NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

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  Printable NCAA Bracket
2008 Printable NCAA Tournament Bracket

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Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)
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Games against non-D1 teams not considered in power rankings or predictions.

Difficulty of Schedule for the #45 team

By division
Last Updated Thu Aug 18 11:16:37 EDT 2005

Home Advantage = 3.8097

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
1. Georgia Tech (20-12)0.4954
2. Purdue (7-21)0.4944
3. North Carolina (33-4)0.4941
4. Virginia (14-15)0.4897
5. North Carolina St (21-14)0.4850
6. Florida St (11-19)0.4807
7. Duke (27-6)0.4795
8. Wake Forest (27-6)0.4725
9. Rutgers (9-19)0.4644
10. Wisconsin (25-9)0.4640

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
11. Clemson (16-16)0.4637
12. Kansas (23-7)0.4629
13. Texas Tech (22-11)0.4610
14. Washington St (12-16)0.4606
15. Oklahoma St (25-7)0.4580
16. West Virginia (24-11)0.4549
17. Washington (28-6)0.4547
18. Providence (13-17)0.4512
19. Arizona (30-7)0.4429
20. Kentucky (28-6)0.4419

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
21. Iowa (21-12)0.4407
22. Indiana (15-14)0.4403
23. Illinois (37-2)0.4401
24. St Johns (9-18)0.4395
25. Tennessee (14-17)0.4359
26. Stanford (18-13)0.4358
27. Villanova (24-8)0.4349
28. Michigan St (26-7)0.4343
29. Colorado (13-16)0.4320
30. Miami Fla (16-13)0.4314

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
31. Connecticut (23-8)0.4305
32. UCLA (18-11)0.4274
33. Oregon (14-13)0.4257
34. Missouri (16-17)0.4247
35. Penn St (6-23)0.4235
36. Virginia Tech (16-14)0.4233
37. Maryland (19-13)0.4222
38. Iowa St (19-12)0.4189
39. Florida (24-8)0.4185
40. Oklahoma (25-8)0.4184

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
41. USC (12-17)0.4140
42. Georgia (8-20)0.4134
43. Alabama (23-8)0.4092
44. Ohio St (20-12)0.4059
45. Pittsburgh (20-9)0.4057
46. Northwestern (15-16)0.4046
47. Louisville (31-5)0.4035
48. LSU (20-10)0.4030
49. Seton Hall (12-16)0.4024
50. Texas (19-11)0.4022

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
51. Georgetown (19-13)0.4015
52. Kansas St (15-12)0.4013
53. Baylor (8-19)0.4002
54. Notre Dame (17-12)0.3994
55. California (13-16)0.3992
56. Michigan (13-18)0.3981
57. Mississippi St (23-11)0.3978
58. Minnesota (21-11)0.3955
59. Arizona St (18-14)0.3944
60. Mississippi (14-17)0.3939

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
61. Nebraska (14-14)0.3893
62. Boston College (25-5)0.3892
63. South Carolina (20-13)0.3886
64. Vanderbilt (20-14)0.3886
65. BYU (7-21)0.3872
66. Syracuse (27-7)0.3871
67. Oregon St (17-15)0.3851
68. Auburn (14-17)0.3780
69. East Carolina (7-19)0.3769
70. Cincinnati (25-8)0.3684

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
71. Texas AM (19-10)0.3672
72. Unlv (16-14)0.3645
73. St Louis (9-21)0.3593
74. San Diego St (9-18)0.3578
75. TCU (20-14)0.3575
76. Arkansas (18-12)0.3563
77. Uab (22-11)0.3537
78. Marshall (6-22)0.3503
79. Houston (18-14)0.3486
80. Northern Iowa (20-11)0.3444

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
81. Indiana St (11-20)0.3439
82. Memphis (22-16)0.3434
83. Southern Ill (26-8)0.3426
84. Gonzaga (26-5)0.3369
85. Charlotte (21-8)0.3359
86. Temple (16-14)0.3350
87. South Florida (13-16)0.3342
88. Wyoming (15-13)0.3338
89. Utah (27-6)0.3328
90. SW Missouri St (19-13)0.3323

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
91. DePaul (20-11)0.3309
92. Creighton (23-11)0.3300
93. Colorado St (9-17)0.3299
94. Kent (18-13)0.3284
95. Loyola Marymnt (11-17)0.3282
96. San Francisco (17-14)0.3241
97. Marquette (18-12)0.3238
98. Bradley (13-15)0.3229
99. Wichita St (22-10)0.3207
100. Santa Clara (14-16)0.3207

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
101. Air Force (17-12)0.3186
102. San Diego (14-13)0.3186
103. Drake (13-16)0.3180
104. St Josephs (24-12)0.3157
105. Northern Colorado (4-21)0.3148
106. Illinois St (16-13)0.3148
107. Miami Ohio (18-11)0.3146
108. Tulane (9-18)0.3139
109. St Marys CA (23-9)0.3134
110. SO Mississippi (8-17)0.3130

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
111. Richmond (14-15)0.3113
112. Northern Ill (11-17)0.3050
113. Central Mich (8-18)0.3013
114. Evansville (11-17)0.2964
115. Western Mich (19-13)0.2957
116. Toledo (15-13)0.2952
117. Ball St (14-13)0.2942
118. Ul Lafayette (19-11)0.2941
119. Pepperdine (16-14)0.2920
120. Portland (14-15)0.2914

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
121. Oakland (12-19)0.2893
122. Duquesne (8-22)0.2889
123. Wisc Milwaukee (24-6)0.2877
124. Rice (17-12)0.2869
125. Buffalo (23-10)0.2867
126. Ohio (21-11)0.2832
127. Arkansas Lr (15-10)0.2809
128. Pacific (27-4)0.2769
129. La Salle (10-19)0.2768
130. Geo Washington (22-8)0.2766

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
131. Akron (18-10)0.2757
132. Loyola Chi (12-17)0.2746
133. SMU (13-14)0.2738
134. New Mexico (25-7)0.2730
135. Nevada (24-7)0.2728
136. Xavier (17-12)0.2718
137. New Orleans (12-17)0.2684
138. San Jose St (6-23)0.2675
139. Tennessee St (12-16)0.2654
140. Bowling Green (17-11)0.2650

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
141. Bucknell (23-10)0.2649
142. CS Northridge (17-13)0.2648
143. Eastern Mich (10-18)0.2606
144. Cleveland St (7-17)0.2606
145. Detroit (13-16)0.2602
146. South Alabama (7-18)0.2598
147. Illinois Chi (13-13)0.2596
148. UC Santa Barbara (11-18)0.2562
149. CS Fullerton (20-11)0.2553
150. Massachusetts (16-12)0.2543

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
151. Vermont (25-7)0.2538
152. New Mexico St (4-24)0.2532
153. Davidson (20-9)0.2519
154. Long Beach St (10-20)0.2516
155. St Bonaventure (2-26)0.2510
156. Fordham (13-16)0.2500
157. Idaho (7-21)0.2500
158. Louisiana Tech (14-15)0.2493
159. Florida Intl (12-17)0.2482
160. Drexel (17-12)0.2469

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
161. Texas El Paso (25-8)0.2465
162. Rhode Island (6-22)0.2450
163. Tulsa (9-20)0.2437
164. Wisc Green Bay (16-11)0.2430
165. Princeton (14-13)0.2421
166. Chicago St (9-19)0.2418
167. Hawaii (16-13)0.2415
168. Fresno St (15-14)0.2413
169. Valparaiso (15-16)0.2405
170. Utah St (24-8)0.2389

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
171. Cal Poly (4-22)0.2386
172. Wright St (15-15)0.2377
173. Denver (18-11)0.2342
174. Dayton (18-11)0.2338
175. NC Greensboro (15-12)0.2333
176. Westrn Carolina (5-22)0.2328
177. Centenary (2-24)0.2303
178. William & Mary (8-21)0.2302
179. New Hampshire (8-19)0.2299
180. Boise St (15-18)0.2288

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
181. UC Riverside (8-19)0.2288
182. Coppin St (14-15)0.2287
183. UC Irvine (15-13)0.2275
184. Pennsylvania (20-9)0.2273
185. Eastern Wash (7-20)0.2271
186. Lafayette (8-19)0.2261
187. Arkansas St (13-13)0.2253
188. James Madison (6-22)0.2251
189. Western Ill (9-17)0.2248
190. Northeastern (21-10)0.2247

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
191. UC Davis (10-17)0.2246
192. Chattanooga (17-11)0.2243
193. IPFW (6-22)0.2243
194. Furman (12-13)0.2240
195. Western KY (21-9)0.2223
196. Middle Tenn St (17-12)0.2215
197. VA Commonwealth (19-13)0.2214
198. Butler (11-15)0.2203
199. Hofstra (21-9)0.2195
200. Elon (7-22)0.2194

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
201. East Tenn St (7-19)0.2180
202. NC Asheville (9-17)0.2171
203. North Texas (12-14)0.2166
204. Delaware (11-20)0.2163
205. Youngstown St (3-23)0.2151
206. Wofford (10-14)0.2132
207. Iupui (14-13)0.2103
208. Yale (11-16)0.2098
209. TX Pan American (8-16)0.2093
210. Old Dominion (27-6)0.2091

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
211. Boston U (20-9)0.2072
212. George Mason (16-13)0.2071
213. American (16-12)0.2067
214. Maine (13-15)0.2063
215. Binghamton (12-17)0.2060
216. Georgia St (13-15)0.2057
217. Holy Cross (25-7)0.2057
218. Austin Peay (13-19)0.2052
219. Oral Roberts (24-8)0.2042
220. Longwood (1-29)0.2036

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
221. Albany NY (13-15)0.2035
222. Northwestern St (17-12)0.2032
223. Eastern KY (19-9)0.2017
224. Murray St (15-11)0.2013
225. Towson (5-24)0.1995
226. NC Wilmington (19-10)0.1989
227. Dartmouth (9-17)0.1986
228. Morehead St (8-16)0.1984
229. Geo Southern (14-13)0.1971
230. Montana (16-13)0.1969

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
231. Appalachian St (15-12)0.1967
232. Colgate (10-16)0.1952
233. Mo Kansas City (14-12)0.1952
234. Manhattan (13-14)0.1932
235. Eastern Ill (11-16)0.1925
236. Delaware St (19-14)0.1925
237. Umbc (10-18)0.1921
238. Army (1-24)0.1913
239. The Citadel (8-16)0.1898
240. Tenn Martin (4-21)0.1883

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
241. Stony Brook (12-17)0.1882
242. SE Missouri St (11-14)0.1860
243. Niagara (20-10)0.1856
244. Southern Utah (11-15)0.1833
245. Texas A&M-CC (16-8)0.1817
246. Sam Houston (14-12)0.1816
247. McNeese St (9-15)0.1801
248. Hartford (8-20)0.1793
249. Stetson (9-17)0.1791
250. Campbell (2-25)0.1777

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
251. Fla Atlantic (10-17)0.1775
252. Liberty (12-15)0.1752
253. Florida A&M (14-15)0.1741
254. Jacksonville St (4-22)0.1736
255. Nicholls St (3-21)0.1733
256. Charleston Sou (12-16)0.1731
257. Cornell (12-14)0.1726
258. Texas Arlington (9-15)0.1722
259. Tex San Antonio (12-13)0.1721
260. Troy St (11-18)0.1715

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
261. Harvard (12-15)0.1710
262. Fairfield (15-15)0.1708
263. Siena (6-24)0.1708
264. Iona (15-16)0.1704
265. Coast Carolina (8-18)0.1698
266. Lehigh (13-15)0.1691
267. Navy (8-18)0.1688
268. Brown (12-16)0.1676
269. Ul Monroe (5-19)0.1663
270. NO Carolina A&T (6-24)0.1660

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
271. Tennessee Tech (15-11)0.1640
272. Marist (11-17)0.1631
273. Weber St (13-16)0.1619
274. SE Louisiana (19-9)0.1611
275. Samford (13-13)0.1578
276. Winthrop (24-6)0.1573
277. High Point (11-17)0.1566
278. Northrn Arizona (9-17)0.1565
279. Radford (10-16)0.1544
280. Coll Of Charltn (18-10)0.1536

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
281. Belmont (14-16)0.1536
282. St Peters (15-13)0.1532
283. SW Texas St (10-14)0.1529
284. Fair Dickinson (19-13)0.1516
285. Columbia (12-15)0.1516
286. Sacramento St (10-16)0.1506
287. Lamar (14-11)0.1464
288. Birmingham Southern (15-14)0.1457
289. Loyola MD (6-22)0.1456
290. Rider (18-11)0.1454

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
291. Robert Morris (13-15)0.1453
292. Gardner-Webb (16-12)0.1439
293. Canisius (11-18)0.1437
294. Wagner (13-17)0.1420
295. St Francis PA (14-13)0.1417
296. Central Florida (21-9)0.1391
297. Mercer (14-12)0.1380
298. Ark Pine Bluff (5-21)0.1369
299. Sacred Heart (4-23)0.1368
300. Montana St (12-14)0.1366

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
301. Jacksonville (14-13)0.1359
302. Portland St (17-9)0.1335
303. Central Conn (12-16)0.1334
304. Idaho St (7-18)0.1304
305. Savannah St (0-28)0.1300
306. Lipscomb (14-12)0.1288
307. Utah Valley St (14-12)0.1285
308. Hampton (17-13)0.1282
309. Norfolk St (13-14)0.1273
310. Howard (5-23)0.1264

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
311. VMI (7-18)0.1261
312. Monmouth NJ (16-13)0.1261
313. Quinnipiac (9-17)0.1260
314. Morgan St (14-16)0.1205
315. Liu Brooklyn (13-15)0.1198
316. Prairie View (5-23)0.1173
317. Mt St Marys (7-20)0.1159
318. Stephen Austin (9-15)0.1148
319. SO Carolina St (19-12)0.1130
320. Bethune Cookman (13-17)0.1125

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
321. Jackson St (14-17)0.1096
322. St Francis NY (13-15)0.1073
323. MD Eastrn Shore (2-26)0.1047
324. Grambling (12-12)0.0996
325. Alcorn St (6-22)0.0990
326. Alabama St (15-15)0.0972
327. Miss Valley St (13-15)0.0954
328. Alabama A&M (16-14)0.0832
329. Southern (12-15)0.0765
330. Texas Southern (10-15)0.0747
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