NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

Read the full article -- No comments »

Printable NCAA Bracket

Recent Articles: Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2) Wall St. Journal Competition Results Strategies on filling out that NCAA Tournament Bracket — SmartStats and BracketBrains NCAA Basketball Coaches Gone Wild (1 of 2) Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (1 of 2) 2008 Conference Tournaments: Brackets & Odds March Madness Performance: 2 Myths Dispelled Spreading the Nerd Word

RICHMOND
Predictions for Future Games
Scores & Results
RPI Breakdown

Record: 20-13
Power Rating: 85.020
Ranking: 46

2-5 v #1-25
0-3 v #26-50
6-4 v #51-100
6-1 v #101-200
6-0 v #201-326

Home Ratings (9-4): 80.962 (86) 0-3 v #1-25 0-0 v #26-50 2-1 v #51-100 4-0 v #101-200 3-0 v #201-326 League Power Rankings: 5-3 78.720 Non-League Power Ratings: 4-1 85.505 Last Ten Ratings: 3-0 79.020

Away Ratings (8-7): 87.349 (26)
2-1 v #1-25
0-2 v #26-50
3-3 v #51-100
1-1 v #101-200
2-0 v #201-326
League Power Rankings: 5-4 87.470
Non-League Power Ratings: 3-3 88.384
Last Ten Ratings: 2-2 87.622

Neutral Ratings (3-2): 84.802 (59) 0-1 v #1-25 0-1 v #26-50 1-0 v #51-100 1-0 v #101-200 1-0 v #201-326 League Power Rankings: 2-0 94.583 Non-League Power Ratings: 1-2 81.005 Last Ten Ratings: 2-1 86.802

League Power Rankings (12-7): 84.692 (54)
1-2 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
4-4 v #51-100
4-1 v #101-200
3-0 v #201-326
Home Ratings: 5-3 78.720
Away Ratings: 5-4 87.470
Neutral Ratings: 2-0 94.583
Last Ten Ratings: 7-2 87.044

Non-League Power Ratings (8-6): 85.618 (41) 1-3 v #1-25 0-3 v #26-50 2-0 v #51-100 2-0 v #101-200 3-0 v #201-326 Home Ratings: 4-1 85.505 Away Ratings: 3-3 88.384 Neutral Ratings: 1-2 81.005 Last Ten Ratings: 0-1 78.833

Wins Power Rankings: 86.712 (46)
2-5 v #1-25
0-2 v #26-50
6-5 v #51-100
6-1 v #101-200
6-0 v #201-326
Home Ratings: 9-4 81.720
Away Ratings: 8-7 89.528
Neutral Ratings: 3-2 86.290
Last Ten Ratings: 7-3 87.091

Rankings: Points: 83.235 (39) 2-5 v #1-25 0-3 v #26-50 6-4 v #51-100 7-1 v #101-200 5-0 v #201-326 Home Ratings: 9-4 80.040 Away Ratings: 8-7 85.097 Neutral Ratings: 3-2 83.204 League Power Rankings: 12-7 83.087 Non-League Power Ratings: 8-6 83.501 Last Ten Ratings: 7-3 84.423

Last Ten Ratings (7-3): 85.727 (45)
0-1 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
2-2 v #51-100
1-0 v #101-200
4-0 v #201-326
Home Ratings: 3-0 79.020
Away Ratings: 2-2 87.622
Neutral Ratings: 2-1 86.802
League Power Rankings: 7-2 87.044
Non-League Power Ratings: 0-1 78.833

Home Advantage: -1.951 (283)

Difficulty of Schedule for a Top Five Team: 0.1056 (49)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #15 team: 0.2733 (46)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #45 team: 0.4167 (46)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #100 team: 0.5294 (49)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #150 team: 0.6630 (60)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #270 team: 0.8702 (65)

Upward Stability: 3.3906 (51)

Downward Stability: 3.4247 (74)

RPI
RPI: 0.5712 (51)
1-4 v #1-25
1-7 v #26-50
4-1 v #51-100
8-1 v #101-200
6-0 v #201-326

RPI Home (9-4): 0.5873 (71) 0-1 v #1-25 0-3 v #26-50 2-0 v #51-100 2-0 v #101-200 5-0 v #201-326

RPI Away (8-7): 0.5598 (30)
1-1 v #1-25
1-4 v #26-50
3-1 v #51-100
2-1 v #101-200
1-0 v #201-326

RPI Neutral (3-2): 0.5634 (82) 0-1 v #1-25 0-1 v #26-50 0-0 v #51-100 2-0 v #101-200 1-0 v #201-326

RPI League (12-7): 0.5578 (73)
0-1 v #1-25
3-4 v #26-50
0-0 v #51-100
5-2 v #101-200
4-0 v #201-326

RPI Non-League (8-6): 0.5899 (41) 1-2 v #1-25 0-2 v #26-50 2-2 v #51-100 3-0 v #101-200 2-0 v #201-326

RPI Strength of Schedule: 0.5596 (44)



GAMES

Date	Site	Score	Opponent
11/17/2003	Home	W 62-46	vs. #168 Miss Valley St
11/18/2003	Home	W 63-49	vs. #292 New Hampshire
11/24/2003	Neut	W 66-59	vs. #130 San Francisco
11/25/2003	Neut	L 61-67	vs. #34 South Carolina
11/29/2003	Away	L 75-83	vs. #35 Uab
12/3/2003	Home	W 70-52	vs. #74 VA Commonwealth
12/6/2003	Away	L 66-81	vs. #13 Wake Forest
12/13/2003	Away	W 70-58	vs. #213 South Florida
12/20/2003	Away	L 62-70	vs. #49 Manhattan
12/23/2003	Home	L 56-57	vs. #23 Providence
12/29/2003	Home	W 73-42	vs. #284 Hampton
12/31/2003	Away	W 75-62	vs. #54 Colorado
1/3/2004	Home	W 69-66	vs. #153 Duquesne
1/6/2004	Home	L 60-71	vs. #2 St Josephs
1/10/2004	Away	L 55-66	vs. #180 La Salle
1/14/2004	Home	L 50-55	vs. #56 Dayton
1/17/2004	Away	W 59-52	vs. #87 Temple
1/22/2004	Away	W 69-68	vs. #20 Kansas
1/25/2004	Away	W 53-44	vs. #21 Xavier
1/31/2004	Home	W 72-65	vs. #62 Geo Washington
2/4/2004	Away	L 57-62	vs. #56 Dayton
2/7/2004	Away	W 71-51	vs. #153 Duquesne
2/10/2004	Home	L 51-62	vs. #21 Xavier
2/14/2004	Home	W 74-53	vs. #241 Fordham
2/18/2004	Away	W 75-55	vs. #227 St Bonaventure
2/21/2004	Home	W 66-50	vs. #180 La Salle
2/25/2004	Away	L 54-56	vs. #86 Rhode Island
2/28/2004	Away	W 75-67	vs. #62 Geo Washington
3/6/2004	Home	W 69-65	vs. #189 Massachusetts
3/10/2004	Neut	W 67-47	vs. #241 Fordham
3/11/2004	Neut	W 64-49	vs. #87 Temple
3/12/2004	Away	L 56-58	vs. #56 Dayton
3/19/2004	Neut	L 64-76	vs. #12 Wisconsin

FUTURE GAMES

Date

Site

Win Probability

Margin

Opponent

Opp. Rating

(Opp. Specific Rating)