NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

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  Printable NCAA Bracket
2008 Printable NCAA Tournament Bracket

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Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)
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Games against non-D1 teams not considered in power rankings or predictions.

Conference RPI Away

By ranking
Last Updated Thu Aug 18 11:17:10 EDT 2005


ATLANTIC COAST CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.5865


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
1. North Carolina (8-2)0.67091-20-05-0
4. Wake Forest (8-4)0.66041-20-15-0
14. Duke (5-4)0.61930-21-02-1
16. Georgia Tech (4-6)0.61590-40-02-2
19. Miami Fla (5-6)0.61111-30-12-1
36. North Carolina St (5-6)0.59420-31-03-1
60. Maryland (2-7)0.56411-30-01-3
61. Clemson (3-8)0.56380-30-12-3
85. Florida St (3-8)0.55070-20-12-4
139. Virginia (2-9)0.52040-30-11-2
212. Virginia Tech (3-9)0.48060-11-01-4


BIG EAST AVERAGE = 0.5757


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
7. Connecticut (7-3)0.63661-12-01-0
8. Pittsburgh (6-3)0.63303-10-10-0
11. Boston College (7-2)0.62421-11-00-0
22. Syracuse (6-3)0.60891-20-10-0
23. West Virginia (6-5)0.60850-32-01-1
32. Georgetown (4-6)0.59681-32-00-1
39. Villanova (5-3)0.59280-20-01-0
46. Notre Dame (4-6)0.58040-31-11-1
49. Providence (4-6)0.57730-30-21-0
121. Seton Hall (3-8)0.52880-31-20-1
190. Rutgers (2-10)0.49390-21-10-1
284. St Johns (0-11)0.42770-20-20-3


PACIFIC TEN AVERAGE = 0.5663


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
9. Arizona (8-3)0.63260-10-04-2
13. UCLA (6-5)0.61980-30-02-1
21. Stanford (5-5)0.60940-20-03-1
24. Washington (6-5)0.60790-20-02-2
65. Arizona St (4-7)0.56130-20-02-1
73. California (4-6)0.55660-20-02-2
75. Washington St (5-9)0.55511-20-01-3
99. Oregon (3-7)0.54290-20-00-3
174. USC (2-10)0.50280-30-01-3
219. Oregon St (2-10)0.47430-20-00-4


BIG TWELVE AVERAGE = 0.5656


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
10. Oklahoma St (7-4)0.63050-21-01-1
12. Kansas (6-4)0.62211-20-11-1
18. Texas Tech (5-5)0.61341-11-01-4
20. Oklahoma (6-3)0.61100-11-02-2
37. Texas (4-6)0.59341-30-10-1
55. Iowa St (4-7)0.57411-10-11-3
57. Texas AM (4-6)0.57010-30-11-1
83. Nebraska (4-7)0.55110-20-11-3
97. Kansas St (2-6)0.54380-20-01-3
122. Colorado (4-9)0.52870-30-11-1
202. Missouri (1-8)0.48760-20-00-3
237. Baylor (1-9)0.46080-20-10-4


SOUTHEASTERN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.5554


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
3. Kentucky (7-3)0.66122-20-01-1
6. Alabama (7-4)0.63930-22-10-1
38. Florida (5-4)0.59310-10-22-0
48. LSU (4-6)0.57810-31-00-1
51. Mississippi St (5-5)0.57640-20-10-0
81. Auburn (3-7)0.55290-20-21-0
92. Mississippi (3-8)0.54820-20-21-2
110. Vanderbilt (3-8)0.53690-30-21-1
128. Arkansas (2-7)0.52570-20-21-2
135. Tennessee (2-8)0.52181-20-00-3
177. South Carolina (1-9)0.50010-40-30-1
278. Georgia (0-9)0.43120-30-10-2


WEST COAST CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.5444


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
25. Gonzaga (6-3)0.60680-00-10-2
35. St Marys CA (9-4)0.59510-10-01-0
69. San Francisco (4-9)0.55801-10-40-0
111. Santa Clara (4-9)0.53480-21-00-3
125. Portland (5-8)0.52740-10-10-2
127. San Diego (4-8)0.52610-20-10-1
162. Pepperdine (3-8)0.50720-10-11-1
178. Loyola Marymnt (4-10)0.49970-10-21-2


CONFERENCE USA AVERAGE = 0.5342


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
2. Louisville (9-1)0.66142-00-03-1
15. Cincinnati (6-3)0.61680-10-11-1
41. Charlotte (7-5)0.59060-21-03-0
53. Memphis (5-5)0.57551-00-11-3
72. Uab (7-5)0.55660-20-02-1
84. Marquette (4-5)0.55090-20-00-2
93. TCU (5-10)0.54800-21-11-4
106. Houston (4-10)0.53810-20-20-6
109. St Louis (3-9)0.53710-30-11-3
112. DePaul (5-7)0.53470-10-11-2
225. South Florida (2-10)0.46970-10-00-6
263. East Carolina (1-11)0.43920-10-11-4
268. Tulane (1-10)0.43610-10-11-2
287. SO Mississippi (1-9)0.42460-10-10-3


BIG TEN AVERAGE = 0.5270


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
5. Illinois (8-1)0.63962-00-02-1
29. Michigan St (6-3)0.60150-20-02-1
42. Minnesota (5-4)0.58900-20-01-2
71. Wisconsin (5-6)0.55730-20-01-3
132. Ohio St (2-8)0.52460-30-10-4
140. Iowa (3-6)0.52030-20-00-2
152. Indiana (2-8)0.51310-30-00-4
203. Michigan (2-8)0.48670-20-11-3
224. Northwestern (1-9)0.47060-30-01-3
253. Purdue (0-10)0.45110-30-10-5
258. Penn St (1-9)0.44300-20-00-4


MISSOURI VALLEY AVERAGE = 0.5223


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
31. Southern Ill (8-6)0.59740-00-32-2
34. Creighton (7-5)0.59550-12-00-1
47. Wichita St (8-6)0.57820-11-11-2
54. Northern Iowa (6-7)0.57480-21-01-2
70. Illinois St (5-7)0.55740-10-21-2
107. SW Missouri St (4-8)0.53800-20-21-0
181. Drake (3-9)0.49840-10-20-3
257. Bradley (1-11)0.44600-10-20-4
277. Evansville (1-10)0.43170-10-20-2
306. Indiana St (0-12)0.40600-10-30-3


MOUNTAINWEST AVERAGE = 0.5150


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
30. Utah (7-3)0.60080-10-10-1
62. Unlv (6-7)0.56300-10-10-3
103. Wyoming (3-8)0.53910-30-01-1
123. New Mexico (5-5)0.52830-10-00-1
137. Air Force (4-9)0.52120-10-20-3
150. San Diego St (3-8)0.51500-20-00-2
198. BYU (2-9)0.48930-10-20-1
324. Colorado St (0-12)0.36370-10-00-1


MID-AMERICAN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.5121


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
44. Western Mich (8-7)0.58520-01-32-1
63. Kent (5-10)0.56170-10-42-4
64. Buffalo (8-7)0.56150-10-31-3
89. Miami Ohio (5-8)0.55020-00-21-4
96. Akron (5-8)0.54380-01-21-3
126. Ball St (4-8)0.52730-00-21-4
141. Bowling Green (6-7)0.52000-00-11-3
149. Ohio (4-9)0.51520-01-10-3
205. Northern Ill (3-13)0.48550-00-31-4
206. Toledo (3-10)0.48530-10-20-3
239. Marshall (1-13)0.45990-00-40-5
246. Central Mich (2-11)0.45800-00-11-7
308. Eastern Mich (1-12)0.40400-00-10-5


SUN BELT AVERAGE = 0.5117


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
76. Arkansas Lr (4-8)0.55420-10-21-3
94. Middle Tenn St (5-7)0.54550-10-10-4
115. Ul Lafayette (5-9)0.53350-10-20-4
117. Western KY (6-7)0.53230-00-20-2
136. North Texas (4-7)0.52150-10-10-2
158. New Orleans (3-10)0.50930-10-20-5
166. Arkansas St (3-9)0.50510-00-01-2
171. South Alabama (3-10)0.50440-00-30-3
186. Denver (6-9)0.49640-01-00-3
188. Florida Intl (3-9)0.49480-10-10-2
276. New Mexico St (1-11)0.43210-00-20-3


COLONIAL AVERAGE = 0.5109


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
40. Old Dominion (10-4)0.59240-00-04-2
59. Drexel (8-8)0.56910-10-32-1
66. VA Commonwealth (6-8)0.56010-10-11-3
68. Hofstra (10-6)0.55810-11-10-3
80. NC Wilmington (7-7)0.55300-10-11-2
191. George Mason (5-8)0.49250-00-10-4
207. Delaware (3-10)0.48440-00-20-6
243. James Madison (2-12)0.45830-00-31-3
275. William & Mary (1-12)0.43230-20-10-4
299. Towson (1-13)0.40900-00-10-6


ATLANTIC TEN AVERAGE = 0.5061


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
50. St Josephs (6-7)0.57670-10-22-2
58. Geo Washington (8-4)0.57000-10-10-0
98. Temple (6-7)0.54290-20-01-2
104. Xavier (4-7)0.53880-10-12-0
116. Richmond (4-10)0.53340-20-20-3
144. Duquesne (3-11)0.51950-10-30-2
145. Massachusetts (4-5)0.51810-00-11-1
146. La Salle (5-9)0.51760-10-10-3
175. Dayton (5-6)0.50230-00-00-3
180. Fordham (3-10)0.49890-10-10-4
314. Rhode Island (1-12)0.38630-00-10-1
320. St Bonaventure (0-11)0.36860-10-10-1


WESTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.5015


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
26. Nevada (11-2)0.60650-11-01-1
52. Texas El Paso (7-4)0.57600-11-01-0
78. Rice (5-8)0.55330-20-30-1
142. Fresno St (5-7)0.51990-01-10-2
147. Louisiana Tech (5-9)0.51660-00-20-2
156. SMU (4-9)0.51110-00-30-3
232. Boise St (3-10)0.46760-01-20-1
256. Hawaii (2-8)0.44700-00-20-1
303. Tulsa (1-10)0.40870-00-20-1
304. San Jose St (1-13)0.40860-00-20-2


ATLANTICSUN AVERAGE = 0.4985


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
87. Fla Atlantic (7-8)0.55040-10-11-1
88. Central Florida (7-5)0.55030-00-00-0
129. Georgia St (5-11)0.52530-10-40-1
153. Mercer (6-7)0.51250-00-00-3
154. Troy St (5-9)0.51210-00-00-3
159. Belmont (5-9)0.50820-00-00-2
172. Jacksonville (6-7)0.50410-00-00-1
195. Gardner-Webb (5-9)0.49090-00-01-0
226. Lipscomb (4-9)0.46960-00-00-2
241. Stetson (4-12)0.45910-10-00-2
310. Campbell (1-15)0.40070-10-00-3


IVY LEAGUE AVERAGE = 0.4918


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
77. Pennsylvania (8-7)0.55400-20-00-1
105. Princeton (5-10)0.53860-21-20-0
187. Yale (3-10)0.49550-20-10-1
193. Brown (6-9)0.49120-00-11-1
200. Cornell (6-9)0.48880-10-10-0
210. Harvard (4-10)0.48380-00-10-0
234. Columbia (4-9)0.46450-00-10-1
293. Dartmouth (1-13)0.41790-10-20-1


AMERICA EAST AVERAGE = 0.4894


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
27. Vermont (10-6)0.60470-22-10-1
43. Northeastern (8-7)0.58550-30-11-0
74. Boston U (10-6)0.55560-20-10-1
170. Maine (6-9)0.50450-20-10-1
199. Albany NY (6-11)0.48920-30-10-1
214. New Hampshire (3-12)0.47820-20-20-2
251. Binghamton (2-10)0.45460-20-10-1
254. Stony Brook (3-11)0.45100-20-10-1
302. Umbc (2-12)0.40890-20-10-1
325. Hartford (0-13)0.36190-10-10-1


NORTHEASTERN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.4888


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
102. Fair Dickinson (7-7)0.54020-00-10-1
120. Monmouth NJ (7-8)0.53000-10-00-1
161. Robert Morris (6-9)0.50730-00-20-2
164. Wagner (7-11)0.50610-00-10-1
185. Central Conn (5-9)0.49670-10-00-1
235. St Francis NY (5-11)0.46190-00-00-0
236. Liu Brooklyn (4-11)0.46180-10-00-1
244. St Francis PA (4-11)0.45830-01-10-1
265. Mt St Marys (3-11)0.43700-00-00-2


PATRIOT AVERAGE = 0.4870


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
33. Holy Cross (12-4)0.59670-10-21-1
45. Bucknell (8-7)0.58290-13-20-1
155. American (6-9)0.51110-00-30-4
192. Colgate (4-9)0.49200-10-30-0
216. Lehigh (5-10)0.47590-00-30-0
260. Lafayette (2-13)0.43980-10-40-0
273. Navy (3-11)0.43300-00-30-0
321. Army (0-13)0.36480-00-30-0


HORIZON AVERAGE = 0.4857


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
56. Wisc Milwaukee (11-3)0.57400-10-00-0
67. Wisc Green Bay (7-6)0.55940-20-20-0
108. Illinois Chi (5-8)0.53740-10-11-2
165. Loyola Chi (5-11)0.50540-10-20-2
189. Wright St (4-10)0.49470-21-10-0
220. Detroit (3-11)0.47400-11-20-1
247. Butler (3-9)0.45730-00-20-0
269. Cleveland St (2-12)0.43550-10-10-1
330. Youngstown St (0-12)0.33340-00-10-1


METRO ATLANTIC ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.4818


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
79. Rider (7-6)0.55310-01-10-1
134. Fairfield (6-8)0.52200-00-10-2
183. St Peters (5-10)0.49770-00-10-1
184. Niagara (5-9)0.49710-00-20-1
194. Iona (3-11)0.49110-10-20-2
215. Marist (4-10)0.47810-10-10-1
218. Manhattan (3-11)0.47490-11-00-2
249. Siena (3-10)0.45620-00-00-2
250. Canisius (3-10)0.45580-00-00-2
312. Loyola MD (1-12)0.39220-00-10-1


SOUTHERN AVERAGE = 0.4811


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
28. Davidson (11-4)0.60310-00-13-1
101. Chattanooga (7-7)0.54180-00-10-2
168. NC Greensboro (4-10)0.50470-20-00-2
169. Coll Of Charltn (4-6)0.50470-00-10-0
176. Furman (4-8)0.50080-00-10-2
217. Geo Southern (4-9)0.47530-10-10-0
228. Wofford (4-10)0.46870-00-10-2
233. The Citadel (4-9)0.46710-00-10-2
259. Appalachian St (3-11)0.44280-00-10-4
264. Elon (2-13)0.43820-10-00-2
294. Westrn Carolina (1-13)0.41670-20-00-3
300. East Tenn St (1-13)0.40890-10-20-0


BIG WEST AVERAGE = 0.4767


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
17. Pacific (13-1)0.61470-12-01-0
91. CS Fullerton (9-7)0.54890-10-11-2
118. CS Northridge (7-9)0.53230-20-10-3
148. Utah St (6-5)0.51570-10-00-1
160. UC Irvine (6-8)0.50810-10-11-1
272. UC Santa Barbara (2-13)0.43370-20-10-2
289. Idaho (2-13)0.42230-20-10-1
305. Long Beach St (1-13)0.40810-10-20-2
311. Cal Poly (1-12)0.39390-10-10-1
313. UC Riverside (1-12)0.38970-10-10-2


MID-CONTINENT AVERAGE = 0.4749


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
82. Oral Roberts (11-5)0.55260-00-01-2
130. Mo Kansas City (7-7)0.52530-00-21-1
133. Iupui (5-8)0.52430-10-00-2
173. Valparaiso (5-9)0.50310-20-00-2
223. Oakland (3-13)0.47090-20-00-4
266. Southern Utah (3-11)0.43630-10-00-1
270. Chicago St (2-14)0.43460-10-00-4
286. Western Ill (2-12)0.42500-00-00-4
309. Centenary (1-14)0.40250-00-10-4


SOUTHLAND AVERAGE = 0.4723


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
113. Northwestern St (6-8)0.53400-20-10-0
114. SE Louisiana (8-6)0.53390-00-00-1
119. Lamar (6-7)0.53190-00-00-1
124. Sam Houston (5-8)0.52800-20-00-1
179. Tex San Antonio (5-9)0.49970-00-10-1
231. McNeese St (3-11)0.46790-00-10-2
238. Texas Arlington (4-10)0.46070-00-00-2
261. SW Texas St (4-11)0.43940-00-00-2
279. Stephen Austin (3-9)0.42970-00-00-0
295. Ul Monroe (2-12)0.41250-00-00-1
326. Nicholls St (0-14)0.35800-10-10-0


MID-EASTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.4720


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
90. Coppin St (7-11)0.54920-30-20-3
131. Florida A&M (6-11)0.52480-40-10-0
138. SO Carolina St (9-6)0.52110-00-11-1
143. Delaware St (6-11)0.51960-20-10-2
163. Hampton (8-9)0.50720-00-10-3
221. Norfolk St (7-9)0.47300-00-00-3
248. Bethune Cookman (5-10)0.45720-00-00-1
274. Morgan St (3-12)0.43280-00-00-1
291. Howard (3-13)0.42160-00-10-2
292. NO Carolina A&T (1-14)0.42150-20-00-2
322. MD Eastrn Shore (1-14)0.36430-00-00-1


BIG SOUTH AVERAGE = 0.4677


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
86. Winthrop (9-4)0.55060-00-00-2
167. Charleston Sou (5-9)0.50490-00-10-3
182. Birmingham Southern (6-9)0.49770-00-00-2
211. Liberty (5-10)0.48350-00-10-3
230. NC Asheville (3-12)0.46830-10-20-3
240. Radford (4-10)0.45940-00-20-1
288. Coast Carolina (2-13)0.42260-00-00-2
297. High Point (3-11)0.41140-00-00-2
298. VMI (3-11)0.41100-00-10-1


OHIO VALLEY AVERAGE = 0.4669


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
95. Murray St (6-7)0.54470-10-11-3
100. Eastern KY (8-7)0.54250-20-00-1
157. SE Missouri St (5-9)0.51070-00-00-2
227. Morehead St (3-10)0.46930-20-00-2
229. Tennessee Tech (4-9)0.46840-10-00-1
242. Tennessee St (2-15)0.45880-30-00-4
245. Austin Peay (3-11)0.45820-10-00-2
252. Samford (4-10)0.45250-00-01-0
255. Tenn Martin (3-11)0.45060-10-00-1
282. Eastern Ill (2-12)0.42860-00-10-2
327. Jacksonville St (0-13)0.35150-00-00-1


SOUTHWESTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.4425


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
197. Jackson St (5-9)0.49000-10-10-2
201. Grambling (5-8)0.48790-00-00-4
209. Alabama A&M (6-8)0.48380-00-00-2
222. Alabama St (4-8)0.47110-00-20-0
271. Miss Valley St (4-11)0.43460-00-00-1
283. Ark Pine Bluff (3-13)0.42830-00-00-3
285. Texas Southern (4-10)0.42700-00-00-0
296. Prairie View (3-13)0.41210-00-10-1
301. Alcorn St (2-13)0.40890-00-00-1
317. Southern (2-12)0.38170-00-00-1


BIG SKY AVERAGE = 0.4399


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
151. Portland St (6-7)0.51320-10-00-1
204. Montana (4-10)0.48560-10-00-4
208. Weber St (4-12)0.48400-10-10-1
262. Eastern Wash (2-13)0.43940-20-10-1
280. Montana St (3-9)0.42970-00-00-0
307. Sacramento St (2-12)0.40470-00-10-0
315. Northrn Arizona (1-11)0.38620-00-10-1
318. Idaho St (1-11)0.37600-00-00-1


INDEPENDENTS AVERAGE = 0.4082


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
196. UC Davis (4-8)0.49060-10-10-2
213. Texas A&M-CC (8-6)0.47980-10-00-1
267. Northern Colorado (1-14)0.43620-40-10-3
290. Utah Valley St (4-11)0.42230-00-00-1
316. TX Pan American (1-13)0.38590-10-00-2
323. IPFW (0-16)0.36410-00-10-3
328. Longwood (0-15)0.34350-20-20-1
329. Savannah St (0-15)0.34320-00-00-1
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