NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

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  Printable NCAA Bracket
2008 Printable NCAA Tournament Bracket

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Games against non-D1 teams not considered in power rankings or predictions.

Difficulty of Schedule for the #15 team

By division
Last Updated Thu Aug 18 11:16:33 EDT 2005

Home Advantage = 3.8097

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
1. Georgia Tech (20-12)0.3580
2. Virginia (14-15)0.3451
3. Purdue (7-21)0.3408
4. North Carolina St (21-14)0.3397
5. North Carolina (33-4)0.3370
6. Florida St (11-19)0.3269
7. Duke (27-6)0.3250
8. Wake Forest (27-6)0.3214
9. Clemson (16-16)0.3189
10. Wisconsin (25-9)0.3181

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
11. West Virginia (24-11)0.3090
12. Iowa (21-12)0.3057
13. Kansas (23-7)0.2992
14. Indiana (15-14)0.2982
15. Michigan St (26-7)0.2972
16. Providence (13-17)0.2972
17. Oklahoma St (25-7)0.2968
18. Texas Tech (22-11)0.2966
19. Illinois (37-2)0.2962
20. Miami Fla (16-13)0.2953

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
21. Washington St (12-16)0.2943
22. Kentucky (28-6)0.2941
23. Washington (28-6)0.2941
24. Rutgers (9-19)0.2928
25. Tennessee (14-17)0.2928
26. Arizona (30-7)0.2870
27. Maryland (19-13)0.2862
28. Northwestern (15-16)0.2840
29. Stanford (18-13)0.2838
30. St Johns (9-18)0.2820

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
31. Penn St (6-23)0.2799
32. Ohio St (20-12)0.2791
33. Colorado (13-16)0.2787
34. Connecticut (23-8)0.2786
35. Virginia Tech (16-14)0.2778
36. Oregon (14-13)0.2774
37. Villanova (24-8)0.2754
38. UCLA (18-11)0.2748
39. Pittsburgh (20-9)0.2723
40. Iowa St (19-12)0.2714

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
41. Missouri (16-17)0.2706
42. Oklahoma (25-8)0.2690
43. Florida (24-8)0.2689
44. Michigan (13-18)0.2676
45. USC (12-17)0.2675
46. Georgetown (19-13)0.2671
47. Georgia (8-20)0.2666
48. Texas (19-11)0.2656
49. Minnesota (21-11)0.2647
50. Alabama (23-8)0.2628

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
51. Seton Hall (12-16)0.2618
52. Notre Dame (17-12)0.2592
53. Baylor (8-19)0.2582
54. Louisville (31-5)0.2576
55. Mississippi St (23-11)0.2567
56. LSU (20-10)0.2560
57. California (13-16)0.2556
58. Kansas St (15-12)0.2556
59. South Carolina (20-13)0.2521
60. Arizona St (18-14)0.2506

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
61. Syracuse (27-7)0.2501
62. Mississippi (14-17)0.2479
63. Nebraska (14-14)0.2455
64. Oregon St (17-15)0.2450
65. Vanderbilt (20-14)0.2449
66. Boston College (25-5)0.2405
67. BYU (7-21)0.2393
68. Texas AM (19-10)0.2378
69. Cincinnati (25-8)0.2368
70. Auburn (14-17)0.2350

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
71. Arkansas (18-12)0.2313
72. East Carolina (7-19)0.2301
73. St Louis (9-21)0.2254
74. TCU (20-14)0.2242
75. Uab (22-11)0.2238
76. Unlv (16-14)0.2211
77. San Diego St (9-18)0.2204
78. Northern Colorado (4-21)0.2163
79. Houston (18-14)0.2139
80. Northern Iowa (20-11)0.2089

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
81. Memphis (22-16)0.2089
82. Wyoming (15-13)0.2083
83. Utah (27-6)0.2081
84. Temple (16-14)0.2067
85. Charlotte (21-8)0.2048
86. Gonzaga (26-5)0.2029
87. South Florida (13-16)0.2011
88. Santa Clara (14-16)0.2002
89. Marquette (18-12)0.1997
90. Indiana St (11-20)0.1993

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
91. Colorado St (9-17)0.1990
92. Southern Ill (26-8)0.1971
93. San Diego (14-13)0.1968
94. Air Force (17-12)0.1966
95. Marshall (6-22)0.1965
96. San Francisco (17-14)0.1964
97. SW Missouri St (19-13)0.1958
98. Loyola Marymnt (11-17)0.1950
99. DePaul (20-11)0.1940
100. Richmond (14-15)0.1933

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
101. Tulane (9-18)0.1898
102. Creighton (23-11)0.1895
103. Kent (18-13)0.1889
104. SO Mississippi (8-17)0.1874
105. Oakland (12-19)0.1868
106. St Josephs (24-12)0.1863
107. Bradley (13-15)0.1846
108. St Marys CA (23-9)0.1836
109. Drake (13-16)0.1835
110. Wichita St (22-10)0.1834

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
111. Wisc Milwaukee (24-6)0.1831
112. Ul Lafayette (19-11)0.1823
113. Illinois St (16-13)0.1801
114. Miami Ohio (18-11)0.1744
115. Duquesne (8-22)0.1733
116. Rice (17-12)0.1705
117. Evansville (11-17)0.1695
118. Toledo (15-13)0.1694
119. Arkansas Lr (15-10)0.1689
120. Pepperdine (16-14)0.1685

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
121. Northern Ill (11-17)0.1683
122. Loyola Chi (12-17)0.1681
123. Portland (14-15)0.1678
124. Geo Washington (22-8)0.1675
125. Central Mich (8-18)0.1675
126. Bucknell (23-10)0.1664
127. Pacific (27-4)0.1657
128. Tennessee St (12-16)0.1653
129. Nevada (24-7)0.1651
130. Ball St (14-13)0.1648

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
131. New Mexico (25-7)0.1646
132. Vermont (25-7)0.1628
133. Western Mich (19-13)0.1623
134. Buffalo (23-10)0.1605
135. La Salle (10-19)0.1597
136. CS Northridge (17-13)0.1581
137. Cleveland St (7-17)0.1574
138. Ohio (21-11)0.1573
139. New Orleans (12-17)0.1571
140. SMU (13-14)0.1569

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
141. Xavier (17-12)0.1567
142. Coppin St (14-15)0.1556
143. Illinois Chi (13-13)0.1540
144. Detroit (13-16)0.1538
145. UC Santa Barbara (11-18)0.1507
146. Akron (18-10)0.1494
147. Wisc Green Bay (16-11)0.1486
148. Valparaiso (15-16)0.1485
149. San Jose St (6-23)0.1473
150. Idaho (7-21)0.1467

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
151. Long Beach St (10-20)0.1453
152. Princeton (14-13)0.1447
153. Fordham (13-16)0.1443
154. NC Greensboro (15-12)0.1442
155. Chicago St (9-19)0.1436
156. CS Fullerton (20-11)0.1435
157. William & Mary (8-21)0.1435
158. South Alabama (7-18)0.1430
159. Texas El Paso (25-8)0.1426
160. Massachusetts (16-12)0.1426

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
161. Davidson (20-9)0.1426
162. Bowling Green (17-11)0.1423
163. St Bonaventure (2-26)0.1420
164. Drexel (17-12)0.1406
165. Wright St (15-15)0.1401
166. Eastern Wash (7-20)0.1400
167. Eastern Mich (10-18)0.1400
168. Utah St (24-8)0.1397
169. Westrn Carolina (5-22)0.1391
170. New Mexico St (4-24)0.1389

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
171. Florida Intl (12-17)0.1380
172. New Hampshire (8-19)0.1376
173. Louisiana Tech (14-15)0.1372
174. Tulsa (9-20)0.1355
175. Pennsylvania (20-9)0.1352
176. Lafayette (8-19)0.1341
177. Cal Poly (4-22)0.1339
178. NC Asheville (9-17)0.1328
179. Longwood (1-29)0.1325
180. Rhode Island (6-22)0.1322

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
181. Fresno St (15-14)0.1316
182. Hawaii (16-13)0.1315
183. James Madison (6-22)0.1315
184. Centenary (2-24)0.1314
185. UC Irvine (15-13)0.1305
186. Northwestern St (17-12)0.1300
187. Chattanooga (17-11)0.1298
188. UC Davis (10-17)0.1291
189. Northeastern (21-10)0.1283
190. UC Riverside (8-19)0.1280

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
191. Eastern KY (19-9)0.1278
192. Dayton (18-11)0.1270
193. Elon (7-22)0.1261
194. Boise St (15-18)0.1258
195. Morehead St (8-16)0.1257
196. Delaware St (19-14)0.1256
197. VA Commonwealth (19-13)0.1252
198. Hofstra (21-9)0.1248
199. Western Ill (9-17)0.1242
200. Denver (18-11)0.1241

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
201. Florida A&M (14-15)0.1234
202. Yale (11-16)0.1233
203. Middle Tenn St (17-12)0.1228
204. Georgia St (13-15)0.1228
205. Albany NY (13-15)0.1221
206. Furman (12-13)0.1219
207. Butler (11-15)0.1211
208. IPFW (6-22)0.1206
209. North Texas (12-14)0.1205
210. East Tenn St (7-19)0.1201

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
211. TX Pan American (8-16)0.1197
212. Arkansas St (13-13)0.1194
213. Delaware (11-20)0.1188
214. Iupui (14-13)0.1186
215. Old Dominion (27-6)0.1179
216. Holy Cross (25-7)0.1175
217. Youngstown St (3-23)0.1172
218. Boston U (20-9)0.1166
219. Western KY (21-9)0.1162
220. Montana (16-13)0.1159

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
221. NC Wilmington (19-10)0.1154
222. George Mason (16-13)0.1152
223. Maine (13-15)0.1150
224. Binghamton (12-17)0.1149
225. Austin Peay (13-19)0.1139
226. Manhattan (13-14)0.1134
227. Wofford (10-14)0.1125
228. American (16-12)0.1114
229. Murray St (15-11)0.1107
230. Umbc (10-18)0.1088

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
231. Geo Southern (14-13)0.1087
232. Colgate (10-16)0.1081
233. Oral Roberts (24-8)0.1081
234. Towson (5-24)0.1077
235. Sam Houston (14-12)0.1076
236. Dartmouth (9-17)0.1066
237. NO Carolina A&T (6-24)0.1061
238. Appalachian St (15-12)0.1055
239. Texas A&M-CC (16-8)0.1046
240. Stony Brook (12-17)0.1045

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
241. Mo Kansas City (14-12)0.1043
242. Tenn Martin (4-21)0.1037
243. Campbell (2-25)0.1024
244. Eastern Ill (11-16)0.1018
245. Army (1-24)0.1007
246. The Citadel (8-16)0.1000
247. Nicholls St (3-21)0.0997
248. Southern Utah (11-15)0.0995
249. Niagara (20-10)0.0990
250. Fla Atlantic (10-17)0.0986

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
251. Stetson (9-17)0.0977
252. McNeese St (9-15)0.0962
253. Liberty (12-15)0.0960
254. SE Missouri St (11-14)0.0949
255. Charleston Sou (12-16)0.0937
256. Cornell (12-14)0.0936
257. Hartford (8-20)0.0931
258. Tex San Antonio (12-13)0.0907
259. Texas Arlington (9-15)0.0906
260. Iona (15-16)0.0897

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
261. Tennessee Tech (15-11)0.0894
262. Troy St (11-18)0.0893
263. Fair Dickinson (19-13)0.0887
264. Fairfield (15-15)0.0883
265. Weber St (13-16)0.0880
266. SE Louisiana (19-9)0.0877
267. Lehigh (13-15)0.0875
268. Jacksonville St (4-22)0.0873
269. Navy (8-18)0.0870
270. Coast Carolina (8-18)0.0861

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
271. Ul Monroe (5-19)0.0858
272. Harvard (12-15)0.0855
273. Siena (6-24)0.0854
274. Northrn Arizona (9-17)0.0852
275. Marist (11-17)0.0849
276. High Point (11-17)0.0848
277. Winthrop (24-6)0.0845
278. Brown (12-16)0.0838
279. Radford (10-16)0.0835
280. Sacred Heart (4-23)0.0815

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
281. St Peters (15-13)0.0796
282. Samford (13-13)0.0789
283. SW Texas St (10-14)0.0787
284. Robert Morris (13-15)0.0780
285. St Francis PA (14-13)0.0769
286. Belmont (14-16)0.0768
287. Columbia (12-15)0.0758
288. Ark Pine Bluff (5-21)0.0754
289. Coll Of Charltn (18-10)0.0753
290. Sacramento St (10-16)0.0749

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
291. Loyola MD (6-22)0.0748
292. Portland St (17-9)0.0745
293. Birmingham Southern (15-14)0.0724
294. Wagner (13-17)0.0721
295. Central Conn (12-16)0.0721
296. Mercer (14-12)0.0712
297. Lamar (14-11)0.0712
298. Canisius (11-18)0.0706
299. Rider (18-11)0.0703
300. Central Florida (21-9)0.0700

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
301. Gardner-Webb (16-12)0.0692
302. Howard (5-23)0.0685
303. Jacksonville (14-13)0.0681
304. Quinnipiac (9-17)0.0680
305. Monmouth NJ (16-13)0.0672
306. Norfolk St (13-14)0.0661
307. Hampton (17-13)0.0656
308. Montana St (12-14)0.0653
309. Lipscomb (14-12)0.0647
310. Prairie View (5-23)0.0637

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
311. Liu Brooklyn (13-15)0.0626
312. Utah Valley St (14-12)0.0625
313. Jackson St (14-17)0.0618
314. Morgan St (14-16)0.0616
315. VMI (7-18)0.0615
316. Savannah St (0-28)0.0614
317. Idaho St (7-18)0.0607
318. SO Carolina St (19-12)0.0581
319. Mt St Marys (7-20)0.0576
320. Bethune Cookman (13-17)0.0554

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
321. Stephen Austin (9-15)0.0539
322. Alabama St (15-15)0.0525
323. Grambling (12-12)0.0522
324. Alcorn St (6-22)0.0499
325. St Francis NY (13-15)0.0498
326. Miss Valley St (13-15)0.0495
327. MD Eastrn Shore (2-26)0.0491
328. Alabama A&M (16-14)0.0416
329. Southern (12-15)0.0354
330. Texas Southern (10-15)0.0345
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