NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

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  Printable NCAA Bracket
2008 Printable NCAA Tournament Bracket

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Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)
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Games against non-D1 teams not considered in power rankings or predictions.

Conference Rankings: Points

By ranking
Last Updated Tue Apr 06 11:38:47 EDT 2004

Home Court Advantage = 2.9177

ATLANTIC COAST CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 86.202


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
1. Duke (31-6)91.89311-54-07-1
7. Georgia Tech (28-10)88.78510-73-18-2
8. North Carolina St (21-10)88.4186-64-36-1
11. North Carolina (19-11)87.9317-81-14-2
14. Wake Forest (21-10)87.2236-84-15-1
19. Maryland (20-12)86.1566-103-15-1
26. Florida St (18-14)84.8114-100-14-3
56. Virginia (18-13)81.8793-111-25-0
96. Clemson (10-18)78.7262-112-21-5


SOUTHEASTERN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 82.728


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
9. Kentucky (27-5)88.0963-29-17-2
13. Mississippi St (26-4)87.5092-34-18-0
25. Vanderbilt (23-10)85.1533-34-45-3
28. Florida (20-11)84.7222-76-16-3
31. Alabama (20-13)84.0354-72-38-2
36. South Carolina (23-11)83.4443-42-38-3
53. Georgia (16-14)81.9344-51-44-4
61. LSU (18-11)81.3450-45-35-2
74. Tennessee (15-14)80.4671-62-53-3
76. Auburn (14-14)80.2680-40-45-4
99. Arkansas (12-16)78.4831-51-41-5
118. Mississippi (13-15)77.2790-52-43-5


BIG EAST AVERAGE = 82.258


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
2. Connecticut (33-6)90.3747-59-14-0
5. Pittsburgh (30-5)89.8344-47-15-0
22. Providence (20-9)85.2313-27-32-3
24. Syracuse (23-8)85.1623-37-53-0
29. Seton Hall (20-10)84.5313-42-44-2
32. Boston College (24-10)84.0323-74-13-2
41. Notre Dame (19-13)82.9962-72-15-4
49. Villanova (17-16)82.1531-82-34-3
63. Rutgers (19-13)81.1651-43-56-0
78. West Virginia (17-14)80.0991-43-43-3
107. Virginia Tech (15-14)77.9081-40-44-2
108. Miami Fla (13-16)77.9060-51-52-3
127. Georgetown (13-15)76.7690-50-51-2
185. St Johns (6-21)73.4540-60-50-5


BIG TWELVE AVERAGE = 82.033


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
4. Oklahoma St (30-4)90.2526-16-35-0
15. Texas (25-8)86.6455-57-12-2
17. Kansas (23-9)86.5370-69-28-1
27. Texas Tech (22-11)84.7751-74-25-1
46. Missouri (16-14)82.5501-72-47-2
47. Oklahoma (20-10)82.3230-74-24-1
50. Nebraska (18-13)82.1501-32-33-7
55. Colorado (17-11)81.8840-45-45-2
57. Iowa St (19-13)81.8773-33-47-4
79. Kansas St (14-14)80.0861-32-42-5
205. Texas A&M (7-21)72.7600-50-70-4
210. Baylor (7-20)72.5570-50-61-3


BIG TEN AVERAGE = 80.792


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
12. Wisconsin (25-7)87.6912-35-29-2
16. Illinois (26-7)86.5972-55-010-2
33. Michigan St (18-12)83.8500-92-18-1
43. Michigan (23-11)82.8742-42-28-3
59. Purdue (17-14)81.7233-22-42-4
64. Iowa (16-13)81.1561-31-53-5
87. Indiana (14-15)79.8421-73-22-4
95. Northwestern (14-15)78.7472-10-64-5
132. Minnesota (12-18)76.5640-31-52-7
136. Ohio St (14-16)76.4800-51-43-4
193. Penn St (9-19)73.1840-40-41-7


PACIFIC TEN AVERAGE = 79.732


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
10. Stanford (30-2)88.0712-02-19-1
34. Arizona (20-10)83.5011-20-27-4
54. Washington (19-12)81.9171-43-12-2
71. Oregon (18-13)80.6050-41-46-2
98. California (13-15)78.4910-32-12-6
104. Washington St (12-16)78.0440-40-22-6
117. USC (13-15)77.3130-21-44-5
131. UCLA (11-17)76.5940-31-44-3
138. Oregon St (11-16)76.4230-21-12-8
140. Arizona St (10-17)76.3650-20-42-6


MOUNTAINWEST AVERAGE = 79.533


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
35. BYU (18-9)83.4601-21-25-3
48. Utah (22-9)82.1700-12-35-3
51. Air Force (22-7)81.9510-13-13-2
75. Unlv (17-13)80.3430-20-63-2
113. New Mexico (12-14)77.5880-12-30-5
120. San Diego St (12-16)77.1420-01-62-7
126. Colorado St (12-15)76.8440-10-33-6
128. Wyoming (11-16)76.7670-01-42-7


CONFERENCE USA AVERAGE = 79.309


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
18. Cincinnati (25-7)86.3252-42-28-1
23. Louisville (20-10)85.1812-34-23-4
30. Memphis (22-8)84.3141-55-02-2
37. Charlotte (21-9)83.4353-11-53-3
40. Uab (22-10)83.1502-33-24-3
58. DePaul (22-10)81.8092-33-44-2
81. St Louis (19-13)80.0180-42-55-3
90. Marquette (18-12)79.3762-21-43-3
114. East Carolina (12-14)77.4880-30-50-4
147. TCU (12-17)75.6871-30-52-4
155. SO Mississippi (12-15)75.3510-21-31-6
197. South Florida (7-20)73.0600-30-70-3
202. Houston (9-18)72.9120-20-42-6
217. Tulane (10-17)72.2230-31-41-4


WESTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 79.007


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
20. Nevada (24-9)85.8702-23-17-4
42. Texas El Paso (22-8)82.9311-30-16-4
60. Boise St (21-10)81.6061-12-26-4
72. Rice (21-11)80.5701-41-17-3
83. Hawaii (20-12)79.9661-12-33-6
100. Fresno St (13-15)78.4550-20-24-7
116. Louisiana Tech (13-15)77.3540-20-54-6
123. SMU (12-18)76.9571-41-21-8
165. Tulsa (9-20)74.7550-30-32-8
225. San Jose St (5-22)71.6050-20-20-9


ATLANTIC TEN AVERAGE = 78.853


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
3. St Josephs (30-2)90.2863-24-09-0
21. Xavier (26-11)85.8575-32-17-4
39. Richmond (20-13)83.2352-50-36-4
52. Geo Washington (18-12)81.9471-51-25-2
65. Dayton (24-9)81.1201-43-04-4
84. Temple (15-14)79.9430-41-34-4
88. Rhode Island (20-13)79.6991-42-12-5
150. Duquesne (12-17)75.6222-20-21-8
173. La Salle (10-20)74.2550-31-30-10
182. Massachusetts (10-19)73.5850-40-32-5
251. St Bonaventure (7-21)70.4820-50-21-8
255. Fordham (6-22)70.2000-30-50-6


MISSOURI VALLEY AVERAGE = 77.097


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
44. Southern Ill (25-5)82.8060-00-27-2
68. Wichita St (20-11)80.8280-01-42-4
85. Creighton (20-9)79.9280-01-33-3
86. Northern Iowa (20-10)79.9060-11-14-3
102. SW Missouri St (19-14)78.2310-01-34-6
158. Bradley (15-15)75.1180-00-21-7
163. Drake (11-16)74.8400-00-22-7
179. Illinois St (9-19)73.9080-10-21-8
187. Indiana St (9-19)73.3250-00-21-7
220. Evansville (7-22)72.0850-00-30-9


WEST COAST CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 76.770


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
6. Gonzaga (28-3)89.0151-31-06-0
82. St Marys CA (16-12)79.9920-30-20-1
124. Pepperdine (15-16)76.9490-40-12-3
146. Santa Clara (15-16)75.7290-40-23-4
149. San Francisco (16-14)75.6290-30-11-4
162. Portland (11-17)74.8961-30-01-4
178. Loyola Marymnt (14-14)73.9150-20-02-2
286. San Diego (3-26)68.0320-20-10-3


HORIZON AVERAGE = 75.444


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
69. Wisc Milwaukee (19-11)80.7820-20-25-4
70. Illinois Chi (24-8)80.6420-20-03-3
94. Detroit (19-11)78.9860-21-02-4
142. Butler (15-14)75.9710-00-13-7
148. Wisc Green Bay (16-11)75.6570-10-02-7
164. Wright St (14-13)74.7750-00-12-4
196. Loyola Chi (9-20)73.1090-10-11-8
245. Youngstown St (7-20)70.7800-10-01-5
281. Cleveland St (2-25)68.2980-10-00-8


MID-AMERICAN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 75.257


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
38. Western Mich (26-5)83.2460-11-01-2
91. Kent (21-9)79.2570-01-22-2
105. Toledo (20-11)78.0330-21-21-3
115. Buffalo (17-12)77.4300-00-11-2
125. Miami Ohio (17-11)76.9110-20-12-2
151. Ball St (13-15)75.5111-10-20-2
168. Akron (13-15)74.3330-20-11-1
169. Marshall (12-17)74.3250-12-20-4
180. Bowling Green (12-17)73.8050-00-31-4
192. Ohio (10-20)73.2120-10-11-2
216. Eastern Mich (10-15)72.3210-00-30-1
231. Northern Ill (8-19)71.4350-00-21-2
278. Central Mich (5-24)68.5270-01-30-3


COLONIAL AVERAGE = 75.220


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
80. VA Commonwealth (23-8)80.0470-20-22-1
92. George Mason (23-10)79.0900-20-02-3
103. Old Dominion (17-12)78.0710-20-12-4
109. Drexel (18-11)77.8980-10-12-4
129. NC Wilmington (15-15)76.6980-20-01-6
143. Delaware (16-12)75.8770-10-01-4
153. Hofstra (14-15)75.4560-30-12-2
254. William & Mary (7-21)70.3100-10-00-6
257. James Madison (7-21)70.0070-00-01-5
277. Towson (8-21)68.7470-00-00-7


BIG WEST AVERAGE = 74.581


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
62. Utah St (24-4)81.3170-01-11-2
77. Pacific (24-8)80.1682-30-01-2
141. UC Santa Barbara (15-12)76.2100-10-01-5
161. Idaho (13-16)74.9390-10-10-7
171. CS Northridge (13-16)74.2850-00-11-5
199. UC Riverside (10-17)73.0230-00-01-5
211. CS Fullerton (10-17)72.5290-00-00-4
212. UC Irvine (10-17)72.4990-10-00-6
215. Cal Poly (10-16)72.3890-00-01-5
279. Long Beach St (5-21)68.4510-00-00-4


SUN BELT AVERAGE = 74.392


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
66. Ul Lafayette (18-9)80.9730-30-10-2
130. Western KY (13-13)76.6760-20-00-4
135. Middle Tenn St (15-12)76.5010-10-00-3
157. New Orleans (16-14)75.1390-20-01-5
159. Arkansas St (15-11)75.0270-00-00-1
160. Arkansas Lr (14-12)74.9800-10-00-2
172. Denver (13-13)74.2630-10-00-2
181. South Alabama (10-16)73.6810-10-11-3
188. North Texas (11-15)73.3140-00-01-3
200. New Mexico St (11-14)73.0230-00-20-3
309. Florida Intl (3-22)64.7340-10-00-2


METRO ATLANTIC ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 73.391


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
45. Manhattan (25-6)82.7170-22-01-2
101. Niagara (22-10)78.4270-00-41-1
110. Fairfield (19-11)77.8270-10-31-1
156. St Peters (17-12)75.3000-00-40-1
203. Iona (11-18)72.9010-11-10-3
204. Siena (14-16)72.7900-20-20-1
213. Rider (17-13)72.4220-01-11-0
234. Canisius (10-19)71.2960-10-21-2
290. Marist (6-22)67.9940-10-20-0
320. Loyola MD (1-27)62.2370-00-20-0


MID-CONTINENT AVERAGE = 73.203


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
121. Iupui (19-11)77.0850-10-01-3
144. Valparaiso (17-13)75.8520-30-00-3
152. Oral Roberts (15-11)75.4640-00-11-1
170. Mo Kansas City (15-14)74.3230-00-01-0
177. Oakland (11-17)73.9990-20-31-1
183. Centenary (14-12)73.5690-10-00-1
221. Chicago St (11-20)72.0470-10-10-6
246. Southern Utah (8-18)70.7660-10-20-0
305. Western Ill (3-24)65.7230-10-00-2


SOUTHERN AVERAGE = 73.097


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
73. East Tenn St (24-6)80.4960-10-11-1
122. Coll Of Charltn (19-9)76.9910-10-12-1
133. Geo Southern (18-8)76.5110-00-10-1
134. Davidson (14-12)76.5090-20-30-2
145. Chattanooga (16-11)75.8000-10-10-3
167. Furman (14-12)74.4340-00-01-2
224. Appalachian St (8-21)71.6430-10-31-3
229. Westrn Carolina (9-15)71.4650-00-01-3
230. NC Greensboro (10-17)71.4580-10-20-3
241. Elon (10-18)70.9320-30-00-2
283. Wofford (6-20)68.2110-20-00-4
314. The Citadel (3-21)62.7180-00-10-3


BIG SKY AVERAGE = 72.589


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
139. Eastern Wash (16-13)76.4150-20-10-3
175. Weber St (13-14)74.1000-10-20-2
198. Northrn Arizona (13-14)73.0410-00-11-1
208. Sacramento St (11-15)72.6040-10-00-1
219. Montana St (12-13)72.1340-00-10-0
227. Portland St (9-16)71.4840-00-10-3
238. Montana (8-18)71.0480-10-11-3
262. Idaho St (11-18)69.8870-00-10-5


OHIO VALLEY AVERAGE = 71.982


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
67. Murray St (25-6)80.8380-31-00-0
111. Austin Peay (20-10)77.6580-20-21-3
207. Morehead St (13-13)72.6120-10-10-5
222. Eastern KY (12-15)71.8230-10-10-3
242. SE Missouri St (9-16)70.9220-00-10-4
244. Tennessee Tech (10-15)70.7810-20-00-4
248. Jacksonville St (12-14)70.6450-00-10-1
259. Samford (8-16)69.9420-10-11-1
263. Tenn Martin (8-18)69.6380-20-10-3
271. Tennessee St (6-20)69.0910-20-00-4
291. Eastern Ill (4-20)67.8570-10-00-4


ATLANTICSUN AVERAGE = 71.638


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
89. Troy St (23-6)79.4860-00-01-3
93. Central Florida (24-6)79.0890-10-12-1
106. Belmont (20-9)78.0300-11-12-4
137. Georgia St (18-9)76.4410-00-13-4
236. Mercer (11-18)71.2410-20-10-6
258. Fla Atlantic (7-19)70.0030-00-00-6
267. Stetson (10-15)69.1840-00-20-4
280. Gardner-Webb (7-20)68.3390-00-10-6
284. Jacksonville (11-15)68.1800-00-00-6
306. Lipscomb (5-21)65.5210-00-10-5
316. Campbell (3-24)62.5030-00-10-4


IVY LEAGUE AVERAGE = 70.907


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
97. Pennsylvania (17-10)78.5810-21-20-1
112. Princeton (19-8)77.6280-20-12-2
201. Brown (13-13)72.9310-20-02-1
226. Yale (11-15)71.5680-20-11-2
239. Cornell (10-16)71.0170-10-00-2
272. Columbia (9-17)69.0450-00-20-4
310. Harvard (4-23)64.6370-10-00-2
323. Dartmouth (2-24)61.8460-00-00-2


SOUTHLAND AVERAGE = 70.346


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
154. Stephen Austin (17-9)75.4200-00-00-0
190. SE Louisiana (16-9)73.2270-00-10-0
194. Texas Arlington (14-12)73.1320-10-00-1
218. Tex San Antonio (16-13)72.1770-20-00-1
243. McNeese St (8-16)70.8950-10-00-3
256. SW Texas St (9-14)70.1500-00-00-2
260. Northwestern St (8-17)69.9290-10-00-2
265. Sam Houston (9-15)69.4790-10-10-0
273. Ul Monroe (9-19)68.9980-10-00-2
289. Lamar (7-18)68.0100-00-00-4
318. Nicholls St (2-21)62.3930-00-10-1


AMERICA EAST AVERAGE = 70.285


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
119. Boston U (23-6)77.2790-11-10-1
166. Vermont (22-9)74.6490-20-00-1
191. Northeastern (17-11)73.2250-00-21-1
209. Maine (18-10)72.5700-00-10-0
253. Binghamton (14-16)70.3730-20-00-1
282. Hartford (11-17)68.2890-10-00-1
293. Umbc (7-21)67.6590-00-00-0
295. New Hampshire (10-20)67.4440-10-10-1
297. Stony Brook (10-20)67.0060-00-20-0
311. Albany NY (5-23)64.3590-10-00-0


NORTHEASTERN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 70.026


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
186. Monmouth NJ (21-12)73.3600-10-20-1
223. Fair Dickinson (16-12)71.7690-00-20-0
232. Central Conn (14-14)71.3890-10-00-0
235. St Francis NY (15-13)71.2440-00-00-0
266. St Francis PA (13-15)69.4470-10-10-0
270. Wagner (12-16)69.1050-00-10-2
275. Mt St Marys (10-19)68.8970-10-10-1
276. Robert Morris (13-15)68.8780-10-00-0
302. Liu Brooklyn (8-19)66.1470-00-00-1


PATRIOT AVERAGE = 69.149


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
184. American (18-13)73.5280-10-11-0
206. Holy Cross (13-14)72.7250-10-20-0
214. Lafayette (16-10)72.4130-00-00-2
237. Bucknell (12-15)71.2170-00-10-2
240. Lehigh (18-11)70.9520-20-00-0
268. Colgate (13-14)69.1610-10-00-0
317. Navy (3-23)62.4160-00-10-3
324. Army (4-21)60.7760-10-00-0


BIG SOUTH AVERAGE = 68.997


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
174. Birmingham Southern (18-7)74.1380-00-10-1
189. Liberty (17-15)73.2410-20-20-1
247. Winthrop (14-12)70.7100-10-11-0
249. High Point (17-11)70.6140-00-10-2
252. Coast Carolina (12-15)70.4250-10-00-1
285. Radford (10-16)68.1740-00-00-1
303. NC Asheville (7-20)66.1420-20-10-3
307. Charleston Sou (4-22)64.8350-00-10-2
315. VMI (4-22)62.6900-10-00-1


INDEPENDENTS AVERAGE = 68.734


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
195. Texas A&M-CC (11-11)73.1290-10-01-4
228. TX Pan American (10-14)71.4810-10-11-1
287. IPFW (2-24)68.0280-00-10-5
319. Savannah St (4-23)62.2960-00-20-5


MID-EASTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 66.525


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
233. SO Carolina St (17-11)71.3010-00-20-1
250. Coppin St (18-14)70.5430-20-20-0
261. Delaware St (13-15)69.9190-00-30-3
264. Florida A&M (15-17)69.5170-20-10-2
274. Hampton (13-17)68.9300-00-10-2
301. Norfolk St (12-16)66.3620-00-00-0
304. Morgan St (11-16)65.9300-00-10-0
312. Howard (6-22)63.6250-10-00-1
313. Bethune Cookman (8-21)63.5660-00-10-2
322. MD Eastrn Shore (8-21)62.0990-20-00-1
325. NO Carolina A&T (3-25)59.9800-10-10-2


SOUTHWESTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 66.037


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
176. Miss Valley St (21-6)74.0850-00-21-0
269. Alabama St (16-15)69.1590-20-00-0
292. Southern (11-16)67.7540-00-00-1
294. Jackson St (12-17)67.5030-00-10-1
296. Texas Southern (13-15)67.1650-00-00-1
298. Grambling (9-18)66.9120-00-00-4
299. Alabama A&M (13-16)66.5120-10-10-0
308. Alcorn St (11-18)64.7800-00-00-0
321. Prairie View (7-20)62.1890-00-10-3
326. Ark Pine Bluff (1-26)54.3100-00-20-1
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