NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

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  Printable NCAA Bracket
2008 Printable NCAA Tournament Bracket

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Games against non-D1 teams not considered in power rankings or predictions.

Difficulty of Schedule for the #100 team

By division
Last Updated Thu Aug 18 11:16:42 EDT 2005

Home Advantage = 3.8097

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
1. North Carolina (33-4)0.6169
2. Purdue (7-21)0.6108
3. Virginia (14-15)0.6096
4. Kansas (23-7)0.6096
5. Georgia Tech (20-12)0.6058
6. Duke (27-6)0.6028
7. Florida St (11-19)0.5988
8. Rutgers (9-19)0.5984
9. Washington St (12-16)0.5974
10. North Carolina St (21-14)0.5964

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
11. Oklahoma St (25-7)0.5922
12. Wake Forest (27-6)0.5919
13. Wisconsin (25-9)0.5919
14. Washington (28-6)0.5852
15. Clemson (16-16)0.5809
16. Texas Tech (22-11)0.5769
17. Arizona (30-7)0.5753
18. Providence (13-17)0.5739
19. Stanford (18-13)0.5697
20. West Virginia (24-11)0.5690

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
21. St Johns (9-18)0.5680
22. Villanova (24-8)0.5676
23. Indiana (15-14)0.5640
24. Colorado (13-16)0.5627
25. Kentucky (28-6)0.5612
26. Illinois (37-2)0.5599
27. Tennessee (14-17)0.5570
28. Iowa (21-12)0.5570
29. Connecticut (23-8)0.5557
30. Oregon (14-13)0.5548

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
31. Missouri (16-17)0.5546
32. Penn St (6-23)0.5535
33. UCLA (18-11)0.5526
34. Michigan St (26-7)0.5513
35. Miami Fla (16-13)0.5457
36. USC (12-17)0.5415
37. Florida (24-8)0.5409
38. Maryland (19-13)0.5405
39. LSU (20-10)0.5397
40. Georgia (8-20)0.5384

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
41. Virginia Tech (16-14)0.5363
42. Oklahoma (25-8)0.5360
43. Iowa St (19-12)0.5345
44. Alabama (23-8)0.5284
45. California (13-16)0.5255
46. Seton Hall (12-16)0.5237
47. Louisville (31-5)0.5235
48. Boston College (25-5)0.5233
49. Texas (19-11)0.5228
50. Mississippi St (23-11)0.5222

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
51. Kansas St (15-12)0.5215
52. BYU (7-21)0.5204
53. Arizona St (18-14)0.5192
54. Pittsburgh (20-9)0.5183
55. Notre Dame (17-12)0.5172
56. Mississippi (14-17)0.5166
57. Georgetown (19-13)0.5157
58. Nebraska (14-14)0.5139
59. Michigan (13-18)0.5120
60. Vanderbilt (20-14)0.5119

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
61. Baylor (8-19)0.5109
62. Northwestern (15-16)0.5100
63. Ohio St (20-12)0.5096
64. Minnesota (21-11)0.5094
65. Auburn (14-17)0.5092
66. East Carolina (7-19)0.5085
67. South Carolina (20-13)0.5075
68. Syracuse (27-7)0.5050
69. Oregon St (17-15)0.5048
70. Unlv (16-14)0.4946

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
71. Marshall (6-22)0.4931
72. San Diego St (9-18)0.4877
73. Cincinnati (25-8)0.4868
74. Southern Ill (26-8)0.4846
75. St Louis (9-21)0.4833
76. Texas AM (19-10)0.4828
77. Uab (22-11)0.4787
78. Indiana St (11-20)0.4768
79. Northern Iowa (20-11)0.4747
80. TCU (20-14)0.4736

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
81. Houston (18-14)0.4690
82. Creighton (23-11)0.4666
83. Arkansas (18-12)0.4662
84. SW Missouri St (19-13)0.4659
85. Memphis (22-16)0.4647
86. Gonzaga (26-5)0.4644
87. Bradley (13-15)0.4582
88. Kent (18-13)0.4580
89. Colorado St (9-17)0.4557
90. DePaul (20-11)0.4555

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
91. Charlotte (21-8)0.4552
92. Miami Ohio (18-11)0.4538
93. South Florida (13-16)0.4532
94. Wyoming (15-13)0.4528
95. Loyola Marymnt (11-17)0.4525
96. Temple (16-14)0.4520
97. Wichita St (22-10)0.4519
98. Utah (27-6)0.4489
99. San Francisco (17-14)0.4487
100. Drake (13-16)0.4476

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
101. Illinois St (16-13)0.4476
102. St Marys CA (23-9)0.4456
103. San Diego (14-13)0.4418
104. Marquette (18-12)0.4404
105. St Josephs (24-12)0.4401
106. Santa Clara (14-16)0.4399
107. Northern Ill (11-17)0.4350
108. Western Mich (19-13)0.4311
109. Tulane (9-18)0.4299
110. Central Mich (8-18)0.4293

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
111. Air Force (17-12)0.4286
112. Richmond (14-15)0.4266
113. Ball St (14-13)0.4258
114. Toledo (15-13)0.4253
115. SO Mississippi (8-17)0.4247
116. Evansville (11-17)0.4221
117. Portland (14-15)0.4191
118. Pepperdine (16-14)0.4177
119. Ohio (21-11)0.4143
120. Buffalo (23-10)0.4132

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
121. Akron (18-10)0.4044
122. Ul Lafayette (19-11)0.4041
123. Rice (17-12)0.4027
124. Duquesne (8-22)0.4003
125. Northern Colorado (4-21)0.3978
126. La Salle (10-19)0.3967
127. San Jose St (6-23)0.3965
128. Bowling Green (17-11)0.3952
129. Arkansas Lr (15-10)0.3948
130. Wisc Milwaukee (24-6)0.3939

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
131. Oakland (12-19)0.3902
132. SMU (13-14)0.3894
133. Xavier (17-12)0.3887
134. Loyola Chi (12-17)0.3872
135. Nevada (24-7)0.3871
136. Geo Washington (22-8)0.3863
137. Pacific (27-4)0.3853
138. Eastern Mich (10-18)0.3848
139. New Orleans (12-17)0.3820
140. South Alabama (7-18)0.3780

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
141. New Mexico St (4-24)0.3762
142. Cleveland St (7-17)0.3750
143. Detroit (13-16)0.3736
144. Illinois Chi (13-13)0.3727
145. New Mexico (25-7)0.3726
146. Florida Intl (12-17)0.3722
147. UC Santa Barbara (11-18)0.3676
148. CS Fullerton (20-11)0.3661
149. Rhode Island (6-22)0.3656
150. Louisiana Tech (14-15)0.3655

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
151. St Bonaventure (2-26)0.3654
152. CS Northridge (17-13)0.3643
153. Tennessee St (12-16)0.3643
154. Davidson (20-9)0.3642
155. Hawaii (16-13)0.3633
156. Fresno St (15-14)0.3602
157. Massachusetts (16-12)0.3600
158. Long Beach St (10-20)0.3586
159. Idaho (7-21)0.3585
160. Fordham (13-16)0.3570

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
161. Drexel (17-12)0.3564
162. Tulsa (9-20)0.3562
163. Denver (18-11)0.3560
164. Texas El Paso (25-8)0.3555
165. Cal Poly (4-22)0.3481
166. Bucknell (23-10)0.3474
167. Wright St (15-15)0.3457
168. Arkansas St (13-13)0.3453
169. Dayton (18-11)0.3436
170. Wisc Green Bay (16-11)0.3433

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
171. Vermont (25-7)0.3426
172. Chicago St (9-19)0.3407
173. Princeton (14-13)0.3401
174. Utah St (24-8)0.3397
175. Boise St (15-18)0.3384
176. Valparaiso (15-16)0.3371
177. Western KY (21-9)0.3369
178. IPFW (6-22)0.3332
179. UC Riverside (8-19)0.3331
180. Butler (11-15)0.3329

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
181. Centenary (2-24)0.3307
182. Westrn Carolina (5-22)0.3306
183. NC Greensboro (15-12)0.3303
184. Middle Tenn St (17-12)0.3303
185. Elon (7-22)0.3300
186. UC Irvine (15-13)0.3283
187. Furman (12-13)0.3268
188. William & Mary (8-21)0.3267
189. VA Commonwealth (19-13)0.3266
190. Youngstown St (3-23)0.3253

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
191. Pennsylvania (20-9)0.3249
192. Western Ill (9-17)0.3243
193. New Hampshire (8-19)0.3234
194. UC Davis (10-17)0.3225
195. James Madison (6-22)0.3223
196. Delaware (11-20)0.3213
197. East Tenn St (7-19)0.3203
198. North Texas (12-14)0.3197
199. Hofstra (21-9)0.3192
200. Northeastern (21-10)0.3191

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
201. Eastern Wash (7-20)0.3184
202. Lafayette (8-19)0.3182
203. Wofford (10-14)0.3167
204. Chattanooga (17-11)0.3156
205. Iupui (14-13)0.3119
206. Binghamton (12-17)0.3113
207. Old Dominion (27-6)0.3098
208. Austin Peay (13-19)0.3082
209. Maine (13-15)0.3066
210. Yale (11-16)0.3061

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
211. George Mason (16-13)0.3051
212. Oral Roberts (24-8)0.3049
213. Boston U (20-9)0.3044
214. American (16-12)0.3032
215. NC Asheville (9-17)0.2974
216. SE Missouri St (11-14)0.2972
217. TX Pan American (8-16)0.2971
218. Towson (5-24)0.2965
219. Murray St (15-11)0.2945
220. Coppin St (14-15)0.2941

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
221. NC Wilmington (19-10)0.2937
222. Holy Cross (25-7)0.2926
223. Geo Southern (14-13)0.2924
224. Albany NY (13-15)0.2919
225. Eastern Ill (11-16)0.2916
226. Tenn Martin (4-21)0.2910
227. Mo Kansas City (14-12)0.2910
228. Dartmouth (9-17)0.2907
229. Georgia St (13-15)0.2893
230. Appalachian St (15-12)0.2871

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
231. The Citadel (8-16)0.2848
232. Colgate (10-16)0.2842
233. Stony Brook (12-17)0.2830
234. Northwestern St (17-12)0.2819
235. Eastern KY (19-9)0.2817
236. Umbc (10-18)0.2815
237. Manhattan (13-14)0.2813
238. Montana (16-13)0.2802
239. Southern Utah (11-15)0.2802
240. Army (1-24)0.2798

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
241. Morehead St (8-16)0.2795
242. McNeese St (9-15)0.2765
243. Hartford (8-20)0.2755
244. Longwood (1-29)0.2735
245. Niagara (20-10)0.2730
246. Jacksonville St (4-22)0.2721
247. Siena (6-24)0.2719
248. Stetson (9-17)0.2715
249. Sam Houston (14-12)0.2679
250. Harvard (12-15)0.2674

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
251. Texas Arlington (9-15)0.2651
252. Troy St (11-18)0.2650
253. Coast Carolina (8-18)0.2637
254. Campbell (2-25)0.2632
255. Cornell (12-14)0.2629
256. Texas A&M-CC (16-8)0.2624
257. Fairfield (15-15)0.2623
258. Delaware St (19-14)0.2618
259. Brown (12-16)0.2615
260. Fla Atlantic (10-17)0.2607

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
261. Tex San Antonio (12-13)0.2583
262. Liberty (12-15)0.2581
263. Iona (15-16)0.2581
264. Nicholls St (3-21)0.2574
265. Ul Monroe (5-19)0.2555
266. Navy (8-18)0.2530
267. Charleston Sou (12-16)0.2530
268. Lehigh (13-15)0.2525
269. Samford (13-13)0.2519
270. Tennessee Tech (15-11)0.2501

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
271. Marist (11-17)0.2491
272. SE Louisiana (19-9)0.2464
273. Coll Of Charltn (18-10)0.2464
274. Weber St (13-16)0.2444
275. St Peters (15-13)0.2431
276. Belmont (14-16)0.2413
277. Lamar (14-11)0.2394
278. SW Texas St (10-14)0.2383
279. Sacramento St (10-16)0.2380
280. Northrn Arizona (9-17)0.2368

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
281. Canisius (11-18)0.2365
282. Columbia (12-15)0.2351
283. Rider (18-11)0.2345
284. Winthrop (24-6)0.2336
285. High Point (11-17)0.2314
286. Radford (10-16)0.2292
287. Gardner-Webb (16-12)0.2292
288. Birmingham Southern (15-14)0.2288
289. NO Carolina A&T (6-24)0.2282
290. Loyola MD (6-22)0.2281

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
291. Florida A&M (14-15)0.2257
292. Fair Dickinson (19-13)0.2225
293. Wagner (13-17)0.2224
294. Montana St (12-14)0.2190
295. Central Florida (21-9)0.2182
296. Robert Morris (13-15)0.2160
297. Jacksonville (14-13)0.2158
298. Idaho St (7-18)0.2150
299. Savannah St (0-28)0.2133
300. St Francis PA (14-13)0.2126

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
301. Mercer (14-12)0.2119
302. Central Conn (12-16)0.2070
303. Utah Valley St (14-12)0.2040
304. Sacred Heart (4-23)0.2024
305. Portland St (17-9)0.2019
306. Lipscomb (14-12)0.2011
307. VMI (7-18)0.1991
308. Monmouth NJ (16-13)0.1991
309. Ark Pine Bluff (5-21)0.1968
310. Hampton (17-13)0.1959

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
311. Stephen Austin (9-15)0.1945
312. Quinnipiac (9-17)0.1933
313. Norfolk St (13-14)0.1900
314. Howard (5-23)0.1871
315. Liu Brooklyn (13-15)0.1869
316. Morgan St (14-16)0.1852
317. St Francis NY (13-15)0.1821
318. Mt St Marys (7-20)0.1803
319. Prairie View (5-23)0.1761
320. Bethune Cookman (13-17)0.1756

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
321. SO Carolina St (19-12)0.1711
322. MD Eastrn Shore (2-26)0.1706
323. Jackson St (14-17)0.1588
324. Alcorn St (6-22)0.1569
325. Miss Valley St (13-15)0.1533
326. Grambling (12-12)0.1499
327. Alabama St (15-15)0.1453
328. Southern (12-15)0.1315
329. Alabama A&M (16-14)0.1307
330. Texas Southern (10-15)0.1260
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