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NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

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  Printable NCAA Bracket
2008 Printable NCAA Tournament Bracket

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Games against non-D1 teams not considered in power rankings or predictions.

League Power Rankings

By division
Last Updated Thu Aug 18 11:15:55 EDT 2005

Home Advantage = 3.8097

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
1. Illinois (18-1)98.4904-05-11-0
2. North Carolina (15-3)95.2674-35-06-0
3. Duke (14-5)92.9367-21-26-1
4. Wake Forest (13-4)92.4235-32-06-1
5. Louisville (17-2)92.1162-04-14-0
6. Florida (15-4)91.8774-16-22-1
7. Connecticut (14-4)91.5713-12-25-1
8. Kentucky (16-3)91.4742-27-14-0
9. Washington (17-4)91.2112-10-010-2
10. Arizona (17-4)91.0241-20-08-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
11. Michigan St (13-4)90.7081-24-10-1
12. Oklahoma St (14-5)89.9515-43-02-1
13. Syracuse (14-5)89.8952-22-35-0
14. Utah (15-2)89.7300-01-25-0
15. Boston College (13-4)89.5273-12-23-1
16. Wisconsin (13-6)89.4861-45-11-1
17. Oklahoma (13-5)89.2245-32-13-1
18. Gonzaga (14-2)89.2070-00-02-1
19. Alabama (13-5)88.8760-36-24-0
20. Kansas (13-5)88.7652-32-16-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
21. LSU (13-5)88.6092-35-12-1
22. Pacific (19-1)88.3772-10-03-0
23. Villanova (12-6)88.1330-24-24-2
24. Georgia Tech (10-9)87.4502-72-16-1
25. North Carolina St (9-10)87.3573-63-03-4
26. Pittsburgh (10-7)87.2133-31-23-1
27. Texas Tech (12-7)87.1734-52-23-0
28. Cincinnati (12-5)86.7770-22-03-2
29. New Mexico (13-4)86.7652-10-03-1
30. Southern Ill (16-4)86.5880-02-03-4

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
31. Minnesota (11-7)86.2481-43-12-1
32. Stanford (12-8)85.8752-30-05-4
33. St Josephs (16-3)85.6540-01-14-0
34. St Marys CA (12-4)85.4550-01-20-0
35. Indiana (10-7)85.3682-22-40-0
36. UC Davis (2-0)85.1910-00-00-0
37. West Virginia (11-9)85.1261-43-23-2
38. Notre Dame (9-8)85.0122-42-22-1
39. Iowa St (10-8)84.9994-30-13-3
40. Utah St (15-5)84.7210-01-21-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
41. Pennsylvania (13-1)84.6530-00-00-0
42. Wisc Milwaukee (16-2)84.5820-00-00-0
43. Charlotte (12-5)84.5171-22-12-0
44. UCLA (11-8)84.4941-30-06-2
45. Nevada (16-3)84.4450-00-03-1
46. Creighton (14-7)84.4390-00-26-2
47. Virginia Tech (8-9)84.4343-52-23-2
48. Ohio St (9-9)84.2931-51-31-1
49. Vermont (19-2)84.2650-00-01-1
50. Texas (9-8)84.0933-41-23-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
51. Memphis (12-8)83.9061-30-13-2
52. Davidson (17-1)83.7430-00-00-0
53. Texas AM (8-9)83.6712-71-02-2
54. Mississippi St (10-8)83.6381-44-22-1
55. Iowa (9-10)83.6331-52-21-0
56. Texas El Paso (17-4)83.6270-00-04-1
57. Maryland (7-10)83.3563-50-34-2
58. Wichita St (13-7)83.3370-01-43-1
59. DePaul (11-7)83.0591-20-31-1
60. Old Dominion (18-3)83.0330-00-02-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
61. SW Missouri St (12-9)83.0180-04-21-4
62. Georgetown (9-9)82.9111-52-11-2
63. Uab (11-7)82.8770-31-02-2
64. Geo Washington (14-5)82.7590-00-03-3
65. Miami Fla (7-10)82.6861-73-03-3
66. Ohio (15-7)82.6580-00-09-4
67. Vanderbilt (8-9)82.6081-42-33-0
68. Oregon St (9-11)82.4931-40-06-5
69. Clemson (6-12)82.3050-83-03-4
70. Ul Lafayette (14-4)82.2520-00-02-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
71. Buffalo (14-8)82.1970-00-07-7
72. Miami Ohio (13-7)82.1130-00-06-5
73. Missouri (8-10)82.0902-51-23-2
74. Kansas St (7-11)81.9570-72-23-1
75. Northeastern (17-4)81.8530-00-32-0
76. Denver (14-4)81.8450-00-03-2
77. Holy Cross (15-2)81.7410-00-00-0
78. Northern Iowa (11-8)81.6670-01-33-2
79. Tennessee (7-11)81.5251-54-40-1
80. Washington St (7-12)81.4971-30-03-6

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
81. Air Force (9-6)81.4430-21-11-1
82. Nebraska (7-10)81.3101-52-11-4
83. Winthrop (18-1)81.2480-00-00-0
84. Akron (12-8)80.9200-00-05-7
85. Arizona St (7-12)80.7030-50-05-3
86. Western Mich (12-8)80.6780-00-04-5
87. South Carolina (7-10)80.6651-42-32-2
88. Rice (13-7)80.6530-00-00-5
89. Kent (12-8)80.3950-00-05-6
90. Northwestern (7-11)80.1660-62-21-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
91. San Diego (8-8)80.0850-00-30-2
92. Houston (9-8)80.0671-11-11-3
93. Toledo (11-8)80.0310-00-03-5
94. Florida St (4-13)79.9802-70-32-3
95. Xavier (11-7)79.9100-02-00-3
96. CS Northridge (13-7)79.8581-10-30-0
97. VA Commonwealth (15-6)79.8380-00-02-3
98. Unlv (8-8)79.7450-30-21-1
99. Santa Clara (8-8)79.7380-00-22-1
100. TCU (9-9)79.7120-32-10-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
101. Providence (4-13)79.5360-50-61-1
102. Temple (12-6)79.5280-00-21-2
103. Arkansas (6-11)79.4310-41-53-1
104. Oral Roberts (15-4)79.4240-00-00-0
105. Virginia (5-13)79.2221-81-23-3
106. Ball St (10-9)79.1760-00-05-5
107. Oregon (6-12)78.9390-40-02-6
108. SE Louisiana (16-3)78.7210-00-00-0
109. Wyoming (7-8)78.6090-21-11-4
110. Bucknell (13-4)78.5520-00-02-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
111. Arkansas Lr (10-5)78.5420-00-03-1
112. CS Fullerton (13-7)78.5171-20-22-0
113. Colorado (5-13)78.3772-61-22-4
114. Boston U (14-5)78.3170-01-10-0
115. Detroit (11-8)78.3060-01-20-0
116. USC (5-13)78.1720-40-02-8
117. Bowling Green (11-9)78.1440-00-05-6
118. Hofstra (13-7)78.1230-00-01-2
119. California (6-13)78.1020-50-05-5
120. Marquette (7-10)78.0940-30-21-4

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
121. South Florida (7-12)78.0611-20-41-2
122. Drake (8-12)78.0520-00-41-6
123. Mississippi (5-13)78.0100-51-81-0
124. St Louis (6-11)78.0000-21-21-4
125. San Francisco (7-9)77.9720-01-10-2
126. Western KY (10-6)77.9480-00-01-2
127. Pepperdine (7-9)77.8970-00-20-2
128. Dayton (11-7)77.7230-00-22-3
129. Illinois St (8-11)77.7190-01-41-5
130. NC Wilmington (14-6)77.6350-00-01-3

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
131. Auburn (5-13)77.4590-44-61-2
132. Drexel (12-7)77.4430-00-02-3
133. Seton Hall (4-13)77.3840-41-40-4
134. Utah Valley St (9-1)77.3780-00-00-0
135. St Johns (3-13)77.0170-41-41-3
136. Purdue (3-14)76.8110-61-50-2
137. Niagara (15-5)76.6370-00-00-0
138. Mo Kansas City (12-5)76.6200-00-02-0
139. Arkansas St (8-8)76.3350-00-02-3
140. SMU (9-10)76.3200-00-00-7

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
141. Middle Tenn St (8-8)76.2790-00-00-5
142. Northwestern St (15-4)76.1430-00-00-0
143. Eastern KY (14-5)76.1210-00-00-0
144. Tennessee Tech (13-5)75.9970-00-00-0
145. Loyola Chi (10-9)75.9440-00-30-0
146. Chattanooga (13-6)75.9380-00-00-0
147. Geo Southern (11-7)75.8780-00-00-0
148. Indiana St (6-14)75.7860-01-42-4
149. Wisc Green Bay (10-7)75.7360-01-10-0
150. Rutgers (3-15)75.6450-50-42-4

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
151. Rider (15-6)75.4820-00-00-0
152. Louisiana Tech (9-10)75.4700-00-01-5
153. Michigan (4-13)75.4360-51-30-2
154. Richmond (9-9)75.3870-01-10-5
155. San Diego St (5-11)75.3700-20-32-3
156. Bradley (6-13)75.3620-00-43-3
157. Coll Of Charltn (10-7)75.2810-00-00-0
158. Northern Ill (7-12)75.2180-00-02-8
159. Fresno St (10-10)75.0190-00-02-4
160. Fordham (9-9)75.0080-00-22-3

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
161. Central Florida (16-7)74.9620-00-00-0
162. Appalachian St (11-8)74.9540-00-00-0
163. Sam Houston (12-6)74.8450-00-00-0
164. NC Greensboro (11-8)74.6250-00-00-0
165. Massachusetts (9-8)74.6060-01-01-4
166. Murray St (11-6)74.5100-00-00-0
167. George Mason (10-9)74.4630-00-02-2
168. Hawaii (8-12)74.4200-00-01-6
169. Fair Dickinson (14-4)74.3930-00-00-0
170. Austin Peay (11-8)74.3700-00-00-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
171. New Orleans (7-9)74.3260-00-01-5
172. Iupui (10-8)74.3210-00-00-3
173. Portland (4-11)74.2510-00-20-2
174. Evansville (5-14)74.2250-01-31-5
175. Illinois Chi (9-9)74.1870-00-20-0
176. Portland St (11-4)74.1690-00-00-0
177. Valparaiso (10-7)74.1130-00-00-2
178. Wright St (9-9)74.0670-00-20-0
179. Delaware St (17-4)74.0640-00-00-0
180. SE Missouri St (10-8)74.0500-00-00-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
181. East Carolina (4-12)74.0070-21-21-3
182. Monmouth NJ (12-4)73.9180-00-00-0
183. Boise St (9-13)73.8640-00-01-7
184. Montana (12-5)73.8060-00-00-0
185. Oakland (10-9)73.6780-00-01-2
186. Furman (9-8)73.4820-00-00-0
187. Butler (7-10)73.4150-00-20-0
188. Cornell (8-6)73.3940-00-00-2
189. Gardner-Webb (15-8)73.2330-00-00-0
190. Fairfield (12-8)73.2180-00-00-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
191. UC Irvine (9-11)73.0520-20-20-3
192. Albany NY (9-10)73.0470-00-20-2
193. Georgia (2-15)72.9910-51-70-3
194. BYU (3-12)72.8840-21-21-3
195. Loyola Marymnt (3-12)72.8180-00-20-2
196. Colorado St (3-12)72.7690-30-20-4
197. Samford (10-7)72.7200-00-00-0
198. South Alabama (6-10)72.7010-00-00-5
199. Lamar (10-8)72.6430-00-00-0
200. Florida Intl (6-11)72.6010-00-01-4

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
201. Yale (7-7)72.5370-00-01-1
202. Harvard (7-7)72.5110-00-00-2
203. American (9-7)72.4430-00-00-2
204. Binghamton (9-11)72.3630-00-31-1
205. Belmont (13-9)72.2810-00-00-0
206. Lehigh (8-8)72.1960-00-00-3
207. UC Santa Barbara (8-12)72.1790-20-21-1
208. Hampton (15-6)72.1300-00-00-0
209. La Salle (6-12)72.0700-00-21-4
210. Tulane (4-13)72.0670-21-20-5

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
211. Maine (9-11)72.0640-01-11-2
212. Texas A&M-CC (8-2)72.0420-00-00-0
213. Eastern Mich (5-14)71.9360-00-01-9
214. Dartmouth (7-7)71.9040-00-00-2
215. Iona (11-10)71.8230-00-00-0
216. Tex San Antonio (10-7)71.8040-00-00-0
217. Liberty (11-6)71.7340-00-00-0
218. Montana St (9-6)71.6330-00-00-0
219. Tennessee St (9-8)71.5780-00-00-0
220. Wagner (10-8)71.4540-00-00-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
221. Cleveland St (6-11)71.4330-00-20-0
222. Chicago St (8-10)71.3550-00-00-2
223. St Peters (10-9)71.3030-00-00-0
224. Tulsa (5-14)71.2670-00-01-5
225. North Texas (6-10)71.2060-00-01-4
226. Manhattan (10-10)71.1850-00-00-0
227. Weber St (9-8)71.1800-00-00-0
228. Princeton (6-8)71.0910-00-00-2
229. Long Beach St (7-12)71.0450-20-20-2
230. Western Ill (7-10)71.0010-00-01-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
231. Georgia St (11-10)70.9020-00-00-0
232. Fla Atlantic (10-10)70.8800-00-00-0
233. Central Mich (4-15)70.8340-00-01-10
234. Marshall (3-16)70.8310-00-01-12
235. Jacksonville (12-10)70.7710-00-00-0
236. Wofford (7-10)70.7360-00-00-0
237. Mercer (11-10)70.7240-00-00-0
238. Coppin St (14-6)70.6240-00-00-0
239. Baylor (1-16)70.5120-90-40-3
240. Duquesne (5-12)70.3140-00-20-4

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
241. SO Carolina St (12-8)70.2410-00-00-0
242. Troy St (10-11)70.1970-00-00-0
243. Delaware (8-12)70.1890-00-00-4
244. Idaho (6-13)70.0071-10-20-2
245. Lipscomb (11-10)69.9980-00-00-0
246. Sacramento St (8-7)69.9220-00-00-0
247. Eastern Ill (7-10)69.8680-00-00-0
248. Canisius (9-11)69.7960-00-00-0
249. Colgate (7-8)69.7070-00-00-2
250. Penn St (1-16)69.6980-50-60-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
251. McNeese St (8-9)69.2460-00-00-0
252. Elon (6-12)69.0110-00-00-0
253. Charleston Sou (9-10)68.8810-00-00-0
254. Stony Brook (7-13)68.8430-00-20-2
255. Brown (5-9)68.7320-00-00-2
256. Robert Morris (8-7)68.6690-00-00-0
257. Marist (8-11)68.6410-00-00-0
258. Liu Brooklyn (8-8)68.5850-00-00-0
259. SW Texas St (8-9)68.5210-00-00-0
260. High Point (8-10)68.4690-00-00-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
261. Southern Utah (6-11)68.4490-00-00-3
262. East Tenn St (5-13)68.3670-00-00-0
263. Rhode Island (4-13)68.2850-00-12-3
264. NC Asheville (8-9)68.0850-00-00-0
265. SO Mississippi (2-14)68.0830-20-31-2
266. Birmingham Southern (8-10)68.0500-00-00-0
267. Navy (5-10)67.9850-00-00-2
268. Umbc (6-14)67.9540-00-30-2
269. Stetson (8-12)67.8260-00-00-0
270. Alabama A&M (15-6)67.7190-00-00-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
271. Norfolk St (11-8)67.6490-00-00-0
272. Radford (7-10)67.5510-00-00-0
273. Coast Carolina (7-10)67.5000-00-00-0
274. Morgan St (12-8)67.4510-00-00-0
275. IPFW (4-4)67.4260-00-00-0
276. Stephen Austin (6-10)67.2070-00-00-0
277. St Francis PA (7-8)67.1120-00-00-0
278. San Jose St (3-16)67.0940-00-01-5
279. New Hampshire (5-14)66.9490-00-20-2
280. Lafayette (5-10)66.8220-00-00-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
281. UC Riverside (4-14)66.6840-20-20-2
282. St Francis NY (6-10)66.6620-00-00-0
283. Eastern Wash (5-10)66.6240-00-00-0
284. Morehead St (5-11)66.6050-00-00-0
285. Florida A&M (11-9)66.4120-00-00-0
286. Texas Arlington (7-10)66.2710-00-00-0
287. The Citadel (4-13)66.0950-00-00-0
288. Northrn Arizona (4-10)65.5720-00-00-0
289. Columbia (3-11)65.4570-00-00-2
290. Cal Poly (3-15)65.1170-20-20-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
291. Westrn Carolina (3-14)64.9270-00-00-0
292. Miss Valley St (11-8)64.8530-00-00-0
293. William & Mary (4-16)64.7710-00-00-5
294. Central Conn (4-11)64.7610-00-00-0
295. Alabama St (13-8)64.6160-00-00-0
296. Youngstown St (2-15)64.5970-00-20-0
297. Loyola MD (5-14)64.4520-00-00-0
298. Grambling (11-8)64.4490-00-00-0
299. Quinnipiac (0-0)64.4250-00-00-0
300. Tenn Martin (3-13)64.3810-00-00-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
301. Hartford (4-15)64.1670-00-20-2
302. Jackson St (11-9)64.0270-00-00-0
303. Siena (4-15)63.9250-00-00-0
304. Southern (11-9)63.8350-00-00-0
305. New Mexico St (1-15)63.7120-00-00-5
306. Bethune Cookman (9-11)63.6600-00-00-0
307. Idaho St (3-11)62.9420-00-00-0
308. James Madison (3-16)62.7520-00-00-4
309. Texas Southern (9-9)62.6140-00-00-0
310. Mt St Marys (3-12)62.3870-00-00-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
311. Jacksonville St (2-14)62.3770-00-00-0
312. VMI (3-13)62.0380-00-00-0
313. TX Pan American (2-6)61.8510-00-00-0
314. Northern Colorado (3-6)61.4620-00-00-0
315. St Bonaventure (1-16)60.9990-00-10-5
316. Towson (2-17)60.6800-00-00-4
317. Ul Monroe (2-14)60.5970-00-00-0
318. Centenary (1-15)60.0520-00-00-2
319. NO Carolina A&T (5-14)59.8110-00-00-0
320. Sacred Heart (0-0)59.8010-00-00-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
321. Alcorn St (6-12)58.6200-00-00-0
322. Army (1-14)58.5560-00-00-3
323. Ark Pine Bluff (5-14)58.1040-00-00-0
324. Nicholls St (1-15)57.9730-00-00-0
325. Prairie View (5-14)57.0480-00-00-0
326. Campbell (0-20)55.2240-00-00-0
327. Howard (2-17)52.6470-00-00-0
328. MD Eastrn Shore (1-18)50.2140-00-00-0
329. Longwood (0-6)49.1070-00-00-0
330. Savannah St (0-3)48.2670-00-00-0
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