6)2.9801
189. Middle Tenn St (15-12)2.9722
190. Detroit (19-11)2.9671

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
191. Pepperdine (15-16)2.9351
192. Utah St (24-4)2.8012
193. Virginia Tech (15-14)2.7821
194. Tennessee St (6-20)2.7129
195. East Carolina (12-14)2.7031
196. Duke (31-6)2.6806
197. Hampton (13-17)2.6786
198. Gonzaga (28-3)2.6326
199. Robert Morris (13-15)2.6120
200. Jacksonville (11-15)2.5477

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
201. Delaware St (13-15)2.4907
202. Mo Kansas City (15-14)2.4702
203. James Madison (7-21)2.4621
204. Oral Roberts (15-11)2.4353
205. San Jose St (5-22)2.4311
206. Northern Iowa (20-10)2.4069
207. Minnesota (12-18)2.4044
208. St Francis NY (15-13)2.3328
209. Lafayette (16-10)2.3254
210. Portland St (9-16)2.2480

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
211. Dayton (24-9)2.1820
212. Portland (11-17)2.1816
213. Mt St Marys (10-19)2.1639
214. Fairfield (19-11)2.1631
215. Denver (13-13)2.0469
216. Wake Forest (21-10)2.0137
217. Florida (20-11)1.9475
218. Idaho St (11-18)1.8804
219. VA Commonwealth (23-8)1.8655
220. St Louis (19-13)1.8437

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
221. Eastern Mich (10-15)1.8431
222. Brown (13-13)1.8262
223. Evansville (7-22)1.7094
224. Rhode Island (20-13)1.6164
225. Connecticut (33-6)1.6087
226. Vermont (22-9)1.5978
227. The Citadel (3-21)1.4941
228. Prairie View (7-20)1.4500
229. Stetson (10-15)1.4476
230. Lipscomb (5-21)1.4065

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
231. Columbia (9-17)1.3857
232. Furman (14-12)1.3306
233. Indiana St (9-19)1.3178
234. Ohio St (14-16)1.3038
235. Pittsburgh (30-5)1.1802
236. Arkansas St (15-11)1.0720
237. Alcorn St (11-18)0.9157
238. Loyola Marymnt (14-14)0.9016
239. Boise St (21-10)0.8713
240. Troy St (23-6)0.7326

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
241. St Johns (6-21)0.6914
242. Valparaiso (17-13)0.6263
243. TCU (12-17)0.5397
244. Westrn Carolina (9-15)0.3608
245. Charleston Sou (4-22)0.2875
246. Wright St (14-13)0.2734
247. Tex San Antonio (16-13)0.2449
248. Washington St (12-16)0.1908
249. Alabama St (16-15)0.1473
250. Baylor (7-20)0.0293

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
251. Coast Carolina (12-15)-0.007
252. Belmont (20-9)-0.046
253. Syracuse (23-8)-0.087
254. Texas A&M (7-21)-0.369
255. Boston College (24-10)-0.413
256. Florida A&M (15-17)-0.418
257. Montana (8-18)-0.435
258. Alabama (20-13)-0.438
259. Maryland (20-12)-0.473
260. Weber St (13-14)-0.538

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
261. Purdue (17-14)-0.603
262. Niagara (22-10)-0.649
263. Binghamton (14-16)-0.651
264. Manhattan (25-6)-0.852
265. Northwestern St (8-17)-0.869
266. Dartmouth (2-24)-0.957
267. Kentucky (27-5)-0.959
268. NC Greensboro (10-17)-1.037
269. Miami Fla (13-16)-1.077
270. Northrn Arizona (13-14)-1.082

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
271. American (18-13)-1.206
272. Wichita St (20-11)-1.278
273. Central Florida (24-6)-1.310
274. Siena (14-16)-1.417
275. DePaul (22-10)-1.464
276. Albany NY (5-23)-1.564
277. Buffalo (17-12)-1.688
278. Louisiana Tech (13-15)-1.711
279. Geo Southern (18-8)-1.716
280. Charlotte (21-9)-1.772

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
281. Xavier (26-11)-1.810
282. Loyola Chi (9-20)-1.848
283. Richmond (20-13)-1.951
284. Grambling (9-18)-2.090
285. Winthrop (14-12)-2.111
286. Mississippi St (26-4)-2.234
287. High Point (17-11)-2.234
288. Duquesne (12-17)-2.265
289. Georgia Tech (28-10)-2.290
290. Georgia St (18-9)-2.347

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
291. Stony Brook (10-20)-2.400
292. Fla Atlantic (7-19)-2.592
293. Arizona St (10-17)-2.593
294. Army (4-21)-2.669
295. Princeton (19-8)-2.744
296. Wofford (6-20)-2.821
297. Villanova (17-16)-2.932
298. Gardner-Webb (7-20)-2.956
299. Harvard (4-23)-3.080
300. Northeastern (17-11)-3.116

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
301. SMU (12-18)-3.234
302. Providence (20-9)-3.322
303. Umbc (7-21)-3.434
304. CS Northridge (13-16)-3.909
305. Maine (18-10)-3.962
306. Chattanooga (16-11)-3.983
307. USC (13-15)-4.263
308. Cornell (10-16)-4.396
309. NC Asheville (7-20)-4.861
310. Cleveland St (2-25)-4.864

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
311. Wagner (12-16)-5.005
312. Indiana (14-15)-5.054
313. Central Conn (14-14)-5.104
314. Howard (6-22)-5.191
315. Iupui (19-11)-5.262
316. Fresno St (13-15)-5.320
317. Pennsylvania (17-10)-5.470
318. MD Eastrn Shore (8-21)-5.563
319. Notre Dame (19-13)-5.565
320. Appalachian St (8-21)-5.570

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
321. New Mexico St (11-14)-5.630
322. New Hampshire (10-20)-5.840
323. Canisius (10-19)-7.188
324. Boston U (23-6)-7.662
325. Navy (3-23)-8.428
326. Ark Pine Bluff (1-26)-9.052
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