NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

Read the full article -- No comments »

Printable NCAA Bracket

Recent Articles: Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2) Wall St. Journal Competition Results Strategies on filling out that NCAA Tournament Bracket — SmartStats and BracketBrains NCAA Basketball Coaches Gone Wild (1 of 2) Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (1 of 2) 2008 Conference Tournaments: Brackets & Odds March Madness Performance: 2 Myths Dispelled Spreading the Nerd Word

ARIZONA
Predictions for Future Games
Scores & Results
RPI Breakdown

Record: 20-10
Power Rating: 84.727
Ranking: 48

1-2 v #1-25
0-2 v #26-50
6-3 v #51-100
13-3 v #101-200
0-0 v #201-326

Home Ratings (13-2): 86.543 (41) 0-1 v #1-25 0-0 v #26-50 4-1 v #51-100 9-0 v #101-200 0-0 v #201-326 League Power Rankings: 7-2 86.180 Non-League Power Ratings: 6-0 84.211 Last Ten Ratings: 4-1 84.383

Away Ratings (5-5): 84.067 (54)
0-1 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
2-1 v #51-100
3-3 v #101-200
0-0 v #201-326
League Power Rankings: 4-5 84.352
Non-League Power Ratings: 1-0 87.602
Last Ten Ratings: 1-1 85.024

Neutral Ratings (2-3): 83.258 (67) 1-0 v #1-25 0-2 v #26-50 0-1 v #51-100 1-0 v #101-200 0-0 v #201-326 League Power Rankings: 1-1 80.258 Non-League Power Ratings: 1-2 88.086 Last Ten Ratings: 1-2 81.086

League Power Rankings (12-8): 83.471 (63)
0-2 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
2-3 v #51-100
10-3 v #101-200
0-0 v #201-326
Home Ratings: 7-2 86.180
Away Ratings: 4-5 84.352
Neutral Ratings: 1-1 80.258
Last Ten Ratings: 6-3 83.251

Non-League Power Ratings (8-2): 88.004 (28) 1-0 v #1-25 0-2 v #26-50 4-0 v #51-100 3-0 v #101-200 0-0 v #201-326 Home Ratings: 6-0 84.211 Away Ratings: 1-0 87.602 Neutral Ratings: 1-2 88.086 Last Ten Ratings: 0-1 83.196

Wins Power Rankings: 85.852 (56)
1-2 v #1-25
0-2 v #26-50
5-3 v #51-100
14-3 v #101-200
0-0 v #201-326
Home Ratings: 13-2 87.458
Away Ratings: 5-5 85.461
Neutral Ratings: 2-3 84.344
Last Ten Ratings: 6-4 82.497

Rankings: Points: 83.501 (34) 1-2 v #1-25 0-2 v #26-50 7-4 v #51-100 12-2 v #101-200 0-0 v #201-326 Home Ratings: 13-2 85.168 Away Ratings: 5-5 82.688 Neutral Ratings: 2-3 82.313 League Power Rankings: 12-8 82.979 Non-League Power Ratings: 8-2 84.743 Last Ten Ratings: 6-4 82.153

Last Ten Ratings (6-4): 82.251 (78)
0-2 v #1-25
0-1 v #26-50
2-0 v #51-100
4-1 v #101-200
0-0 v #201-326
Home Ratings: 4-1 84.383
Away Ratings: 1-1 85.024
Neutral Ratings: 1-2 81.086
League Power Rankings: 6-3 83.251
Non-League Power Ratings: 0-1 83.196

Home Advantage: 6.5449 (94)

Difficulty of Schedule for a Top Five Team: 0.0808 (87)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #15 team: 0.2244 (84)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #45 team: 0.3678 (81)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #100 team: 0.4999 (77)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #150 team: 0.6670 (58)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #270 team: 0.9007 (22)

Upward Stability: 3.0905 (139)

Downward Stability: 3.6612 (35)

RPI
RPI: 0.5782 (45)
1-3 v #1-25
0-1 v #26-50
5-3 v #51-100
13-3 v #101-200
1-0 v #201-326

RPI Home (13-2): 0.6217 (28) 0-0 v #1-25 1-1 v #26-50 4-1 v #51-100 5-0 v #101-200 3-0 v #201-326

RPI Away (5-5): 0.5240 (63)
0-1 v #1-25
1-1 v #26-50
1-1 v #51-100
2-1 v #101-200
1-1 v #201-326

RPI Neutral (2-3): 0.5544 (89) 0-1 v #1-25 1-1 v #26-50 0-1 v #51-100 0-0 v #101-200 1-0 v #201-326

RPI League (12-8): 0.5460 (82)
0-2 v #1-25
0-3 v #26-50
0-0 v #51-100
10-3 v #101-200
2-0 v #201-326

RPI Non-League (8-2): 0.6408 (9) 1-1 v #1-25 0-1 v #26-50 2-0 v #51-100 3-0 v #101-200 2-0 v #201-326

RPI Strength of Schedule: 0.5487 (54)



GAMES

Date	Site	Score	Opponent
11/24/2003	Home	W 107-73	vs. #198 Northrn Arizona
11/28/2003	Neut	L 77-78	vs. #26 Florida
12/6/2003	Away	W 68-67	vs. #64 St Louis
12/9/2003	Neut	W 91-83	vs. #15 Texas
12/13/2003	Home	W 85-75	vs. #80 Marquette
12/17/2003	Home	W 84-78	vs. #96 St Marys CA
12/22/2003	Home	W 83-71	vs. #120 San Diego St
12/28/2003	Home	W 107-91	vs. #195 Liberty
12/30/2003	Home	W 72-69	vs. #77 Ul Lafayette
1/3/2004	Away	W 93-74	vs. #154 Arizona St
1/8/2004	Home	W 95-75	vs. #101 California
1/10/2004	Home	L 72-82	vs. #7 Stanford
1/15/2004	Away	L 90-99	vs. #108 USC
1/17/2004	Away	W 97-72	vs. #133 UCLA
1/22/2004	Home	W 109-75	vs. #143 Oregon St
1/25/2004	Home	W 90-66	vs. #72 Oregon
1/29/2004	Away	L 83-96	vs. #57 Washington
1/31/2004	Away	W 61-57	vs. #111 Washington St
2/5/2004	Away	L 83-87	vs. #101 California
2/7/2004	Away	L 77-80	vs. #7 Stanford
2/12/2004	Home	W 97-70	vs. #108 USC
2/14/2004	Home	W 107-83	vs. #133 UCLA
2/19/2004	Away	W 100-87	vs. #72 Oregon
2/21/2004	Away	L 84-90	vs. #143 Oregon St
2/26/2004	Home	L 84-89	vs. #57 Washington
2/28/2004	Home	W 72-60	vs. #111 Washington St
3/7/2004	Home	W 106-81	vs. #154 Arizona St
3/11/2004	Neut	W 79-76	vs. #108 USC
3/12/2004	Neut	L 85-90	vs. #57 Washington
3/18/2004	Neut	L 76-80	vs. #30 Seton Hall

FUTURE GAMES

Date

Site

Win Probability

Margin

Opponent

Opp. Rating

(Opp. Specific Rating)