NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

Read the full article -- No comments »

Printable NCAA Bracket

Recent Articles: Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2) Wall St. Journal Competition Results Strategies on filling out that NCAA Tournament Bracket — SmartStats and BracketBrains NCAA Basketball Coaches Gone Wild (1 of 2) Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (1 of 2) 2008 Conference Tournaments: Brackets & Odds March Madness Performance: 2 Myths Dispelled Spreading the Nerd Word

CHATTANOOGA
Predictions for Future Games
Scores & Results
RPI Breakdown

Record: 16-11
Power Rating: 76.759
Ranking: 131

0-1 v #1-25
0-1 v #26-50
0-3 v #51-100
6-4 v #101-200
10-2 v #201-326

Home Ratings (7-4): 71.923 (208) 0-0 v #1-25 0-0 v #26-50 0-1 v #51-100 2-2 v #101-200 5-1 v #201-326 League Power Rankings: 5-3 71.369 Non-League Power Ratings: 2-1 70.158 Last Ten Ratings: 2-1 74.415

Away Ratings (7-7): 78.202 (114)
0-1 v #1-25
0-1 v #26-50
0-2 v #51-100
2-2 v #101-200
5-1 v #201-326
League Power Rankings: 5-4 78.056
Non-League Power Ratings: 2-3 76.814
Last Ten Ratings: 3-2 79.587

Neutral Ratings (2-0): 90.228 (24) 0-0 v #1-25 0-0 v #26-50 0-0 v #51-100 2-0 v #101-200 0-0 v #201-326 League Power Rankings: 2-0 83.884 Non-League Power Ratings: 0-0 76.759 Last Ten Ratings: 2-0 83.884

League Power Rankings (12-7): 77.374 (127)
0-0 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
0-3 v #51-100
4-2 v #101-200
8-2 v #201-326
Home Ratings: 5-3 71.369
Away Ratings: 5-4 78.056
Neutral Ratings: 2-0 83.884
Last Ten Ratings: 7-3 79.345

Non-League Power Ratings (4-4): 74.712 (168) 0-1 v #1-25 0-1 v #26-50 0-0 v #51-100 2-2 v #101-200 2-0 v #201-326 Home Ratings: 2-1 70.158 Away Ratings: 2-3 76.814 Neutral Ratings: 0-0 76.759 Last Ten Ratings: 0-0 76.759

Wins Power Rankings: 77.427 (128)
0-2 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
0-3 v #51-100
6-4 v #101-200
10-2 v #201-326
Home Ratings: 7-4 71.208
Away Ratings: 7-7 79.119
Neutral Ratings: 2-0 98.052
Last Ten Ratings: 7-3 82.708

Rankings: Points: 75.800 (145) 0-1 v #1-25 0-1 v #26-50 0-3 v #51-100 6-4 v #101-200 10-2 v #201-326 Home Ratings: 7-4 72.415 Away Ratings: 7-7 77.056 Neutral Ratings: 2-0 83.081 League Power Rankings: 12-7 76.247 Non-League Power Ratings: 4-4 74.339 Last Ten Ratings: 7-3 78.679

Last Ten Ratings (7-3): 80.923 (90)
0-0 v #1-25
0-3 v #26-50
0-0 v #51-100
1-0 v #101-200
6-0 v #201-326
Home Ratings: 2-1 74.415
Away Ratings: 3-2 79.587
Neutral Ratings: 2-0 83.884
League Power Rankings: 7-3 79.345
Non-League Power Ratings: 0-0 76.759

Home Advantage: -3.983 (306)

Difficulty of Schedule for a Top Five Team: 0.0421 (181)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #15 team: 0.1319 (173)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #45 team: 0.2271 (172)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #100 team: 0.3242 (187)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #150 team: 0.4779 (189)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #270 team: 0.7767 (185)

Upward Stability: 2.8377 (216)

Downward Stability: 3.2249 (112)

RPI
RPI: 0.5152 (119)
0-2 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
0-3 v #51-100
6-4 v #101-200
10-2 v #201-326

RPI Home (7-4): 0.4999 (217) 0-0 v #1-25 0-1 v #26-50 1-0 v #51-100 2-1 v #101-200 4-2 v #201-326

RPI Away (7-7): 0.4985 (96)
0-1 v #1-25
0-3 v #26-50
0-0 v #51-100
3-1 v #101-200
4-2 v #201-326

RPI Neutral (2-0): 0.7183 (3) 0-0 v #1-25 0-0 v #26-50 0-0 v #51-100 1-0 v #101-200 1-0 v #201-326

RPI League (12-7): 0.5253 (111)
0-0 v #1-25
0-3 v #26-50
0-0 v #51-100
4-2 v #101-200
8-2 v #201-326

RPI Non-League (4-4): 0.4918 (169) 0-2 v #1-25 0-0 v #26-50 0-0 v #51-100 2-0 v #101-200 2-2 v #201-326

RPI Strength of Schedule: 0.4895 (167)



GAMES

Date	Site	Score	Opponent
11/21/2003	Away	L 76-90	vs. #20 Kansas
11/24/2003	Away	W 81-79	vs. #156 Oral Roberts
12/1/2003	Away	W 93-86	vs. #282 Tennessee St
12/11/2003	Away	L 69-85	vs. #195 Liberty
12/16/2003	Away	L 72-76	vs. #28 Alabama
12/20/2003	Away	L 70-88	vs. #228 Elon
12/22/2003	Home	W 74-70	vs. #282 Tennessee St
12/29/2003	Home	W 82-75	vs. #139 Middle Tenn St
12/30/2003	Home	L 65-71	vs. #180 La Salle
1/5/2004	Home	W 76-70	vs. #229 NC Greensboro
1/10/2004	Home	W 95-91	vs. #123 Davidson
1/12/2004	Home	L 77-94	vs. #238 Appalachian St
1/17/2004	Away	W 73-49	vs. #308 The Citadel
1/19/2004	Away	L 76-83	vs. #117 Coll Of Charltn
1/24/2004	Home	W 109-79	vs. #222 Westrn Carolina
1/26/2004	Away	W 77-68	vs. #166 Furman
1/31/2004	Home	L 74-82	vs. #125 Geo Southern
2/7/2004	Away	W 73-71	vs. #222 Westrn Carolina
2/9/2004	Home	L 80-82	vs. #65 East Tenn St
2/14/2004	Away	W 87-74	vs. #229 NC Greensboro
2/16/2004	Home	W 62-57	vs. #228 Elon
2/21/2004	Away	W 74-49	vs. #238 Appalachian St
2/24/2004	Away	L 72-84	vs. #65 East Tenn St
2/28/2004	Home	W 90-79	vs. #272 Wofford
3/4/2004	Neut	W 89-78	vs. #117 Coll Of Charltn
3/5/2004	Neut	W 90-87	vs. #125 Geo Southern
3/6/2004	Away	L 62-78	vs. #65 East Tenn St

FUTURE GAMES

Date

Site

Win Probability

Margin

Opponent

Opp. Rating

(Opp. Specific Rating)