NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

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  Printable NCAA Bracket
2008 Printable NCAA Tournament Bracket

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Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)
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Games against non-D1 teams not considered in power rankings or predictions.

Conference League Power Rankings

By ranking
Last Updated Tue Apr 06 11:38:36 EDT 2004

Home Court Advantage = 3.7988

ATLANTIC COAST CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 89.374


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
1. Duke (15-4)96.0788-42-03-0
8. North Carolina St (12-6)93.3446-53-02-0
12. Georgia Tech (10-8)90.8886-61-11-1
14. Maryland (10-9)90.4575-81-12-0
16. Wake Forest (9-8)90.1725-61-11-1
18. North Carolina (8-9)89.7475-61-11-1
30. Florida St (6-11)86.9254-90-01-1
39. Virginia (7-11)85.9553-101-10-0
89. Clemson (3-14)80.7982-101-10-3


SOUTHEASTERN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 85.442


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
6. Kentucky (16-3)94.4185-14-06-2
10. Mississippi St (14-3)93.0292-22-18-0
24. Florida (11-8)88.2942-54-04-3
36. Vanderbilt (10-9)86.5283-41-24-3
38. South Carolina (10-9)86.0932-61-07-2
48. Georgia (8-10)85.2414-40-33-3
49. Alabama (9-9)85.1311-50-17-2
61. Tennessee (7-10)83.6532-51-33-2
62. LSU (8-9)83.5951-42-24-2
92. Auburn (5-12)80.5710-50-34-3
97. Mississippi (5-12)79.7240-62-13-5
106. Arkansas (4-13)79.0261-41-31-5


BIG EAST AVERAGE = 84.645


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
4. Pittsburgh (15-4)94.6701-26-23-0
7. Connecticut (15-4)93.6222-15-34-0
19. Syracuse (11-6)89.6862-22-43-0
21. Providence (11-6)88.7901-14-23-2
22. Boston College (12-7)88.6770-35-21-2
25. Notre Dame (10-8)87.9491-42-33-1
29. Seton Hall (10-7)87.2091-12-43-2
66. Villanova (8-12)83.2240-33-51-3
71. Rutgers (9-10)82.8940-22-44-0
77. Virginia Tech (8-10)82.5600-31-44-2
86. West Virginia (7-11)81.2160-22-41-3
118. Miami Fla (4-12)77.9610-20-52-3
148. Georgetown (4-13)75.7750-20-61-2
216. St Johns (1-15)70.7960-20-60-4


BIG TWELVE AVERAGE = 83.643


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
3. Oklahoma St (17-2)95.2774-05-24-0
13. Texas (14-5)90.5982-37-01-2
20. Kansas (13-5)89.3920-36-15-1
40. Colorado (10-7)85.8540-45-23-1
41. Texas Tech (9-8)85.8431-51-23-1
50. Missouri (10-8)85.1001-42-24-2
59. Oklahoma (9-8)84.3050-63-12-1
74. Iowa St (8-10)82.8402-32-43-2
83. Kansas St (6-11)81.4041-32-41-4
85. Nebraska (6-11)81.2771-32-31-5
160. Baylor (3-13)74.8850-50-61-2
269. Texas A&M (0-17)66.9360-50-70-3


BIG TEN AVERAGE = 82.396


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
11. Wisconsin (15-4)91.3062-14-12-1
17. Illinois (15-4)89.7811-23-03-1
23. Michigan St (13-5)88.5260-42-02-1
64. Iowa (9-8)83.4360-31-32-0
68. Michigan (9-9)83.0801-30-23-1
78. Northwestern (9-9)82.2322-10-53-0
88. Indiana (8-10)80.9260-42-11-2
91. Purdue (7-10)80.6622-21-20-2
112. Ohio St (6-11)78.4040-40-21-2
149. Minnesota (4-14)75.7480-31-21-4
194. Penn St (3-14)72.2510-30-40-2


PACIFIC TEN AVERAGE = 80.817


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
9. Stanford (20-1)93.0412-00-07-1
43. Washington (14-7)85.6964-20-02-2
63. Arizona (12-8)83.4710-20-03-4
93. Oregon (10-10)80.4940-50-03-2
100. California (9-10)79.6431-30-02-3
108. Washington St (7-12)78.9130-50-02-4
109. USC (8-11)78.7051-40-02-4
129. UCLA (7-12)77.1800-40-04-3
130. Oregon St (6-12)77.0441-30-01-5
171. Arizona St (4-14)73.9770-40-01-5


CONFERENCE USA AVERAGE = 80.760


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
15. Cincinnati (15-4)90.2142-12-25-1
26. DePaul (14-5)87.7082-23-12-2
31. Uab (13-5)86.7781-12-12-2
33. Charlotte (13-5)86.6992-10-33-1
35. Memphis (12-5)86.5701-22-02-2
56. Louisville (10-8)84.6441-22-21-3
60. St Louis (11-8)83.8830-32-32-2
96. Marquette (8-9)79.8352-10-32-2
107. TCU (8-10)78.9881-10-42-3
134. East Carolina (5-12)76.8380-30-50-3
139. SO Mississippi (6-11)76.5930-21-31-3
187. Tulane (4-13)73.0820-21-40-3
212. Houston (3-13)71.0640-20-30-3
254. South Florida (1-15)67.7430-20-40-3


MOUNTAINWEST AVERAGE = 80.450


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
34. Air Force (12-3)86.5880-03-13-1
55. Utah (11-5)84.6720-02-14-3
57. BYU (10-5)84.6200-01-25-1
82. Unlv (9-8)81.4890-00-53-1
125. New Mexico (5-10)77.4140-02-21-6
137. Colorado St (5-10)76.6560-00-33-5
138. San Diego St (5-10)76.6420-01-42-4
152. Wyoming (4-10)75.5190-01-30-4


ATLANTIC TEN AVERAGE = 79.859


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
5. St Josephs (16-1)94.4541-12-05-0
27. Xavier (14-6)87.5661-13-24-1
42. Geo Washington (12-6)85.7551-30-24-1
44. Dayton (14-5)85.5871-34-11-1
54. Richmond (12-7)84.6921-22-02-4
90. Temple (9-8)80.7010-30-32-1
119. Duquesne (7-11)77.8762-10-41-4
128. Rhode Island (8-10)77.3710-31-21-2
159. La Salle (5-12)74.9370-31-30-5
214. Massachusetts (4-13)71.0030-30-22-3
234. Fordham (3-14)69.2610-30-30-5
236. St Bonaventure (3-14)69.1090-40-21-4


WESTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 79.658


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
28. Nevada (16-5)87.5480-02-16-3
47. Texas El Paso (15-6)85.2541-20-05-4
58. Boise St (13-7)84.3891-12-14-3
67. Rice (13-7)83.2121-21-15-2
84. Hawaii (11-8)81.3491-11-12-5
95. Fresno St (10-9)80.2750-20-23-4
113. Louisiana Tech (9-11)78.3730-20-34-4
151. SMU (6-14)75.5491-20-20-8
180. Tulsa (5-14)73.4580-20-22-6
265. San Jose St (1-18)67.1700-20-20-8


WEST COAST CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 77.299


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
2. Gonzaga (16-0)95.7570-00-03-0
81. St Marys CA (10-6)81.6130-30-00-0
99. Pepperdine (10-6)79.6740-20-01-2
147. San Francisco (7-8)75.7970-20-00-2
155. Santa Clara (8-9)75.3130-30-00-2
186. Loyola Marymnt (6-10)73.1910-20-02-0
192. Portland (5-10)72.5580-20-00-2
290. San Diego (1-14)64.4930-20-00-2


MISSOURI VALLEY AVERAGE = 76.981


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
37. Southern Ill (18-2)86.3800-00-07-2
80. Northern Iowa (15-6)81.7890-01-15-3
87. Wichita St (13-7)81.0810-00-24-3
101. Creighton (12-7)79.6390-00-23-4
110. SW Missouri St (11-10)78.6880-01-23-5
169. Drake (7-12)74.0410-00-22-7
182. Bradley (7-12)73.3760-00-22-6
202. Evansville (6-14)71.9830-00-31-7
206. Illinois St (5-15)71.4650-00-22-7
207. Indiana St (5-14)71.3720-00-21-7


COLONIAL AVERAGE = 74.877


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
72. VA Commonwealth (17-4)82.8790-00-03-2
103. Drexel (13-6)79.4090-00-02-2
105. George Mason (14-7)79.3580-00-02-3
121. Old Dominion (12-8)77.7700-00-02-5
140. NC Wilmington (11-10)76.3570-00-03-5
146. Delaware (10-9)75.8650-00-02-5
150. Hofstra (10-9)75.6180-00-02-4
246. Towson (5-15)68.4020-00-00-7
268. William & Mary (4-15)66.9490-00-00-6
276. James Madison (3-16)66.1590-00-01-5


MID-AMERICAN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 74.679


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
46. Western Mich (18-3)85.3170-00-01-1
102. Kent (15-6)79.6380-01-10-0
120. Toledo (14-7)77.7930-01-20-1
122. Buffalo (12-8)77.7400-00-11-1
123. Miami Ohio (13-7)77.6140-00-12-1
144. Ball St (11-9)76.0580-00-20-1
163. Marshall (9-11)74.4580-01-20-2
170. Bowling Green (9-11)74.0030-00-20-3
197. Akron (7-12)72.1240-00-11-1
201. Ohio (7-12)71.9890-00-11-1
211. Eastern Mich (7-12)71.1120-00-20-1
238. Northern Ill (5-14)68.9700-00-10-1
297. Central Mich (2-17)64.0110-00-20-1


BIG WEST AVERAGE = 74.635


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
32. Pacific (19-1)86.7160-00-01-1
51. Utah St (17-2)84.9280-00-01-1
157. UC Santa Barbara (10-9)75.1920-00-00-4
161. Idaho (10-10)74.7970-00-00-5
168. CS Northridge (10-12)74.0960-00-01-5
198. UC Riverside (8-12)72.0610-00-00-4
208. CS Fullerton (7-12)71.3630-00-00-4
222. UC Irvine (6-12)70.3410-00-00-4
232. Cal Poly (6-13)69.5860-00-00-4
262. Long Beach St (4-14)67.2710-00-00-4


HORIZON AVERAGE = 74.570


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
70. Illinois Chi (14-4)83.0150-00-02-3
79. Wisc Milwaukee (14-4)82.1470-00-04-2
114. Detroit (12-7)78.2380-00-02-3
126. Wisc Green Bay (11-6)77.3770-00-01-5
145. Wright St (10-7)76.0290-00-02-4
153. Butler (10-9)75.4830-00-02-5
221. Loyola Chi (5-13)70.3900-00-01-6
248. Youngstown St (4-13)68.2710-00-01-5
314. Cleveland St (0-17)60.1830-00-00-7


SUN BELT AVERAGE = 73.935


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
76. Ul Lafayette (15-3)82.6020-00-00-0
131. Arkansas Lr (10-6)76.9020-00-00-1
136. Middle Tenn St (9-7)76.7020-00-00-2
141. New Orleans (11-7)76.3460-00-01-2
156. North Texas (8-8)75.3080-00-01-1
165. Western KY (8-7)74.3160-00-00-1
184. Arkansas St (7-8)73.3000-00-00-1
195. Denver (6-9)72.1910-00-00-2
199. South Alabama (6-10)72.0420-00-01-2
205. New Mexico St (6-9)71.6030-00-00-2
306. Florida Intl (1-13)61.9720-00-00-1


SOUTHERN AVERAGE = 72.972


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
45. East Tenn St (18-1)85.4930-00-00-0
116. Davidson (12-6)78.1240-00-00-2
127. Chattanooga (12-7)77.3740-00-00-3
142. Geo Southern (12-6)76.3220-00-00-1
143. Coll Of Charltn (12-6)76.1810-00-01-0
173. Furman (9-9)73.6000-00-00-2
203. Elon (8-10)71.7170-00-00-2
218. NC Greensboro (7-10)70.5090-00-00-2
231. Westrn Carolina (6-11)69.6180-00-00-2
256. Appalachian St (4-13)67.4770-00-00-2
264. Wofford (5-13)67.2370-00-00-1
305. The Citadel (2-15)62.0120-00-00-1


METRO ATLANTIC ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 72.510


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
52. Manhattan (18-2)84.8890-00-03-0
104. Niagara (15-6)79.3980-00-30-0
132. St Peters (13-7)76.8780-00-30-2
135. Fairfield (12-7)76.7990-00-22-0
188. Siena (11-10)73.0120-00-20-3
189. Rider (11-9)72.7850-01-11-1
196. Iona (9-11)72.1590-01-10-3
272. Canisius (5-14)66.7250-00-20-2
295. Marist (4-15)64.4140-00-20-2
319. Loyola MD (1-18)58.0360-00-20-2


MID-CONTINENT AVERAGE = 72.230


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
117. Valparaiso (14-5)78.1100-00-00-0
154. Iupui (12-7)75.3890-00-00-0
164. Oral Roberts (10-7)74.3570-00-00-0
166. Mo Kansas City (10-8)74.2780-00-00-0
172. Centenary (10-7)73.6530-00-00-0
179. Chicago St (10-8)73.4590-00-00-0
225. Oakland (6-11)70.1040-00-00-0
233. Southern Utah (6-11)69.5770-00-00-0
307. Western Ill (1-15)61.1410-00-00-0


BIG SKY AVERAGE = 71.642


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
111. Eastern Wash (13-3)78.6810-00-00-0
190. Weber St (8-8)72.7460-00-00-0
200. Northrn Arizona (8-8)72.0120-00-00-0
213. Sacramento St (7-8)71.0490-00-00-0
219. Idaho St (8-8)70.4200-00-00-0
227. Montana St (6-8)70.0090-00-00-0
228. Montana (6-9)69.8720-00-00-0
247. Portland St (5-9)68.3450-00-00-0


ATLANTICSUN AVERAGE = 71.446


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
65. Troy St (20-3)83.2730-00-00-0
69. Central Florida (20-3)83.0630-00-02-1
115. Belmont (16-6)78.1330-00-00-2
133. Georgia St (15-7)76.8740-00-01-2
224. Stetson (10-11)70.1080-00-00-2
229. Mercer (9-12)69.7940-00-00-2
251. Jacksonville (8-13)67.7970-00-00-2
266. Fla Atlantic (6-15)67.0930-00-00-3
277. Gardner-Webb (6-14)66.1380-00-00-2
302. Lipscomb (4-16)62.7540-00-00-2
309. Campbell (3-17)60.8780-00-00-2


OHIO VALLEY AVERAGE = 70.821


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
73. Murray St (17-2)82.8630-00-00-0
75. Austin Peay (18-1)82.7110-00-01-1
185. Morehead St (11-7)73.2540-00-00-3
209. Eastern KY (9-9)71.3110-00-00-2
237. Jacksonville St (7-10)68.9890-00-00-1
245. Tennessee Tech (7-10)68.4370-00-00-2
249. Samford (7-10)67.9990-00-01-0
260. Tennessee St (6-11)67.3270-00-00-2
281. Tenn Martin (5-11)65.6660-00-00-2
283. Eastern Ill (4-12)65.4100-00-00-2
286. SE Missouri St (4-12)65.0610-00-00-2


AMERICA EAST AVERAGE = 69.229


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
98. Boston U (17-2)79.6750-00-00-0
124. Vermont (18-3)77.4640-00-00-0
176. Northeastern (13-6)73.5440-00-00-0
178. Maine (14-7)73.5110-00-00-0
226. Binghamton (10-9)70.0590-00-00-0
280. Hartford (7-13)65.6700-00-00-0
284. Stony Brook (7-14)65.2360-00-00-0
291. New Hampshire (6-14)64.4890-00-00-0
304. Umbc (4-15)62.1000-00-00-0
313. Albany NY (3-16)60.5370-00-00-0


NORTHEASTERN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 68.579


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
174. Monmouth NJ (13-4)73.5870-00-00-0
217. Fair Dickinson (10-7)70.5340-00-00-0
220. St Francis NY (9-7)70.4160-00-00-0
223. Central Conn (9-8)70.3360-00-00-0
230. St Francis PA (9-7)69.7790-00-00-0
263. Wagner (7-8)67.2670-00-00-0
273. Robert Morris (7-9)66.6730-00-00-0
282. Mt St Marys (5-11)65.6270-00-00-0
300. Liu Brooklyn (3-11)62.9890-00-00-0


IVY LEAGUE AVERAGE = 68.405


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
94. Princeton (13-1)80.4740-00-01-1
158. Pennsylvania (10-4)75.0270-00-00-0
167. Brown (10-4)74.2430-00-02-0
243. Yale (7-7)68.4440-00-01-1
267. Columbia (6-8)67.0390-00-00-2
271. Cornell (6-8)66.9060-00-00-2
310. Harvard (3-11)60.7720-00-00-2
324. Dartmouth (1-13)54.3340-00-00-2


SOUTHLAND AVERAGE = 67.794


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
177. Tex San Antonio (14-5)73.5290-00-00-0
191. Stephen Austin (12-7)72.7350-00-00-0
204. Texas Arlington (12-6)71.6910-00-00-0
210. SE Louisiana (12-6)71.2050-00-00-0
255. Sam Houston (8-9)67.6730-00-00-0
257. Ul Monroe (8-9)67.4700-00-00-0
258. Northwestern St (8-9)67.4660-00-00-0
259. SW Texas St (8-9)67.3980-00-00-0
261. McNeese St (7-9)67.3170-00-00-0
299. Lamar (5-11)63.5730-00-00-0
322. Nicholls St (1-15)55.6730-00-00-0


BIG SOUTH AVERAGE = 67.311


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
162. Liberty (15-4)74.5950-00-00-0
181. Birmingham Southern (12-4)73.4040-00-00-0
240. High Point (12-7)68.8760-00-00-0
244. Winthrop (10-7)68.4440-00-00-0
252. Coast Carolina (9-9)67.7670-00-00-0
278. Radford (7-10)65.8480-00-00-0
285. NC Asheville (7-11)65.0910-00-00-0
308. Charleston Sou (3-14)61.0030-00-00-0
311. VMI (4-13)60.7700-00-00-0


PATRIOT AVERAGE = 67.235


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
175. Lehigh (13-4)73.5560-00-00-0
193. American (12-5)72.4090-00-00-0
215. Bucknell (10-6)70.8910-00-00-0
239. Lafayette (9-6)68.8790-00-00-0
253. Holy Cross (7-8)67.7600-00-00-0
274. Colgate (7-9)66.4500-00-00-0
315. Army (3-12)59.6140-00-00-0
318. Navy (2-13)58.3180-00-00-0


INDEPENDENTS AVERAGE = 65.434


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
53. TX Pan American (4-0)84.7960-00-00-0
250. Texas A&M-CC (2-2)67.9140-00-00-0
320. IPFW (0-3)57.6000-00-00-0
325. Savannah St (0-1)51.4270-00-00-0


SOUTHWESTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 63.950


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
183. Miss Valley St (16-3)73.3720-00-00-0
242. Alabama St (14-7)68.5590-00-00-0
287. Alabama A&M (11-10)64.9910-00-00-0
288. Texas Southern (10-9)64.8860-00-00-0
292. Southern (9-10)64.4610-00-00-0
293. Jackson St (10-10)64.4490-00-00-0
294. Grambling (9-10)64.4180-00-00-0
296. Alcorn St (10-10)64.2270-00-00-0
312. Prairie View (7-11)60.5890-00-00-0
326. Ark Pine Bluff (1-17)49.5450-00-00-0


MID-EASTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 62.830


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
235. Coppin St (16-5)69.1220-00-00-0
241. SO Carolina St (15-5)68.6540-00-00-0
270. Florida A&M (13-8)66.9290-00-00-0
279. Delaware St (12-8)65.7630-00-00-0
289. Hampton (11-8)64.8640-00-00-0
298. Norfolk St (11-9)63.9780-00-00-0
303. Morgan St (10-10)62.4010-00-00-0
316. Bethune Cookman (7-12)59.4540-00-00-0
317. MD Eastrn Shore (7-13)58.9830-00-00-0
321. Howard (4-15)56.3550-00-00-0
323. NO Carolina A&T (3-16)54.6290-00-00-0
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