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Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

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  Printable NCAA Bracket
2008 Printable NCAA Tournament Bracket

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Games against non-D1 teams not considered in power rankings or predictions.

Home Ratings

By division
Last Updated Thu Aug 18 11:15:49 EDT 2005

Home Advantage = 3.8097

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
1. North Carolina (15-0)102.114-03-03-0
2. Illinois (15-0)100.592-03-01-0
3. Wake Forest (16-0)99.1425-02-03-0
4. Washington (14-0)96.5472-00-05-0
5. Duke (14-1)94.3534-01-15-0
6. Michigan St (14-1)93.0991-12-01-0
7. Wisconsin (15-1)92.6152-14-02-0
8. Gonzaga (13-0)92.6051-00-01-0
9. Utah (14-0)92.1550-02-02-0
10. Kansas (15-1)91.6203-04-17-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
11. Oklahoma St (12-1)91.5182-13-03-0
12. Oklahoma (14-1)91.4974-11-03-0
13. Arizona (15-1)91.1302-00-04-1
14. Kentucky (14-1)90.4111-14-01-0
15. LSU (14-1)90.1682-05-12-0
16. Southern Ill (14-0)90.0720-01-03-0
17. Alabama (14-1)89.9070-14-02-0
18. Cincinnati (15-2)89.2570-22-04-0
19. Villanova (14-2)89.0901-13-03-1
20. New Mexico (17-1)88.8161-10-03-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
21. Connecticut (14-3)88.3802-10-25-0
22. Vanderbilt (17-2)88.3231-22-07-0
23. Boston College (16-1)88.1792-02-15-0
24. Utah St (14-1)87.9321-00-11-0
25. Ohio St (15-2)87.8871-11-12-0
26. Maryland (15-3)87.5242-20-16-0
27. Louisville (15-2)87.3581-10-13-0
28. Florida (13-3)86.9162-13-01-2
29. Vermont (13-0)86.7140-00-01-0
30. Oregon St (12-2)86.6411-10-05-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
31. Texas (14-2)86.5562-12-13-0
32. Stanford (10-2)86.5432-00-02-2
33. Texas Tech (13-2)86.4542-21-01-0
34. Syracuse (16-2)86.2150-11-15-0
35. Virginia Tech (13-3)86.1022-22-03-1
36. Mississippi St (11-2)85.7941-13-11-0
37. Miami Ohio (12-1)85.5740-00-06-1
38. Charlotte (12-2)85.5211-11-03-0
39. Iowa (13-3)85.4920-23-03-0
40. St Josephs (12-1)85.4820-00-04-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
41. Georgia Tech (12-3)85.3531-21-03-1
42. Texas AM (15-3)85.2372-22-02-1
43. South Carolina (16-3)85.2351-12-16-0
44. Air Force (11-1)85.1580-11-01-0
45. Toledo (10-1)84.9880-00-04-1
46. Minnesota (14-3)84.9241-12-02-1
47. Ul Lafayette (10-1)84.8270-01-02-1
48. Indiana (12-4)84.7312-12-11-2
49. Pacific (12-1)84.6271-00-02-0
50. Akron (13-1)84.5050-00-04-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
51. Northern Iowa (12-2)84.4800-02-12-1
52. St Marys CA (13-1)84.2630-01-01-0
53. Tennessee Tech (10-0)84.0440-00-00-0
54. Houston (12-2)84.0281-02-11-0
55. Iowa St (13-3)83.9642-10-03-1
56. Denver (10-1)83.9380-00-01-1
57. DePaul (14-3)83.7391-10-12-0
58. Ohio (13-1)83.6610-00-05-1
59. UCLA (12-3)83.3971-10-03-1
60. Pennsylvania (12-1)83.3090-00-01-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
61. Western KY (14-1)83.2720-00-02-0
62. Arkansas (13-3)83.2040-21-12-0
63. Niagara (13-0)82.7700-00-00-0
64. Buffalo (13-2)82.7600-00-04-2
65. Old Dominion (14-1)82.4550-00-02-1
66. West Virginia (11-3)82.4480-12-11-1
67. Missouri (14-5)82.3302-12-12-2
68. Pittsburgh (13-4)82.2871-11-12-1
69. Wisc Milwaukee (11-1)82.2610-00-01-0
70. Kent (11-2)82.2150-00-14-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
71. Northwestern (12-4)82.0450-21-12-1
72. Texas El Paso (14-2)82.0170-10-01-1
73. Wichita St (13-3)81.8740-01-12-1
74. North Carolina St (11-6)81.8341-31-12-2
75. TCU (13-3)81.7711-11-10-1
76. Uab (11-3)81.6740-11-02-1
77. Arkansas Lr (10-1)81.6470-01-02-0
78. Memphis (16-7)81.5700-31-03-3
79. Georgetown (12-5)81.4270-31-02-2
80. Notre Dame (13-5)81.3272-11-11-3

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
81. Geo Southern (9-1)81.2650-00-00-0
82. Bradley (12-3)81.2330-00-24-0
83. SW Missouri St (13-4)81.1510-02-02-3
84. Winthrop (13-0)81.1310-00-00-0
85. Clemson (10-5)81.0670-42-02-1
86. Virginia (10-5)80.8281-31-13-1
87. Pepperdine (8-3)80.7641-00-11-1
88. Arizona St (13-5)80.7340-20-04-1
89. Bucknell (12-1)80.6620-00-01-0
90. San Diego (9-3)80.3510-01-10-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
91. Oregon (9-5)80.2790-21-01-3
92. Kansas St (11-5)80.2340-31-04-0
93. Wyoming (11-3)80.1950-11-03-1
94. Xavier (12-4)80.1370-02-20-2
95. Nebraska (10-6)79.9981-21-31-1
96. CS Northridge (8-2)79.9671-00-10-0
97. Western Mich (10-3)79.9240-00-02-2
98. Bowling Green (11-3)79.8900-00-04-2
99. Utah Valley St (10-1)79.8550-00-00-1
100. Washington St (5-5)79.7310-20-11-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
101. CS Fullerton (9-2)79.6811-00-12-0
102. Nevada (12-4)79.6800-01-12-1
103. Marquette (14-6)79.5791-20-14-2
104. St Johns (9-7)79.5131-31-22-0
105. George Mason (10-2)79.4360-00-02-0
106. Hawaii (13-4)79.3900-01-13-2
107. Miami Fla (11-6)79.1861-32-01-2
108. Tennessee (10-6)79.1030-33-11-1
109. Dayton (12-4)79.0240-10-13-0
110. Ball St (10-3)78.9910-00-04-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
111. Oral Roberts (10-1)78.9520-00-00-0
112. Holy Cross (13-3)78.7800-00-10-0
113. Boston U (10-2)78.7670-01-00-1
114. Florida St (8-7)78.7612-30-12-1
115. Hofstra (10-2)78.7600-00-00-1
116. Providence (8-8)78.7190-30-22-2
117. Rice (11-3)78.6960-00-00-2
118. Appalachian St (10-1)78.6670-00-00-0
119. San Francisco (12-4)78.6400-01-03-1
120. Texas A&M-CC (8-2)78.4400-10-02-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
121. Indiana St (10-4)78.4150-01-12-1
122. Northeastern (10-2)78.2900-00-11-0
123. Creighton (11-5)78.2100-00-12-2
124. Arkansas St (9-2)78.1830-00-03-0
125. Michigan (11-7)78.1350-30-21-2
126. Unlv (9-6)78.1120-20-13-1
127. Manhattan (9-2)77.8880-00-10-0
128. Coll Of Charltn (13-3)77.7960-00-00-1
129. Northern Ill (7-4)77.7060-00-02-3
130. Colorado (8-6)77.5881-20-21-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
131. Mississippi (8-6)77.4010-20-31-1
132. Temple (8-5)77.3560-10-11-2
133. Wright St (11-4)77.3290-00-11-2
134. Massachusetts (12-5)77.3171-00-13-2
135. Geo Washington (9-3)77.2040-00-00-2
136. Colorado St (9-4)77.1870-10-11-2
137. Drake (9-6)77.0890-00-32-2
138. USC (7-7)77.0200-20-02-4
139. Evansville (10-5)76.9200-01-12-2
140. Illinois St (9-5)76.9180-00-21-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
141. Seton Hall (9-7)76.8680-31-10-2
142. SMU (9-4)76.7610-10-00-3
143. Eastern KY (9-1)76.7300-00-00-0
144. Illinois Chi (8-4)76.6930-10-11-0
145. NC Wilmington (11-2)76.5960-00-01-1
146. Middle Tenn St (9-3)76.5640-00-00-1
147. Davidson (8-3)76.5470-00-00-2
148. Auburn (8-7)76.3850-22-21-2
149. Purdue (6-9)76.3030-41-30-1
150. VA Commonwealth (11-4)76.2010-00-02-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
151. Portland (7-5)76.0640-00-10-2
152. New Orleans (8-3)76.0170-00-11-1
153. Rutgers (6-8)75.9260-40-22-1
154. American (9-3)75.8490-01-01-1
155. SE Louisiana (9-1)75.7830-00-00-0
156. Tennessee St (8-1)75.7310-00-00-0
157. Drexel (8-3)75.7250-00-01-1
158. Detroit (8-5)75.7160-00-11-1
159. Montana (10-2)75.6770-00-01-0
160. California (8-9)75.5620-20-02-5

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
161. Butler (8-4)75.3530-00-11-0
162. Louisiana Tech (8-4)75.3040-00-01-2
163. NC Greensboro (8-2)75.2620-00-00-0
164. South Florida (8-5)75.2370-10-21-0
165. Richmond (8-4)75.2230-02-00-2
166. Fordham (9-4)75.0940-00-02-2
167. Furman (8-2)74.9190-00-00-0
168. Loyola Marymnt (6-6)74.9040-10-11-1
169. Santa Clara (7-7)74.8040-00-12-1
170. Northwestern St (11-2)74.7910-00-00-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
171. Chattanooga (10-3)74.5710-00-00-0
172. UC Santa Barbara (8-4)74.4640-10-11-0
173. Gardner-Webb (9-2)74.2760-00-00-0
174. Fresno St (9-6)74.0110-00-11-4
175. St Francis PA (10-2)73.9630-00-11-0
176. UC Irvine (8-4)73.9050-10-10-1
177. East Carolina (4-7)73.9020-10-12-1
178. Rider (8-3)73.8480-00-00-0
179. Sam Houston (8-2)73.7630-00-00-0
180. Binghamton (8-5)73.6820-00-21-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
181. St Peters (9-2)73.6620-00-00-0
182. Princeton (7-3)73.5830-00-00-1
183. Morgan St (10-1)73.4780-00-00-0
184. Long Beach St (8-5)73.4590-10-10-1
185. BYU (5-8)73.4470-31-00-2
186. Harvard (8-4)73.3280-00-00-3
187. Eastern Mich (7-5)73.2560-00-01-3
188. Portland St (11-2)73.2470-00-00-0
189. Valparaiso (8-4)73.2070-01-00-2
190. Yale (7-4)73.2010-00-01-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
191. Montana St (9-3)73.0790-00-00-0
192. St Louis (5-10)73.0350-11-21-3
193. Wisc Green Bay (9-4)72.9940-01-00-0
194. Iupui (7-4)72.9500-00-00-2
195. Tulsa (8-8)72.8650-00-01-4
196. Albany NY (7-4)72.8550-00-10-1
197. Tulane (7-5)72.8170-11-00-3
198. Georgia (7-9)72.8040-21-30-3
199. Southern Utah (8-3)72.7690-00-00-1
200. Austin Peay (7-5)72.7530-00-00-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
201. SE Missouri St (6-4)72.6820-00-10-0
202. Wofford (6-3)72.5290-00-00-0
203. Mo Kansas City (7-4)72.5190-00-01-1
204. Central Florida (10-3)72.5150-00-00-0
205. Murray St (8-4)72.4990-00-00-1
206. Samford (8-3)72.4700-00-00-0
207. Boise St (10-7)72.3000-00-00-3
208. Florida Intl (7-7)72.2800-00-12-3
209. Lipscomb (10-2)72.2420-00-00-0
210. Chicago St (6-4)72.2300-00-00-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
211. Western Ill (7-4)72.2080-00-01-0
212. Lamar (8-4)71.9240-00-01-0
213. Central Mich (6-7)71.8930-00-01-4
214. Cleveland St (5-5)71.8660-00-10-1
215. Loyola Chi (6-6)71.7880-00-10-1
216. San Diego St (5-9)71.6560-10-10-4
217. Weber St (9-3)71.6250-00-00-0
218. Iona (9-4)71.4600-00-00-0
219. Delaware St (9-1)71.4350-00-00-0
220. Maine (6-4)71.2520-01-00-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
221. Eastern Ill (8-4)71.1260-00-00-0
222. SO Mississippi (5-6)71.1060-10-11-1
223. TX Pan American (7-3)70.9640-00-00-0
224. Penn St (3-10)70.9560-30-50-1
225. Dartmouth (8-4)70.8340-00-00-2
226. North Texas (7-7)70.8120-00-01-3
227. Colgate (6-4)70.8080-00-00-1
228. Oakland (5-5)70.4610-00-00-1
229. Idaho (5-6)70.4101-00-10-2
230. Fair Dickinson (11-3)70.3500-00-00-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
231. Stony Brook (8-5)70.1190-00-10-2
232. Belmont (9-5)70.0020-00-00-0
233. Cornell (6-4)69.8670-00-00-1
234. Lafayette (6-6)69.8220-00-01-2
235. Tex San Antonio (7-4)69.8160-00-00-0
236. McNeese St (6-4)69.7580-00-00-1
237. Marshall (4-8)69.6670-00-11-5
238. Delaware (7-6)69.6460-00-00-2
239. Northrn Arizona (6-4)69.6230-00-00-1
240. Sacramento St (8-4)69.6130-00-00-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
241. Mercer (8-4)69.5830-00-00-0
242. Georgia St (7-4)69.5270-00-01-0
243. High Point (8-4)69.4540-00-00-0
244. SW Texas St (6-3)69.3260-00-00-0
245. Fairfield (7-5)69.2920-00-00-1
246. Liu Brooklyn (9-3)69.0970-00-00-0
247. Baylor (7-9)69.0360-50-10-1
248. South Alabama (4-7)68.9470-00-10-2
249. Rhode Island (5-9)68.9300-00-12-2
250. Hampton (7-2)68.9230-00-00-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
251. IPFW (5-5)68.6601-00-00-1
252. Hartford (7-5)68.5540-00-10-1
253. UC Riverside (6-7)68.5390-10-10-1
254. San Jose St (5-9)68.4650-00-11-2
255. Lehigh (7-5)68.3520-00-00-1
256. Canisius (6-6)68.2220-00-00-1
257. East Tenn St (5-6)68.2190-00-00-0
258. Liberty (7-5)68.0150-00-00-1
259. Jacksonville (7-4)67.9820-00-00-0
260. Miss Valley St (8-2)67.9780-00-00-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
261. Umbc (7-5)67.9780-00-10-1
262. SO Carolina St (6-3)67.6350-00-00-0
263. Marist (7-6)67.6180-00-00-0
264. St Francis NY (8-4)67.5330-00-00-0
265. Troy St (5-5)67.5200-00-00-0
266. La Salle (4-7)67.5150-00-11-0
267. Columbia (7-5)67.4730-00-00-1
268. Monmouth NJ (9-5)67.4300-00-00-0
269. Southern (9-2)67.1890-00-00-0
270. Coast Carolina (6-5)67.1600-00-00-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
271. Westrn Carolina (4-6)67.0990-00-00-0
272. New Hampshire (5-6)67.0930-00-10-1
273. Birmingham Southern (6-4)66.8930-00-00-0
274. NC Asheville (6-5)66.8500-00-00-0
275. Navy (5-6)66.5750-00-00-1
276. Brown (5-6)66.4900-00-00-2
277. Stetson (5-5)66.4280-00-00-0
278. William & Mary (6-8)66.4270-00-00-3
279. UC Davis (4-7)66.3630-00-10-2
280. Stephen Austin (5-5)66.3040-00-00-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
281. Idaho St (5-6)66.1770-00-00-0
282. Texas Arlington (5-5)66.1420-00-10-0
283. Eastern Wash (4-6)66.0730-00-00-1
284. Coppin St (6-3)65.9270-00-00-0
285. Charleston Sou (6-5)65.8580-00-00-0
286. Elon (3-7)65.8310-00-00-1
287. Central Conn (7-6)65.7840-00-00-0
288. Morehead St (4-6)65.5260-00-00-0
289. Alabama St (9-4)65.3780-10-00-0
290. Wagner (6-6)65.1920-00-00-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
291. Duquesne (4-9)64.8850-00-20-3
292. Florida A&M (7-3)64.8460-00-00-0
293. The Citadel (4-6)64.8140-00-00-0
294. Robert Morris (6-6)64.7430-00-00-0
295. Radford (5-5)64.6990-00-00-0
296. Quinnipiac (6-5)64.6600-00-00-0
297. Youngstown St (3-10)64.5930-00-10-1
298. Cal Poly (3-10)64.1630-20-10-1
299. Grambling (7-3)64.0580-00-00-0
300. Jacksonville St (3-6)63.4310-00-00-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
301. Alabama A&M (7-3)63.2850-00-00-0
302. Norfolk St (6-4)63.0470-00-00-0
303. Jackson St (8-5)62.9450-00-00-0
304. Towson (3-10)62.8600-00-00-2
305. Loyola MD (5-8)62.8150-00-00-0
306. Siena (3-10)62.7810-10-10-1
307. Fla Atlantic (3-8)62.6890-00-00-0
308. Northern Colorado (3-5)62.6100-00-00-1
309. Texas Southern (6-5)61.7120-00-00-0
310. VMI (4-7)61.5890-00-01-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
311. Bethune Cookman (6-5)61.3740-00-00-0
312. James Madison (4-9)60.9940-00-00-2
313. NO Carolina A&T (5-7)60.6040-00-00-0
314. Tenn Martin (1-7)60.2330-00-00-0
315. Nicholls St (3-7)60.1600-00-00-0
316. New Mexico St (1-11)60.0710-00-10-4
317. Sacred Heart (3-8)59.5940-00-00-0
318. Ul Monroe (3-7)59.5040-00-00-0
319. Mt St Marys (3-8)59.0940-00-00-0
320. St Bonaventure (1-11)59.0380-00-10-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
321. Alcorn St (4-7)57.3310-00-00-0
322. Campbell (1-10)57.3020-00-00-0
323. Centenary (1-9)56.2780-00-00-1
324. Army (1-11)55.1100-00-00-1
325. Ark Pine Bluff (2-7)53.6550-00-00-0
326. Prairie View (2-9)53.3170-00-00-0
327. Longwood (1-10)51.1770-00-00-1
328. Howard (2-9)50.6080-00-00-0
329. MD Eastrn Shore (1-11)48.8550-00-00-0
330. Savannah St (0-12)46.9230-00-00-0
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