NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

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  Printable NCAA Bracket
2008 Printable NCAA Tournament Bracket

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Games against non-D1 teams not considered in power rankings or predictions.

Conference RPI League

By ranking
Last Updated Thu Aug 18 11:17:22 EDT 2005


ATLANTIC COAST CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.5703


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
3. North Carolina (15-3)0.65071-21-110-0
5. Duke (14-5)0.64422-23-07-2
8. Wake Forest (13-4)0.63772-11-18-1
34. Georgia Tech (10-9)0.58752-50-05-3
44. North Carolina St (9-10)0.57741-62-04-2
61. Virginia Tech (8-9)0.55941-31-16-4
91. Miami Fla (7-10)0.53910-50-25-1
92. Maryland (7-10)0.53902-31-02-6
106. Clemson (6-12)0.52830-50-23-4
135. Virginia (5-13)0.51000-60-13-4
155. Florida St (4-13)0.49991-40-22-7


BIG TWELVE AVERAGE = 0.5524


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
12. Oklahoma St (14-5)0.62732-23-04-2
15. Oklahoma (13-5)0.61542-11-25-2
22. Kansas (13-5)0.60671-20-14-2
24. Texas Tech (12-7)0.60633-40-04-3
60. Texas (9-8)0.56012-31-12-2
77. Iowa St (10-8)0.55072-21-12-2
88. Texas AM (8-9)0.54060-51-13-1
97. Missouri (8-10)0.53712-30-11-3
118. Kansas St (7-11)0.52120-50-14-3
124. Nebraska (7-10)0.51671-30-12-5
160. Colorado (5-13)0.49690-50-14-3
249. Baylor (1-16)0.44930-50-20-7


PACIFIC TEN AVERAGE = 0.5497


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
4. Washington (17-4)0.64472-10-08-2
10. Arizona (17-4)0.63301-20-07-1
40. Stanford (12-8)0.58082-30-04-2
52. UCLA (11-8)0.56711-30-04-2
94. Oregon St (9-11)0.53811-40-05-4
117. Washington St (7-12)0.52191-30-03-6
123. Arizona St (7-12)0.51690-50-04-2
141. California (6-13)0.50660-50-03-5
158. Oregon (6-12)0.49810-40-00-6
176. USC (5-13)0.48990-40-02-6


BIG EAST AVERAGE = 0.5483


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
11. Connecticut (14-4)0.62753-22-13-0
16. Boston College (13-4)0.61223-12-21-0
27. Syracuse (14-5)0.60502-32-21-0
30. Villanova (12-6)0.59311-33-11-1
39. Pittsburgh (10-7)0.58124-30-20-1
53. Notre Dame (9-8)0.56703-41-21-1
54. West Virginia (11-9)0.56682-62-00-1
90. Georgetown (9-9)0.53911-62-00-0
161. Providence (4-13)0.49480-70-41-0
210. Seton Hall (4-13)0.47070-61-20-2
224. St Johns (3-13)0.46220-51-31-1
230. Rutgers (3-15)0.45970-70-20-2


SOUTHEASTERN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.5478


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
6. Florida (15-4)0.64414-11-24-0
7. Kentucky (16-3)0.64112-23-03-1
13. LSU (13-5)0.62492-32-02-0
18. Alabama (13-5)0.61120-33-11-1
68. Mississippi St (10-8)0.55531-40-22-0
101. Vanderbilt (8-9)0.53021-40-21-1
103. Tennessee (7-11)0.52921-52-01-3
138. South Carolina (7-10)0.50741-40-21-1
163. Arkansas (6-11)0.49450-41-30-2
167. Mississippi (5-13)0.49300-50-41-2
174. Auburn (5-13)0.49010-41-42-1
243. Georgia (2-15)0.45200-50-31-3


WEST COAST CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.5421


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
2. Gonzaga (14-2)0.65070-02-11-1
14. St Marys CA (12-4)0.61781-20-02-0
66. San Diego (8-8)0.55620-30-21-1
78. Santa Clara (8-8)0.54940-22-11-2
119. San Francisco (7-9)0.52091-10-20-0
125. Pepperdine (7-9)0.51620-20-22-0
216. Portland (4-11)0.46740-20-20-3
231. Loyola Marymnt (3-12)0.45810-20-22-0


BIG TEN AVERAGE = 0.5370


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
1. Illinois (18-1)0.65124-00-06-1
21. Wisconsin (13-6)0.60901-40-06-2
37. Michigan St (13-4)0.58551-20-04-2
56. Minnesota (11-7)0.56651-40-05-2
58. Indiana (10-7)0.56472-20-02-4
99. Ohio St (9-9)0.53601-50-02-4
116. Iowa (9-10)0.52191-50-03-2
134. Northwestern (7-11)0.51040-60-03-3
208. Purdue (3-14)0.47180-60-01-7
229. Michigan (4-13)0.46030-50-01-5
279. Penn St (1-16)0.42970-50-00-7


MISSOURI VALLEY AVERAGE = 0.5256


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
23. Southern Ill (16-4)0.60670-02-23-2
41. Creighton (14-7)0.58060-25-01-2
51. Wichita St (13-7)0.56781-11-12-3
57. SW Missouri St (12-9)0.56532-11-42-1
79. Northern Iowa (11-8)0.54821-11-12-3
140. Illinois St (8-11)0.50680-20-42-3
149. Drake (8-12)0.50420-21-40-4
206. Indiana St (6-14)0.47420-31-32-2
240. Bradley (6-13)0.45420-22-21-3
253. Evansville (5-14)0.44840-21-31-3


MID-AMERICAN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.5238


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
31. Ohio (15-7)0.59230-05-15-4
36. Miami Ohio (13-7)0.58570-02-35-3
55. Buffalo (14-8)0.56670-01-46-4
72. Western Mich (12-8)0.55290-01-45-1
73. Akron (12-8)0.55270-04-22-5
75. Kent (12-8)0.55210-03-42-3
84. Toledo (11-8)0.54230-00-44-2
100. Ball St (10-9)0.53490-01-35-4
104. Bowling Green (11-9)0.52850-03-22-4
212. Northern Ill (7-12)0.47010-01-32-6
257. Marshall (3-16)0.44710-01-60-7
261. Central Mich (4-15)0.44510-00-32-8
270. Eastern Mich (5-14)0.43960-00-31-7


CONFERENCE USA AVERAGE = 0.5214


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
9. Louisville (17-2)0.63722-01-07-1
32. Cincinnati (12-5)0.59030-21-15-1
42. Charlotte (12-5)0.57971-20-05-0
74. Memphis (12-8)0.55221-31-13-3
76. DePaul (11-7)0.55151-20-13-3
87. Uab (11-7)0.54090-30-14-1
113. TCU (9-9)0.52250-30-14-2
126. Houston (9-8)0.51601-10-11-4
154. Marquette (7-10)0.50100-30-12-4
156. St Louis (6-11)0.49950-20-22-5
168. South Florida (7-12)0.49261-21-01-7
227. East Carolina (4-12)0.46100-21-11-5
248. Tulane (4-13)0.44940-20-12-6
297. SO Mississippi (2-14)0.40570-20-11-5


MOUNTAINWEST AVERAGE = 0.5116


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
19. Utah (15-2)0.61040-00-01-2
38. New Mexico (13-4)0.58432-10-00-0
102. Air Force (9-6)0.52950-20-01-1
120. Unlv (8-8)0.52020-30-00-2
164. Wyoming (7-8)0.49420-20-01-1
204. San Diego St (5-11)0.47660-20-00-3
263. BYU (3-12)0.44380-20-01-2
276. Colorado St (3-12)0.43380-30-00-2


SUN BELT AVERAGE = 0.5052


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
35. Denver (14-4)0.58730-02-12-1
46. Ul Lafayette (14-4)0.57210-00-02-3
71. Arkansas Lr (10-5)0.55310-01-02-1
86. Western KY (10-6)0.54090-00-11-3
115. Arkansas St (8-8)0.52220-01-02-4
151. Middle Tenn St (8-8)0.50310-00-21-4
186. New Orleans (7-9)0.48480-00-21-4
198. Florida Intl (6-11)0.48090-00-23-3
213. South Alabama (6-10)0.46920-00-20-4
246. North Texas (6-10)0.45000-00-21-3
305. New Mexico St (1-15)0.39340-00-20-4


COLONIAL AVERAGE = 0.4993


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
28. Old Dominion (18-3)0.59410-00-08-2
48. VA Commonwealth (15-6)0.56890-01-24-3
62. NC Wilmington (14-6)0.55940-00-24-3
82. Hofstra (13-7)0.54470-01-23-4
98. Drexel (12-7)0.53660-00-23-4
139. George Mason (10-9)0.50710-01-12-7
214. Delaware (8-12)0.46870-00-21-8
286. William & Mary (4-16)0.42190-00-30-8
298. James Madison (3-16)0.40420-00-21-7
310. Towson (2-17)0.38730-00-20-8


AMERICA EAST AVERAGE = 0.4955


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
20. Vermont (19-2)0.60980-03-01-1
29. Northeastern (17-4)0.59340-30-02-0
63. Boston U (14-5)0.55901-10-20-0
172. Maine (9-11)0.49061-11-21-2
179. Albany NY (9-10)0.48840-20-20-2
180. Binghamton (9-11)0.48730-30-21-1
251. Stony Brook (7-13)0.44890-20-30-2
266. Umbc (6-14)0.44210-30-20-2
280. New Hampshire (5-14)0.42970-20-20-2
295. Hartford (4-15)0.40600-20-20-2


WESTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.4928


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
33. Texas El Paso (17-4)0.58790-01-13-0
50. Nevada (16-3)0.56840-01-12-0
81. Rice (13-7)0.54660-00-50-0
165. Fresno St (10-10)0.49380-02-20-2
177. SMU (9-10)0.48960-00-40-3
184. Louisiana Tech (9-10)0.48640-01-30-2
200. Boise St (9-13)0.48000-01-50-2
235. Hawaii (8-12)0.45580-00-51-1
287. Tulsa (5-14)0.42090-01-30-2
302. San Jose St (3-16)0.39910-00-41-1


IVY LEAGUE AVERAGE = 0.4880


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
25. Pennsylvania (13-1)0.60580-00-00-0
131. Cornell (8-6)0.51330-00-20-0
148. Dartmouth (7-7)0.50450-00-20-0
162. Yale (7-7)0.49470-01-10-0
171. Harvard (7-7)0.49140-00-20-0
236. Princeton (6-8)0.45550-00-20-0
250. Brown (5-9)0.44910-00-20-0
309. Columbia (3-11)0.38960-00-20-0


BIG WEST AVERAGE = 0.4859


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
17. Pacific (19-1)0.61130-02-12-0
47. Utah St (15-5)0.56971-20-02-1
89. CS Northridge (13-7)0.54000-31-10-2
107. CS Fullerton (13-7)0.52780-21-20-0
223. UC Irvine (9-11)0.46290-20-21-1
233. UC Santa Barbara (8-12)0.45670-20-20-3
259. Long Beach St (7-12)0.44590-20-21-1
275. Idaho (6-13)0.43600-21-11-1
296. Cal Poly (3-15)0.40590-20-20-2
300. UC Riverside (4-14)0.40230-20-20-2


SOUTHERN AVERAGE = 0.4813


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
26. Davidson (17-1)0.60540-00-00-0
122. Geo Southern (11-7)0.51750-00-20-0
128. Chattanooga (13-6)0.51510-00-10-0
130. Coll Of Charltn (10-7)0.51350-00-20-0
142. NC Greensboro (11-8)0.50650-01-10-0
153. Appalachian St (11-8)0.50130-00-10-0
175. Furman (9-8)0.49000-00-20-0
238. Wofford (7-10)0.45490-00-20-0
271. Elon (6-12)0.43890-00-20-0
285. The Citadel (4-13)0.42250-00-20-0
289. East Tenn St (5-13)0.41940-00-10-0
307. Westrn Carolina (3-14)0.39100-00-10-0


ATLANTICSUN AVERAGE = 0.4809


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
93. Central Florida (16-7)0.53840-00-00-0
105. Gardner-Webb (15-8)0.52850-00-01-2
133. Belmont (13-9)0.51130-00-01-2
166. Jacksonville (12-10)0.49360-00-01-1
181. Mercer (11-10)0.48710-00-01-2
187. Georgia St (11-10)0.48470-00-01-1
192. Fla Atlantic (10-10)0.48300-00-01-1
194. Lipscomb (11-10)0.48240-00-01-1
202. Troy St (10-11)0.47800-00-00-2
242. Stetson (8-12)0.45300-00-00-2
326. Campbell (0-20)0.35050-00-00-2


ATLANTIC TEN AVERAGE = 0.4772


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
45. St Josephs (16-3)0.57390-00-01-1
85. Geo Washington (14-5)0.54120-01-10-0
112. Xavier (11-7)0.52300-00-22-0
121. Temple (12-6)0.51960-00-20-2
159. Dayton (11-7)0.49750-01-00-2
201. Richmond (9-9)0.47930-00-21-1
211. Fordham (9-9)0.47010-00-20-2
218. Massachusetts (9-8)0.46650-00-21-0
255. La Salle (6-12)0.44750-00-10-2
269. Duquesne (5-12)0.44010-00-10-2
299. Rhode Island (4-13)0.40310-01-10-1
320. St Bonaventure (1-16)0.36450-00-20-1


NORTHEASTERN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.4754


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
70. Fair Dickinson (14-4)0.55330-00-00-0
83. Monmouth NJ (12-4)0.54390-00-00-0
132. Wagner (10-8)0.51140-00-00-0
183. Liu Brooklyn (8-8)0.48670-00-00-0
197. Robert Morris (8-7)0.48160-00-00-0
228. St Francis PA (7-8)0.46050-00-00-0
277. St Francis NY (6-10)0.43370-00-00-0
294. Central Conn (4-11)0.40670-00-00-0
301. Mt St Marys (3-12)0.40070-00-00-0


PATRIOT AVERAGE = 0.4741


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
65. Bucknell (13-4)0.55630-02-10-0
67. Holy Cross (15-2)0.55620-01-20-0
178. American (9-7)0.48940-01-40-0
195. Lehigh (8-8)0.48210-01-40-0
221. Colgate (7-8)0.46350-00-40-0
273. Lafayette (5-10)0.43730-00-50-0
282. Navy (5-10)0.42830-01-30-0
311. Army (1-14)0.38000-00-50-0


METRO ATLANTIC ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.4728


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
69. Niagara (15-5)0.55480-00-00-0
96. Rider (15-6)0.53750-00-01-2
146. Fairfield (12-8)0.50470-00-00-2
189. Iona (11-10)0.48360-00-01-2
207. St Peters (10-9)0.47280-00-00-2
219. Canisius (9-11)0.46530-00-00-2
226. Manhattan (10-10)0.46190-00-01-1
260. Marist (8-11)0.44570-00-01-1
292. Loyola MD (5-14)0.40930-00-01-1
306. Siena (4-15)0.39280-00-00-2


HORIZON AVERAGE = 0.4702


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
59. Wisc Milwaukee (16-2)0.56210-00-00-0
110. Detroit (11-8)0.52330-01-20-0
185. Wisc Green Bay (10-7)0.48500-01-10-0
190. Loyola Chi (10-9)0.48330-00-30-0
222. Wright St (9-9)0.46290-00-20-0
232. Illinois Chi (9-9)0.45750-00-20-0
252. Butler (7-10)0.44870-00-20-0
272. Cleveland St (6-11)0.43770-00-20-0
316. Youngstown St (2-15)0.37130-00-20-0


OHIO VALLEY AVERAGE = 0.4697


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
108. Tennessee Tech (13-5)0.52390-00-01-0
111. Eastern KY (14-5)0.52310-00-00-0
114. Austin Peay (11-8)0.52250-00-00-3
147. SE Missouri St (10-8)0.50460-00-00-2
157. Murray St (11-6)0.49860-00-01-1
170. Samford (10-7)0.49150-00-01-1
205. Tennessee St (9-8)0.47590-00-01-1
258. Eastern Ill (7-10)0.44710-00-00-1
291. Morehead St (5-11)0.41390-00-00-2
304. Tenn Martin (3-13)0.39580-00-00-2
318. Jacksonville St (2-14)0.36980-00-01-1


SOUTHLAND AVERAGE = 0.4645


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
49. SE Louisiana (16-3)0.56880-00-00-0
80. Northwestern St (15-4)0.54730-00-00-0
127. Sam Houston (12-6)0.51550-00-00-0
150. Lamar (10-8)0.50370-00-00-0
173. Tex San Antonio (10-7)0.49020-00-00-0
220. McNeese St (8-9)0.46360-00-00-0
254. SW Texas St (8-9)0.44800-00-00-0
281. Stephen Austin (6-10)0.42920-00-00-0
283. Texas Arlington (7-10)0.42440-00-00-0
317. Ul Monroe (2-14)0.37130-00-00-0
328. Nicholls St (1-15)0.34790-00-00-0


MID-CONTINENT AVERAGE = 0.4642


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
95. Oral Roberts (15-4)0.53760-00-00-0
129. Mo Kansas City (12-5)0.51480-00-02-0
188. Oakland (10-9)0.48420-00-01-2
191. Valparaiso (10-7)0.48330-00-00-2
193. Iupui (10-8)0.48240-00-00-3
244. Chicago St (8-10)0.45170-00-00-2
268. Western Ill (7-10)0.44110-00-01-1
288. Southern Utah (6-11)0.42040-00-00-3
321. Centenary (1-15)0.36190-00-00-2


BIG SOUTH AVERAGE = 0.4630


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
43. Winthrop (18-1)0.57830-00-00-0
137. Liberty (11-6)0.50830-00-00-2
209. Charleston Sou (9-10)0.47120-00-00-3
234. Coast Carolina (7-10)0.45650-00-01-2
245. NC Asheville (8-9)0.45100-00-00-2
264. High Point (8-10)0.44330-00-00-2
265. Birmingham Southern (8-10)0.44300-00-00-3
267. Radford (7-10)0.44170-00-00-2
314. VMI (3-13)0.37370-00-00-2


MID-EASTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.4621


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
64. Delaware St (17-4)0.55810-00-00-0
109. Hampton (15-6)0.52340-00-00-0
136. Coppin St (14-6)0.50990-00-00-0
143. SO Carolina St (12-8)0.50630-00-00-0
196. Morgan St (12-8)0.48180-00-00-0
199. Norfolk St (11-8)0.48050-00-00-0
215. Florida A&M (11-9)0.46740-00-00-0
262. Bethune Cookman (9-11)0.44400-00-00-0
303. NO Carolina A&T (5-14)0.39860-00-00-0
323. Howard (2-17)0.35700-00-00-0
324. MD Eastrn Shore (1-18)0.35560-00-00-0


BIG SKY AVERAGE = 0.4475


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
144. Portland St (11-4)0.50610-00-00-0
145. Montana (12-5)0.50500-00-00-0
169. Montana St (9-6)0.49160-00-00-0
203. Weber St (9-8)0.47760-00-00-0
225. Sacramento St (8-7)0.46200-00-00-0
293. Eastern Wash (5-10)0.40770-00-00-0
315. Northrn Arizona (4-10)0.37250-00-00-0
322. Idaho St (3-11)0.35770-00-00-0


SOUTHWESTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.4331


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
182. Alabama A&M (15-6)0.48670-00-00-0
217. Alabama St (13-8)0.46680-00-00-0
239. Southern (11-9)0.45480-00-00-0
241. Miss Valley St (11-8)0.45330-00-00-0
247. Jackson St (11-9)0.44960-00-00-0
256. Grambling (11-8)0.44720-00-00-0
278. Texas Southern (9-9)0.43050-00-00-0
308. Alcorn St (6-12)0.39060-00-00-0
312. Ark Pine Bluff (5-14)0.37710-00-00-0
313. Prairie View (5-14)0.37460-00-00-0


INDEPENDENTS AVERAGE = 0.3953


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
152. Utah Valley St (9-1)0.50200-00-00-0
237. Texas A&M-CC (8-2)0.45510-00-00-0
274. IPFW (4-4)0.43700-00-00-0
284. UC Davis (2-0)0.42310-00-00-0
325. Savannah St (0-3)0.35380-00-00-0
327. Northern Colorado (3-6)0.34890-00-00-0
329. TX Pan American (2-6)0.34410-00-00-0
330. Longwood (0-6)0.29810-00-00-0
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