NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

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  Printable NCAA Bracket
2008 Printable NCAA Tournament Bracket

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Games against non-D1 teams not considered in power rankings or predictions.

Conference Non-League Power Ratings

By ranking
Last Updated Tue Apr 06 11:38:40 EDT 2004

Home Court Advantage = 3.7988

ATLANTIC COAST CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 89.190


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
2. Georgia Tech (18-2)96.5844-12-05-1
4. Duke (16-2)95.8953-12-02-1
8. North Carolina (11-2)92.6042-20-02-0
10. Wake Forest (12-2)91.9241-23-01-0
26. Maryland (10-3)88.6212-11-11-1
36. North Carolina St (9-4)86.6270-11-33-0
43. Florida St (12-3)85.4600-20-01-1
53. Virginia (11-2)84.3240-01-11-1
81. Clemson (7-4)80.6700-11-11-2


SOUTHEASTERN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 85.066


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
6. Vanderbilt (13-1)94.5181-12-00-0
12. Alabama (11-4)91.1972-33-11-0
24. Mississippi St (12-1)89.0331-11-00-0
25. Kentucky (11-2)88.8171-12-10-0
38. South Carolina (13-2)86.5111-01-11-1
40. Florida (9-3)85.8271-21-11-0
45. LSU (10-2)85.2910-02-11-0
64. Auburn (9-2)82.5630-00-01-1
78. Georgia (8-4)80.9071-20-00-1
104. Tennessee (8-4)79.3950-20-10-1
105. Arkansas (8-3)79.2820-20-00-0
127. Mississippi (8-3)77.4570-00-20-0


BIG EAST AVERAGE = 84.653


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
1. Connecticut (18-2)98.4154-23-02-0
7. Pittsburgh (15-1)94.1971-12-02-0
20. Syracuse (12-2)89.4921-04-21-0
30. Seton Hall (10-3)87.1431-20-02-1
31. Providence (9-3)87.0791-12-01-2
35. Boston College (12-3)86.6321-21-02-0
47. West Virginia (10-3)85.0651-10-13-0
49. Rutgers (10-3)84.8970-10-23-0
50. Villanova (9-4)84.8530-20-14-0
69. Notre Dame (9-5)81.6110-10-03-2
73. Georgetown (9-2)81.1460-10-00-1
135. Miami Fla (9-4)76.8870-10-11-1
178. Virginia Tech (7-4)73.9530-00-00-1
180. St Johns (5-6)73.7770-20-01-2


BIG TWELVE AVERAGE = 83.654


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
5. Oklahoma St (13-2)95.3792-11-11-0
15. Texas (11-3)90.2962-32-00-0
18. Kansas (10-4)89.6480-32-14-0
19. Texas Tech (13-3)89.5420-23-02-0
34. Oklahoma (11-2)86.6720-11-12-0
37. Iowa St (11-3)86.5311-01-04-2
42. Nebraska (12-2)85.5040-00-03-2
62. Missouri (6-6)82.7180-20-32-0
80. Colorado (7-4)80.7290-00-21-1
120. Kansas St (8-3)77.9450-00-02-1
201. Texas A&M (7-4)72.2720-00-00-1
269. Baylor (4-7)66.6160-00-00-1


BIG TEN AVERAGE = 82.297


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
11. Illinois (11-3)91.3121-22-14-0
17. Wisconsin (10-3)89.7200-21-15-0
22. Michigan (14-2)89.2771-12-03-0
56. Purdue (10-4)84.1351-01-20-0
65. Indiana (6-5)82.3481-31-10-1
75. Iowa (7-5)81.0451-00-20-3
96. Michigan St (5-7)79.9420-40-22-0
110. Minnesota (8-4)78.8090-00-30-1
130. Ohio St (8-5)77.2840-10-21-0
145. Penn St (6-5)75.9150-10-00-2
152. Northwestern (5-6)75.4820-00-10-4


CONFERENCE USA AVERAGE = 81.071


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
13. Louisville (10-2)91.0642-11-02-1
23. Memphis (10-3)89.1480-32-01-0
27. Cincinnati (10-3)88.0420-30-02-0
44. Charlotte (8-4)85.4210-02-30-1
46. Uab (9-5)85.1381-21-12-1
51. Marquette (10-3)84.7290-21-01-1
79. St Louis (8-5)80.7370-20-13-2
84. DePaul (8-5)80.5320-10-31-0
93. East Carolina (7-2)79.9880-00-00-1
136. South Florida (6-5)76.8490-00-40-0
147. SO Mississippi (6-4)75.8100-00-00-3
151. Houston (6-5)75.5370-00-12-3
220. Tulane (6-4)71.0230-10-01-1
221. TCU (4-7)70.9740-20-10-1


PACIFIC TEN AVERAGE = 80.538


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
9. Stanford (10-1)92.4402-00-12-0
28. Arizona (8-2)88.0041-10-14-0
33. Oregon (8-3)86.6950-11-23-0
87. Arizona St (6-3)80.3050-00-21-0
116. Washington (5-5)78.2680-20-10-1
125. California (4-5)77.5130-11-01-3
129. USC (5-4)77.3460-00-22-1
149. Washington St (5-4)75.6460-10-00-2
153. UCLA (4-5)75.4750-11-20-0
182. Oregon St (5-4)73.6930-00-01-3


MOUNTAINWEST AVERAGE = 80.268


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
29. BYU (8-4)87.2061-10-12-2
48. Utah (11-4)84.9920-10-22-1
90. Unlv (8-5)80.1300-20-12-1
92. Air Force (10-4)79.9980-10-02-1
108. San Diego St (7-6)78.9220-10-11-4
117. Colorado St (7-5)78.2250-10-01-2
126. Wyoming (7-6)77.4570-00-12-3
158. New Mexico (7-4)75.2170-10-10-0


WESTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 79.797


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
21. Nevada (8-4)89.3162-21-01-1
39. Texas El Paso (7-2)85.9860-10-11-0
60. Hawaii (9-4)82.8660-01-21-1
70. Rice (8-4)81.5790-20-02-1
71. Boise St (8-3)81.4790-00-12-1
100. SMU (6-4)79.6430-21-01-0
154. Louisiana Tech (4-4)75.4280-00-20-2
157. Tulsa (4-6)75.2370-10-10-2
162. Fresno St (3-6)75.1380-00-01-3
218. San Jose St (4-4)71.2990-00-00-1


ATLANTIC TEN AVERAGE = 79.710


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
3. St Josephs (14-1)96.3532-12-05-0
16. Xavier (12-5)90.2504-21-01-1
32. Rhode Island (12-3)86.8360-02-21-1
41. Richmond (8-6)85.6181-20-42-0
74. Temple (6-6)81.1230-11-02-3
76. Dayton (10-4)80.9480-10-02-3
118. Geo Washington (6-6)78.0660-21-01-1
155. Massachusetts (6-6)75.3780-10-20-1
216. St Bonaventure (4-7)71.4680-00-20-4
228. La Salle (5-8)70.4880-00-10-4
233. Duquesne (5-6)70.1150-10-00-2
235. Fordham (3-8)69.8780-00-30-0


WEST COAST CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 77.096


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
14. Gonzaga (12-3)90.9761-32-02-0
113. San Francisco (9-6)78.4100-10-11-4
131. Portland (6-7)77.1751-10-01-2
132. Santa Clara (7-7)77.1740-10-13-3
137. St Marys CA (6-6)76.8330-10-10-1
139. Loyola Marymnt (8-4)76.4480-00-00-2
188. Pepperdine (5-10)73.4730-20-11-1
272. San Diego (2-12)66.2780-00-11-2


MISSOURI VALLEY AVERAGE = 76.881


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
58. Southern Ill (7-3)83.7680-00-23-1
66. Creighton (8-2)82.1410-01-12-1
89. Wichita St (7-4)80.1850-01-20-1
99. Northern Iowa (5-4)79.6500-10-01-1
101. Bradley (8-3)79.6220-00-00-2
121. SW Missouri St (8-4)77.9160-00-11-1
156. Illinois St (4-4)75.3280-10-00-2
177. Drake (4-4)74.0390-00-00-2
226. Indiana St (4-5)70.6990-00-00-2
277. Evansville (1-8)65.4600-00-00-3


HORIZON AVERAGE = 74.907


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
82. Detroit (7-4)80.6560-21-00-1
88. Illinois Chi (10-4)80.1870-20-00-0
98. Wisc Milwaukee (5-7)79.6780-20-21-2
142. Butler (5-5)76.2310-00-11-1
172. Wisc Green Bay (5-5)74.4440-10-01-2
176. Loyola Chi (4-7)74.1090-00-20-2
200. Wright St (4-6)72.3920-00-10-0
237. Youngstown St (3-7)69.5560-10-00-1
267. Cleveland St (2-8)66.9090-10-00-1


MID-AMERICAN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 74.865


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
52. Western Mich (8-2)84.5040-11-00-1
59. Toledo (6-4)83.0390-20-01-2
77. Kent (6-3)80.9250-00-13-2
114. Miami Ohio (4-4)78.3230-20-01-1
143. Akron (6-3)76.1060-20-00-0
161. Buffalo (5-4)75.1560-00-01-1
210. Marshall (3-6)71.7290-11-00-2
211. Eastern Mich (3-3)71.7240-00-10-0
219. Central Mich (3-7)71.1870-01-10-2
224. Ball St (2-6)70.8061-10-00-1
231. Northern Ill (3-5)70.2610-00-11-1
234. Ohio (3-8)70.0220-10-00-1
239. Bowling Green (3-6)69.4680-00-11-0


COLONIAL AVERAGE = 74.799


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
54. George Mason (9-3)84.2010-20-01-1
83. Old Dominion (5-4)80.5820-21-10-0
95. VA Commonwealth (6-4)79.9650-20-20-0
140. Delaware (6-3)76.3030-10-00-0
150. NC Wilmington (4-5)75.5540-20-00-2
159. Hofstra (4-6)75.2000-20-20-0
169. Drexel (5-5)74.5380-10-00-3
229. James Madison (4-5)70.4640-00-00-2
245. William & Mary (3-6)68.9330-10-10-1
300. Towson (3-6)62.2460-00-10-1


BIG WEST AVERAGE = 74.651


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
72. Utah St (7-2)81.2250-01-10-1
102. Cal Poly (4-3)79.5100-00-01-1
106. UC Santa Barbara (5-3)79.0980-10-01-1
124. Pacific (5-7)77.7551-31-00-1
174. Idaho (3-6)74.3900-10-10-2
175. UC Irvine (4-5)74.2960-10-00-2
196. CS Northridge (3-4)72.7600-00-10-0
198. UC Riverside (2-5)72.4790-00-01-1
208. CS Fullerton (3-5)71.7630-00-00-0
295. Long Beach St (1-7)63.2360-00-00-0


SUN BELT AVERAGE = 73.712


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
94. Ul Lafayette (3-6)79.9690-40-00-2
103. Western KY (5-6)79.4800-20-00-3
122. Arkansas St (8-3)77.8320-00-00-0
128. Denver (7-4)77.3470-10-01-0
144. Middle Tenn St (6-5)76.1010-10-01-2
165. New Mexico St (5-5)75.0480-00-20-1
171. New Orleans (5-7)74.4550-20-00-3
185. South Alabama (4-6)73.5210-10-10-1
252. Arkansas Lr (4-6)68.4860-10-00-1
260. North Texas (3-7)68.0970-00-00-1
304. Florida Intl (2-9)60.4960-10-10-1


SOUTHERN AVERAGE = 72.601


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
63. Coll Of Charltn (7-3)82.6240-10-10-1
85. Geo Southern (6-2)80.5230-00-10-0
107. East Tenn St (6-5)79.0670-10-11-0
138. Furman (5-3)76.6590-00-01-0
168. Chattanooga (4-4)74.7120-10-10-0
179. Appalachian St (4-8)73.8360-11-40-0
184. Westrn Carolina (3-4)73.5360-00-01-1
191. Davidson (2-6)73.3900-20-30-0
249. NC Greensboro (3-7)68.6650-10-10-1
288. Elon (2-8)64.2730-30-00-0
290. Wofford (1-7)63.8560-20-00-2
309. The Citadel (1-6)60.0750-00-10-1


MID-CONTINENT AVERAGE = 72.474


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
68. Iupui (7-4)82.0480-10-01-3
109. Oakland (5-6)78.8250-20-31-1
123. Oral Roberts (5-4)77.7830-00-11-1
187. Centenary (4-5)73.4910-10-00-1
202. Mo Kansas City (5-6)72.1840-00-01-1
243. Valparaiso (3-8)69.1640-30-00-3
246. Southern Utah (2-7)68.8390-10-20-0
265. Chicago St (1-12)67.2310-10-10-5
299. Western Ill (2-9)62.6990-10-00-3


METRO ATLANTIC ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 72.256


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
55. Manhattan (7-4)84.1851-11-11-2
86. Fairfield (7-4)80.4480-11-10-1
119. Niagara (7-4)78.0620-00-11-0
160. Canisius (5-5)75.1790-00-11-2
192. St Peters (4-5)72.8920-00-10-1
206. Rider (6-4)71.8890-00-01-1
214. Siena (3-6)71.5320-00-20-1
248. Iona (2-7)68.8020-10-00-3
273. Marist (2-7)65.9330-10-00-0
322. Loyola MD (0-9)53.6370-00-00-0


BIG SKY AVERAGE = 71.599


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
164. Weber St (5-6)75.0700-10-20-3
193. Eastern Wash (3-10)72.8900-20-10-3
195. Northrn Arizona (5-6)72.8030-10-01-1
197. Portland St (4-7)72.6400-00-10-3
203. Montana St (6-5)72.1400-10-00-1
209. Sacramento St (4-7)71.7420-10-00-1
259. Idaho St (3-10)68.1860-00-10-5
264. Montana (2-9)67.3210-10-11-3


ATLANTICSUN AVERAGE = 70.477


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
57. Georgia St (3-2)83.7980-00-11-1
61. Belmont (4-3)82.8150-11-11-0
91. Central Florida (4-3)80.0360-20-01-0
112. Troy St (3-3)78.7110-00-00-2
181. Mercer (2-6)73.7580-20-10-2
227. Jacksonville (3-2)70.5260-00-00-1
242. Gardner-Webb (1-6)69.2120-00-10-1
293. Lipscomb (1-5)63.6010-00-10-1
302. Stetson (0-4)61.3660-10-10-0
310. Fla Atlantic (1-4)60.0280-00-00-1
325. Campbell (0-7)51.3970-00-10-0


OHIO VALLEY AVERAGE = 70.291


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
67. Murray St (8-4)82.1210-31-00-0
141. SE Missouri St (5-4)76.2810-00-10-2
170. Austin Peay (2-9)74.5080-20-20-2
186. Tennessee Tech (3-5)73.5020-20-00-2
199. Samford (1-6)72.3970-10-10-1
207. Tenn Martin (3-7)71.7650-20-10-0
236. Morehead St (2-6)69.8170-10-10-1
240. Jacksonville St (5-4)69.4070-00-10-0
266. Eastern KY (3-6)66.9300-20-00-1
311. Tennessee St (0-9)59.9050-20-00-3
318. Eastern Ill (0-8)56.5700-10-00-2


AMERICA EAST AVERAGE = 69.129


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
111. Boston U (6-4)78.7340-11-10-1
190. Northeastern (4-5)73.3950-10-01-2
212. Hartford (4-4)71.7130-10-00-2
225. Vermont (4-6)70.7020-20-00-1
232. Umbc (3-6)70.1960-00-00-0
254. Maine (4-3)68.4780-00-10-0
263. Binghamton (4-7)67.5640-10-10-1
275. New Hampshire (4-6)65.8410-10-10-1
286. Stony Brook (3-6)64.4020-00-20-0
307. Albany NY (2-7)60.2640-10-00-0


NORTHEASTERN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 68.657


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
189. Monmouth NJ (8-8)73.4640-10-20-1
213. Fair Dickinson (6-5)71.6060-00-20-0
223. Robert Morris (6-6)70.8140-10-00-0
251. Mt St Marys (5-8)68.5000-10-10-1
253. St Francis NY (6-6)68.4780-00-00-0
255. Wagner (5-8)68.4470-00-10-2
257. Central Conn (5-6)68.2250-00-10-1
287. St Francis PA (4-8)64.2790-10-10-0
289. Liu Brooklyn (5-8)64.0960-00-00-1


IVY LEAGUE AVERAGE = 68.456


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
97. Pennsylvania (7-6)79.9370-21-11-2
163. Princeton (6-7)75.0830-20-11-1
204. Yale (4-8)72.0930-20-10-2
250. Cornell (4-8)68.5900-10-00-0
262. Brown (3-9)67.7940-20-00-1
276. Columbia (3-9)65.5270-00-10-3
306. Harvard (1-12)60.2950-10-00-0
315. Dartmouth (1-11)58.3300-00-00-0


SOUTHLAND AVERAGE = 68.121


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
133. Stephen Austin (5-2)76.8950-00-00-0
148. SE Louisiana (4-3)75.7580-00-10-0
215. Texas Arlington (2-6)71.5090-10-00-1
230. McNeese St (1-7)70.4270-10-00-3
247. Lamar (2-7)68.8150-00-00-4
261. SW Texas St (1-5)67.9350-00-00-2
281. Tex San Antonio (2-8)65.1360-20-00-1
284. Ul Monroe (1-10)64.5990-10-00-2
294. Sam Houston (1-6)63.5630-10-10-0
297. Northwestern St (0-8)62.8820-10-00-1
301. Nicholls St (1-6)61.8130-00-10-1


INDEPENDENTS AVERAGE = 67.246


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
173. Texas A&M-CC (9-9)74.4160-10-01-4
244. TX Pan American (6-14)69.1610-10-11-1
280. IPFW (2-21)65.2610-00-10-5
308. Savannah St (4-22)60.1450-00-20-5


PATRIOT AVERAGE = 67.036


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
115. Lafayette (7-4)78.2840-00-01-2
166. Holy Cross (6-6)74.8030-10-20-0
194. American (6-8)72.8410-10-11-1
217. Colgate (6-5)71.4680-00-10-1
278. Bucknell (2-9)65.4340-00-10-2
291. Lehigh (5-7)63.6480-20-00-0
317. Navy (1-10)56.8570-00-10-2
323. Army (1-9)52.9540-10-00-0


BIG SOUTH AVERAGE = 66.711


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
134. High Point (5-4)76.8910-00-10-1
167. Birmingham Southern (6-3)74.7670-00-10-1
183. Winthrop (4-5)73.5850-10-11-1
238. Coast Carolina (3-6)69.5130-10-00-1
258. Liberty (2-11)68.1870-30-10-1
283. Radford (3-6)64.7790-00-00-0
312. NC Asheville (0-9)59.4680-10-20-3
313. Charleston Sou (1-8)59.0920-00-10-2
321. VMI (0-9)54.1200-10-00-1


SOUTHWESTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 63.873


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
146. Miss Valley St (5-3)75.8920-00-20-0
241. Jackson St (2-7)69.3700-00-10-1
268. Texas Southern (3-6)66.6450-00-00-1
270. Southern (2-6)66.4610-00-00-1
282. Alabama St (2-8)65.0610-20-00-0
296. Alabama A&M (2-6)63.1100-10-10-0
303. Alcorn St (1-8)60.6020-00-00-0
305. Grambling (0-8)60.4650-00-00-4
316. Prairie View (0-9)58.3180-00-10-3
324. Ark Pine Bluff (0-9)52.8030-00-20-1


MID-EASTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 61.970


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
205. Delaware St (1-7)72.0070-00-30-3
222. SO Carolina St (2-6)70.9710-00-20-0
256. Hampton (2-9)68.2640-00-10-2
274. Coppin St (2-9)65.8660-20-20-1
279. Florida A&M (2-9)65.2820-30-00-2
285. Morgan St (1-6)64.4460-00-10-0
292. Howard (2-7)63.6290-10-00-1
314. Bethune Cookman (1-9)58.3940-00-10-2
319. Norfolk St (1-7)55.9520-00-00-1
320. MD Eastrn Shore (1-8)55.9520-20-00-1
326. NO Carolina A&T (0-9)40.9020-10-10-2
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