NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

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  Printable NCAA Bracket
2008 Printable NCAA Tournament Bracket

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Games against non-D1 teams not considered in power rankings or predictions.

Difficulty of Schedule for a Top Five Team

By division
Last Updated Thu Aug 18 11:16:29 EDT 2005

Home Advantage = 3.8097

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
1. Georgia Tech (20-12)0.1686
2. Virginia (14-15)0.1576
3. Purdue (7-21)0.1543
4. Wisconsin (25-9)0.1510
5. North Carolina St (21-14)0.1502
6. Clemson (16-16)0.1466
7. North Carolina (33-4)0.1449
8. Florida St (11-19)0.1441
9. Duke (27-6)0.1394
10. Wake Forest (27-6)0.1380

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
11. Northwestern (15-16)0.1366
12. Iowa (21-12)0.1351
13. Miami Fla (16-13)0.1342
14. Michigan St (26-7)0.1284
15. Indiana (15-14)0.1274
16. Maryland (19-13)0.1265
17. Ohio St (20-12)0.1245
18. Tennessee (14-17)0.1245
19. Kentucky (28-6)0.1228
20. West Virginia (24-11)0.1221

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
21. Penn St (6-23)0.1220
22. Illinois (37-2)0.1219
23. Minnesota (21-11)0.1216
24. Arizona (30-7)0.1163
25. Washington St (12-16)0.1161
26. Oregon (14-13)0.1152
27. Texas Tech (22-11)0.1151
28. Providence (13-17)0.1147
29. Kansas (23-7)0.1135
30. Washington (28-6)0.1125

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
31. Iowa St (19-12)0.1114
32. USC (12-17)0.1112
33. Oklahoma St (25-7)0.1110
34. Virginia Tech (16-14)0.1107
35. Rutgers (9-19)0.1106
36. Stanford (18-13)0.1105
37. UCLA (18-11)0.1095
38. Villanova (24-8)0.1087
39. Michigan (13-18)0.1075
40. Missouri (16-17)0.1073

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
41. St Johns (9-18)0.1072
42. Texas (19-11)0.1067
43. Pittsburgh (20-9)0.1065
44. Connecticut (23-8)0.1056
45. Colorado (13-16)0.1050
46. Georgetown (19-13)0.1049
47. Georgia (8-20)0.1036
48. Louisville (31-5)0.1034
49. Oklahoma (25-8)0.1025
50. Florida (24-8)0.1016

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
51. Seton Hall (12-16)0.1003
52. Baylor (8-19)0.0999
53. Notre Dame (17-12)0.0993
54. Alabama (23-8)0.0983
55. Mississippi St (23-11)0.0977
56. California (13-16)0.0976
57. Kansas St (15-12)0.0970
58. Arizona St (18-14)0.0964
59. Cincinnati (25-8)0.0954
60. LSU (20-10)0.0954

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
61. South Carolina (20-13)0.0949
62. Syracuse (27-7)0.0941
63. Oregon St (17-15)0.0940
64. Arkansas (18-12)0.0925
65. Texas AM (19-10)0.0912
66. Nebraska (14-14)0.0910
67. Vanderbilt (20-14)0.0907
68. Mississippi (14-17)0.0906
69. BYU (7-21)0.0896
70. Boston College (25-5)0.0873

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
71. Northern Colorado (4-21)0.0862
72. Auburn (14-17)0.0860
73. TCU (20-14)0.0850
74. St Louis (9-21)0.0845
75. East Carolina (7-19)0.0845
76. Oakland (12-19)0.0840
77. Uab (22-11)0.0812
78. San Diego St (9-18)0.0786
79. Houston (18-14)0.0769
80. Temple (16-14)0.0761

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
81. Charlotte (21-8)0.0759
82. Unlv (16-14)0.0758
83. Utah (27-6)0.0752
84. South Florida (13-16)0.0751
85. Memphis (22-16)0.0750
86. Wyoming (15-13)0.0749
87. Santa Clara (14-16)0.0747
88. Gonzaga (26-5)0.0744
89. Marquette (18-12)0.0727
90. Wisc Milwaukee (24-6)0.0721

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
91. Richmond (14-15)0.0721
92. San Diego (14-13)0.0700
93. Northern Iowa (20-11)0.0695
94. Air Force (17-12)0.0686
95. Colorado St (9-17)0.0676
96. San Francisco (17-14)0.0667
97. Vermont (25-7)0.0662
98. Loyola Marymnt (11-17)0.0660
99. Indiana St (11-20)0.0657
100. DePaul (20-11)0.0642

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
101. Tulane (9-18)0.0642
102. SW Missouri St (19-13)0.0641
103. Nevada (24-7)0.0638
104. Loyola Chi (12-17)0.0634
105. Southern Ill (26-8)0.0632
106. Marshall (6-22)0.0631
107. Longwood (1-29)0.0631
108. Ul Lafayette (19-11)0.0631
109. Coppin St (14-15)0.0628
110. SO Mississippi (8-17)0.0627

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
111. Kent (18-13)0.0625
112. St Josephs (24-12)0.0618
113. Tennessee St (12-16)0.0612
114. Cleveland St (7-17)0.0608
115. Creighton (23-11)0.0608
116. William & Mary (8-21)0.0607
117. Bucknell (23-10)0.0607
118. St Marys CA (23-9)0.0606
119. Valparaiso (15-16)0.0597
120. Florida A&M (14-15)0.0595

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
121. Geo Washington (22-8)0.0591
122. Drake (13-16)0.0587
123. Bradley (13-15)0.0580
124. Wichita St (22-10)0.0579
125. Duquesne (8-22)0.0579
126. Arkansas Lr (15-10)0.0574
127. Rice (17-12)0.0568
128. Illinois St (16-13)0.0568
129. Delaware St (19-14)0.0567
130. New Mexico (25-7)0.0559

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
131. Pacific (27-4)0.0558
132. Toledo (15-13)0.0557
133. Chicago St (9-19)0.0553
134. Pepperdine (16-14)0.0538
135. CS Northridge (17-13)0.0535
136. Illinois Chi (13-13)0.0534
137. Portland (14-15)0.0533
138. Northwestern St (17-12)0.0532
139. Miami Ohio (18-11)0.0527
140. Princeton (14-13)0.0526

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
141. Evansville (11-17)0.0526
142. NC Greensboro (15-12)0.0523
143. Wisc Green Bay (16-11)0.0520
144. Eastern Wash (7-20)0.0516
145. Northern Ill (11-17)0.0515
146. Central Mich (8-18)0.0514
147. New Orleans (12-17)0.0509
148. La Salle (10-19)0.0508
149. Morehead St (8-16)0.0503
150. Xavier (17-12)0.0501

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
151. Ball St (14-13)0.0498
152. SMU (13-14)0.0496
153. UC Santa Barbara (11-18)0.0493
154. NC Asheville (9-17)0.0493
155. Western Mich (19-13)0.0488
156. Buffalo (23-10)0.0487
157. Eastern KY (19-9)0.0486
158. Detroit (13-16)0.0478
159. Fordham (13-16)0.0474
160. Lafayette (8-19)0.0472

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
161. Idaho (7-21)0.0470
162. Ohio (21-11)0.0466
163. Long Beach St (10-20)0.0461
164. New Hampshire (8-19)0.0456
165. Westrn Carolina (5-22)0.0455
166. Drexel (17-12)0.0453
167. Wright St (15-15)0.0451
168. Utah St (24-8)0.0450
169. CS Fullerton (20-11)0.0450
170. Pennsylvania (20-9)0.0450

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
171. NO Carolina A&T (6-24)0.0449
172. Texas El Paso (25-8)0.0445
173. NC Wilmington (19-10)0.0444
174. Massachusetts (16-12)0.0443
175. Akron (18-10)0.0443
176. Davidson (20-9)0.0442
177. St Bonaventure (2-26)0.0437
178. South Alabama (7-18)0.0431
179. Yale (11-16)0.0429
180. San Jose St (6-23)0.0427

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
181. Chattanooga (17-11)0.0424
182. James Madison (6-22)0.0423
183. Georgia St (13-15)0.0422
184. Albany NY (13-15)0.0413
185. UC Irvine (15-13)0.0413
186. Northeastern (21-10)0.0412
187. UC Davis (10-17)0.0412
188. Cal Poly (4-22)0.0406
189. Louisiana Tech (14-15)0.0405
190. Eastern Mich (10-18)0.0405

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
191. VA Commonwealth (19-13)0.0404
192. Florida Intl (12-17)0.0402
193. Tulsa (9-20)0.0400
194. Centenary (2-24)0.0400
195. TX Pan American (8-16)0.0399
196. Elon (7-22)0.0399
197. New Mexico St (4-24)0.0393
198. Bowling Green (17-11)0.0392
199. UC Riverside (8-19)0.0391
200. Iupui (14-13)0.0390

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
201. Hofstra (21-9)0.0389
202. Montana (16-13)0.0386
203. Manhattan (13-14)0.0379
204. Middle Tenn St (17-12)0.0376
205. Holy Cross (25-7)0.0375
206. Hawaii (16-13)0.0375
207. Fresno St (15-14)0.0374
208. Rhode Island (6-22)0.0374
209. Dayton (18-11)0.0373
210. Fair Dickinson (19-13)0.0370

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
211. Western Ill (9-17)0.0369
212. Boise St (15-18)0.0364
213. Sam Houston (14-12)0.0364
214. Furman (12-13)0.0364
215. Boston U (20-9)0.0357
216. Old Dominion (27-6)0.0355
217. George Mason (16-13)0.0354
218. East Tenn St (7-19)0.0352
219. Austin Peay (13-19)0.0351
220. North Texas (12-14)0.0351

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
221. Delaware (11-20)0.0348
222. Maine (13-15)0.0346
223. IPFW (6-22)0.0345
224. Texas A&M-CC (16-8)0.0341
225. Umbc (10-18)0.0341
226. Binghamton (12-17)0.0340
227. Denver (18-11)0.0339
228. Butler (11-15)0.0338
229. Campbell (2-25)0.0337
230. American (16-12)0.0335

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
231. Murray St (15-11)0.0330
232. Colgate (10-16)0.0329
233. Nicholls St (3-21)0.0329
234. Geo Southern (14-13)0.0320
235. Youngstown St (3-23)0.0320
236. Tenn Martin (4-21)0.0319
237. Wofford (10-14)0.0315
238. Towson (5-24)0.0314
239. Appalachian St (15-12)0.0313
240. Arkansas St (13-13)0.0311

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
241. Stony Brook (12-17)0.0308
242. Dartmouth (9-17)0.0304
243. Western KY (21-9)0.0304
244. Fla Atlantic (10-17)0.0299
245. Oral Roberts (24-8)0.0297
246. Army (1-24)0.0293
247. Sacred Heart (4-23)0.0290
248. Liberty (12-15)0.0290
249. Mo Kansas City (14-12)0.0288
250. Niagara (20-10)0.0285

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
251. Charleston Sou (12-16)0.0282
252. Stetson (9-17)0.0277
253. Eastern Ill (11-16)0.0276
254. Tennessee Tech (15-11)0.0274
255. Southern Utah (11-15)0.0271
256. The Citadel (8-16)0.0270
257. Cornell (12-14)0.0262
258. McNeese St (9-15)0.0254
259. Tex San Antonio (12-13)0.0254
260. Winthrop (24-6)0.0253

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
261. High Point (11-17)0.0253
262. Weber St (13-16)0.0251
263. Ark Pine Bluff (5-21)0.0250
264. Texas Arlington (9-15)0.0248
265. SE Louisiana (19-9)0.0247
266. Radford (10-16)0.0246
267. Hartford (8-20)0.0245
268. Lehigh (13-15)0.0245
269. Iona (15-16)0.0244
270. Navy (8-18)0.0243

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
271. Northrn Arizona (9-17)0.0233
272. Marist (11-17)0.0232
273. Robert Morris (13-15)0.0232
274. Troy St (11-18)0.0228
275. Portland St (17-9)0.0228
276. SE Missouri St (11-14)0.0227
277. Fairfield (15-15)0.0226
278. Ul Monroe (5-19)0.0225
279. Coast Carolina (8-18)0.0222
280. St Francis PA (14-13)0.0221

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
281. SW Texas St (10-14)0.0210
282. Central Conn (12-16)0.0209
283. Jackson St (14-17)0.0208
284. Jacksonville St (4-22)0.0208
285. Brown (12-16)0.0203
286. Quinnipiac (9-17)0.0202
287. Howard (5-23)0.0199
288. Harvard (12-15)0.0198
289. Siena (6-24)0.0196
290. St Peters (15-13)0.0193

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
291. Prairie View (5-23)0.0192
292. Belmont (14-16)0.0190
293. Monmouth NJ (16-13)0.0190
294. Norfolk St (13-14)0.0190
295. Birmingham Southern (15-14)0.0189
296. Columbia (12-15)0.0188
297. Loyola MD (6-22)0.0183
298. Wagner (13-17)0.0182
299. Sacramento St (10-16)0.0182
300. Samford (13-13)0.0181

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
301. Mercer (14-12)0.0181
302. Hampton (17-13)0.0180
303. Alabama St (15-15)0.0173
304. Liu Brooklyn (13-15)0.0173
305. Grambling (12-12)0.0170
306. Morgan St (14-16)0.0169
307. Coll Of Charltn (18-10)0.0167
308. Central Florida (21-9)0.0167
309. SO Carolina St (19-12)0.0164
310. Lipscomb (14-12)0.0157

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
311. Gardner-Webb (16-12)0.0156
312. Jacksonville (14-13)0.0156
313. Rider (18-11)0.0156
314. Canisius (11-18)0.0150
315. Utah Valley St (14-12)0.0148
316. Mt St Marys (7-20)0.0145
317. VMI (7-18)0.0145
318. Lamar (14-11)0.0144
319. Alcorn St (6-22)0.0144
320. Montana St (12-14)0.0143

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
321. Bethune Cookman (13-17)0.0140
322. Miss Valley St (13-15)0.0133
323. Savannah St (0-28)0.0125
324. Idaho St (7-18)0.0118
325. MD Eastrn Shore (2-26)0.0114
326. Alabama A&M (16-14)0.0114
327. Stephen Austin (9-15)0.0110
328. St Francis NY (13-15)0.0093
329. Texas Southern (10-15)0.0088
330. Southern (12-15)0.0082
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