NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

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Printable NCAA Bracket

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ALBANY NY
Predictions for Future Games
Scores & Results
RPI Breakdown

Record: 5-23
Power Rating: 60.467
Ranking: 312

0-1 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
0-2 v #51-100
0-8 v #101-200
5-12 v #201-326

Home Ratings (3-10): 58.459 (316) 0-0 v #1-25 0-0 v #26-50 0-1 v #51-100 0-3 v #101-200 3-6 v #201-326 League Power Rankings: 1-8 60.041 Non-League Power Ratings: 2-2 61.725 Last Ten Ratings: 1-4 60.272

Away Ratings (2-12): 64.584 (285)
0-1 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
0-1 v #51-100
0-5 v #101-200
2-5 v #201-326
League Power Rankings: 2-7 67.834
Non-League Power Ratings: 0-5 61.186
Last Ten Ratings: 1-3 67.279

Neutral Ratings (0-1): 53.154 (316) 0-0 v #1-25 0-0 v #26-50 0-0 v #51-100 0-0 v #101-200 0-1 v #201-326 League Power Rankings: 0-1 59.842 Non-League Power Ratings: 0-0 60.467 Last Ten Ratings: 0-1 59.842

League Power Rankings (3-16): 60.537 (313)
0-0 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
0-2 v #51-100
0-6 v #101-200
3-8 v #201-326
Home Ratings: 1-8 60.041
Away Ratings: 2-7 67.834
Neutral Ratings: 0-1 59.842
Last Ten Ratings: 2-8 61.998

Non-League Power Ratings (2-7): 60.264 (307) 0-1 v #1-25 0-0 v #26-50 0-0 v #51-100 0-2 v #101-200 2-4 v #201-326 Home Ratings: 2-2 61.725 Away Ratings: 0-5 61.186 Neutral Ratings: 0-0 60.467 Last Ten Ratings: 0-0 60.467

Wins Power Rankings: 57.074 (315)
0-1 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
0-2 v #51-100
0-8 v #101-200
5-12 v #201-326
Home Ratings: 3-10 54.637
Away Ratings: 2-12 62.824
Neutral Ratings: 0-1 43.324
Last Ten Ratings: 2-8 57.371

Rankings: Points: 64.359 (311) 0-1 v #1-25 0-0 v #26-50 0-0 v #51-100 0-7 v #101-200 5-15 v #201-326 Home Ratings: 3-10 62.867 Away Ratings: 2-12 66.871 Neutral Ratings: 0-1 62.453 League Power Rankings: 3-16 64.651 Non-League Power Ratings: 2-7 63.484 Last Ten Ratings: 2-8 63.914

Last Ten Ratings (2-8): 60.455 (312)
0-0 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
0-0 v #51-100
0-3 v #101-200
2-5 v #201-326
Home Ratings: 1-4 60.272
Away Ratings: 1-3 67.279
Neutral Ratings: 0-1 59.842
League Power Rankings: 2-8 61.998
Non-League Power Ratings: 0-0 60.467

Home Advantage: -1.564 (276)

Difficulty of Schedule for a Top Five Team: 0.0260 (266)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #15 team: 0.0721 (289)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #45 team: 0.1304 (294)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #100 team: 0.2032 (290)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #150 team: 0.3306 (285)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #270 team: 0.6489 (279)

Upward Stability: 2.9372 (183)

Downward Stability: 2.0287 (299)

RPI
RPI: 0.3890 (309)
0-1 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
0-2 v #51-100
1-8 v #101-200
4-12 v #201-326

RPI Home (3-10): 0.3986 (312) 0-0 v #1-25 0-0 v #26-50 0-0 v #51-100 1-3 v #101-200 2-7 v #201-326

RPI Away (2-12): 0.3895 (275)
0-1 v #1-25
0-1 v #26-50
0-2 v #51-100
1-5 v #101-200
1-3 v #201-326

RPI Neutral (0-1): 0.0 (317) 0-0 v #1-25 0-0 v #26-50 0-0 v #51-100 0-1 v #101-200 0-0 v #201-326

RPI League (3-16): 0.3858 (305)
0-0 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
0-4 v #51-100
0-6 v #101-200
3-6 v #201-326

RPI Non-League (2-7): 0.3953 (293) 0-1 v #1-25 0-0 v #26-50 0-1 v #51-100 0-1 v #101-200 2-4 v #201-326

RPI Strength of Schedule: 0.4592 (250)



GAMES

Date	Site	Score	Opponent
11/21/2003	Away	L 50-71	vs. #185 Siena
11/28/2003	Away	L 54-83	vs. #5 Pittsburgh
12/2/2003	Away	L 65-68	vs. #257 Colgate
12/5/2003	Home	W 68-62	vs. #321 Army
12/10/2003	Away	L 65-78	vs. #301 Liu Brooklyn
12/20/2003	Home	L 69-75	vs. #279 Sacred Heart
12/22/2003	Home	W 63-55	vs. #226 Lehigh
12/28/2003	Away	L 66-82	vs. #189 Massachusetts
12/30/2003	Home	L 59-69	vs. #262 Wagner
1/2/2004	Home	L 62-67	vs. #299 Umbc
1/4/2004	Home	L 62-79	vs. #98 Boston U
1/8/2004	Away	W 57-52	vs. #292 New Hampshire
1/11/2004	Away	L 70-77	vs. #178 Northeastern
1/14/2004	Home	L 53-59	vs. #242 Binghamton
1/18/2004	Away	L 50-56	vs. #187 Maine
1/21/2004	Away	L 61-65	vs. #289 Stony Brook
1/25/2004	Away	L 48-57	vs. #268 Hartford
1/28/2004	Home	L 48-53	vs. #150 Vermont
2/1/2004	Away	L 55-67	vs. #98 Boston U
2/4/2004	Away	W 64-60	vs. #299 Umbc
2/7/2004	Home	L 54-60	vs. #292 New Hampshire
2/11/2004	Away	L 46-58	vs. #242 Binghamton
2/14/2004	Home	L 36-48	vs. #187 Maine
2/18/2004	Home	L 74-81	vs. #289 Stony Brook
2/21/2004	Home	W 77-59	vs. #268 Hartford
2/26/2004	Away	L 45-77	vs. #150 Vermont
2/29/2004	Home	L 62-80	vs. #178 Northeastern
3/5/2004	Neut	L 38-43	vs. #292 New Hampshire

FUTURE GAMES

Date

Site

Win Probability

Margin

Opponent

Opp. Rating

(Opp. Specific Rating)