NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

Read the full article -- No comments »

Printable NCAA Bracket

Recent Articles: Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2) Wall St. Journal Competition Results Strategies on filling out that NCAA Tournament Bracket — SmartStats and BracketBrains NCAA Basketball Coaches Gone Wild (1 of 2) Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (1 of 2) 2008 Conference Tournaments: Brackets & Odds March Madness Performance: 2 Myths Dispelled Spreading the Nerd Word

USC
Predictions for Future Games
Scores & Results
RPI Breakdown

Record: 13-15
Power Rating: 78.401
Ranking: 108

0-2 v #1-25
1-4 v #26-50
2-4 v #51-100
8-4 v #101-200
2-1 v #201-326

Home Ratings (7-7): 74.121 (163) 0-1 v #1-25 1-0 v #26-50 0-3 v #51-100 4-2 v #101-200 2-1 v #201-326 League Power Rankings: 4-5 74.490 Non-League Power Ratings: 3-2 70.885 Last Ten Ratings: 2-3 74.643

Away Ratings (6-6): 84.502 (46)
0-1 v #1-25
0-3 v #26-50
2-1 v #51-100
4-1 v #101-200
0-0 v #201-326
League Power Rankings: 4-4 84.459
Non-League Power Ratings: 2-2 81.510
Last Ten Ratings: 2-2 81.885

Neutral Ratings (0-2): 68.276 (219) 0-0 v #1-25 0-1 v #26-50 0-0 v #51-100 0-1 v #101-200 0-0 v #201-326 League Power Rankings: 0-2 74.526 Non-League Power Ratings: 0-0 78.401 Last Ten Ratings: 0-1 81.713

League Power Rankings (8-11): 78.705 (109)
0-2 v #1-25
1-2 v #26-50
1-3 v #51-100
6-4 v #101-200
0-0 v #201-326
Home Ratings: 4-5 74.490
Away Ratings: 4-4 84.459
Neutral Ratings: 0-2 74.526
Last Ten Ratings: 4-6 78.342

Non-League Power Ratings (5-4): 77.346 (129) 0-0 v #1-25 0-2 v #26-50 1-1 v #51-100 2-0 v #101-200 2-1 v #201-326 Home Ratings: 3-2 70.885 Away Ratings: 2-2 81.510 Neutral Ratings: 0-0 78.401 Last Ten Ratings: 0-0 78.401

Wins Power Rankings: 79.260 (107)
0-2 v #1-25
0-2 v #26-50
2-6 v #51-100
10-4 v #101-200
1-1 v #201-326
Home Ratings: 7-7 74.035
Away Ratings: 6-6 86.803
Neutral Ratings: 0-2 61.260
Last Ten Ratings: 4-6 79.022

Rankings: Points: 77.313 (117) 0-2 v #1-25 1-4 v #26-50 4-5 v #51-100 6-3 v #101-200 2-1 v #201-326 Home Ratings: 7-7 73.938 Away Ratings: 6-6 81.828 Neutral Ratings: 0-2 73.907 League Power Rankings: 8-11 77.975 Non-League Power Ratings: 5-4 75.110 Last Ten Ratings: 4-6 77.590

Last Ten Ratings (4-6): 78.346 (113)
0-1 v #1-25
0-1 v #26-50
0-4 v #51-100
4-0 v #101-200
0-0 v #201-326
Home Ratings: 2-3 74.643
Away Ratings: 2-2 81.885
Neutral Ratings: 0-1 81.713
League Power Rankings: 4-6 78.342
Non-League Power Ratings: 0-0 78.401

Home Advantage: -4.263 (307)

Difficulty of Schedule for a Top Five Team: 0.0844 (82)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #15 team: 0.2298 (81)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #45 team: 0.3718 (79)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #100 team: 0.5013 (73)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #150 team: 0.6586 (64)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #270 team: 0.8913 (33)

Upward Stability: 3.3302 (64)

Downward Stability: 3.0709 (154)

RPI
RPI: 0.5208 (115)
0-2 v #1-25
1-4 v #26-50
1-4 v #51-100
10-4 v #101-200
1-1 v #201-326

RPI Home (7-7): 0.5131 (183) 0-0 v #1-25 1-1 v #26-50 1-2 v #51-100 3-1 v #101-200 2-3 v #201-326

RPI Away (6-6): 0.5518 (39)
0-1 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
2-4 v #51-100
2-1 v #101-200
2-0 v #201-326

RPI Neutral (0-2): 0.3858 (239) 0-0 v #1-25 0-0 v #26-50 0-1 v #51-100 0-1 v #101-200 0-0 v #201-326

RPI League (8-11): 0.5105 (131)
0-2 v #1-25
1-1 v #26-50
1-2 v #51-100
5-5 v #101-200
1-1 v #201-326

RPI Non-League (5-4): 0.5417 (78) 0-0 v #1-25 0-1 v #26-50 1-2 v #51-100 2-1 v #101-200 2-0 v #201-326

RPI Strength of Schedule: 0.5397 (73)



GAMES

Date	Site	Score	Opponent
11/21/2003	Away	L 65-83	vs. #44 Western Mich
11/30/2003	Home	W 75-69	vs. #170 CS Northridge
12/3/2003	Home	L 83-92	vs. #84 Unlv
12/6/2003	Away	W 84-83	vs. #96 St Marys CA
12/9/2003	Home	W 96-90	vs. #210 CS Fullerton
12/13/2003	Away	L 61-85	vs. #38 BYU
12/19/2003	Away	W 65-62	vs. #106 Fresno St
12/22/2003	Home	L 78-93	vs. #207 Cal Poly
12/28/2003	Home	W 81-59	vs. #201 Lafayette
1/2/2004	Home	L 74-92	vs. #72 Oregon
1/4/2004	Home	W 91-82	vs. #143 Oregon St
1/8/2004	Away	W 88-80	vs. #57 Washington
1/10/2004	Neut	L 61-76	vs. #111 Washington St
1/15/2004	Home	W 99-90	vs. #48 Arizona
1/17/2004	Home	L 85-100	vs. #154 Arizona St
1/22/2004	Away	L 62-63	vs. #101 California
1/24/2004	Away	L 67-77	vs. #7 Stanford
1/28/2004	Away	W 76-69	vs. #133 UCLA
2/5/2004	Home	L 82-93	vs. #57 Washington
2/7/2004	Home	L 51-60	vs. #111 Washington St
2/12/2004	Away	L 70-97	vs. #48 Arizona
2/14/2004	Away	W 93-84	vs. #154 Arizona St
2/19/2004	Home	L 67-76	vs. #7 Stanford
2/21/2004	Home	W 70-60	vs. #101 California
2/25/2004	Home	W 78-77	vs. #133 UCLA
3/4/2004	Away	L 70-75	vs. #72 Oregon
3/6/2004	Away	W 63-60	vs. #143 Oregon St
3/11/2004	Neut	L 76-79	vs. #48 Arizona

FUTURE GAMES

Date

Site

Win Probability

Margin

Opponent

Opp. Rating

(Opp. Specific Rating)