NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

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  Printable NCAA Bracket
2008 Printable NCAA Tournament Bracket

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Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)
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Games against non-D1 teams not considered in power rankings or predictions.

Conference Home Ratings

By ranking
Last Updated Thu Aug 18 11:15:52 EDT 2005

Home Court Advantage = 3.8097

ATLANTIC COAST CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 86.933


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
1. North Carolina (15-0)102.114-03-03-0
3. Wake Forest (16-0)99.1425-02-03-0
5. Duke (14-1)94.3534-01-15-0
26. Maryland (15-3)87.5242-20-16-0
35. Virginia Tech (13-3)86.1022-22-03-1
41. Georgia Tech (12-3)85.3531-21-03-1
74. North Carolina St (11-6)81.8341-31-12-2
85. Clemson (10-5)81.0670-42-02-1
86. Virginia (10-5)80.8281-31-13-1
107. Miami Fla (11-6)79.1861-32-01-2
114. Florida St (8-7)78.7612-30-12-1


BIG TEN AVERAGE = 85.162


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
2. Illinois (15-0)100.592-03-01-0
6. Michigan St (14-1)93.0991-12-01-0
7. Wisconsin (15-1)92.6152-14-02-0
25. Ohio St (15-2)87.8871-11-12-0
39. Iowa (13-3)85.4920-23-03-0
46. Minnesota (14-3)84.9241-12-02-1
48. Indiana (12-4)84.7312-12-11-2
71. Northwestern (12-4)82.0450-21-12-1
125. Michigan (11-7)78.1350-30-21-2
149. Purdue (6-9)76.3030-41-30-1
224. Penn St (3-10)70.9560-30-50-1


BIG TWELVE AVERAGE = 83.836


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
10. Kansas (15-1)91.6203-04-17-0
11. Oklahoma St (12-1)91.5182-13-03-0
12. Oklahoma (14-1)91.4974-11-03-0
31. Texas (14-2)86.5562-12-13-0
33. Texas Tech (13-2)86.4542-21-01-0
42. Texas AM (15-3)85.2372-22-02-1
55. Iowa St (13-3)83.9642-10-03-1
67. Missouri (14-5)82.3302-12-12-2
92. Kansas St (11-5)80.2340-31-04-0
95. Nebraska (10-6)79.9981-21-31-1
130. Colorado (8-6)77.5881-20-21-2
247. Baylor (7-9)69.0360-50-10-1


SOUTHEASTERN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 83.804


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
14. Kentucky (14-1)90.4111-14-01-0
15. LSU (14-1)90.1682-05-12-0
17. Alabama (14-1)89.9070-14-02-0
22. Vanderbilt (17-2)88.3231-22-07-0
28. Florida (13-3)86.9162-13-01-2
36. Mississippi St (11-2)85.7941-13-11-0
43. South Carolina (16-3)85.2351-12-16-0
62. Arkansas (13-3)83.2040-21-12-0
108. Tennessee (10-6)79.1030-33-11-1
131. Mississippi (8-6)77.4010-20-31-1
148. Auburn (8-7)76.3850-22-21-2
198. Georgia (7-9)72.8040-21-30-3


PACIFIC TEN AVERAGE = 83.758


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
4. Washington (14-0)96.5472-00-05-0
13. Arizona (15-1)91.1302-00-04-1
30. Oregon St (12-2)86.6411-10-05-0
32. Stanford (10-2)86.5432-00-02-2
59. UCLA (12-3)83.3971-10-03-1
88. Arizona St (13-5)80.7340-20-04-1
91. Oregon (9-5)80.2790-21-01-3
100. Washington St (5-5)79.7310-20-11-2
138. USC (7-7)77.0200-20-02-4
160. California (8-9)75.5620-20-02-5


BIG EAST AVERAGE = 82.532


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
19. Villanova (14-2)89.0901-13-03-1
21. Connecticut (14-3)88.3802-10-25-0
23. Boston College (16-1)88.1792-02-15-0
34. Syracuse (16-2)86.2150-11-15-0
66. West Virginia (11-3)82.4480-12-11-1
68. Pittsburgh (13-4)82.2871-11-12-1
79. Georgetown (12-5)81.4270-31-02-2
80. Notre Dame (13-5)81.3272-11-11-3
104. St Johns (9-7)79.5131-31-22-0
116. Providence (8-8)78.7190-30-22-2
141. Seton Hall (9-7)76.8680-31-10-2
153. Rutgers (6-8)75.9260-40-22-1


MOUNTAINWEST AVERAGE = 80.841


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
9. Utah (14-0)92.1550-02-02-0
20. New Mexico (17-1)88.8161-10-03-0
44. Air Force (11-1)85.1580-11-01-0
93. Wyoming (11-3)80.1950-11-03-1
126. Unlv (9-6)78.1120-20-13-1
136. Colorado St (9-4)77.1870-10-11-2
185. BYU (5-8)73.4470-31-00-2
216. San Diego St (5-9)71.6560-10-10-4


MISSOURI VALLEY AVERAGE = 80.636


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
16. Southern Ill (14-0)90.0720-01-03-0
51. Northern Iowa (12-2)84.4800-02-12-1
73. Wichita St (13-3)81.8740-01-12-1
82. Bradley (12-3)81.2330-00-24-0
83. SW Missouri St (13-4)81.1510-02-02-3
121. Indiana St (10-4)78.4150-01-12-1
123. Creighton (11-5)78.2100-00-12-2
137. Drake (9-6)77.0890-00-32-2
139. Evansville (10-5)76.9200-01-12-2
140. Illinois St (9-5)76.9180-00-21-2


WEST COAST CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 80.299


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
8. Gonzaga (13-0)92.6051-00-01-0
52. St Marys CA (13-1)84.2630-01-01-0
87. Pepperdine (8-3)80.7641-00-11-1
90. San Diego (9-3)80.3510-01-10-1
119. San Francisco (12-4)78.6400-01-03-1
151. Portland (7-5)76.0640-00-10-2
168. Loyola Marymnt (6-6)74.9040-10-11-1
169. Santa Clara (7-7)74.8040-00-12-1


CONFERENCE USA AVERAGE = 80.042


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
18. Cincinnati (15-2)89.2570-22-04-0
27. Louisville (15-2)87.3581-10-13-0
38. Charlotte (12-2)85.5211-11-03-0
54. Houston (12-2)84.0281-02-11-0
57. DePaul (14-3)83.7391-10-12-0
75. TCU (13-3)81.7711-11-10-1
76. Uab (11-3)81.6740-11-02-1
78. Memphis (16-7)81.5700-31-03-3
103. Marquette (14-6)79.5791-20-14-2
164. South Florida (8-5)75.2370-10-21-0
177. East Carolina (4-7)73.9020-10-12-1
192. St Louis (5-10)73.0350-11-21-3
197. Tulane (7-5)72.8170-11-00-3
222. SO Mississippi (5-6)71.1060-10-11-1


MID-AMERICAN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 79.618


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
37. Miami Ohio (12-1)85.5740-00-06-1
45. Toledo (10-1)84.9880-00-04-1
50. Akron (13-1)84.5050-00-04-1
58. Ohio (13-1)83.6610-00-05-1
64. Buffalo (13-2)82.7600-00-04-2
70. Kent (11-2)82.2150-00-14-0
97. Western Mich (10-3)79.9240-00-02-2
98. Bowling Green (11-3)79.8900-00-04-2
110. Ball St (10-3)78.9910-00-04-1
129. Northern Ill (7-4)77.7060-00-02-3
187. Eastern Mich (7-5)73.2560-00-01-3
213. Central Mich (6-7)71.8930-00-01-4
237. Marshall (4-8)69.6670-00-11-5


SUN BELT AVERAGE = 76.051


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
47. Ul Lafayette (10-1)84.8270-01-02-1
56. Denver (10-1)83.9380-00-01-1
61. Western KY (14-1)83.2720-00-02-0
77. Arkansas Lr (10-1)81.6470-01-02-0
124. Arkansas St (9-2)78.1830-00-03-0
146. Middle Tenn St (9-3)76.5640-00-00-1
152. New Orleans (8-3)76.0170-00-11-1
208. Florida Intl (7-7)72.2800-00-12-3
226. North Texas (7-7)70.8120-00-01-3
248. South Alabama (4-7)68.9470-00-10-2
316. New Mexico St (1-11)60.0710-00-10-4


WESTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 75.949


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
72. Texas El Paso (14-2)82.0170-10-01-1
102. Nevada (12-4)79.6800-01-12-1
106. Hawaii (13-4)79.3900-01-13-2
117. Rice (11-3)78.6960-00-00-2
142. SMU (9-4)76.7610-10-00-3
162. Louisiana Tech (8-4)75.3040-00-01-2
174. Fresno St (9-6)74.0110-00-11-4
195. Tulsa (8-8)72.8650-00-01-4
207. Boise St (10-7)72.3000-00-00-3
254. San Jose St (5-9)68.4650-00-11-2


BIG WEST AVERAGE = 75.715


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
24. Utah St (14-1)87.9321-00-11-0
49. Pacific (12-1)84.6271-00-02-0
96. CS Northridge (8-2)79.9671-00-10-0
101. CS Fullerton (9-2)79.6811-00-12-0
172. UC Santa Barbara (8-4)74.4640-10-11-0
176. UC Irvine (8-4)73.9050-10-10-1
184. Long Beach St (8-5)73.4590-10-10-1
229. Idaho (5-6)70.4101-00-10-2
253. UC Riverside (6-7)68.5390-10-10-1
298. Cal Poly (3-10)64.1630-20-10-1


HORIZON AVERAGE = 74.288


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
69. Wisc Milwaukee (11-1)82.2610-00-01-0
133. Wright St (11-4)77.3290-00-11-2
144. Illinois Chi (8-4)76.6930-10-11-0
158. Detroit (8-5)75.7160-00-11-1
161. Butler (8-4)75.3530-00-11-0
193. Wisc Green Bay (9-4)72.9940-01-00-0
214. Cleveland St (5-5)71.8660-00-10-1
215. Loyola Chi (6-6)71.7880-00-10-1
297. Youngstown St (3-10)64.5930-00-10-1


ATLANTIC TEN AVERAGE = 73.934


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
40. St Josephs (12-1)85.4820-00-04-0
94. Xavier (12-4)80.1370-02-20-2
109. Dayton (12-4)79.0240-10-13-0
132. Temple (8-5)77.3560-10-11-2
134. Massachusetts (12-5)77.3171-00-13-2
135. Geo Washington (9-3)77.2040-00-00-2
165. Richmond (8-4)75.2230-02-00-2
166. Fordham (9-4)75.0940-00-02-2
249. Rhode Island (5-9)68.9300-00-12-2
266. La Salle (4-7)67.5150-00-11-0
291. Duquesne (4-9)64.8850-00-20-3
320. St Bonaventure (1-11)59.0380-00-10-2


AMERICA EAST AVERAGE = 73.530


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
29. Vermont (13-0)86.7140-00-01-0
113. Boston U (10-2)78.7670-01-00-1
122. Northeastern (10-2)78.2900-00-11-0
180. Binghamton (8-5)73.6820-00-21-1
196. Albany NY (7-4)72.8550-00-10-1
220. Maine (6-4)71.2520-01-00-1
231. Stony Brook (8-5)70.1190-00-10-2
252. Hartford (7-5)68.5540-00-10-1
261. Umbc (7-5)67.9780-00-10-1
272. New Hampshire (5-6)67.0930-00-10-1


SOUTHERN AVERAGE = 73.127


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
81. Geo Southern (9-1)81.2650-00-00-0
118. Appalachian St (10-1)78.6670-00-00-0
128. Coll Of Charltn (13-3)77.7960-00-00-1
147. Davidson (8-3)76.5470-00-00-2
163. NC Greensboro (8-2)75.2620-00-00-0
167. Furman (8-2)74.9190-00-00-0
171. Chattanooga (10-3)74.5710-00-00-0
202. Wofford (6-3)72.5290-00-00-0
257. East Tenn St (5-6)68.2190-00-00-0
271. Westrn Carolina (4-6)67.0990-00-00-0
286. Elon (3-7)65.8310-00-00-1
293. The Citadel (4-6)64.8140-00-00-0


COLONIAL AVERAGE = 72.910


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
65. Old Dominion (14-1)82.4550-00-02-1
105. George Mason (10-2)79.4360-00-02-0
115. Hofstra (10-2)78.7600-00-00-1
145. NC Wilmington (11-2)76.5960-00-01-1
150. VA Commonwealth (11-4)76.2010-00-02-1
157. Drexel (8-3)75.7250-00-01-1
238. Delaware (7-6)69.6460-00-00-2
278. William & Mary (6-8)66.4270-00-00-3
304. Towson (3-10)62.8600-00-00-2
312. James Madison (4-9)60.9940-00-00-2


IVY LEAGUE AVERAGE = 72.261


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
60. Pennsylvania (12-1)83.3090-00-01-0
182. Princeton (7-3)73.5830-00-00-1
186. Harvard (8-4)73.3280-00-00-3
190. Yale (7-4)73.2010-00-01-0
225. Dartmouth (8-4)70.8340-00-00-2
233. Cornell (6-4)69.8670-00-00-1
267. Columbia (7-5)67.4730-00-00-1
276. Brown (5-6)66.4900-00-00-2


OHIO VALLEY AVERAGE = 71.566


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
53. Tennessee Tech (10-0)84.0440-00-00-0
143. Eastern KY (9-1)76.7300-00-00-0
156. Tennessee St (8-1)75.7310-00-00-0
200. Austin Peay (7-5)72.7530-00-00-2
201. SE Missouri St (6-4)72.6820-00-10-0
205. Murray St (8-4)72.4990-00-00-1
206. Samford (8-3)72.4700-00-00-0
221. Eastern Ill (8-4)71.1260-00-00-0
288. Morehead St (4-6)65.5260-00-00-0
300. Jacksonville St (3-6)63.4310-00-00-0
314. Tenn Martin (1-7)60.2330-00-00-0


MID-CONTINENT AVERAGE = 71.286


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
111. Oral Roberts (10-1)78.9520-00-00-0
189. Valparaiso (8-4)73.2070-01-00-2
194. Iupui (7-4)72.9500-00-00-2
199. Southern Utah (8-3)72.7690-00-00-1
203. Mo Kansas City (7-4)72.5190-00-01-1
210. Chicago St (6-4)72.2300-00-00-1
211. Western Ill (7-4)72.2080-00-01-0
228. Oakland (5-5)70.4610-00-00-1
323. Centenary (1-9)56.2780-00-00-1


METRO ATLANTIC ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 71.036


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
63. Niagara (13-0)82.7700-00-00-0
127. Manhattan (9-2)77.8880-00-10-0
178. Rider (8-3)73.8480-00-00-0
181. St Peters (9-2)73.6620-00-00-0
218. Iona (9-4)71.4600-00-00-0
245. Fairfield (7-5)69.2920-00-00-1
256. Canisius (6-6)68.2220-00-00-1
263. Marist (7-6)67.6180-00-00-0
305. Loyola MD (5-8)62.8150-00-00-0
306. Siena (3-10)62.7810-10-10-1


PATRIOT AVERAGE = 70.745


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
89. Bucknell (12-1)80.6620-00-01-0
112. Holy Cross (13-3)78.7800-00-10-0
154. American (9-3)75.8490-01-01-1
227. Colgate (6-4)70.8080-00-00-1
234. Lafayette (6-6)69.8220-00-01-2
255. Lehigh (7-5)68.3520-00-00-1
275. Navy (5-6)66.5750-00-00-1
324. Army (1-11)55.1100-00-00-1


BIG SKY AVERAGE = 70.639


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
159. Montana (10-2)75.6770-00-01-0
188. Portland St (11-2)73.2470-00-00-0
191. Montana St (9-3)73.0790-00-00-0
217. Weber St (9-3)71.6250-00-00-0
239. Northrn Arizona (6-4)69.6230-00-00-1
240. Sacramento St (8-4)69.6130-00-00-0
281. Idaho St (5-6)66.1770-00-00-0
283. Eastern Wash (4-6)66.0730-00-00-1


SOUTHLAND AVERAGE = 68.843


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
155. SE Louisiana (9-1)75.7830-00-00-0
170. Northwestern St (11-2)74.7910-00-00-0
179. Sam Houston (8-2)73.7630-00-00-0
212. Lamar (8-4)71.9240-00-01-0
235. Tex San Antonio (7-4)69.8160-00-00-0
236. McNeese St (6-4)69.7580-00-00-1
244. SW Texas St (6-3)69.3260-00-00-0
280. Stephen Austin (5-5)66.3040-00-00-0
282. Texas Arlington (5-5)66.1420-00-10-0
315. Nicholls St (3-7)60.1600-00-00-0
318. Ul Monroe (3-7)59.5040-00-00-0


ATLANTICSUN AVERAGE = 68.188


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
173. Gardner-Webb (9-2)74.2760-00-00-0
204. Central Florida (10-3)72.5150-00-00-0
209. Lipscomb (10-2)72.2420-00-00-0
232. Belmont (9-5)70.0020-00-00-0
241. Mercer (8-4)69.5830-00-00-0
242. Georgia St (7-4)69.5270-00-01-0
259. Jacksonville (7-4)67.9820-00-00-0
265. Troy St (5-5)67.5200-00-00-0
277. Stetson (5-5)66.4280-00-00-0
307. Fla Atlantic (3-8)62.6890-00-00-0
322. Campbell (1-10)57.3020-00-00-0


BIG SOUTH AVERAGE = 67.961


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
84. Winthrop (13-0)81.1310-00-00-0
243. High Point (8-4)69.4540-00-00-0
258. Liberty (7-5)68.0150-00-00-1
270. Coast Carolina (6-5)67.1600-00-00-0
273. Birmingham Southern (6-4)66.8930-00-00-0
274. NC Asheville (6-5)66.8500-00-00-0
285. Charleston Sou (6-5)65.8580-00-00-0
295. Radford (5-5)64.6990-00-00-0
310. VMI (4-7)61.5890-00-01-0


NORTHEASTERN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 67.021


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
175. St Francis PA (10-2)73.9630-00-11-0
230. Fair Dickinson (11-3)70.3500-00-00-0
246. Liu Brooklyn (9-3)69.0970-00-00-0
264. St Francis NY (8-4)67.5330-00-00-0
268. Monmouth NJ (9-5)67.4300-00-00-0
287. Central Conn (7-6)65.7840-00-00-0
290. Wagner (6-6)65.1920-00-00-0
294. Robert Morris (6-6)64.7430-00-00-0
319. Mt St Marys (3-8)59.0940-00-00-0


INDEPENDENTS AVERAGE = 65.624


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
99. Utah Valley St (10-1)79.8550-00-00-1
120. Texas A&M-CC (8-2)78.4400-10-02-0
223. TX Pan American (7-3)70.9640-00-00-0
251. IPFW (5-5)68.6601-00-00-1
279. UC Davis (4-7)66.3630-00-10-2
308. Northern Colorado (3-5)62.6100-00-00-1
327. Longwood (1-10)51.1770-00-00-1
330. Savannah St (0-12)46.9230-00-00-0


MID-EASTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 63.339


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
183. Morgan St (10-1)73.4780-00-00-0
219. Delaware St (9-1)71.4350-00-00-0
250. Hampton (7-2)68.9230-00-00-0
262. SO Carolina St (6-3)67.6350-00-00-0
284. Coppin St (6-3)65.9270-00-00-0
292. Florida A&M (7-3)64.8460-00-00-0
302. Norfolk St (6-4)63.0470-00-00-0
311. Bethune Cookman (6-5)61.3740-00-00-0
313. NO Carolina A&T (5-7)60.6040-00-00-0
328. Howard (2-9)50.6080-00-00-0
329. MD Eastrn Shore (1-11)48.8550-00-00-0


SOUTHWESTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 61.685


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
260. Miss Valley St (8-2)67.9780-00-00-0
269. Southern (9-2)67.1890-00-00-0
289. Alabama St (9-4)65.3780-10-00-0
299. Grambling (7-3)64.0580-00-00-0
301. Alabama A&M (7-3)63.2850-00-00-0
303. Jackson St (8-5)62.9450-00-00-0
309. Texas Southern (6-5)61.7120-00-00-0
321. Alcorn St (4-7)57.3310-00-00-0
325. Ark Pine Bluff (2-7)53.6550-00-00-0
326. Prairie View (2-9)53.3170-00-00-0
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