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Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

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  Printable NCAA Bracket
2008 Printable NCAA Tournament Bracket

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Games against non-D1 teams not considered in power rankings or predictions.

Last Ten Ratings

By division
Last Updated Thu Aug 18 11:16:58 EDT 2005

Home Advantage = 3.8097

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
1. North Carolina (9-1)98.7485-11-01-0
2. Louisville (9-1)97.2103-12-04-0
3. Illinois (8-2)95.9743-13-10-0
4. Duke (8-2)94.2522-22-02-0
5. Villanova (8-2)93.6912-23-01-0
6. Wisconsin (8-2)93.6150-24-03-0
7. Wisc Milwaukee (9-1)93.1992-10-00-0
8. Arizona (7-3)92.6571-32-03-0
9. Florida (8-2)92.4163-11-13-0
10. Washington (8-2)92.2463-11-12-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
11. Michigan St (7-3)92.2123-11-11-1
12. New Mexico (9-1)91.9882-10-02-0
13. Kentucky (7-3)91.3413-31-02-0
14. Oklahoma (8-2)91.2631-12-13-0
15. Connecticut (8-2)91.0511-11-14-0
16. West Virginia (7-3)90.7963-22-01-0
17. North Carolina St (6-4)90.5022-41-02-0
18. Georgia Tech (6-4)90.4621-41-03-0
19. Gonzaga (9-1)90.3550-01-11-0
20. Creighton (8-2)89.9680-10-13-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
21. Syracuse (6-4)88.8403-20-21-0
22. Southern Ill (8-2)88.5950-12-03-1
23. LSU (7-3)88.5232-11-11-1
24. Wake Forest (7-3)88.4931-21-12-0
25. Pacific (8-2)87.9000-12-11-0
26. Oklahoma St (6-4)87.7521-23-11-1
27. Nevada (8-2)87.7270-12-01-0
28. Utah (7-3)87.6831-10-23-0
29. Texas Tech (6-4)87.2202-33-10-0
30. St Josephs (8-2)87.0990-01-15-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
31. Pittsburgh (5-5)86.6112-50-02-0
32. Texas El Paso (8-2)86.5020-20-00-0
33. Alabama (6-4)86.4810-21-22-0
34. Cincinnati (7-3)86.0430-12-03-1
35. Iowa St (6-4)86.0421-11-23-1
36. Ohio (8-2)85.7240-10-04-1
37. Utah St (7-3)85.5811-20-00-0
38. Texas AM (6-4)85.2720-12-13-2
39. Uab (6-4)85.2400-31-03-0
40. Bucknell (7-3)85.1071-20-01-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
41. Clemson (5-5)84.9920-32-11-1
42. Ohio St (5-5)84.9341-30-21-0
43. Vanderbilt (6-4)84.6040-10-14-1
44. Iowa (5-5)84.5241-31-10-0
45. Stanford (6-4)84.5041-11-12-2
46. UCLA (6-4)84.4750-10-24-1
47. Northern Iowa (6-4)84.4480-11-22-1
48. Davidson (8-2)84.3760-00-11-0
49. Missouri (6-4)84.3612-10-23-1
50. Indiana (5-5)84.1881-21-20-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
51. Unlv (7-3)84.1740-10-12-1
52. Buffalo (7-3)83.9630-00-02-3
53. St Marys CA (6-4)83.7400-20-10-0
54. CS Fullerton (7-3)83.7000-11-11-1
55. Boston College (5-5)83.6631-20-21-1
56. South Carolina (6-4)83.6530-11-04-2
57. Mississippi St (5-5)83.6070-41-11-0
58. Northeastern (8-2)83.4230-00-10-1
59. Geo Washington (7-3)83.3680-10-02-2
60. Northwestern (5-5)83.1390-31-10-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
61. Vermont (7-3)83.0271-10-10-0
62. Kansas (4-6)83.0031-20-23-2
63. Kansas St (4-6)82.9840-41-22-0
64. Memphis (6-4)82.9170-21-02-1
65. Holy Cross (8-2)82.9050-00-02-2
66. Minnesota (5-5)82.8230-22-11-1
67. Winthrop (9-1)82.7250-10-00-0
68. Ul Lafayette (7-3)82.5530-10-00-0
69. Providence (4-6)82.5470-50-01-1
70. Texas (5-5)82.3521-11-22-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
71. Virginia Tech (4-6)82.1951-11-22-3
72. Oral Roberts (7-3)82.1470-00-11-0
73. Oregon St (4-6)82.0711-22-10-1
74. Tennessee (4-6)81.9510-41-02-1
75. Charlotte (6-4)81.9190-10-13-1
76. Hofstra (7-3)81.8930-00-01-2
77. TCU (5-5)81.7860-20-13-1
78. Toledo (7-3)81.6360-00-00-2
79. Pennsylvania (8-2)81.5440-10-00-0
80. Loyola Chi (7-3)81.4640-00-20-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
81. Virginia (4-6)81.4290-31-22-0
82. San Diego (6-4)81.3270-20-10-0
83. CS Northridge (6-4)81.1780-20-10-0
84. Xavier (6-4)81.1680-11-00-1
85. Central Florida (8-2)81.0220-10-00-0
86. Drake (6-4)80.8940-00-10-3
87. Maryland (4-6)80.8910-10-14-4
88. Rice (6-4)80.7390-00-10-2
89. Miami Fla (3-7)80.6000-31-01-4
90. South Florida (4-6)80.5811-11-01-4

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
91. Nebraska (4-6)80.5291-21-11-3
92. Old Dominion (7-3)80.4310-10-01-1
93. Akron (6-4)80.1770-00-02-4
94. SW Missouri St (5-5)80.1320-01-11-3
95. Air Force (5-5)80.0410-10-11-1
96. DePaul (4-6)79.9100-10-41-1
97. Colorado (3-7)79.8620-22-21-3
98. Washington St (3-7)79.8330-21-21-2
99. St Louis (4-6)79.8240-10-22-3
100. Western Mich (5-5)79.7640-00-02-3

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
101. Pepperdine (5-5)79.6930-10-10-0
102. Wichita St (4-6)79.5740-00-33-3
103. Notre Dame (4-6)79.2761-10-32-1
104. Houston (5-5)79.2350-00-22-2
105. Denver (6-4)79.1960-00-01-2
106. Oregon (3-7)79.1850-20-31-2
107. USC (3-7)78.9420-20-32-2
108. Eastern KY (8-2)78.8400-10-00-0
109. Mississippi (3-7)78.7990-30-22-2
110. Arkansas (4-6)78.7820-11-11-3

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
111. Detroit (6-4)78.7550-00-10-1
112. Western KY (6-4)78.6940-00-01-1
113. Wyoming (5-5)78.6250-11-01-3
114. Georgetown (3-7)78.5910-30-00-3
115. Middle Tenn St (6-4)78.3960-00-00-3
116. Auburn (3-7)78.3580-20-33-1
117. Miami Ohio (4-6)78.0660-00-02-4
118. Delaware St (8-2)77.9200-10-00-0
119. Niagara (6-4)77.7930-10-00-1
120. Wagner (8-2)77.7590-00-00-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
121. St Johns (2-8)77.6460-50-11-1
122. Boise St (6-4)77.6360-01-00-2
123. Kent (4-6)77.5670-00-12-4
124. Northwestern St (9-1)77.5300-00-00-0
125. Butler (6-4)77.4310-00-10-0
126. Temple (5-5)77.4070-00-10-3
127. Arkansas Lr (6-4)77.3230-00-02-0
128. Marquette (4-6)77.0870-20-02-3
129. VA Commonwealth (6-4)76.9750-00-00-3
130. Indiana St (3-7)76.9260-00-41-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
131. Bowling Green (5-5)76.9210-00-02-2
132. Arizona St (2-8)76.7890-30-12-2
133. Purdue (2-8)76.7800-31-30-1
134. Appalachian St (7-3)76.7370-00-00-0
135. SE Louisiana (7-3)76.6980-10-00-0
136. Drexel (6-4)76.6700-00-01-2
137. Santa Clara (4-6)76.6560-11-10-0
138. NC Wilmington (6-4)76.6080-00-00-2
139. Dayton (5-5)76.5090-00-11-3
140. Binghamton (7-3)76.2870-00-10-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
141. San Francisco (4-6)76.2530-10-10-0
142. Long Beach St (7-3)76.2480-10-10-0
143. Rutgers (2-8)76.1290-50-01-3
144. Seton Hall (2-8)76.0711-50-00-2
145. SMU (5-5)76.0580-00-00-1
146. East Carolina (4-6)75.9880-02-00-4
147. Illinois St (3-7)75.9300-00-30-3
148. Boston U (6-4)75.8840-01-00-1
149. Florida Intl (5-5)75.8780-00-01-2
150. Chattanooga (6-4)75.6340-10-10-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
151. Arkansas St (4-6)75.6200-00-01-1
152. Coll Of Charltn (6-4)75.4720-00-00-1
153. Iupui (6-4)75.4610-00-00-2
154. Marshall (3-7)75.4410-00-01-6
155. Oakland (6-4)75.4290-10-01-1
156. Cornell (6-4)75.3900-00-00-2
157. Massachusetts (6-4)75.3010-00-00-1
158. La Salle (5-5)75.2650-00-01-2
159. SE Missouri St (6-4)75.2100-00-00-0
160. George Mason (5-5)75.1860-00-01-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
161. Montana (7-3)75.1530-10-00-0
162. California (2-8)75.0700-30-22-2
163. Geo Southern (5-5)75.0070-00-00-1
164. New Orleans (4-6)74.9630-00-00-2
165. Ball St (3-7)74.9130-00-01-2
166. Utah Valley St (7-3)74.8390-00-00-1
167. Murray St (6-4)74.5890-00-00-0
168. Northern Ill (4-6)74.5850-00-00-2
169. Florida St (1-9)74.4180-40-11-3
170. McNeese St (6-4)74.3210-00-00-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
171. Austin Peay (5-5)74.3040-00-00-0
172. Portland St (7-3)74.2980-00-00-0
173. UC Irvine (6-4)74.1980-00-10-0
174. St Peters (7-3)74.1620-00-00-0
175. NC Greensboro (5-5)74.0080-00-01-1
176. Wofford (6-4)73.9900-00-00-2
177. Weber St (6-4)73.9810-00-00-0
178. Loyola Marymnt (2-8)73.8800-10-20-0
179. Sam Houston (6-4)73.8410-00-00-0
180. Rider (6-4)73.7700-00-00-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
181. Navy (5-5)73.7200-00-01-2
182. Dartmouth (6-4)73.6700-00-00-2
183. Gardner-Webb (7-3)73.4870-00-00-0
184. Portland (2-8)73.4040-20-10-0
185. Elon (6-4)73.3000-00-00-1
186. Iona (6-4)73.2880-00-00-0
187. Hampton (8-2)73.2790-00-00-0
188. San Diego St (2-8)73.1130-20-21-2
189. Wright St (5-5)73.1030-00-10-0
190. Princeton (5-5)73.0990-00-00-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
191. BYU (2-8)73.0790-20-21-2
192. SO Carolina St (7-3)73.0260-00-00-0
193. Colorado St (2-8)72.9570-20-20-2
194. Illinois Chi (5-5)72.9350-00-10-0
195. Bradley (2-8)72.8820-00-11-3
196. Yale (6-4)72.8770-00-01-0
197. Hawaii (3-7)72.7420-00-20-2
198. Lamar (5-5)72.7130-00-00-0
199. Harvard (5-5)72.7070-00-00-2
200. Wisc Green Bay (4-6)72.6970-01-00-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
201. Georgia St (6-4)72.6910-00-00-0
202. Tulsa (4-6)72.5170-00-10-0
203. Tennessee Tech (6-4)72.4580-00-00-0
204. South Alabama (4-6)72.4360-00-00-1
205. Central Mich (3-7)72.4240-00-01-2
206. Fordham (5-5)72.3870-00-20-1
207. Fla Atlantic (6-4)72.3610-00-00-0
208. Richmond (4-6)72.2850-00-10-4
209. Maine (4-6)72.1890-01-00-0
210. Stony Brook (5-5)72.1500-00-10-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
211. Furman (5-5)72.0910-00-00-0
212. Fresno St (3-7)72.0420-00-10-2
213. Georgia (1-9)71.9600-20-20-5
214. Tex San Antonio (6-4)71.8160-00-00-0
215. Jacksonville (5-5)71.8100-00-00-0
216. Texas A&M-CC (7-3)71.7680-00-00-0
217. Chicago St (4-6)71.5660-00-00-1
218. Fair Dickinson (6-4)71.5060-10-00-0
219. Albany NY (4-6)71.4100-00-10-0
220. American (5-5)71.3640-00-00-3

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
221. Charleston Sou (5-5)71.3270-00-00-2
222. Belmont (6-4)71.3180-00-00-0
223. Lipscomb (6-4)71.2500-00-00-0
224. Michigan (1-9)71.0960-30-30-1
225. Canisius (5-5)70.9640-00-00-0
226. Eastern Ill (5-5)70.8760-00-00-0
227. Cleveland St (3-7)70.7530-00-10-0
228. Sacramento St (6-4)70.7070-00-00-0
229. Fairfield (4-6)70.6590-00-00-0
230. Manhattan (5-5)70.5560-00-00-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
231. East Tenn St (4-6)70.4880-00-00-0
232. Lehigh (4-6)70.3360-00-01-3
233. Louisiana Tech (3-7)70.3150-00-10-1
234. Mo Kansas City (5-5)70.2880-00-01-0
235. Tennessee St (5-5)70.1920-00-00-0
236. Western Ill (4-6)70.1840-00-00-1
237. Delaware (4-6)70.1770-00-00-2
238. Tulane (2-8)70.1290-20-20-3
239. UC Santa Barbara (3-7)70.0190-10-10-0
240. Liberty (6-4)69.8740-00-00-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
241. Southern Utah (4-6)69.7890-00-00-2
242. Birmingham Southern (5-5)69.7370-00-00-2
243. Duquesne (2-8)69.7210-00-10-3
244. Monmouth NJ (6-4)69.7030-00-00-0
245. Eastern Mich (3-7)69.5680-00-00-3
246. Valparaiso (5-5)69.4020-00-00-1
247. Samford (4-6)69.2350-00-00-0
248. Mercer (5-5)68.8960-00-00-0
249. Liu Brooklyn (6-4)68.8700-00-00-0
250. Colgate (4-6)68.8480-00-00-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
251. Morgan St (7-3)68.7830-00-00-0
252. Coppin St (6-4)68.7590-00-00-0
253. Evansville (1-9)68.7330-00-20-2
254. Rhode Island (2-8)68.4920-00-12-1
255. Florida A&M (7-3)68.4630-00-00-0
256. St Francis NY (5-5)68.4470-00-00-0
257. North Texas (3-7)68.3900-00-00-3
258. Central Conn (5-5)68.2060-00-00-0
259. Montana St (4-6)67.8560-00-00-0
260. NC Asheville (5-5)67.8540-00-00-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
261. SW Texas St (5-5)67.7870-00-00-0
262. UC Davis (3-7)67.5820-10-00-0
263. Grambling (7-3)67.5390-00-00-0
264. Umbc (2-8)67.4860-00-30-0
265. SO Mississippi (1-9)67.4420-10-11-4
266. Youngstown St (2-8)67.4410-00-10-0
267. William & Mary (3-7)67.3880-00-00-2
268. Radford (4-6)67.2770-00-00-1
269. VMI (4-6)67.2220-00-00-2
270. Alabama A&M (6-4)67.0700-00-00-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
271. Penn St (0-10)66.9870-20-40-1
272. Lafayette (4-6)66.9390-00-00-4
273. IPFW (3-7)66.6910-00-00-0
274. UC Riverside (2-8)66.6330-10-10-0
275. Coast Carolina (4-6)66.6170-00-00-1
276. New Hampshire (3-7)66.5620-00-10-0
277. Robert Morris (5-5)66.5520-00-00-0
278. Troy St (3-7)66.5280-00-00-0
279. St Francis PA (5-5)66.4160-00-00-0
280. Morehead St (3-7)66.4050-00-00-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
281. Baylor (0-10)66.3250-20-50-3
282. Jacksonville St (2-8)66.1970-00-00-0
283. Westrn Carolina (2-8)66.0680-00-00-0
284. Tenn Martin (2-8)66.0420-00-00-0
285. Brown (3-7)66.0210-00-00-1
286. Stetson (3-7)65.9630-00-00-0
287. Norfolk St (5-5)65.8360-00-00-0
288. Idaho St (3-7)65.7900-00-00-0
289. Loyola MD (3-7)65.5650-00-00-0
290. Siena (3-7)65.4920-00-00-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
291. High Point (3-7)65.2580-00-00-2
292. Jackson St (6-4)64.9880-00-00-0
293. Eastern Wash (2-8)64.9790-00-00-0
294. Stephen Austin (3-7)64.9370-00-00-0
295. Cal Poly (2-8)64.6710-00-10-0
296. Texas Southern (6-4)64.2350-00-00-0
297. Texas Arlington (3-7)63.9390-00-00-0
298. Idaho (1-9)63.9100-10-10-0
299. New Mexico St (1-9)63.8140-00-00-1
300. TX Pan American (3-7)63.5540-00-00-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
301. Northrn Arizona (2-8)63.4360-00-00-0
302. Quinnipiac (3-7)63.2300-00-00-0
303. Miss Valley St (5-5)63.2210-00-00-0
304. Ul Monroe (2-8)63.1520-00-00-0
305. St Bonaventure (1-9)62.8200-00-00-3
306. Southern (5-5)62.6260-00-00-0
307. Marist (1-9)62.5280-00-00-0
308. Centenary (1-9)61.7310-00-00-1
309. Sacred Heart (2-8)61.7190-00-00-0
310. Mt St Marys (2-8)61.7040-00-00-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
311. Alabama St (4-6)61.3310-00-00-0
312. Hartford (1-9)60.8580-00-10-0
313. Bethune Cookman (4-6)60.3470-00-00-0
314. San Jose St (0-10)60.1290-00-10-1
315. James Madison (2-8)59.9940-00-00-2
316. Columbia (0-10)59.3240-00-00-2
317. Ark Pine Bluff (3-7)59.2330-00-00-0
318. NO Carolina A&T (2-8)59.0060-00-00-0
319. Northern Colorado (2-8)58.5870-10-00-0
320. Alcorn St (3-7)58.3850-00-00-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
321. The Citadel (0-10)56.8450-00-00-1
322. Nicholls St (0-10)56.5040-00-00-0
323. Towson (0-10)56.0700-00-00-2
324. Campbell (0-10)56.0060-00-00-0
325. Prairie View (2-8)55.0830-00-00-0
326. Army (0-10)53.6730-00-00-3
327. MD Eastrn Shore (1-9)53.1670-00-00-0
328. Longwood (0-10)51.1380-10-00-0
329. Savannah St (0-10)48.2670-00-00-0
330. Howard (0-10)46.5610-00-00-0
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