NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

Read the full article -- No comments »

Printable NCAA Bracket

Recent Articles: Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2) Wall St. Journal Competition Results Strategies on filling out that NCAA Tournament Bracket — SmartStats and BracketBrains NCAA Basketball Coaches Gone Wild (1 of 2) Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (1 of 2) 2008 Conference Tournaments: Brackets & Odds March Madness Performance: 2 Myths Dispelled Spreading the Nerd Word

MISSISSIPPI ST
Predictions for Future Games
Scores & Results
RPI Breakdown

Record: 26-4
Power Rating: 91.912
Ranking: 10

2-3 v #1-25
5-1 v #26-50
5-0 v #51-100
11-0 v #101-200
3-0 v #201-326

Home Ratings (12-2): 89.045 (28) 1-1 v #1-25 2-1 v #26-50 3-0 v #51-100 3-0 v #101-200 3-0 v #201-326 League Power Rankings: 6-2 89.451 Non-League Power Ratings: 6-0 86.990 Last Ten Ratings: 2-1 86.709

Away Ratings (12-0): 99.318 (2)
1-0 v #1-25
3-0 v #26-50
2-0 v #51-100
6-0 v #101-200
0-0 v #201-326
League Power Rankings: 8-0 93.978
Non-League Power Ratings: 4-0 87.787
Last Ten Ratings: 4-0 93.177

Neutral Ratings (2-2): 82.357 (79) 0-2 v #1-25 0-0 v #26-50 0-0 v #51-100 2-0 v #101-200 0-0 v #201-326 League Power Rankings: 0-1 84.349 Non-League Power Ratings: 2-1 84.334 Last Ten Ratings: 1-2 83.177

League Power Rankings (14-3): 93.029 (10)
1-2 v #1-25
4-1 v #26-50
5-0 v #51-100
4-0 v #101-200
0-0 v #201-326
Home Ratings: 6-2 89.451
Away Ratings: 8-0 93.978
Neutral Ratings: 0-1 84.349
Last Ten Ratings: 6-2 90.052

Non-League Power Ratings (12-1): 89.033 (24) 1-1 v #1-25 1-0 v #26-50 0-0 v #51-100 7-0 v #101-200 3-0 v #201-326 Home Ratings: 6-0 86.990 Away Ratings: 4-0 87.787 Neutral Ratings: 2-1 84.334 Last Ten Ratings: 1-1 82.412

Wins Power Rankings: 95.742 (10)
3-4 v #1-25
6-0 v #26-50
5-0 v #51-100
9-0 v #101-200
3-0 v #201-326
Home Ratings: 12-2 90.750
Away Ratings: 12-0 110.96
Neutral Ratings: 2-2 82.711
Last Ten Ratings: 7-3 93.172

Rankings: Points: 87.509 (13) 2-3 v #1-25 4-1 v #26-50 8-0 v #51-100 8-0 v #101-200 4-0 v #201-326 Home Ratings: 12-2 87.228 Away Ratings: 12-0 89.842 Neutral Ratings: 2-2 82.244 League Power Rankings: 14-3 88.570 Non-League Power Ratings: 12-1 85.177 Last Ten Ratings: 7-3 85.847

Last Ten Ratings (7-3): 89.767 (22)
2-3 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
2-0 v #51-100
3-0 v #101-200
0-0 v #201-326
Home Ratings: 2-1 86.709
Away Ratings: 4-0 93.177
Neutral Ratings: 1-2 83.177
League Power Rankings: 6-2 90.052
Non-League Power Ratings: 1-1 82.412

Home Advantage: -2.234 (286)

Difficulty of Schedule for a Top Five Team: 0.0970 (64)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #15 team: 0.2664 (51)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #45 team: 0.4146 (47)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #100 team: 0.5430 (43)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #150 team: 0.6949 (34)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #270 team: 0.8914 (32)

Upward Stability: 2.0307 (308)

Downward Stability: 3.0159 (165)

RPI
RPI: 0.6381 (7)
3-3 v #1-25
5-1 v #26-50
6-0 v #51-100
9-0 v #101-200
3-0 v #201-326

RPI Home (12-2): 0.6222 (27) 0-2 v #1-25 3-0 v #26-50 4-0 v #51-100 2-0 v #101-200 3-0 v #201-326

RPI Away (12-0): 0.6744 (1)
1-0 v #1-25
1-0 v #26-50
3-0 v #51-100
4-0 v #101-200
3-0 v #201-326

RPI Neutral (2-2): 0.5860 (66) 0-2 v #1-25 0-0 v #26-50 2-0 v #51-100 0-0 v #101-200 0-0 v #201-326

RPI League (14-3): 0.6536 (6)
1-1 v #1-25
3-1 v #26-50
4-1 v #51-100
6-0 v #101-200
0-0 v #201-326

RPI Non-League (12-1): 0.6176 (27) 1-1 v #1-25 1-0 v #26-50 0-0 v #51-100 7-0 v #101-200 3-0 v #201-326

RPI Strength of Schedule: 0.5619 (41)



GAMES

Date	Site	Score	Opponent
11/22/2003	Home	W 90-74	vs. #267 Tenn Martin
11/26/2003	Home	W 71-62	vs. #194 South Alabama
11/29/2003	Away	W 81-75	vs. #142 Western KY
12/1/2003	Home	W 92-69	vs. #260 McNeese St
12/3/2003	Home	W 76-52	vs. #271 Ul Monroe
12/6/2003	Home	W 86-84	vs. #35 Uab
12/13/2003	Home	W 82-70	vs. #21 Xavier
12/16/2003	Neut	W 77-59	vs. #149 New Orleans
12/20/2003	Away	W 66-61	vs. #145 Santa Clara
12/27/2003	Away	W 72-50	vs. #193 Tulane
1/3/2004	Away	W 68-58	vs. #162 Arkansas Lr
1/7/2004	Away	W 61-54	vs. #102 Mississippi
1/10/2004	Home	W 80-62	vs. #103 Arkansas
1/13/2004	Home	L 66-67	vs. #8 Kentucky
1/17/2004	Away	W 64-54	vs. #55 LSU
1/21/2004	Away	W 79-68	vs. #26 Florida
1/24/2004	Home	W 71-58	vs. #50 Georgia
1/28/2004	Home	W 82-60	vs. #73 Tennessee
1/31/2004	Away	W 73-68	vs. #85 Auburn
2/7/2004	Home	W 80-56	vs. #102 Mississippi
2/11/2004	Away	W 79-75	vs. #34 South Carolina
2/14/2004	Away	W 77-70	vs. #103 Arkansas
2/21/2004	Home	L 73-77	vs. #28 Alabama
2/25/2004	Home	W 84-58	vs. #55 LSU
2/28/2004	Away	W 72-69	vs. #22 Vanderbilt
3/2/2004	Home	W 105-91	vs. #85 Auburn
3/6/2004	Away	W 82-81	vs. #28 Alabama
3/12/2004	Neut	L 70-74	vs. #22 Vanderbilt
3/19/2004	Neut	W 85-52	vs. #177 Monmouth NJ
3/21/2004	Neut	L 74-89	vs. #21 Xavier

FUTURE GAMES

Date

Site

Win Probability

Margin

Opponent

Opp. Rating

(Opp. Specific Rating)