NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

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  Printable NCAA Bracket
2008 Printable NCAA Tournament Bracket

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Games against non-D1 teams not considered in power rankings or predictions.

Conference RPI Home

By ranking
Last Updated Tue Apr 06 11:39:32 EDT 2004


ATLANTIC COAST CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.6295


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
1. Duke (14-1)0.67174-10-03-0
3. North Carolina (12-2)0.66904-20-05-0
15. North Carolina St (14-2)0.64303-21-05-0
24. Wake Forest (12-3)0.62693-30-05-0
33. Florida St (14-3)0.61784-20-03-1
34. Maryland (12-4)0.61782-40-04-0
39. Georgia Tech (12-3)0.61302-30-05-0
42. Virginia (14-4)0.61083-40-05-0
57. Clemson (10-6)0.59503-40-12-1


SOUTHEASTERN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.6068


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
16. Kentucky (11-2)0.64154-01-12-1
22. Vanderbilt (15-2)0.62832-12-14-0
23. Alabama (11-4)0.62721-31-14-0
27. Mississippi St (12-2)0.62220-23-04-0
30. Florida (11-4)0.61841-31-14-0
37. LSU (12-3)0.61441-21-04-1
52. Auburn (12-5)0.59850-31-13-0
55. Georgia (13-3)0.59664-10-12-0
56. Tennessee (14-3)0.59522-21-13-0
60. South Carolina (14-3)0.59453-31-02-0
73. Mississippi (12-5)0.58671-32-11-0
115. Arkansas (10-6)0.55851-41-12-0


BIG TWELVE AVERAGE = 0.5957


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
7. Kansas (12-1)0.65850-03-05-1
8. Iowa St (16-1)0.65502-11-07-0
10. Oklahoma St (14-0)0.64972-02-02-0
11. Texas (15-1)0.64912-12-03-0
18. Texas Tech (14-1)0.63891-11-03-0
31. Missouri (10-4)0.61841-30-05-1
64. Colorado (11-3)0.59330-12-13-1
76. Nebraska (15-3)0.58551-01-14-1
78. Oklahoma (14-3)0.58410-22-01-1
93. Kansas St (12-4)0.57561-20-03-2
251. Baylor (5-11)0.47580-20-21-1
264. Texas A&M (5-9)0.46470-30-20-2


MOUNTAINWEST AVERAGE = 0.5875


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
9. BYU (10-0)0.65150-01-02-0
41. Utah (13-1)0.61150-02-01-1
61. Air Force (13-0)0.59450-02-02-0
77. Wyoming (10-5)0.58420-02-21-3
83. San Diego St (10-4)0.58140-01-12-3
107. Unlv (11-4)0.56660-00-32-0
123. Colorado St (7-4)0.55560-00-21-2
125. New Mexico (12-4)0.55510-02-10-2


BIG EAST AVERAGE = 0.5864


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
5. Seton Hall (13-2)0.66342-22-03-0
13. Rutgers (15-2)0.64451-11-14-0
17. Connecticut (17-1)0.64022-14-01-0
21. Syracuse (14-3)0.63182-13-23-0
25. Pittsburgh (18-1)0.62512-12-05-0
29. Boston College (13-3)0.61881-23-03-1
47. Providence (11-4)0.60582-30-12-0
95. West Virginia (10-4)0.57501-21-02-1
111. Notre Dame (11-7)0.56301-41-01-2
118. Villanova (8-7)0.55800-30-33-0
134. Virginia Tech (11-4)0.54941-11-11-1
140. Georgetown (10-6)0.54480-41-00-2
215. St Johns (5-11)0.50090-30-21-2
229. Miami Fla (10-8)0.48920-31-10-3


CONFERENCE USA AVERAGE = 0.5711


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
12. Louisville (13-2)0.64902-03-13-1
14. Cincinnati (15-1)0.64410-04-13-0
19. Memphis (15-0)0.63520-03-04-0
26. Uab (14-1)0.62251-00-03-0
49. Marquette (14-3)0.60550-13-13-0
58. DePaul (11-4)0.59481-02-21-2
91. Charlotte (10-3)0.57760-11-12-1
98. St Louis (13-3)0.57200-01-32-0
99. SO Mississippi (7-4)0.57120-11-20-0
159. TCU (8-9)0.52930-21-30-2
185. East Carolina (9-5)0.51260-00-50-0
193. Tulane (10-7)0.50970-21-11-1
207. Houston (8-9)0.50420-11-21-3
262. South Florida (6-9)0.46800-00-30-2


BIG TEN AVERAGE = 0.5705


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
2. Wisconsin (15-0)0.66921-03-03-0
20. Michigan St (12-2)0.63320-22-02-0
38. Illinois (12-1)0.61311-03-01-0
40. Michigan (16-3)0.61262-01-13-2
67. Northwestern (10-3)0.59102-00-22-1
97. Iowa (11-3)0.57270-21-00-0
165. Purdue (9-5)0.52311-11-02-1
168. Indiana (6-7)0.52210-21-00-2
171. Minnesota (10-7)0.52030-11-10-3
182. Ohio St (9-7)0.51370-30-21-2
206. Penn St (7-7)0.50430-10-30-1


PACIFIC TEN AVERAGE = 0.5596


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
28. Arizona (13-2)0.62170-10-03-1
44. Stanford (14-0)0.60730-01-03-0
54. Oregon (11-3)0.59830-10-13-0
63. Washington (11-3)0.59431-11-01-0
90. California (11-4)0.57820-12-02-1
116. UCLA (9-6)0.55840-11-22-0
163. Oregon St (10-6)0.52510-11-01-2
183. USC (7-7)0.51310-11-00-3
202. Washington St (5-5)0.50630-10-10-2
227. Arizona St (7-8)0.49350-10-20-2


ATLANTIC TEN AVERAGE = 0.5592


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
6. St Josephs (9-0)0.65941-01-03-0
45. Xavier (13-3)0.60712-11-02-1
48. Dayton (15-3)0.60560-01-15-2
71. Richmond (9-4)0.58730-20-22-0
75. Geo Washington (12-2)0.58630-12-02-1
94. Rhode Island (11-5)0.57541-11-12-0
117. Temple (8-5)0.55840-21-11-2
180. Massachusetts (8-7)0.51440-10-10-3
181. St Bonaventure (7-6)0.51420-10-11-1
210. Fordham (5-7)0.50330-10-10-3
211. Duquesne (8-8)0.50310-21-10-3
220. La Salle (5-8)0.49650-00-31-3


WESTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.5504


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
4. Nevada (14-0)0.66501-01-04-0
43. Texas El Paso (14-1)0.60890-02-02-1
46. Rice (11-3)0.60620-22-03-0
62. Hawaii (14-3)0.59430-02-03-0
92. Boise St (11-4)0.57640-02-14-0
167. Fresno St (7-9)0.52210-00-21-5
176. Tulsa (7-7)0.51750-10-22-1
209. Louisiana Tech (6-5)0.50380-00-20-3
237. SMU (4-8)0.48110-12-10-3
294. San Jose St (3-10)0.42860-00-20-3


MISSOURI VALLEY AVERAGE = 0.5414


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
36. Southern Ill (13-1)0.61500-00-15-0
81. Northern Iowa (12-3)0.58180-01-04-0
86. Creighton (14-2)0.58080-00-14-1
114. SW Missouri St (12-4)0.56000-00-13-2
127. Wichita St (10-5)0.55360-00-14-1
133. Bradley (11-4)0.55010-00-12-2
189. Illinois St (7-6)0.51140-00-11-3
199. Drake (6-6)0.50790-00-11-4
236. Indiana St (6-8)0.48380-00-10-4
258. Evansville (4-8)0.46940-00-10-6


WEST COAST CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.5375


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
35. Gonzaga (13-0)0.61740-00-01-0
109. Santa Clara (11-6)0.56480-30-12-0
126. St Marys CA (8-3)0.55410-10-00-0
130. San Francisco (9-3)0.55230-10-01-0
141. Pepperdine (8-4)0.54410-10-11-0
203. Portland (6-6)0.50610-11-00-2
214. Loyola Marymnt (7-6)0.50190-10-00-2
269. San Diego (3-7)0.45920-10-01-0


COLONIAL AVERAGE = 0.5371


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
51. George Mason (14-1)0.60310-00-03-1
84. VA Commonwealth (12-2)0.58120-00-12-0
89. Drexel (10-2)0.57900-00-02-1
100. Old Dominion (11-4)0.57070-10-11-2
108. Delaware (10-3)0.56590-10-02-1
119. NC Wilmington (9-3)0.55790-00-01-2
122. Hofstra (8-3)0.55560-00-03-0
267. William & Mary (5-7)0.46120-00-01-2
280. Towson (5-8)0.44990-00-00-4
282. James Madison (5-8)0.44690-00-01-3


MID-AMERICAN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.5307


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
74. Western Mich (13-0)0.58640-00-02-0
85. Kent (10-3)0.58090-01-02-3
87. Miami Ohio (9-3)0.58000-00-13-0
104. Toledo (11-1)0.56990-01-00-0
121. Ohio (8-4)0.55670-00-12-2
137. Ball St (9-5)0.54650-01-11-1
156. Marshall (8-5)0.53170-01-00-2
158. Bowling Green (9-4)0.53100-00-11-1
161. Akron (9-4)0.52630-00-12-0
216. Buffalo (9-5)0.50030-00-11-1
250. Northern Ill (6-5)0.47580-00-01-2
255. Eastern Mich (5-5)0.47350-00-10-2
285. Central Mich (4-8)0.44030-00-10-3


BIG WEST AVERAGE = 0.5232


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
53. Utah St (14-1)0.59830-01-01-1
65. Pacific (11-1)0.59290-02-00-0
135. UC Santa Barbara (9-2)0.54870-00-10-1
147. Idaho (8-4)0.53770-00-10-2
160. UC Riverside (7-4)0.52770-00-10-1
174. UC Irvine (6-5)0.51920-10-10-1
222. Cal Poly (7-5)0.49630-00-10-2
225. CS Fullerton (7-6)0.49400-00-10-1
244. CS Northridge (6-6)0.47830-00-10-1
286. Long Beach St (4-8)0.43870-00-10-1


SUN BELT AVERAGE = 0.5198


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
82. Ul Lafayette (9-1)0.58160-00-00-0
103. Arkansas Lr (10-2)0.57020-10-00-0
113. Western KY (8-4)0.56160-10-01-2
120. New Orleans (8-3)0.55700-00-11-0
150. Middle Tenn St (8-3)0.53670-00-01-1
164. North Texas (7-3)0.52370-00-01-1
178. South Alabama (6-5)0.51640-00-01-1
194. Denver (8-4)0.50940-00-00-1
219. Arkansas St (8-4)0.49660-00-00-1
270. New Mexico St (6-7)0.45900-00-10-1
309. Florida Intl (3-9)0.40600-00-00-1


HORIZON AVERAGE = 0.5108


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
59. Wisc Milwaukee (10-3)0.59470-00-22-1
88. Illinois Chi (11-1)0.57970-00-01-0
124. Detroit (12-3)0.55510-01-02-2
138. Wisc Green Bay (10-3)0.54510-00-01-3
173. Butler (11-5)0.51970-00-11-2
197. Wright St (8-5)0.50860-00-11-1
256. Youngstown St (6-6)0.47060-00-01-1
273. Loyola Chi (4-7)0.45810-00-10-2
320. Cleveland St (0-11)0.36530-10-00-2


NORTHEASTERN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.5074


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
50. Monmouth NJ (13-0)0.60490-00-00-0
101. St Francis PA (10-1)0.57050-00-00-0
139. Fair Dickinson (9-3)0.54490-00-00-0
191. St Francis NY (8-4)0.51100-00-00-0
195. Robert Morris (8-3)0.50930-00-00-0
263. Mt St Marys (6-6)0.46710-00-00-0
266. Liu Brooklyn (6-6)0.46130-00-00-0
277. Wagner (5-7)0.45370-00-00-0
284. Central Conn (5-7)0.44360-00-00-1


OHIO VALLEY AVERAGE = 0.5068


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
70. Austin Peay (11-0)0.58780-00-02-0
102. Morehead St (9-2)0.57030-00-00-2
105. Murray St (13-1)0.56900-01-00-0
169. Eastern KY (9-3)0.52200-00-00-2
170. Tennessee Tech (8-4)0.52060-00-00-3
186. Jacksonville St (10-2)0.51200-00-00-1
235. Tenn Martin (6-4)0.48400-00-00-1
239. SE Missouri St (6-5)0.48070-00-00-2
261. Samford (5-3)0.46880-00-00-1
293. Tennessee St (4-6)0.43370-00-00-2
297. Eastern Ill (3-7)0.42610-00-00-3


METRO ATLANTIC ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.5037


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
72. St Peters (9-2)0.58680-00-10-1
80. Manhattan (13-2)0.58300-00-02-1
136. Niagara (10-4)0.54710-00-11-1
151. Rider (9-4)0.53660-01-01-0
154. Fairfield (8-3)0.53220-00-12-0
201. Iona (7-5)0.50670-01-00-2
221. Siena (9-7)0.49630-00-10-3
279. Marist (5-9)0.45050-00-10-1
306. Canisius (3-9)0.41480-00-10-1
316. Loyola MD (1-11)0.38320-00-10-1


SOUTHERN AVERAGE = 0.5035


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
32. East Tenn St (10-0)0.61830-00-00-0
68. Coll Of Charltn (11-1)0.59050-00-02-0
69. Davidson (10-0)0.58950-00-00-0
153. Elon (9-3)0.53400-00-00-1
184. Geo Southern (8-2)0.51300-00-00-0
187. Furman (8-4)0.51190-00-00-1
217. Chattanooga (7-4)0.49990-00-00-1
259. Westrn Carolina (5-5)0.46910-00-00-1
272. NC Greensboro (6-6)0.45860-00-00-1
295. Appalachian St (3-8)0.42850-00-01-1
299. The Citadel (2-10)0.42330-00-10-2
310. Wofford (3-6)0.40550-00-00-0


MID-CONTINENT AVERAGE = 0.4950


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
66. Centenary (11-0)0.59210-00-00-0
157. Chicago St (7-3)0.53110-00-00-0
166. Oral Roberts (8-3)0.52220-00-00-0
204. Valparaiso (10-5)0.50580-10-00-1
205. Mo Kansas City (9-5)0.50530-00-00-1
231. Iupui (7-4)0.48740-00-00-0
271. Southern Utah (5-6)0.45890-00-00-0
275. Oakland (6-5)0.45770-00-00-1
314. Western Ill (3-9)0.39430-00-00-0


BIG SKY AVERAGE = 0.4909


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
79. Eastern Wash (10-1)0.58410-00-00-0
212. Weber St (6-5)0.50280-00-20-0
224. Sacramento St (8-4)0.49570-00-00-0
230. Montana St (8-5)0.48890-00-00-0
240. Idaho St (5-6)0.48040-00-10-2
257. Portland St (5-4)0.46950-00-00-0
268. Northrn Arizona (6-4)0.46120-00-00-0
283. Montana (5-7)0.44480-00-00-0


SOUTHLAND AVERAGE = 0.4887


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
96. Stephen Austin (12-0)0.57320-00-00-0
144. Texas Arlington (9-2)0.54010-00-00-0
145. SE Louisiana (10-1)0.53910-00-00-0
190. Lamar (7-5)0.51110-00-00-2
213. McNeese St (7-3)0.50190-00-00-0
234. Sam Houston (6-3)0.48510-00-00-0
242. SW Texas St (5-3)0.47860-00-00-0
243. Ul Monroe (6-4)0.47860-00-00-0
248. Tex San Antonio (8-5)0.47600-00-00-1
292. Northwestern St (4-4)0.43440-00-00-0
322. Nicholls St (2-8)0.35750-00-00-0


ATLANTICSUN AVERAGE = 0.4863


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
106. Troy St (9-1)0.56700-00-01-1
110. Belmont (11-4)0.56340-10-03-2
128. Central Florida (11-1)0.55270-00-01-1
132. Mercer (9-2)0.55060-00-01-2
172. Georgia St (8-3)0.51990-00-02-1
247. Stetson (6-6)0.47620-00-00-4
252. Jacksonville (7-5)0.47540-00-00-3
302. Gardner-Webb (3-7)0.41950-00-00-3
305. Lipscomb (3-9)0.41500-00-00-3
308. Campbell (3-9)0.40640-00-00-3
311. Fla Atlantic (4-8)0.40380-00-00-3


PATRIOT AVERAGE = 0.4830


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
131. Lehigh (11-1)0.55070-00-00-0
142. Bucknell (8-2)0.54390-00-00-0
148. Lafayette (9-2)0.53750-00-00-0
149. Holy Cross (9-2)0.53740-00-01-0
208. American (7-4)0.50400-00-00-1
254. Colgate (7-4)0.47440-00-00-0
318. Army (2-11)0.36590-00-00-0
323. Navy (1-12)0.35050-00-00-2


INDEPENDENTS AVERAGE = 0.4742


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
152. Texas A&M-CC (6-3)0.53510-00-01-1
196. TX Pan American (6-3)0.50900-00-01-0
289. IPFW (2-6)0.43640-00-00-2
304. Savannah St (3-6)0.41620-00-00-0


BIG SOUTH AVERAGE = 0.4684


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
112. Liberty (12-2)0.56190-00-00-1
146. Birmingham Southern (10-1)0.53880-00-00-0
249. Winthrop (8-4)0.47600-00-00-0
260. Radford (7-5)0.46910-00-00-0
265. High Point (9-3)0.46450-00-00-0
274. Coast Carolina (7-5)0.45780-00-00-0
287. VMI (4-6)0.43720-00-00-1
296. NC Asheville (3-8)0.42610-00-10-1
315. Charleston Sou (2-6)0.38450-00-00-0


AMERICA EAST AVERAGE = 0.4677


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
129. Vermont (10-2)0.55260-00-00-1
162. Boston U (11-3)0.52590-10-00-0
200. Northeastern (8-3)0.50700-00-00-1
218. Hartford (6-5)0.49890-00-00-2
232. Maine (7-4)0.48690-00-00-1
241. Binghamton (6-5)0.47980-00-00-1
300. Stony Brook (5-9)0.42070-00-10-1
307. Umbc (2-9)0.40800-00-00-1
312. Albany NY (3-10)0.39860-00-00-1
313. New Hampshire (3-9)0.39860-00-00-1


SOUTHWESTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.4600


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
155. Miss Valley St (11-1)0.53180-00-00-0
177. Texas Southern (10-1)0.51700-00-00-0
188. Jackson St (8-2)0.51160-00-00-0
233. Alabama A&M (8-3)0.48610-00-00-0
245. Southern (7-4)0.47770-00-00-0
246. Alabama St (7-4)0.47650-00-00-0
281. Alcorn St (6-6)0.44700-00-00-0
298. Prairie View (4-6)0.42360-00-00-1
301. Grambling (4-5)0.41970-00-00-0
326. Ark Pine Bluff (0-10)0.30930-00-00-0


IVY LEAGUE AVERAGE = 0.4567


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
143. Princeton (9-2)0.54350-00-00-0
192. Pennsylvania (7-6)0.51070-20-00-1
223. Brown (7-4)0.49600-00-00-1
228. Yale (6-4)0.48980-00-00-1
288. Columbia (4-6)0.43680-00-00-0
291. Cornell (4-7)0.43480-10-00-0
317. Harvard (2-10)0.37940-00-00-0
321. Dartmouth (1-10)0.36230-00-00-0


MID-EASTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.4428


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
175. Coppin St (8-1)0.51840-00-00-0
179. SO Carolina St (9-1)0.51580-00-00-0
198. Morgan St (8-2)0.50830-00-00-0
238. Delaware St (7-3)0.48110-00-00-1
253. Hampton (7-4)0.47480-00-00-1
276. Norfolk St (8-3)0.45420-00-00-0
278. Florida A&M (8-4)0.45120-00-00-0
303. Bethune Cookman (5-6)0.41680-00-00-0
319. NO Carolina A&T (3-7)0.36570-00-00-0
324. Howard (2-11)0.34850-00-00-0
325. MD Eastrn Shore (3-9)0.33560-00-00-0
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