NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

Read the full article -- No comments »

Printable NCAA Bracket

Recent Articles: Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2) Wall St. Journal Competition Results Strategies on filling out that NCAA Tournament Bracket — SmartStats and BracketBrains NCAA Basketball Coaches Gone Wild (1 of 2) Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (1 of 2) 2008 Conference Tournaments: Brackets & Odds March Madness Performance: 2 Myths Dispelled Spreading the Nerd Word

SOUTH CAROLINA
Predictions for Future Games
Scores & Results
RPI Breakdown

Record: 23-11
Power Rating: 86.198
Ranking: 34

3-4 v #1-25
4-3 v #26-50
5-2 v #51-100
3-2 v #101-200
8-0 v #201-326

Home Ratings (14-3): 87.323 (35) 2-2 v #1-25 2-1 v #26-50 2-0 v #51-100 1-0 v #101-200 7-0 v #201-326 League Power Rankings: 5-3 86.460 Non-League Power Ratings: 9-0 84.808 Last Ten Ratings: 2-1 86.565

Away Ratings (5-6): 84.476 (47)
1-1 v #1-25
1-1 v #26-50
2-2 v #51-100
0-2 v #101-200
1-0 v #201-326
League Power Rankings: 3-5 84.823
Non-League Power Ratings: 2-1 85.480
Last Ten Ratings: 0-3 75.651

Neutral Ratings (4-2): 87.374 (39) 0-1 v #1-25 1-1 v #26-50 1-0 v #51-100 2-0 v #101-200 0-0 v #201-326 League Power Rankings: 2-1 89.105 Non-League Power Ratings: 2-1 84.198 Last Ten Ratings: 2-2 85.456

League Power Rankings (10-9): 86.093 (38)
2-4 v #1-25
3-2 v #26-50
4-1 v #51-100
1-2 v #101-200
0-0 v #201-326
Home Ratings: 5-3 86.460
Away Ratings: 3-5 84.823
Neutral Ratings: 2-1 89.105
Last Ten Ratings: 4-5 84.288

Non-League Power Ratings (13-2): 86.511 (38) 1-0 v #1-25 1-1 v #26-50 1-1 v #51-100 2-0 v #101-200 8-0 v #201-326 Home Ratings: 9-0 84.808 Away Ratings: 2-1 85.480 Neutral Ratings: 2-1 84.198 Last Ten Ratings: 0-1 71.511

Wins Power Rankings: 88.730 (32)
4-4 v #1-25
5-3 v #26-50
3-3 v #51-100
3-1 v #101-200
8-0 v #201-326
Home Ratings: 14-3 90.046
Away Ratings: 5-6 86.745
Neutral Ratings: 4-2 90.214
Last Ten Ratings: 4-6 85.468

Rankings: Points: 83.444 (36) 3-4 v #1-25 2-3 v #26-50 8-3 v #51-100 2-1 v #101-200 8-0 v #201-326 Home Ratings: 14-3 84.226 Away Ratings: 5-6 82.276 Neutral Ratings: 4-2 84.085 League Power Rankings: 10-9 83.456 Non-League Power Ratings: 13-2 83.409 Last Ten Ratings: 4-6 80.991

Last Ten Ratings (4-6): 83.302 (67)
1-2 v #1-25
1-2 v #26-50
0-1 v #51-100
2-1 v #101-200
0-0 v #201-326
Home Ratings: 2-1 86.565
Away Ratings: 0-3 75.651
Neutral Ratings: 2-2 85.456
League Power Rankings: 4-5 84.288
Non-League Power Ratings: 0-1 71.511

Home Advantage: 5.6235 (117)

Difficulty of Schedule for a Top Five Team: 0.1140 (39)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #15 team: 0.2869 (36)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #45 team: 0.4406 (33)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #100 team: 0.5609 (32)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #150 team: 0.6812 (45)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #270 team: 0.8473 (95)

Upward Stability: 3.4834 (26)

Downward Stability: 3.8830 (13)

RPI
RPI: 0.5739 (50)
4-6 v #1-25
2-1 v #26-50
7-2 v #51-100
2-2 v #101-200
8-0 v #201-326

RPI Home (14-3): 0.5945 (60) 3-1 v #1-25 1-2 v #26-50 2-0 v #51-100 2-0 v #101-200 6-0 v #201-326

RPI Away (5-6): 0.5114 (77)
0-2 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
2-1 v #51-100
2-3 v #101-200
1-0 v #201-326

RPI Neutral (4-2): 0.6290 (33) 0-1 v #1-25 2-0 v #26-50 1-1 v #51-100 1-0 v #101-200 0-0 v #201-326

RPI League (10-9): 0.5925 (33)
0-6 v #1-25
4-0 v #26-50
4-1 v #51-100
2-2 v #101-200
0-0 v #201-326

RPI Non-League (13-2): 0.5490 (71) 0-0 v #1-25 2-1 v #26-50 1-1 v #51-100 4-0 v #101-200 6-0 v #201-326

RPI Strength of Schedule: 0.5397 (72)



GAMES

Date	Site	Score	Opponent
11/17/2003	Home	W 83-74	vs. #275 Gardner-Webb
11/18/2003	Home	W 76-66	vs. #161 Idaho
11/21/2003	Home	W 73-40	vs. #320 Navy
11/24/2003	Neut	W 77-64	vs. #107 SW Missouri St
11/25/2003	Neut	W 67-61	vs. #46 Richmond
11/29/2003	Home	W 77-48	vs. #316 Campbell
12/3/2003	Away	W 70-38	vs. #308 The Citadel
12/6/2003	Away	W 76-61	vs. #89 Clemson
12/15/2003	Away	L 61-71	vs. #87 Temple
12/17/2003	Home	W 71-36	vs. #311 Charleston Sou
12/20/2003	Home	W 58-55	vs. #11 North Carolina St
12/22/2003	Home	W 86-50	vs. #248 SO Carolina St
12/30/2003	Home	W 59-48	vs. #231 Yale
1/2/2004	Home	W 78-58	vs. #238 Appalachian St
1/7/2004	Home	L 62-65	vs. #26 Florida
1/10/2004	Away	W 84-63	vs. #50 Georgia
1/14/2004	Away	W 53-51	vs. #85 Auburn
1/17/2004	Home	W 85-64	vs. #73 Tennessee
1/24/2004	Home	W 61-55	vs. #55 LSU
1/28/2004	Away	W 57-55	vs. #22 Vanderbilt
1/31/2004	Away	L 68-79	vs. #102 Mississippi
2/4/2004	Home	W 90-82	vs. #28 Alabama
2/7/2004	Away	L 64-65	vs. #8 Kentucky
2/11/2004	Home	L 75-79	vs. #10 Mississippi St
2/14/2004	Home	W 82-75	vs. #22 Vanderbilt
2/21/2004	Away	L 66-82	vs. #103 Arkansas
2/25/2004	Away	L 58-69	vs. #26 Florida
2/28/2004	Home	W 63-47	vs. #50 Georgia
3/3/2004	Home	L 65-84	vs. #8 Kentucky
3/6/2004	Away	L 56-63	vs. #73 Tennessee
3/11/2004	Neut	W 91-81	vs. #103 Arkansas
3/12/2004	Neut	W 85-64	vs. #55 LSU
3/13/2004	Neut	L 63-78	vs. #8 Kentucky
3/19/2004	Neut	L 43-59	vs. #27 Memphis

FUTURE GAMES

Date

Site

Win Probability

Margin

Opponent

Opp. Rating

(Opp. Specific Rating)