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Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

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  Printable NCAA Bracket
2008 Printable NCAA Tournament Bracket

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Games against non-D1 teams not considered in power rankings or predictions.

Home Advantage

By division
Last Updated Thu Aug 18 11:17:04 EDT 2005

Home Advantage = 3.8097

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
1. Utah Valley St (14-12)16.341
2. Tennessee Tech (15-11)16.203
3. Oregon St (17-15)15.755
4. Morgan St (14-16)14.871
5. Bradley (13-15)14.430
6. Vanderbilt (20-14)14.195
7. TX Pan American (8-16)14.094
8. Geo Southern (14-13)13.366
9. Virginia Tech (16-14)13.253
10. Hartford (8-20)13.075

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
11. Wake Forest (27-6)12.221
12. Manhattan (13-14)12.153
13. IPFW (6-22)12.092
14. Toledo (15-13)12.088
15. Colorado St (9-17)11.858
16. Indiana St (11-20)11.664
17. George Mason (16-13)11.590
18. St Johns (9-18)11.551
19. Niagara (20-10)11.429
20. St Francis PA (14-13)11.372

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
21. LSU (20-10)11.223
22. Northwestern (15-16)10.648
23. Air Force (17-12)10.413
24. Evansville (11-17)10.334
25. Youngstown St (3-23)10.158
26. Appalachian St (15-12)10.091
27. Denver (18-11)10.038
28. Southern (12-15)9.9269
29. Miami Ohio (18-11)9.9047
30. Dartmouth (9-17)9.7238

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
31. Southern Utah (11-15)9.7128
32. Washington (28-6)9.6507
33. Hawaii (16-13)9.6092
34. Maryland (19-13)9.5413
35. Houston (18-14)9.5267
36. Long Beach St (10-20)9.3685
37. Akron (18-10)9.3527
38. Utah St (24-8)9.2826
39. North Carolina (33-4)9.1279
40. Montana St (12-14)9.0084

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
41. Lafayette (8-19)8.9972
42. Ohio St (20-12)8.9373
43. Chicago St (9-19)8.9200
44. Tennessee St (12-16)8.9125
45. New Mexico (25-7)8.8544
46. Wright St (15-15)8.8196
47. South Carolina (20-13)8.7985
48. Texas A&M-CC (16-8)8.6925
49. Western KY (21-9)8.6040
50. Southern Ill (26-8)8.6007

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
51. UC Santa Barbara (11-18)8.5556
52. Tulsa (9-20)8.5402
53. Wisconsin (25-9)8.5397
54. Indiana (15-14)8.3650
55. Ul Lafayette (19-11)8.2986
56. Lipscomb (14-12)8.2506
57. Northrn Arizona (9-17)8.2238
58. Arkansas St (13-13)8.0378
59. Westrn Carolina (5-22)7.9940
60. Missouri (16-17)7.9403

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
61. New Orleans (12-17)7.9217
62. Pepperdine (16-14)7.8451
63. Arkansas Lr (15-10)7.8298
64. Coll Of Charltn (18-10)7.7212
65. Utah (27-6)7.7139
66. Pennsylvania (20-9)7.6952
67. Oklahoma (25-8)7.6574
68. Northern Ill (11-17)7.6498
69. Stanford (18-13)7.5330
70. Gonzaga (26-5)7.4660

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
71. Ohio (21-11)7.3568
72. William & Mary (8-21)7.1014
73. Butler (11-15)7.0396
74. Miss Valley St (13-15)7.0350
75. Idaho (7-21)7.0275
76. Furman (12-13)7.0222
77. Liu Brooklyn (13-15)7.0138
78. Eastern Mich (10-18)6.9855
79. Nicholls St (3-21)6.9503
80. Arkansas (18-12)6.9397

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
81. Yale (11-16)6.8839
82. Texas (19-11)6.8811
83. Vermont (25-7)6.8270
84. Western Ill (9-17)6.8196
85. Cleveland St (7-17)6.8058
86. Kansas (23-7)6.7902
87. Purdue (7-21)6.7845
88. San Jose St (6-23)6.7686
89. Bowling Green (17-11)6.7001
90. Tulane (9-18)6.5779

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
91. NO Carolina A&T (6-24)6.5167
92. Fordham (13-16)6.5119
93. Rhode Island (6-22)6.4905
94. Idaho St (7-18)6.4269
95. Cincinnati (25-8)6.4254
96. Massachusetts (16-12)6.4141
97. Wyoming (15-13)6.4065
98. Sacramento St (10-16)6.3605
99. Alabama (23-8)6.3527
100. San Diego (14-13)6.3175

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
101. St Josephs (24-12)6.3017
102. Montana (16-13)6.2886
103. Michigan (13-18)6.2670
104. Colgate (10-16)6.2467
105. Kent (18-13)6.2361
106. Binghamton (12-17)6.2052
107. Texas AM (19-10)6.1719
108. Harvard (12-15)6.0647
109. Ball St (14-13)6.0441
110. American (16-12)6.0265

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
111. Northern Iowa (20-11)6.0161
112. CS Northridge (17-13)5.9378
113. Charlotte (21-8)5.9113
114. SW Texas St (10-14)5.8996
115. Weber St (13-16)5.8825
116. DePaul (20-11)5.8778
117. Georgia (8-20)5.8136
118. Illinois (37-2)5.6593
119. Umbc (10-18)5.6339
120. Dayton (18-11)5.6090

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
121. Gardner-Webb (16-12)5.6006
122. Duke (27-6)5.5910
123. Eastern Ill (11-16)5.5581
124. St Marys CA (23-9)5.5315
125. High Point (11-17)5.4645
126. Northern Colorado (4-21)5.3791
127. Navy (8-18)5.3162
128. Michigan St (26-7)5.2999
129. Cal Poly (4-22)5.0910
130. East Carolina (7-19)4.9894

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
131. SMU (13-14)4.9587
132. Oklahoma St (25-7)4.8919
133. TCU (20-14)4.8852
134. Loyola MD (6-22)4.8795
135. Winthrop (24-6)4.7626
136. Delaware (11-20)4.7021
137. Stony Brook (12-17)4.6246
138. Albany NY (13-15)4.6144
139. Alabama St (15-15)4.5211
140. Buffalo (23-10)4.5128

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
141. NC Greensboro (15-12)4.5128
142. UC Riverside (8-19)4.4805
143. St Peters (15-13)4.4703
144. Austin Peay (13-19)4.4355
145. Coast Carolina (8-18)4.4230
146. Quinnipiac (9-17)4.3878
147. Mississippi St (23-11)4.3737
148. Xavier (17-12)4.2616
149. Wofford (10-14)4.2311
150. McNeese St (9-15)4.1652

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
151. Portland St (17-9)4.1535
152. Towson (5-24)4.1456
153. Illinois Chi (13-13)4.1099
154. Jacksonville St (4-22)4.0951
155. Samford (13-13)4.0839
156. CS Fullerton (20-11)4.0660
157. Northwestern St (17-12)3.9650
158. NC Wilmington (19-10)3.8512
159. Sam Houston (14-12)3.7914
160. Louisiana Tech (14-15)3.7890

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
161. Florida St (11-19)3.7805
162. Loyola Marymnt (11-17)3.7238
163. Minnesota (21-11)3.6980
164. Alcorn St (6-22)3.6401
165. Bucknell (23-10)3.6339
166. Detroit (13-16)3.5797
167. Iowa (21-12)3.5510
168. BYU (7-21)3.4858
169. Arizona (30-7)3.4827
170. Memphis (22-16)3.4282

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
171. East Tenn St (7-19)3.3850
172. Texas Tech (22-11)3.3813
173. Canisius (11-18)3.3761
174. Virginia (14-15)3.3750
175. Drake (13-16)3.3700
176. Iona (15-16)3.3561
177. SO Mississippi (8-17)3.3131
178. Sacred Heart (4-23)3.3058
179. Penn St (6-23)3.3019
180. Central Mich (8-18)3.2628

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
181. SW Missouri St (19-13)3.2238
182. Boston U (20-9)3.2095
183. Eastern KY (19-9)3.1847
184. Stephen Austin (9-15)3.1133
185. UCLA (18-11)3.1030
186. Marquette (18-12)3.0949
187. San Francisco (17-14)3.0454
188. Middle Tenn St (17-12)2.9625
189. Western Mich (19-13)2.9347
190. Valparaiso (15-16)2.9248

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
191. Boise St (15-18)2.8764
192. SE Missouri St (11-14)2.8485
193. Longwood (1-29)2.8463
194. Old Dominion (27-6)2.8327
195. Iowa St (19-12)2.8324
196. Villanova (24-8)2.8292
197. Rice (17-12)2.7969
198. Hofstra (21-9)2.6535
199. Army (1-24)2.6222
200. Northeastern (21-10)2.6002

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
201. Rider (18-11)2.5938
202. SE Louisiana (19-9)2.5762
203. Texas El Paso (25-8)2.5335
204. Maine (13-15)2.5037
205. Portland (14-15)2.4827
206. St Bonaventure (2-26)2.4152
207. Connecticut (23-8)2.1445
208. Nebraska (14-14)2.1398
209. Grambling (12-12)2.1244
210. Belmont (14-16)2.0958

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
211. Rutgers (9-19)2.0631
212. Delaware St (19-14)2.0322
213. Kentucky (28-6)2.0206
214. Texas Southern (10-15)2.0050
215. New Hampshire (8-19)1.9906
216. UC Irvine (15-13)1.9645
217. Arizona St (18-14)1.8142
218. Eastern Wash (7-20)1.7702
219. VA Commonwealth (19-13)1.7573
220. Boston College (25-5)1.6889

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
221. St Francis NY (13-15)1.6886
222. Wichita St (22-10)1.6745
223. Cornell (12-14)1.5641
224. Morehead St (8-16)1.5480
225. Marist (11-17)1.5438
226. Mississippi (14-17)1.5101
227. Florida Intl (12-17)1.5058
228. Washington St (12-16)1.4746
229. Richmond (14-15)1.4104
230. NC Asheville (9-17)1.3566

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
231. Mercer (14-12)1.1931
232. Clemson (16-16)1.1854
233. Tennessee (14-17)1.1704
234. Georgetown (19-13)1.0949
235. Oregon (14-13)1.0946
236. Seton Hall (12-16)1.0877
237. Oral Roberts (24-8)1.0820
238. Campbell (2-25)1.0753
239. Columbia (12-15)1.0233
240. Uab (22-11)1.0174

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
241. Savannah St (0-28)0.9972
242. Fresno St (15-14)0.9347
243. Hampton (17-13)0.8845
244. Jackson St (14-17)0.8553
245. Auburn (14-17)0.7999
246. Iupui (14-13)0.7907
247. Notre Dame (17-12)0.7018
248. Baylor (8-19)0.6883
249. Kansas St (15-12)0.6769
250. South Florida (13-16)0.6378

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
251. Georgia Tech (20-12)0.6351
252. Princeton (14-13)0.6296
253. Texas Arlington (9-15)0.6144
254. Chattanooga (17-11)0.6139
255. Lamar (14-11)0.5675
256. Siena (6-24)0.5285
257. Florida A&M (14-15)0.5005
258. Tex San Antonio (12-13)0.4972
259. Liberty (12-15)0.4933
260. VMI (7-18)0.4894

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
261. The Citadel (8-16)0.2796
262. Illinois St (16-13)0.2746
263. Florida (24-8)0.2526
264. Elon (7-22)0.2229
265. Colorado (13-16)0.1128
266. Temple (16-14)-0.015
267. Troy St (11-18)-0.025
268. USC (12-17)-0.063
269. Georgia St (13-15)-0.066
270. Fair Dickinson (19-13)-0.083

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
271. Drexel (17-12)-0.085
272. Stetson (9-17)-0.104
273. Mo Kansas City (14-12)-0.138
274. Lehigh (13-15)-0.144
275. South Alabama (7-18)-0.162
276. St Louis (9-21)-0.229
277. Marshall (6-22)-0.229
278. Jacksonville (14-13)-0.255
279. Syracuse (27-7)-0.400
280. Radford (10-16)-0.476

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
281. Providence (13-17)-0.578
282. Unlv (16-14)-0.618
283. North Texas (12-14)-0.725
284. Oakland (12-19)-0.963
285. Central Conn (12-16)-1.089
286. James Madison (6-22)-1.115
287. Wisc Milwaukee (24-6)-1.159
288. Alabama A&M (16-14)-1.183
289. SO Carolina St (19-12)-1.255
290. Charleston Sou (12-16)-1.417

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
291. Bethune Cookman (13-17)-1.650
292. Loyola Chi (12-17)-1.753
293. UC Davis (10-17)-1.756
294. Fairfield (15-15)-1.797
295. Pacific (27-4)-1.803
296. Central Florida (21-9)-1.911
297. MD Eastrn Shore (2-26)-2.289
298. Wisc Green Bay (16-11)-2.327
299. Holy Cross (25-7)-2.549
300. Mt St Marys (7-20)-2.567

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
301. Norfolk St (13-14)-2.617
302. Tenn Martin (4-21)-2.642
303. West Virginia (24-11)-2.676
304. Davidson (20-9)-2.858
305. Brown (12-16)-2.944
306. California (13-16)-2.994
307. Miami Fla (16-13)-3.007
308. Murray St (15-11)-3.025
309. San Diego St (9-18)-3.046
310. Birmingham Southern (15-14)-3.139

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
311. Monmouth NJ (16-13)-3.420
312. Coppin St (14-15)-3.522
313. Wagner (13-17)-3.766
314. Ul Monroe (5-19)-3.815
315. North Carolina St (21-14)-3.842
316. Pittsburgh (20-9)-3.917
317. Louisville (31-5)-3.918
318. Centenary (2-24)-4.022
319. Prairie View (5-23)-4.090
320. Duquesne (8-22)-4.389

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
321. La Salle (10-19)-4.494
322. Robert Morris (13-15)-4.762
323. Ark Pine Bluff (5-21)-4.970
324. Creighton (23-11)-5.023
325. Santa Clara (14-16)-5.286
326. Nevada (24-7)-5.356
327. Geo Washington (22-8)-5.690
328. Howard (5-23)-5.801
329. New Mexico St (4-24)-6.764
330. Fla Atlantic (10-17)-8.674
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