NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

Read the full article -- No comments »

Printable NCAA Bracket

Recent Articles: Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2) Wall St. Journal Competition Results Strategies on filling out that NCAA Tournament Bracket — SmartStats and BracketBrains NCAA Basketball Coaches Gone Wild (1 of 2) Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (1 of 2) 2008 Conference Tournaments: Brackets & Odds March Madness Performance: 2 Myths Dispelled Spreading the Nerd Word

SAM HOUSTON
Predictions for Future Games
Scores & Results
RPI Breakdown

Record: 9-15
Power Rating: 66.860
Ranking: 270

0-1 v #1-25
0-1 v #26-50
0-0 v #51-100
0-5 v #101-200
9-8 v #201-326

Home Ratings (6-3): 68.657 (242) 0-0 v #1-25 0-0 v #26-50 0-0 v #51-100 0-1 v #101-200 6-2 v #201-326 League Power Rankings: 5-3 67.673 Non-League Power Ratings: 1-0 93.360 Last Ten Ratings: 3-2 69.059

Away Ratings (3-11): 65.786 (278)
0-1 v #1-25
0-1 v #26-50
0-0 v #51-100
0-4 v #101-200
3-5 v #201-326
League Power Rankings: 3-6 68.028
Non-League Power Ratings: 0-5 55.923
Last Ten Ratings: 2-3 65.282

Neutral Ratings (0-1): 57.985 (304) 0-0 v #1-25 0-0 v #26-50 0-0 v #51-100 0-0 v #101-200 0-1 v #201-326 League Power Rankings: 0-0 66.860 Non-League Power Ratings: 0-1 65.110 Last Ten Ratings: 0-0 66.860

League Power Rankings (8-9): 67.673 (255)
0-0 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
0-0 v #51-100
0-3 v #101-200
8-6 v #201-326
Home Ratings: 5-3 67.673
Away Ratings: 3-6 68.028
Neutral Ratings: 0-0 66.860
Last Ten Ratings: 5-5 67.563

Non-League Power Ratings (1-6): 63.563 (294) 0-1 v #1-25 0-1 v #26-50 0-0 v #51-100 0-2 v #101-200 1-2 v #201-326 Home Ratings: 1-0 93.360 Away Ratings: 0-5 55.923 Neutral Ratings: 0-1 65.110 Last Ten Ratings: 0-0 66.860

Wins Power Rankings: 64.604 (273)
0-1 v #1-25
0-1 v #26-50
0-0 v #51-100
1-5 v #101-200
8-8 v #201-326
Home Ratings: 6-3 66.089
Away Ratings: 3-11 64.112
Neutral Ratings: 0-1 48.104
Last Ten Ratings: 5-5 66.366

Rankings: Points: 69.479 (265) 0-1 v #1-25 0-1 v #26-50 0-0 v #51-100 1-7 v #101-200 8-6 v #201-326 Home Ratings: 6-3 71.616 Away Ratings: 3-11 67.850 Neutral Ratings: 0-1 66.292 League Power Rankings: 8-9 70.229 Non-League Power Ratings: 1-6 66.667 Last Ten Ratings: 5-5 69.991

Last Ten Ratings (5-5): 68.134 (251)
0-0 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
0-0 v #51-100
0-4 v #101-200
5-1 v #201-326
Home Ratings: 3-2 69.059
Away Ratings: 2-3 65.282
Neutral Ratings: 0-0 66.860
League Power Rankings: 5-5 67.563
Non-League Power Ratings: 0-0 66.860

Home Advantage: 7.1900 (79)

Difficulty of Schedule for a Top Five Team: 0.0274 (259)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #15 team: 0.0847 (267)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #45 team: 0.1447 (274)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #100 team: 0.2154 (277)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #150 team: 0.3443 (275)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #270 team: 0.6573 (273)

Upward Stability: 2.9246 (186)

Downward Stability: 2.6468 (234)

RPI
RPI: 0.4212 (279)
0-1 v #1-25
0-1 v #26-50
0-0 v #51-100
1-7 v #101-200
8-6 v #201-326

RPI Home (6-3): 0.4851 (234) 0-0 v #1-25 0-0 v #26-50 0-1 v #51-100 3-0 v #101-200 3-2 v #201-326

RPI Away (3-11): 0.3893 (277)
0-1 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
0-1 v #51-100
0-3 v #101-200
3-6 v #201-326

RPI Neutral (0-1): 0.0 (318) 0-0 v #1-25 0-0 v #26-50 0-0 v #51-100 0-1 v #101-200 0-0 v #201-326

RPI League (8-9): 0.4324 (262)
0-0 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
0-0 v #51-100
1-6 v #101-200
7-3 v #201-326

RPI Non-League (1-6): 0.3967 (292) 0-2 v #1-25 0-0 v #26-50 0-0 v #51-100 0-2 v #101-200 1-2 v #201-326

RPI Strength of Schedule: 0.4366 (301)



GAMES

Date	Site	Score	Opponent
11/24/2003	Away	L 71-122	vs. #15 Texas
12/3/2003	Away	L 66-76	vs. #183 Texas A&M-CC
12/6/2003	Away	L 87-106	vs. #158 Arkansas St
12/14/2003	Home	W 92-66	vs. #205 TX Pan American
12/17/2003	Away	L 63-97	vs. #29 Texas Tech
12/27/2003	Away	L 51-70	vs. #309 Florida Intl
12/28/2003	Neut	L 66-68	vs. #268 Hartford
1/8/2004	Home	W 68-52	vs. #322 Nicholls St
1/10/2004	Away	L 80-89	vs. #293 Lamar
1/17/2004	Home	W 94-81	vs. #271 Ul Monroe
1/22/2004	Home	L 77-87	vs. #269 Northwestern St
1/24/2004	Away	L 77-80	vs. #202 SE Louisiana
1/29/2004	Away	L 67-68	vs. #176 Stephen Austin
1/31/2004	Away	W 73-70	vs. #271 Ul Monroe
2/7/2004	Away	W 71-63	vs. #322 Nicholls St
2/12/2004	Home	W 69-64	vs. #202 SE Louisiana
2/14/2004	Home	L 65-68	vs. #214 Tex San Antonio
2/19/2004	Home	W 86-73	vs. #265 SW Texas St
2/21/2004	Away	W 72-70	vs. #269 Northwestern St
2/26/2004	Away	L 65-78	vs. #260 McNeese St
2/28/2004	Home	L 61-71	vs. #176 Stephen Austin
3/3/2004	Away	L 53-81	vs. #204 Texas Arlington
3/5/2004	Home	W 107-85	vs. #293 Lamar
3/8/2004	Away	L 53-85	vs. #176 Stephen Austin

FUTURE GAMES

Date

Site

Win Probability

Margin

Opponent

Opp. Rating

(Opp. Specific Rating)