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Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

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  Printable NCAA Bracket
2008 Printable NCAA Tournament Bracket

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Games against non-D1 teams not considered in power rankings or predictions.

Strength of Schedule

By division
Last Updated Tue Apr 06 11:39:54 EDT 2004

Home Advantage = 3.7988

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
1. Clemson (10-18)0.4361
2. St Johns (6-21)0.3798
3. San Diego (3-26)0.3771
4. Fordham (6-22)0.3484
5. Penn St (9-19)0.3394
6. St Bonaventure (7-21)0.3336
7. IPFW (2-24)0.3327
8. Virginia (18-13)0.3007
9. San Jose St (5-22)0.2895
10. Maryland (20-12)0.2799

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
11. UCLA (11-17)0.2754
12. Tulsa (9-20)0.2746
13. Baylor (7-20)0.2711
14. Cleveland St (2-25)0.2692
15. Evansville (7-22)0.2652
16. Mississippi (13-15)0.2621
17. Indiana (14-15)0.2616
18. Georgia (16-14)0.2602
19. Arkansas (12-16)0.2527
20. Missouri (16-14)0.2515

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
21. Texas A&M (7-21)0.2507
22. Tennessee (15-14)0.2505
23. South Florida (7-20)0.2504
24. Florida St (18-14)0.2494
25. Villanova (17-16)0.2491
26. USC (13-15)0.2489
27. Alabama (20-13)0.2482
28. Central Mich (5-24)0.2472
29. Minnesota (12-18)0.2377
30. San Diego St (12-16)0.2373

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
31. Northwestern (14-15)0.2365
32. Wake Forest (21-10)0.2310
33. Arizona St (10-17)0.2306
34. Iowa St (19-13)0.2304
35. North Carolina (19-11)0.2302
36. Washington St (12-16)0.2287
37. West Virginia (17-14)0.2241
38. California (13-15)0.2235
39. Colorado St (12-15)0.2231
40. Ohio St (14-16)0.2224

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
41. SMU (12-18)0.2220
42. Georgia Tech (28-10)0.2148
43. TCU (12-17)0.2131
44. Colorado (17-11)0.2084
45. Virginia Tech (15-14)0.2068
46. Iowa (16-13)0.2060
47. La Salle (10-20)0.2052
48. Oregon St (11-16)0.2032
49. Houston (9-18)0.2001
50. LSU (18-11)0.1991

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
51. Florida (20-11)0.1989
52. Wyoming (11-16)0.1983
53. Auburn (14-14)0.1973
54. Georgetown (13-15)0.1954
55. Notre Dame (19-13)0.1945
56. North Carolina St (21-10)0.1944
57. Kansas St (14-14)0.1900
58. Rutgers (19-13)0.1899
59. Oregon (18-13)0.1882
60. Michigan St (18-12)0.1874

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
61. SO Mississippi (12-15)0.1865
62. Loyola Chi (9-20)0.1857
63. Louisiana Tech (13-15)0.1856
64. Florida Intl (3-22)0.1808
65. Texas Tech (22-11)0.1790
66. St Louis (19-13)0.1777
67. Illinois St (9-19)0.1768
68. Youngstown St (7-20)0.1753
69. Oklahoma (20-10)0.1753
70. Fresno St (13-15)0.1736

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
71. Boston College (24-10)0.1731
72. Syracuse (23-8)0.1729
73. Temple (15-14)0.1712
74. Seton Hall (20-10)0.1705
75. Vanderbilt (23-10)0.1664
76. Portland (11-17)0.1662
77. Miami Fla (13-16)0.1651
78. Texas (25-8)0.1650
79. South Carolina (23-11)0.1618
80. Providence (20-9)0.1609

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
81. Duquesne (12-17)0.1608
82. Purdue (17-14)0.1583
83. Kansas (23-9)0.1575
84. Long Beach St (5-21)0.1572
85. Washington (19-12)0.1571
86. Massachusetts (10-19)0.1553
87. Richmond (20-13)0.1547
88. The Citadel (3-21)0.1507
89. DePaul (22-10)0.1496
90. Nebraska (18-13)0.1438

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
91. Geo Washington (18-12)0.1434
92. Western Ill (3-24)0.1414
93. Tulane (10-17)0.1412
94. Indiana St (9-19)0.1392
95. Drake (11-16)0.1390
96. Hawaii (20-12)0.1380
97. Unlv (17-13)0.1377
98. Rice (21-11)0.1332
99. BYU (18-9)0.1299
100. Marquette (18-12)0.1292

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
101. Uab (22-10)0.1262
102. Xavier (26-11)0.1260
103. Michigan (23-11)0.1238
104. Illinois (26-7)0.1233
105. East Carolina (12-14)0.1214
106. Marshall (12-17)0.1202
107. Duke (31-6)0.1190
108. Louisville (20-10)0.1188
109. New Mexico (12-14)0.1156
110. Chicago St (11-20)0.1143

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
111. Appalachian St (8-21)0.1122
112. Charlotte (21-9)0.1119
113. Memphis (22-8)0.1119
114. Santa Clara (15-16)0.1112
115. Connecticut (33-6)0.1095
116. San Francisco (16-14)0.1075
117. Rhode Island (20-13)0.1072
118. Wisconsin (25-7)0.1069
119. Northern Ill (8-19)0.1066
120. Utah (22-9)0.1044

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
121. Kentucky (27-5)0.1038
122. Loyola MD (1-27)0.1030
123. Wofford (6-20)0.1023
124. Arizona (20-10)0.1016
125. James Madison (7-21)0.1012
126. Pepperdine (15-16)0.0960
127. Cincinnati (25-7)0.0937
128. Boise St (21-10)0.0915
129. Pittsburgh (30-5)0.0908
130. Dayton (24-9)0.0898

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
131. Nevada (24-9)0.0897
132. William & Mary (7-21)0.0883
133. Southern Utah (8-18)0.0876
134. Bradley (15-15)0.0862
135. UC Irvine (10-17)0.0857
136. Oklahoma St (30-4)0.0836
137. Texas El Paso (22-8)0.0808
138. Ohio (10-20)0.0799
139. Mississippi St (26-4)0.0773
140. Hofstra (14-15)0.0742

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
141. UC Riverside (10-17)0.0650
142. Loyola Marymnt (14-14)0.0629
143. Ball St (13-15)0.0607
144. Cal Poly (10-16)0.0555
145. South Alabama (10-16)0.0534
146. SW Missouri St (19-14)0.0533
147. Bowling Green (12-17)0.0524
148. Northern Iowa (20-10)0.0513
149. St Josephs (30-2)0.0512
150. Toledo (20-11)0.0479

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
151. Towson (8-21)0.0470
152. NC Wilmington (15-15)0.0413
153. Wisc Milwaukee (19-11)0.0392
154. Idaho (13-16)0.0385
155. St Marys CA (16-12)0.0382
156. New Orleans (16-14)0.0349
157. Idaho St (11-18)0.0334
158. Miami Ohio (17-11)0.0332
159. CS Fullerton (10-17)0.0328
160. Eastern Mich (10-15)0.0314

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
161. Montana (8-18)0.0296
162. Air Force (22-7)0.0293
163. Wright St (14-13)0.0255
164. Stanford (30-2)0.0254
165. North Texas (11-15)0.0247
166. New Mexico St (11-14)0.0246
167. Wisc Green Bay (16-11)0.0229
168. Eastern Ill (4-20)0.0213
169. Wichita St (20-11)0.0208
170. CS Northridge (13-16)0.0194

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
171. Creighton (20-9)0.0191
172. Western KY (13-13)0.0191
173. Tennessee St (6-20)0.0182
174. Marist (6-22)0.0180
175. Akron (13-15)0.0172
176. Ul Lafayette (18-9)0.0165
177. Campbell (3-24)0.0159
178. Denver (13-13)0.0134
179. TX Pan American (10-14)0.0126
180. Old Dominion (17-12)0.0112

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
181. Oakland (11-17)0.0082
182. Southern Ill (25-5)0.0079
183. Samford (8-16)0.0075
184. Butler (15-14)0.0066
185. Gonzaga (28-3)0.0063
186. Davidson (14-12)0.0039
187. Iona (11-18)7.7777
188. George Mason (23-10)-0.002
189. Pacific (24-8)-0.005
190. Westrn Carolina (9-15)-0.006

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
191. Canisius (10-19)-0.010
192. Savannah St (4-23)-0.014
193. Nicholls St (2-21)-0.017
194. VA Commonwealth (23-8)-0.017
195. Harvard (4-23)-0.017
196. Elon (10-18)-0.018
197. Middle Tenn St (15-12)-0.019
198. Portland St (9-16)-0.020
199. Eastern Wash (16-13)-0.021
200. Ul Monroe (9-19)-0.023

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
201. Dartmouth (2-24)-0.024
202. Ark Pine Bluff (1-26)-0.027
203. Siena (14-16)-0.027
204. Mercer (11-18)-0.027
205. Gardner-Webb (7-20)-0.028
206. Lipscomb (5-21)-0.029
207. Delaware (16-12)-0.030
208. Tenn Martin (8-18)-0.030
209. VMI (4-22)-0.031
210. Kent (21-9)-0.031

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
211. Drexel (18-11)-0.032
212. Tennessee Tech (10-15)-0.038
213. NC Asheville (7-20)-0.039
214. UC Santa Barbara (15-12)-0.041
215. Chattanooga (16-11)-0.041
216. Detroit (19-11)-0.043
217. Valparaiso (17-13)-0.044
218. Navy (3-23)-0.046
219. Centenary (14-12)-0.047
220. SE Missouri St (9-16)-0.047

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
221. Austin Peay (20-10)-0.047
222. St Peters (17-12)-0.048
223. NC Greensboro (10-17)-0.048
224. Stetson (10-15)-0.049
225. Weber St (13-14)-0.050
226. Sacramento St (11-15)-0.053
227. Morehead St (13-13)-0.056
228. Yale (11-15)-0.058
229. Illinois Chi (24-8)-0.061
230. Northwestern St (8-17)-0.062

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
231. Lamar (7-18)-0.067
232. Army (4-21)-0.069
233. Northrn Arizona (13-14)-0.071
234. Texas A&M-CC (11-11)-0.072
235. Oral Roberts (15-11)-0.075
236. NO Carolina A&T (3-25)-0.077
237. Charleston Sou (4-22)-0.078
238. Buffalo (17-12)-0.078
239. McNeese St (8-16)-0.082
240. Fairfield (19-11)-0.083

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
241. Albany NY (5-23)-0.087
242. Umbc (7-21)-0.097
243. Mo Kansas City (15-14)-0.099
244. Arkansas St (15-11)-0.101
245. Fla Atlantic (7-19)-0.101
246. Columbia (9-17)-0.105
247. Rider (17-13)-0.105
248. Arkansas Lr (14-12)-0.105
249. Jacksonville (11-15)-0.106
250. Stony Brook (10-20)-0.106

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
251. Liu Brooklyn (8-19)-0.109
252. Hartford (11-17)-0.110
253. Prairie View (7-20)-0.112
254. Manhattan (25-6)-0.113
255. SW Texas St (9-14)-0.115
256. Sam Houston (9-15)-0.117
257. Iupui (19-11)-0.126
258. Eastern KY (12-15)-0.129
259. Montana St (12-13)-0.130
260. Coll Of Charltn (19-9)-0.131

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
261. Quinnipiac (7-20)-0.134
262. Niagara (22-10)-0.138
263. Cornell (10-16)-0.138
264. Mt St Marys (10-19)-0.138
265. New Hampshire (10-20)-0.138
266. Brown (13-13)-0.142
267. Furman (14-12)-0.143
268. MD Eastrn Shore (8-21)-0.149
269. Robert Morris (13-15)-0.152
270. Western Mich (26-5)-0.157

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
271. Wagner (12-16)-0.158
272. Pennsylvania (17-10)-0.158
273. Howard (6-22)-0.160
274. Binghamton (14-16)-0.164
275. Radford (10-16)-0.164
276. East Tenn St (24-6)-0.165
277. Colgate (13-14)-0.165
278. Georgia St (18-9)-0.168
279. Sacred Heart (12-15)-0.169
280. Bucknell (12-15)-0.177

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
281. Jacksonville St (12-14)-0.177
282. Tex San Antonio (16-13)-0.177
283. Alcorn St (11-18)-0.178
284. Bethune Cookman (8-21)-0.179
285. Liberty (17-15)-0.181
286. Belmont (20-9)-0.186
287. Princeton (19-8)-0.188
288. Lafayette (16-10)-0.191
289. Texas Arlington (14-12)-0.192
290. St Francis PA (13-15)-0.193

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
291. Central Florida (24-6)-0.196
292. Coast Carolina (12-15)-0.202
293. Grambling (9-18)-0.205
294. Monmouth NJ (21-12)-0.206
295. Morgan St (11-16)-0.213
296. Northeastern (17-11)-0.217
297. Jackson St (12-17)-0.218
298. Murray St (25-6)-0.221
299. Holy Cross (13-14)-0.221
300. Geo Southern (18-8)-0.222

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
301. Utah St (24-4)-0.227
302. Troy St (23-6)-0.227
303. Central Conn (14-14)-0.229
304. Winthrop (14-12)-0.230
305. Hampton (13-17)-0.230
306. Florida A&M (15-17)-0.238
307. Fair Dickinson (16-12)-0.239
308. Delaware St (13-15)-0.243
309. American (18-13)-0.243
310. High Point (17-11)-0.248

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
311. Alabama A&M (13-16)-0.260
312. St Francis NY (15-13)-0.261
313. SE Louisiana (16-9)-0.265
314. Vermont (22-9)-0.271
315. Texas Southern (13-15)-0.274
316. Southern (11-16)-0.274
317. Maine (18-10)-0.275
318. Alabama St (16-15)-0.276
319. Norfolk St (12-16)-0.280
320. Coppin St (18-14)-0.285

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
321. Lehigh (18-11)-0.286
322. Boston U (23-6)-0.295
323. Stephen Austin (17-9)-0.326
324. SO Carolina St (17-11)-0.347
325. Birmingham Southern (18-7)-0.393
326. Miss Valley St (21-6)-0.479
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