NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

Read the full article -- No comments »

Printable NCAA Bracket

Recent Articles: Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2) Wall St. Journal Competition Results Strategies on filling out that NCAA Tournament Bracket — SmartStats and BracketBrains NCAA Basketball Coaches Gone Wild (1 of 2) Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (1 of 2) 2008 Conference Tournaments: Brackets & Odds March Madness Performance: 2 Myths Dispelled Spreading the Nerd Word

WAKE FOREST
Predictions for Future Games
Scores & Results
RPI Breakdown

Record: 21-10
Power Rating: 90.678
Ranking: 13

6-8 v #1-25
5-2 v #26-50
4-0 v #51-100
2-0 v #101-200
4-0 v #201-326

Home Ratings (12-3): 89.580 (24) 3-3 v #1-25 3-0 v #26-50 2-0 v #51-100 1-0 v #101-200 3-0 v #201-326 League Power Rankings: 5-3 87.447 Non-League Power Ratings: 7-0 91.724 Last Ten Ratings: 2-1 87.451

Away Ratings (5-5): 92.514 (12)
3-3 v #1-25
0-2 v #26-50
1-0 v #51-100
1-0 v #101-200
0-0 v #201-326
League Power Rankings: 4-4 93.865
Non-League Power Ratings: 1-1 86.771
Last Ten Ratings: 2-1 96.326

Neutral Ratings (4-2): 89.451 (28) 0-2 v #1-25 2-0 v #26-50 1-0 v #51-100 0-0 v #101-200 1-0 v #201-326 League Power Rankings: 0-1 88.959 Non-League Power Ratings: 4-1 89.146 Last Ten Ratings: 2-2 87.920

League Power Rankings (9-8): 90.172 (16)
5-6 v #1-25
2-2 v #26-50
2-0 v #51-100
0-0 v #101-200
0-0 v #201-326
Home Ratings: 5-3 87.447
Away Ratings: 4-4 93.865
Neutral Ratings: 0-1 88.959
Last Ten Ratings: 4-3 91.478

Non-League Power Ratings (12-2): 91.924 (10) 1-2 v #1-25 3-0 v #26-50 2-0 v #51-100 2-0 v #101-200 4-0 v #201-326 Home Ratings: 7-0 91.724 Away Ratings: 1-1 86.771 Neutral Ratings: 4-1 89.146 Last Ten Ratings: 2-1 87.428

Wins Power Rankings: 93.814 (13)
6-8 v #1-25
4-2 v #26-50
5-0 v #51-100
2-0 v #101-200
4-0 v #201-326
Home Ratings: 12-3 92.295
Away Ratings: 5-5 96.006
Neutral Ratings: 4-2 92.537
Last Ten Ratings: 6-4 95.017

Rankings: Points: 87.223 (14) 6-8 v #1-25 4-1 v #26-50 5-1 v #51-100 2-0 v #101-200 4-0 v #201-326 Home Ratings: 12-3 86.359 Away Ratings: 5-5 88.898 Neutral Ratings: 4-2 85.969 League Power Rankings: 9-8 87.252 Non-League Power Ratings: 12-2 87.164 Last Ten Ratings: 6-4 86.973

Last Ten Ratings (6-4): 91.283 (16)
3-2 v #1-25
2-2 v #26-50
1-0 v #51-100
0-0 v #101-200
0-0 v #201-326
Home Ratings: 2-1 87.451
Away Ratings: 2-1 96.326
Neutral Ratings: 2-2 87.920
League Power Rankings: 4-3 91.478
Non-League Power Ratings: 2-1 87.428

Home Advantage: 2.0137 (216)

Difficulty of Schedule for a Top Five Team: 0.1875 (5)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #15 team: 0.4071 (5)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #45 team: 0.5619 (5)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #100 team: 0.6742 (5)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #150 team: 0.7835 (3)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #270 team: 0.9187 (6)

Upward Stability: 3.2121 (99)

Downward Stability: 3.6125 (41)

RPI
RPI: 0.6217 (16)
6-8 v #1-25
2-0 v #26-50
7-2 v #51-100
2-0 v #101-200
4-0 v #201-326

RPI Home (12-3): 0.6269 (24) 2-2 v #1-25 3-1 v #26-50 2-0 v #51-100 3-0 v #101-200 2-0 v #201-326

RPI Away (5-5): 0.5852 (19)
2-3 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
1-1 v #51-100
2-1 v #101-200
0-0 v #201-326

RPI Neutral (4-2): 0.6687 (14) 0-2 v #1-25 2-0 v #26-50 2-0 v #51-100 0-0 v #101-200 0-0 v #201-326

RPI League (9-8): 0.6017 (28)
4-5 v #1-25
1-1 v #26-50
2-2 v #51-100
2-0 v #101-200
0-0 v #201-326

RPI Non-League (12-2): 0.6441 (8) 0-2 v #1-25 3-0 v #26-50 3-0 v #51-100 3-0 v #101-200 3-0 v #201-326

RPI Strength of Schedule: 0.6031 (7)



GAMES

Date	Site	Score	Opponent
11/13/2003	Neut	W 85-76	vs. #27 Memphis
11/22/2003	Home	W 97-55	vs. #228 Elon
11/29/2003	Neut	W 86-61	vs. #231 Yale
12/2/2003	Home	W 100-67	vs. #81 Indiana
12/6/2003	Home	W 81-66	vs. #46 Richmond
12/15/2003	Away	W 78-66	vs. #137 SMU
12/20/2003	Away	W 119-114	vs. #14 North Carolina
12/30/2003	Home	W 91-67	vs. #325 NO Carolina A&T
1/3/2004	Home	W 70-61	vs. #132 New Mexico
1/6/2004	Home	W 86-47	vs. #208 Brown
1/10/2004	Home	W 78-63	vs. #89 Clemson
1/13/2004	Away	L 81-94	vs. #15 Texas
1/17/2004	Away	L 72-84	vs. #1 Duke
1/20/2004	Home	L 66-73	vs. #6 Georgia Tech
1/25/2004	Away	L 70-75	vs. #32 Florida St
1/29/2004	Home	W 93-85	vs. #17 Maryland
1/31/2004	Home	W 91-78	vs. #40 Virginia
2/4/2004	Away	L 68-73	vs. #11 North Carolina St
2/7/2004	Home	L 73-79	vs. #14 North Carolina
2/12/2004	Away	W 82-67	vs. #89 Clemson
2/15/2004	Home	W 91-85	vs. #19 Cincinnati
2/18/2004	Home	W 90-84	vs. #1 Duke
2/22/2004	Away	W 80-76	vs. #6 Georgia Tech
2/25/2004	Home	W 90-87	vs. #32 Florida St
2/28/2004	Away	W 91-83	vs. #17 Maryland
3/2/2004	Away	L 82-84	vs. #40 Virginia
3/6/2004	Home	L 70-81	vs. #11 North Carolina St
3/12/2004	Neut	L 86-87	vs. #17 Maryland
3/18/2004	Neut	W 79-78	vs. #74 VA Commonwealth
3/20/2004	Neut	W 84-80	vs. #49 Manhattan
3/25/2004	Neut	L 80-84	vs. #2 St Josephs

FUTURE GAMES

Date

Site

Win Probability

Margin

Opponent

Opp. Rating

(Opp. Specific Rating)